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Posted

Week 5, and it gets a little harder every week.

 

I'm deciding between the Lions and the Colts......leaning Colts at home vs Vegas, but I fear Daniel Jones playing way above his head is possibly coming to an end.

 

Rams over 49ers on Thursday night is also a possibility, but I think anything can happen on Thursday night games.

 

Who ya got??

Posted
2 hours ago, Ned Flanders said:

Minnesota, now that they're going up against a rookie QB.

During the season, I never go against a rookie making his 1st start, since the vet he's replacing usually has been playing poorly.  2 examples are from the NYG.  Jones & Dart each won their 1st start replacing Eli & Russ. 

I have used a rookie to lose on opening day, since the vet playing poorly & losing his job doesn't apply. In fact, I usually pick against a rookie QB in his 1st start if he is named the opening day starter. Two years ago I thought Richardson was going to bust in Indy and bet against them opening day. I got very lucky because Minshew came in and almost beat me.  

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Albany,n.y. said:

During the season, I never go against a rookie making his 1st start, since the vet he's replacing usually has been playing poorly.  2 examples are from the NYG.  Jones & Dart each won their 1st start replacing Eli & Russ. 

I have used a rookie to lose on opening day, since the vet playing poorly & losing his job doesn't apply. In fact, I usually pick against a rookie QB in his 1st start if he is named the opening day starter. Two years ago I thought Richardson was going to bust in Indy and bet against them opening day. I got very lucky because Minshew came in and almost beat me.  

 

That's exactly why I stayed away from Chargers - Giants last week. And I'm obviously glad I did. But I'm going with Minnesota because this one feels a little different with the Vikings playing the 2nd of 2 across the Atlantic.  I think that's a factor. It seemed like it played a role in the Jags win over the Bills a couple of years ago. 

 

And that actually has me scratching my head about this one. Cleveland is considered the home team, but they're the more disadvantaged traveling team. 

 

Edited by Fleezoid
Posted

Colts.  Vegas is bad, especially their O-line.  Detroit has some good home matchups still later this season.

5 minutes ago, Fleezoid said:

 

That's exactly why I stayed away from Chargers - Giants last week. And I'm obviously glad I did. But I'm going with Minnesota because this one feels a little different with the Vikings playing the 2nd of 2 across the Atlantic.  I think that's a factor. It seemed like it played a role in the Jags win over the Bills a couple of years ago. 

 

Do factor in Cleveland playing a new rookie QB Gabriel.  Normally that’s a bad thing, but he can’t be worse than Flacco.  An extra week in Europe should be a big plus for Minny, but Wentz has looked bad and the Cleveland D can be nasty.  I see this as a FG game and I don’t like taking those for survivor.

Posted
8 minutes ago, Stretch said:

Colts.  Vegas is bad, especially their O-line.  Detroit has some good home matchups still later this season.

Do factor in Cleveland playing a new rookie QB Gabriel.  Normally that’s a bad thing, but he can’t be worse than Flacco.  An extra week in Europe should be a big plus for Minny, but Wentz has looked bad and the Cleveland D can be nasty.  I see this as a FG game and I don’t like taking those for survivor.

 

Yeah, good points. Those 9:30 games have also had some wonky results over the years. All of that considered, my gut is telling me stay away from it. And I don't want to mess with my gut, because that's where I store all my beer. 

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