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is there a HC out there worth going after?


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1 hour ago, BuffaloRebound said:

Vrabel.  His teams are tough nosed and built to play in Buffalo.  He’s won with far worse QB’s than Josh and I think he’s a great fit for the fanbase and for Josh.  


i’m open to this idea. Is he really on the hot seat in Tennessee though?

 

while we’re at it, what about Belicheck? I could totally see him wanting to come to Buffalo to stick it to the patriots twice a year. And I could see Terry wanting him to coach here.

 

i’m not saying Belicheck is the coach I would want, but I could definitely see it happening.

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1 hour ago, Heels20X6 said:

Honestly, if Washington doesn't promote him, the right man for the job is Eric Bienemy.  He's from the Reid coaching tree but he's offensively minded.  He can find a decent DC and go from there.

It’s hilarious people hate on EB without real reason. The Chiefs’’ offense has regressed tremendously without him and he has dollar general Baker Mayfield on pace for 5,000 yards.  But clearly he has no idea about offense. I swear there are people on this board who hate certain types of qbs and coaches for very idiotic reasons. 
 

and McDermott isn’t getting fired. But EB and Ben Johnson should be the number 1 candidates.

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1 hour ago, DrDawkinstein said:

Funny you mention a coach-for-coach trade.

 

I was just thinking last night if we could pull one off with the Giants.

 

They get McD who is good for fixing a bottom-5 team. We get Dabol who our players love and would fix our offense.

 

Git r dun

Daboll looks awful this year, cost them several games,  and seems like he is going to have a heart attack every game. 
 

but there are worse ideas. 

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Just now, RyanC883 said:

Ben Johnson as HC

 

Perhaps keep Brady as OC (dude is young, can learn from Johnson) 

 

Babbich as DC

 

 

 

If you bring in an outsider like Ben Johnson, you'll have to let him hire his own guys as Coordinators. Likely guys we've never even heard of.

 

I was hoping for a move where McD fired not only Dorsey, but himself as DC, promoted Babbich, and went back to pure HC duties to try to salvage the season.

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1 hour ago, BuffaloRebound said:

Vrabel.  His teams are tough nosed and built to play in Buffalo.  He’s won with far worse QB’s than Josh and I think he’s a great fit for the fanbase and for Josh.  

I think he is one of the best coaches in the nfl but that is basically like getting McDermott on steroids. It’s spinning the wheel.

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1 minute ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:


i’m open to this idea. Is he really on the hot seat in Tennessee though?

 

while we’re at it, what about Belicheck? I could totally see him wanting to come to Buffalo to stick it to the patriots twice a year. And I could see Terry wanting him to coach here.

 

i’m not saying Belicheck is the coach I would want, but I could definitely see it happening.

 

I don’t want us to hire a 71 year old HC. I don’t care who he is. His giant ego probably tells him he’s a solid GM and he’d want those powers. No thank you, very much. 

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1 minute ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:


i’m open to this idea. Is he really on the hot seat in Tennessee though?

 

while we’re at it, what about Belicheck? I could totally see him wanting to come to Buffalo to stick it to the patriots twice a year. And I could see Terry wanting him to coach here.

 

i’m not saying Belicheck is the coach I would want, but I could definitely see it happening.

 

When he has had an elite level franchise QB the record speaks for itself. 9 Super Bowl appearances with 6 Super Bowl championships. He also wouldn't be getting outcoached by likes of Reid and Taylor in the playoffs.

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1 minute ago, DrDawkinstein said:

 

If you bring in an outsider like Ben Johnson, you'll have to let him hire his own guys as Coordinators. Likely guys we've never even heard of.

 

I was hoping for a move where McD fired not only Dorsey, but himself as DC, promoted Babbich, and went back to pure HC duties to try to salvage the season.

Not really sure what is bad about bringing in fresh blood at this point. This team has plateaued.

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1 minute ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

It’s hilarious people hate on EB without real reason. The Chiefs’’ offense has regressed tremendously without him and he has dollar general Baker Mayfield on pace for 5,000 yards.  But clearly he has no idea about offense. I swear there are people on this board who hate certain types of qbs and coaches for very idiotic reasons. 
 

and McDermott isn’t getting fired. But EB and Ben Johnson should be the number 1 candidates.

 

It's not just people on this board.

 

We've watched Bienemy be the hot HC candidate as the OC for the top team for years, and every year he does a number of interviews for HC, and every year the teams move on without even considering him. There's smoke there.

 

I've never seen anyone criticize him on his offensive prowess and Xs and Os. It's usually only about his past issues (not quiiite as bad as your boy Cornelius, but still), and his general demeanor.

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1 hour ago, Gary Marangi said:

Hasn't he been passed over for years?

Tells you something

What? The teams are stupid and give losers like Pat Shurmur multiple chances because he is friends with the right people. Besides our game against them, their offense has been better than ours with chubby Sam Howell. Think about that. 

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5 minutes ago, Ballhawk said:

Lacking the qualifications or information to assess risk does not mean it doesn't exist. A lot fans knee jerk reaction this week is to want to replace McDermott without considering there is any risk involved. For every McVay, Taylor and Siriani there are dozens of one and done HCs. I find the premise that changing HCs next year is an automatic improvement highly flawed.

In games where the Bills hav a passer rating over 100, the bills are 16-2 the last three years.  In all other games, the Bills are .500. Side note, other teams experience similar levels of success when their teams go over 100. Recent example agains the Bills was the Patriots 129 rating

 

the 18 games over a 100 passer rating places the Bills eighth in the league over that time frame. 

So the risk is two-fold 1) will the Bills have fewer elite QB performances with McDermott gone.  It seems McDermott has little or nothing to with this factor.  Given Allen’s physical talent level, being ranked higher than eight with a new head coach seems as likely as ranking lower. Secondly only one team over that time period has more than 50 percent of games over 100 passer rating, surprisingly to me, the niners.  As a data point KC had 49 percent vs the bills 44 percent over 100. 
 

So half the games need to be won without an elite QB performance.  McDermott is actually solid, being at a bit over .500 for these games. Andy Reid gaps out from everyone by winning 64 Percent of the games without an elite passer performance in the game.  So the second risk is whether or not there are HCs available who can win at least half the games, when the passer rating is below elite level.  This is a real risk.

 

My personal opinion is that there is some upside of increasing the number of passer rating above 100 games. And there should be coaches available who can also win 50 percent of the other games.   Winning is the Super Bowl likely requires improving both winning percentages.  After six seasons, I don’t know or any reason to think McDermott will improve in win percentage for the 50 percent plus non elite passer games, nor increase the number of elite Passer rating performances. 
 

In summary, there is risk to making a change.  And there might be a reward for the change. Keeping McDermott is less risky, but at this point I don’t foresee any rewards. 

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The hot candidates are all going to be defensive coordinators except Ben Johnson. 

 

The old school era of head coaches are all retired.  There are only a few of the guys left who were coaching in this league when it was different in the late 80s and 90s.  Reid, Belichick and Carroll. 

 

Having a young energetic staff like the eagles two years ago is really appealing at the same time it is so risky going with the unknown inexperienced who have limited exposure to other coaches and no gameday or season experience of being in charge.

 

I believe above all else if their is a vacancy in Buffalo every available coach will be lined up ten deep to coach Josh Allen and this team with this fanbase.  The new stadium coming and a really solid group on offense that can be molded to whatever the new coach wants make Buffalo an incredible position to obtain.

 

The Bills should not wait and miss out.  The front office should be quietly finding everything they need to know about each of these candidates so they can make a swift change and get on with the business at hand of the salary cap and the roster while preparing for the draft. 

 

I am fan of Brian Flores but he would have to completely redo the defense, the retreads like Jim Schwarz, Dan Quinn etc...are not as appealing to me.  You will not get one of the younger OC's.

 

The Ben Johnson thing because of the upbeat environment, the blue collar environment of Dan Campbell who he has been around for all his pro career essentially is really really appealing.  He could bring that running game here, with the know how of what it takes to create that mindset while also bringing a new energy.  Pairing him with a veteran DC and Veteran ST coach along with maybe an assistant HC who is a Veteran would be a great situation to me.  A scenario like Ben Johnson HC_OC_Play caller with Brandon Staley as DC and A vet ST coach could be something interesting.

 

The flip side, someone like Mike Macdonald would bring that young energy to the team and the defense and could be paired with a veteran OC like Pete Carmichael JR. or if Kevin Stefanski becomes available or maybe even Todd Monken if baltimore would allow it...make him OC/Assistant HC.

 

The final option is probably the most realistic, Mcdermott hires a new OC.  If the browns go in a new direction...( I don't think they will) Kevin Stefanski makes perfect sense.  Great job with Qb's in the past, has coached every position, been a head coach and called plays.  Has a scheme.  He worked with Leslie Frazier in Minnesota.  

 

again, to me Coaches will be lined up ten deep to coach allen and this offense.  The Bills have to get it right.

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