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JESSEFEFFER

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Everything posted by JESSEFEFFER

  1. I agree with this. Also, given the schedule, he has a chance to outshine Mahomes, Jackson, Stroud, Stafford, Purdy, Murray, Lawrence, Goff, Herbert, Rodgers(2X) and Tua (2X) in head to head matchups. The visual of having a decent record and beating most of those teams would make a powerful case for him.
  2. That must be someone that overvalues robotic QB play.
  3. The Athletic just published a tier ranking of 30 NFL QBs (rookies are excluded) as determined from a composite tier ranking of 50 NFL coaches and executives. Josh was in Tier 1, as expected, but his composite score was 1.2 which means approximately 10 of the 50 would have had him in Tier 2, but below Joe Burrow. This is interesting in that one might consider the profile of those choosing Tier 2. Josh is something of a loose cannon at times and there would be those that are scared by that and might consider it a flaw. Anyways, this brings me to the Pro Football Reference side by side comparison of Josh and Patrick over their last 4 years which was something I wanted to present to previous discussions. Big difference in YAC favoring Patrick and rushing yards/TDs favoring Josh. Lots to consider there. One can isolate regular season or post season numbers. YAC is the biggest difference, imo, as it is a difference of over 3,000 yards. It makes me wonder if the WR room was more reconstructed with an eye toward improving the YAC in the offense. This is something we haven't seen much evidence of at this point, but it might be the secret sauce to a Bills offensive improvement over previous years. Pro Football Reference Josh vs. Patrick --Years 2020 thru 2023
  4. Warren Sharp has a nice reputation but I would want to know 1) Are the Bills worse in the RZ than average? 2) Are the Bills worse in 1st and goal situations than average? 3) How does Josh's success running the ball in these situations negatively impact his EPA as a passer? More TDs running means less TDs passing and that has to impact EPA. But, by how much? Quantify it then tell me about about your conclusion. 4) I suspect that QBR trumps passing EPA in this regard. I do not know if that split exists but, if it does and he still ranks at the bottom, then ok, Warren has a point. If not, and QBR is near the middle or toward the top, I say BS on his conclusion.
  5. 1) I will quote the last line of my previous post: "We won't know what this group is until they play real games with QB1 running the show. This was to be the case regardless of what they did or did not do to overhaul the position." 2) So is Diggs. 3) As of the TB game last year, Shakir likely played 70+% of snaps. They gave him a bigger role last year and he produced. 4) In the tradition of John Brown, Cole Beasley and Robert Foster, I expect Curtis Samuel to play the best football of his NFL career in an offense run by Josh Allen. I think he is likely to out-produce Gabe Davis regardless of the value of the contracts they signed. 5) I don't think they planned on needing any of those guys. They had 2nd round athletic pedigrees and the Bills were hoping to improve the depth on their 53 and practice squad with them. Maybe one pops and earns a bigger gameday role, an opportunity likely generated by injury to someone else, and that's when they become needed but I do not think any one of them was counted on for a big role in the offense at signing. 6) Refer to answer #1.
  6. This is a strange post to say they neglected the position and then list 4 things they did to address the position. You may not like what they did but there is no need to mischaracterize the steps they did take. Shakir was elevated last year starting with the Tampa Bay game and out performed Diggs and Davis in the process, Samuel was a priority as a free agent and got the biggest deal of the offseason and Coleman may have been the 8th taken but he may have been much higher on the Bills draft board which would make the 2 trade downs irrelevant. Giving a new chance to other "busts" to fill out the bottom of the group and maybe stash on the the practice squad or use on special teams is a smart, lower cost approach. I recall no advocates here for retaining Hardy, Sherfield or Davis for a $13M AAV cost. We won't know what this group is until they play real games with QB1 running the show. This was to be the case regardless of what they did or did not do to overhaul the position.
  7. OK. Just to back this up. A comedian at the Lucille Ball comedy festival in Jamestown, Opey Olagbaju, who spent part of his youth in Nigeria made a joke about this last night. He claimed that the championship T-shirts of losing Super Bowl teams would end up there and by the 4th year they had gotten tired of getting them. He claimed he once told the joke with Andre Reed in the audience.
  8. This is a commonly held belief about Cam but if you do the research there were two isolated events that ruined his right shoulder. One was a tackle attempt after an interception and the other was TJ Watt driving his helmet into Cam's armpit while in the middle of his throwing motion. I do not think cam showed much decline as a runner but his arm looked like it was wrecked during his time with the Patriots. Watt hit on Newton Tackle attempt versus Chargers
  9. Not likely to be 120F on the Bills sideline given that it's a night game.
  10. Among the players that don't make the cut to 53, the Bills should have some decent practice squad options and it matters because they pull WRs off the practice squad every year. It's as if Beane made a mental note that signing Beasley and Brown back to the roster were desperation moves of a kind that reflected poorly on his roster planning. Many of his moves this off-season seem geared toward preparing good players to stash there too.
  11. Zone read option runs had to go. Josh makes a misread against an unblocked edge defender and he is flirting with disaster. I never want to see a Joey Bosa type defender cork screw him off his feet and hip drop him like a rodeo event ever again. QB power runs, draws, and sneaks seem way less risky. Scrambles where he can see the field well, use the sideline or time the slide correctly are much safer. Josh just needs to better choose how the play ends.
  12. I have thought much the same but I do not think it's a trend that puts WRs in the same tier as RBs. This may be a trend for teams with a QB at 20 to 25% of their cap and it's likely more of a necessity. Top WR prospects are still drafted very highly and the top guys are getting 10 to 12% of the cap on their second contracts. That is very much not like RBs. So this may become the operational thinking for the better teams with elite QBs on a 2nd contract but it certainly is not a league wide one that applies to all teams in all situations as seems to be the case for RBs.
  13. The entire lower bowl stands for the entire game. My knees won't allow for that so my seats in 227/228 are much appreciated. The latter section is only 5 seats wide which is also much appreciated. Pretty decent views of both jumbotrons, in the shade on the hottest of days and mostly well behaved fans.
  14. this all I could find so I think the answer is no.
  15. Looks like Joe graduated in 2018 and he wrestled 220 then. He was at 195 for most of the 2016-2017 season. It is easy enough to verify using the archived results at Armdrag and the links there to Matburn and Trackwrestling.
  16. Just to mention that Shaun Dolac is coming back to UB from Utah State. He made first team All-Mac in 2022.
  17. Outstanding HS wrestler at Lancaster. I was also very impressed by West Seneca East's Shaun Dolac's 2022 All MAC 1st team, UB season. He entered the transfer portal and signed with Utah State early in January. I went to see his Utah State profile and then find that he went back into the portal a week or so ago and is returning to UB for his last year. Crazy times in college football.
  18. This may be true but we all suspect Beane was really, really upset that he didn't get a 3rd round comp pick so let's consider the value in making it right when done wrong.
  19. Think of all the combine interviews and 30 visits for players they did not draft. For every Beane comment about liking Coleman's 40 time because it meant they would have a shot at getting him at their draft spot, there are 100s more about other combine players.
  20. These videos do reveal some of "the process," sugary baked goods included. We only get to see the parts that they want us to see or that they can let us see (we probably can't see comments about players taken by other teams, for instance) but even the UDFA signings process have a process. Beane cares about every player he puts on the roster. I think it really bothers him when he loses out on his coveted players. It explains the trade ups he's made over the years more than anything else, imo. Small investments to make to ensure the player you wanted didn't go to another team and you have lingering feelings of regret.
  21. I love these highly edited, extended PR videos and look forward to them after every draft. Very well done and we get to see some of the decision making process and the draft room interactions. So, we do learn something from them. Sad Kim still can't be there to offer her home baked cookies to the room and have McD make a face when he was offered. Link: Inside the Bills' 2024 Draft
  22. Let's hope that Keon Coleman is the 2018 Josh Allen of the 2024 WR prospects. I think I phrased that correctly. The conversation feels like deja vu all over again-ish as it's the rematch of the analytics crowd vs. the scouting community. This leads the discussion to whether he is self aware, can take coaching and is willing to do whatever it takes to shape his skillset to be successful against the best of the best and allow his freakishly rare athletic abilities dominate opponents.
  23. In my part of the world the story is told that Shane Conlan got the last scholarship offered in that particular class after PSU recruiters watched him play a HS basketball game. Seeing this, Keon shows elite body control as he drives the lane, does the 360 dunks, etc. That seems like a good skill that translates for a bigger WR to separate and make himself available for the ball. I can't see how he would be limited. Teams might have a problem matching up the right kind of defender with him.
  24. Hey Augie, I do not know your profile but my sense is that as a 60ish, white, American man there are certain cultural references that I (we) should make known to our younger brethren and we need to slip these in to threads wherever they fit. So well played.
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