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My Too Early 53 man Roster based on Camp reports


BuffaloBillyG

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With the Bills first preseason game fast approaching I thought I'd take a look at where I see the roster at before the games take place. Bolded are in my view locks for the roster. Italicized are players that are "near locks" in my estimation. Looking over the roster spot by spot it strikes me that we are going to be letting quite a handful of really talented players go pretty soon. Some of these guys could have started for this franchise even 4-5 short years ago. Problems of having a deep roster.

 

QB: Josh Allen, Kyle Allen, Matt Barkley

 

Earlier in the off-season I viewed Kyle Allen as a lock. Now? Not quite sure. Sounds like he may be playing himself out of a job. One of Kyle or Barkley will likely make the roster as the backup (unless Beane makes a move) the other could be PS bound.

 

RB: James Cook, Damien Harris, Latavius Murray, Reggie Gilliam, Evans, Mims

 

Before the Hines injury I had Murray as a possible PS placeholder. Now, I believe he's destined for the TJ Yeldon role unless injury strikes. Gilliam makes it easily as well. Evans and Mims in my view are fighting for a PS role. 

 

WR: Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis, Trent Sherfield, Harty, Shorter, Shakir, Isabella, Shavers, Coulter, Patmon, Johnson.

 

Expecting some push back at this position. Sheffield is a lock in my eyes due to what sounds like a solid camp, Josh's admiration for him and the fact he plays ST. Shakir is a guy that I think needs to show something in PS games. Could one of Isabella, Shavers or Coulter push the former 5th rounder off the roster? Not likely but a strong showing by one of them and continued drops by Shakir may crack open the door.

 

TE: Dawson Knox, Dalton Kincaid, Morris, Sternberger, Wilson

 

Buffalo finds itself in rare territory here. For decades we couldn't find a decent TE...now it would seem we have 2. That moves the position battle down the line to TE3. I give the edge here to Morris but Sternberger and Wilson have a shot with at least one of them headed to a possible PS spot if they are chopped.

 

OL: Dawkins, McGovern, Morse, Bates, Brown, Torrence, Quessenberry, Shell, Doyle, Edwards, Doyle, and a cast of many others

 

Outside of the top 6 (and possibly Edwards) most of the other guys can end up anywhere from making the team, to the PS, to playing elsewhere or nowhere all together. I don't see it happening because they love his versatility, but if someone like Edwards shows well, does that lead to "Ryan Trade Bates?" 

 

For those keeping track, that's 16 spots I have set in stone. Another 3 set to "near lock" for 19 roster spots claimed. On to the defense!

 

DL: Groot, Floyd, Von, Jones, Oliver, Ford, Lawson, AJE, Phillips, Settle, Boogie, Ray, Ankou, Kingsley, "the rest"

 

Insert token "depending on if Von starts on PUP" comment here. The ones I have highlighted as locks are pretty set in stone. I do have AJE (and am prepared to defend) as a near lock due to his progression as a pass rusher last year. I think Phillips is "close" to being a lock pending on health. Talent wise I question if Settle can make it, then look at his contract and realize Buffalo would gain almost nothing financially by letting him go. Can Ray/Boogie push Lawson for a spot? That's going to be a battle to see in the games. 

 

LB: Matt Milano, Dodson, Williams, Bernard, Spector, Matakevich, Klein, Howard

 

Milano is a no brainer. Williams as well due to being a day 2 pick this year. I believe even if Dodson loses the MLB battle, he makes it for experience alone. Eye rolls around for Matakevich, I know. Bernard and Spector add depth and can contribute on ST. Klein I believe will be PS bound if he chooses to continue to play.

 

CB: White, Jackson, Elam, Benford, Johnson, Lewis, Neal, Ingram, Austin, Brown

 

Another deep group. I realize Lewis is covering Safety as well. Where he's listed in my view is just book keeping as he will offer depth at both spots. For me Neal was the closest "near lock" to being a bolded lock. I know some will disagree on both sides and opinions range from him being a pivotal part of the team to "he sucks". 

 

S: Hyde, Poyer, Rapp, Hamlin, Marlowe, Anderson, Mayden

 

Our top 3 are unquestionably making it. After that a lot comes into play. Will the Bills value Marlowe for his experience? Hamlin for his upside? A sleeper here is the forgotten Anderson who the Bills signed very early in the off-season and may offer the best ST coverage of the group.

 

ST: Ferguson, Bass, Martin

 

All locks. However, don't be surprised if Ferguson is released at initial cuts to open a spot if they need to get someone through to IR and brought back right after. Procedure move.

 

By my totals defense and ST rings up:

20 spots locked in

8 spots "near locks"

 

Grand total of:

36 roster locks

11 near locks

 

 For a total of 47 spots claimed or close to it. 

 

Sorry this was long and rambling. I feel I was perhaps a bit too stingy handing out "locks" So what say you, Mafia? What did I get wrong? 

 

Edited by BuffaloBillyG
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34 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:

With the Bills first preseason game fast approaching I thought I'd take a look at where I see the roster at before the games take place. Bolded are in my view locks for the roster. Italicized are players that are "near locks" in my estimation. Looking over the roster spot by spot it strikes me that we are going to be letting quite a handful of really talented players go pretty soon. Some of these guys could have started for this franchise even 4-5 short years ago. Problems of having a deep roster.

 

QB: Josh Allen, Kyle Allen, Matt Barkley

 

Earlier in the off-season I viewed Kyle Allen as a lock. Now? Not quite sure. Sounds like he may be playing himself out of a job. One of Kyle or Barkley will likely make the roster as the backup (unless Beane makes a move) the other could be PS bound.

 

RB: James Cook, Damien Harris, Latavius Murray, Reggie Gilliam, Evans, Mims

 

Before the Hines injury I had Murray as a possible PS placeholder. Now, I believe he's destined for the TJ Yeldon role unless injury strikes. Gilliam makes it easily as well. Evans and Mims in my view are fighting for a PS role. 

 

WR: Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis, Trent Sheffield, Harty, Shorter, Shakir, Isabella, Shavers, Coulter, Patmon, Johnson.

 

Expecting some push back at this position. Sheffield is a lock in my eyes due to what sounds like a solid camp, Josh's admiration for him and the fact he plays ST. Shakir is a guy that I think needs to show something in PS games. Could one of Isabella, Shavers or Coulter push the former 5th rounder off the roster? Not likely but a strong showing by one of them and continued drops by Shakir may crack open the door.

 

TE: Dawson Knox, Dalton Kincaid, Morris, Sternberger, Wilson

 

Buffalo finds itself in rare territory here. For decades we couldn't find a decent TE...now it would seem we have 2. That moves the position battle down the line to TE3. I give the edge here to Morris but Sternberger and Wilson have a shot with at least one of them headed to a possible PS spot if they are chopped.

 

OL: Dawkins, McGovern, Morse, Bates, Brown, Torrence, Quessenberry, Shell, Doyle, Edwards, Doyle, and a cast of many others

 

Outside of the top 6 (and possibly Edwards) most of the other guys can end up anywhere from making the team, to the PS, to playing elsewhere or nowhere all together. I don't see it happening because they love his versatility, but if someone like Edwards shows well, does that lead to "Ryan Trade Bates?" 

 

For those keeping track, that's 16 spots I have set in stone. Another 3 set to "near lock" for 19 roster spots claimed. On to the defense!

 

DL: Groot, Floyd, Von, Jones, Oliver, Ford, Lawson, AJE, Phillips, Settle, Boogie, Ray, Ankou, Kingsley, "the rest"

 

Insert token "depending on if Von starts on PUP" comment here. The ones I have highlighted as locks are pretty set in stone. I do have AJE (and am prepared to defend) as a near lock due to his progression as a pass rusher last year. I think Phillips is "close" to being a lock pending on health. Talent wise I question if Settle can make it, then look at his contract and realize Buffalo would gain almost nothing financially by letting him go. Can Ray/Boogie push Lawson for a spot? That's going to be a battle to see in the games. 

 

LB: Matt Milano, Dodson, Williams, Bernard, Spector, Matakevich, Klein, Howard

 

Milano is a no brainer. Williams as well due to being a day 2 pick this year. I believe even if Dodson loses the MLB battle, he makes it for experience alone. Eye rolls around for Matakevich, I know. Bernard and Spector add depth and can contribute on ST. Klein I believe will be PS bound if he chooses to continue to play.

 

CB: White, Jackson, Elam, Benford, Johnson, Lewis, Neal, Ingram, Austin, Brown

 

Another deep group. I realize Lewis is covering Safety as well. Where he's listed in my view is just book keeping as he will offer depth at both spots. For me Neal was the closest "near lock" to being a bolded lock. I know some will disagree on both sides and opinions range from him being a pivotal part of the team to "he sucks". 

 

S: Hyde, Poyer, Rapp, Hamlin, Marlowe, Anderson, Mayden

 

Our top 3 are unquestionably making it. After that a lot comes into play. Will the Bills value Marlowe for his experience? Hamlin for his upside? A sleeper here is the forgotten Anderson who the Bills signed very early in the off-season and may offer the best ST coverage of the group.

 

ST: Ferguson, Bass, Martin

 

All locks. However, don't be surprised if Ferguson is released at initial cuts to open a spot if they need to get someone through to IR and brought back right after. Procedure move.

 

By my totals defense and ST rings up:

20 spots locked in

8 spots "near locks"

 

Grand total of:

36 roster locks

11 near locks

 

 For a total of 47 spots claimed or close to it. 

 

Sorry this was long and rambling. I feel I was perhaps a bit too stingy handing out "locks" So what say you, Mafia? What did I get wrong? 

 

If you don’t have Harty as a LOCK, you’re wrong. His spot is safer than about 1/2 of the guys you have as locks. 

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15 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

If you don’t have Harty as a LOCK, you’re wrong. His spot is safer than about 1/2 of the guys you have as locks. 

Yea he was one I definitely debated a bit harder than others. His return game ability and speed pretty much lock him in, I would agree. However, I have not made it to camp this year and seen his abilities or usage firsthand so I can't lock him in, myself yet. That's why I'm doing this projection early to see how my view changes once the ball is kicked off.

5 minutes ago, RoyBatty is alive said:

I think Harty is safe and I also think they will take what they can get for Basham, they are certainly talking him up so far.

There are a number of guys that I can see getting moved late in preseason. Basham is certainly one of them, but don't rule out someone like Mancz as well. If Beane could find a draft pick for Russell Bodine and Marshall Newhouse he can flip someone like that as well lol

Edited by BuffaloBillyG
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6 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:

Yea he was one I definitely debated a bit harder than others. His return game ability and speed pretty much lock him in, I would agree. However, I have not made it to camp this year and seen his abilities or usage firsthand so I can't lock him in, myself yet. That's why I'm doing this projection early to see how my view changes once the ball is kicked off.

There are a number of guys that I can see getting moved late in preseason. Basham is certainly one of them, but don't rule out someone like Mancz as well. If Beane could find a draft pick for Russell Bodine and Marshall Newhouse he can flip someone like that as well lol

He has $5.25M guaranteed. He is the ONLY guy on the roster with that skill set (especially with Hines out). He is the definition of a lock. It literally costs $1M more to cut him than to keep him. 

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I do not have Lewis on my 53 yet.  I understand his value to Coach, but I also liken his value on the waiver-wire, as likely unclaimed, and so I hesitate to keep those guys when I can cut them (still pissed they didn't cut him to keep Hodgins.)

So I need 7 more, 6 once we pick a backup qb--opinion withheld

Morriss

Sternberger

Quessenberry (Sorry, Doyle)

Shell

Edwards

Hamlin

And with Von to PUP, Settle

 

1 minute ago, HiMark said:

I do not have Lewis on my 53 yet.  I understand his value to Coach, but I also liken his value on the waiver-wire, as likely unclaimed, and so I hesitate to keep those guys when I can cut them (still pissed they didn't cut him to keep Hodgins.)

So I need 7 more, 6 once we pick a backup qb--opinion withheld

Morriss

Sternberger

Quessenberry (Sorry, Doyle)

Shell

Edwards

Hamlin

And with Von to PUP, Settle

 

Wait, that means I cut Boogie, and I don't want to do that (General Managing is hard!).

I'm afraid Morriss gets the high hat. sorry pal, hope to see you on the Squad side!

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I have hard nothing about Shaq Lawson this summer: what is going on with him?

4 hours ago, BuffaloBillyG said:

With the Bills first preseason game fast approaching I thought I'd take a look at where I see the roster at before the games take place. Bolded are in my view locks for the roster. Italicized are players that are "near locks" in my estimation. Looking over the roster spot by spot it strikes me that we are going to be letting quite a handful of really talented players go pretty soon. Some of these guys could have started for this franchise even 4-5 short years ago. Problems of having a deep roster.

 

QB: Josh Allen, Kyle Allen, Matt Barkley

 

Earlier in the off-season I viewed Kyle Allen as a lock. Now? Not quite sure. Sounds like he may be playing himself out of a job. One of Kyle or Barkley will likely make the roster as the backup (unless Beane makes a move) the other could be PS bound.

 

RB: James Cook, Damien Harris, Latavius Murray, Reggie Gilliam, Evans, Mims

 

Before the Hines injury I had Murray as a possible PS placeholder. Now, I believe he's destined for the TJ Yeldon role unless injury strikes. Gilliam makes it easily as well. Evans and Mims in my view are fighting for a PS role. 

 

WR: Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis, Trent Sheffield, Harty, Shorter, Shakir, Isabella, Shavers, Coulter, Patmon, Johnson.

 

Expecting some push back at this position. Sheffield is a lock in my eyes due to what sounds like a solid camp, Josh's admiration for him and the fact he plays ST. Shakir is a guy that I think needs to show something in PS games. Could one of Isabella, Shavers or Coulter push the former 5th rounder off the roster? Not likely but a strong showing by one of them and continued drops by Shakir may crack open the door.

 

TE: Dawson Knox, Dalton Kincaid, Morris, Sternberger, Wilson

 

Buffalo finds itself in rare territory here. For decades we couldn't find a decent TE...now it would seem we have 2. That moves the position battle down the line to TE3. I give the edge here to Morris but Sternberger and Wilson have a shot with at least one of them headed to a possible PS spot if they are chopped.

 

OL: Dawkins, McGovern, Morse, Bates, Brown, Torrence, Quessenberry, Shell, Doyle, Edwards, Doyle, and a cast of many others

 

Outside of the top 6 (and possibly Edwards) most of the other guys can end up anywhere from making the team, to the PS, to playing elsewhere or nowhere all together. I don't see it happening because they love his versatility, but if someone like Edwards shows well, does that lead to "Ryan Trade Bates?" 

 

For those keeping track, that's 16 spots I have set in stone. Another 3 set to "near lock" for 19 roster spots claimed. On to the defense!

 

DL: Groot, Floyd, Von, Jones, Oliver, Ford, Lawson, AJE, Phillips, Settle, Boogie, Ray, Ankou, Kingsley, "the rest"

 

Insert token "depending on if Von starts on PUP" comment here. The ones I have highlighted as locks are pretty set in stone. I do have AJE (and am prepared to defend) as a near lock due to his progression as a pass rusher last year. I think Phillips is "close" to being a lock pending on health. Talent wise I question if Settle can make it, then look at his contract and realize Buffalo would gain almost nothing financially by letting him go. Can Ray/Boogie push Lawson for a spot? That's going to be a battle to see in the games. 

 

LB: Matt Milano, Dodson, Williams, Bernard, Spector, Matakevich, Klein, Howard

 

Milano is a no brainer. Williams as well due to being a day 2 pick this year. I believe even if Dodson loses the MLB battle, he makes it for experience alone. Eye rolls around for Matakevich, I know. Bernard and Spector add depth and can contribute on ST. Klein I believe will be PS bound if he chooses to continue to play.

 

CB: White, Jackson, Elam, Benford, Johnson, Lewis, Neal, Ingram, Austin, Brown

 

Another deep group. I realize Lewis is covering Safety as well. Where he's listed in my view is just book keeping as he will offer depth at both spots. For me Neal was the closest "near lock" to being a bolded lock. I know some will disagree on both sides and opinions range from him being a pivotal part of the team to "he sucks". 

 

S: Hyde, Poyer, Rapp, Hamlin, Marlowe, Anderson, Mayden

 

Our top 3 are unquestionably making it. After that a lot comes into play. Will the Bills value Marlowe for his experience? Hamlin for his upside? A sleeper here is the forgotten Anderson who the Bills signed very early in the off-season and may offer the best ST coverage of the group.

 

ST: Ferguson, Bass, Martin

 

All locks. However, don't be surprised if Ferguson is released at initial cuts to open a spot if they need to get someone through to IR and brought back right after. Procedure move.

 

By my totals defense and ST rings up:

20 spots locked in

8 spots "near locks"

 

Grand total of:

36 roster locks

11 near locks

 

 For a total of 47 spots claimed or close to it. 

 

Sorry this was long and rambling. I feel I was perhaps a bit too stingy handing out "locks" So what say you, Mafia? What did I get wrong? 

 

I always enjoy posts like this re: personnel and roster projections. Cool that you hit the 47 number; I think Barkley sticks due to the new 3rd QB rule.

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1 hour ago, jkeerie said:

In the past we've carried 5 RBs (including Gilliam) due to Taiwan Jones on Special Teams.  It wouldn't surprise me if they keep 7 WRs for the same reason this year and only 4 RBs.

It will definitely be interesting to see what the roster make up is this year for sure.

1 hour ago, John from Riverside said:

Harti is absolutely a lock but I do appreciate the effort here

You're not wrong. I'm certain on Brandon Beane's chart (which is the only one that matters lol) he's locked in. I haven't seen him play much and didn't make it out to SJF. For me, I need to see him get some snaps before he gets the lock lol.

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Add to Locks: Harty, Settle, Bernard.

 

Remove from Locks: Murray.

 

Still leaves 4 spots to fill, with a need for at least 1 QB, 1 or 2 OTs, 1 S, 1 DE, and at least 1 or 2 WR (and VERY probably 1 TE). Also probably another RB (depends if Gilliam IS definitely a lock like we both think he is, as he tweens RB/TE). Which all essentially means I'm definitely very wrong about some of my picks.

 

Really challenging year for roster decisions. A lot of bottom 3rd roster talent that WILL get scooped. I actually HATE trying to either predict what they'll do and/or IMAGINE what I'd do. And I normally find this to be one of the most fascinating parts of NFL football. 

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8 hours ago, BuffaloBillyG said:

With the Bills first preseason game fast approaching I thought I'd take a look at where I see the roster at before the games take place. Bolded are in my view locks for the roster. Italicized are players that are "near locks" in my estimation. Looking over the roster spot by spot it strikes me that we are going to be letting quite a handful of really talented players go pretty soon. Some of these guys could have started for this franchise even 4-5 short years ago. Problems of having a deep roster.

 

QB: Josh Allen, Kyle Allen, Matt Barkley

 

Earlier in the off-season I viewed Kyle Allen as a lock. Now? Not quite sure. Sounds like he may be playing himself out of a job. One of Kyle or Barkley will likely make the roster as the backup (unless Beane makes a move) the other could be PS bound.

 

RB: James Cook, Damien Harris, Latavius Murray, Reggie Gilliam, Evans, Mims

 

Before the Hines injury I had Murray as a possible PS placeholder. Now, I believe he's destined for the TJ Yeldon role unless injury strikes. Gilliam makes it easily as well. Evans and Mims in my view are fighting for a PS role. 

 

WR: Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis, Trent Sheffield, Harty, Shorter, Shakir, Isabella, Shavers, Coulter, Patmon, Johnson.

 

Expecting some push back at this position. Sheffield is a lock in my eyes due to what sounds like a solid camp, Josh's admiration for him and the fact he plays ST. Shakir is a guy that I think needs to show something in PS games. Could one of Isabella, Shavers or Coulter push the former 5th rounder off the roster? Not likely but a strong showing by one of them and continued drops by Shakir may crack open the door.

 

TE: Dawson Knox, Dalton Kincaid, Morris, Sternberger, Wilson

 

Buffalo finds itself in rare territory here. For decades we couldn't find a decent TE...now it would seem we have 2. That moves the position battle down the line to TE3. I give the edge here to Morris but Sternberger and Wilson have a shot with at least one of them headed to a possible PS spot if they are chopped.

 

OL: Dawkins, McGovern, Morse, Bates, Brown, Torrence, Quessenberry, Shell, Doyle, Edwards, Doyle, and a cast of many others

 

Outside of the top 6 (and possibly Edwards) most of the other guys can end up anywhere from making the team, to the PS, to playing elsewhere or nowhere all together. I don't see it happening because they love his versatility, but if someone like Edwards shows well, does that lead to "Ryan Trade Bates?" 

 

For those keeping track, that's 16 spots I have set in stone. Another 3 set to "near lock" for 19 roster spots claimed. On to the defense!

 

DL: Groot, Floyd, Von, Jones, Oliver, Ford, Lawson, AJE, Phillips, Settle, Boogie, Ray, Ankou, Kingsley, "the rest"

 

Insert token "depending on if Von starts on PUP" comment here. The ones I have highlighted as locks are pretty set in stone. I do have AJE (and am prepared to defend) as a near lock due to his progression as a pass rusher last year. I think Phillips is "close" to being a lock pending on health. Talent wise I question if Settle can make it, then look at his contract and realize Buffalo would gain almost nothing financially by letting him go. Can Ray/Boogie push Lawson for a spot? That's going to be a battle to see in the games. 

 

LB: Matt Milano, Dodson, Williams, Bernard, Spector, Matakevich, Klein, Howard

 

Milano is a no brainer. Williams as well due to being a day 2 pick this year. I believe even if Dodson loses the MLB battle, he makes it for experience alone. Eye rolls around for Matakevich, I know. Bernard and Spector add depth and can contribute on ST. Klein I believe will be PS bound if he chooses to continue to play.

 

CB: White, Jackson, Elam, Benford, Johnson, Lewis, Neal, Ingram, Austin, Brown

 

Another deep group. I realize Lewis is covering Safety as well. Where he's listed in my view is just book keeping as he will offer depth at both spots. For me Neal was the closest "near lock" to being a bolded lock. I know some will disagree on both sides and opinions range from him being a pivotal part of the team to "he sucks". 

 

S: Hyde, Poyer, Rapp, Hamlin, Marlowe, Anderson, Mayden

 

Our top 3 are unquestionably making it. After that a lot comes into play. Will the Bills value Marlowe for his experience? Hamlin for his upside? A sleeper here is the forgotten Anderson who the Bills signed very early in the off-season and may offer the best ST coverage of the group.

 

ST: Ferguson, Bass, Martin

 

All locks. However, don't be surprised if Ferguson is released at initial cuts to open a spot if they need to get someone through to IR and brought back right after. Procedure move.

 

By my totals defense and ST rings up:

20 spots locked in

8 spots "near locks"

 

Grand total of:

36 roster locks

11 near locks

 

 For a total of 47 spots claimed or close to it. 

 

Sorry this was long and rambling. I feel I was perhaps a bit too stingy handing out "locks" So what say you, Mafia? What did I get wrong? 

 


Good first attempt - looks pretty reasonable to me although just reading the tea leaves from beat reports and how he played (at times) last year I think AJE is a solid lock.

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13 minutes ago, JoPoy88 said:


Good first attempt - looks pretty reasonable to me although just reading the tea leaves from beat reports and how he played (at times) last year I think AJE is a solid lock.

 

On top of currently solid reports and historical improvement rightly working in AJE's favor, Beane seems to lean into the upside of guys going into contract years. 

 

Only ways I'd imagine Epenesa NOT on the 53 are injury or trade. 

 

And while I'm not privy to the internal team projections for Basham, from my limited perspective I'd want Lawson on the squad over him this season (if I had to choose between them). Would definitely attempt to recoup a late-round pick for Boogie and get Ray and/or Jonathon on the PS.

 

It's a puzzle with too many pieces (at the outer fringes). 

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8 hours ago, BuffaloBillyG said:

It will definitely be interesting to see what the roster make up is this year for sure.

You're not wrong. I'm certain on Brandon Beane's chart (which is the only one that matters lol) he's locked in. I haven't seen him play much and didn't make it out to SJF. For me, I need to see him get some snaps before he gets the lock lol.

Don’t you have Sherfield as a lock? I think that they are both locks but if only one of the two were to make the team it is Harty. Contracts say a lot about who is a lock vs. who is competing for a spot. Latavius Murray was (and maybe still is) competing for a spot. Deonte Harty is playing meaningful snaps. That was determined long before SJF.

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12 hours ago, Herb Nightly said:

I have hard nothing about Shaq Lawson this summer: what is going on with him?

I always enjoy posts like this re: personnel and roster projections. Cool that you hit the 47 number; I think Barkley sticks due to the new 3rd QB rule.

 

I think Lawson is safe because he plays a role nobody else really does, other than perhaps Groot, which is being a very solid run defender and edge setter.

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Lawson is a lock. Gets too many first team reps to be a true cut candidate. I see Shane Ray as a practice squad lock who needs to show more over time to possibly push Boogie or whoever the 5th/6th DE is off the roster. However if he absolutely kills it in the preseason this could easily change. I thing Boogie clears waivers and PS bound in that case.

 

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17 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

Don’t you have Sherfield as a lock? I think that they are both locks but if only one of the two were to make the team it is Harty. Contracts say a lot about who is a lock vs. who is competing for a spot. Latavius Murray was (and maybe still is) competing for a spot. Deonte Harty is playing meaningful snaps. That was determined long before SJF.

I do have Sherfield as a lock, however I am much more familiar with him. I fully understand what his contract situation looks like. And as I acknowledged, that likely locks him in on Beane's roster. Though some may have debated that OJ Howard's fresh and mostly guaranteed contract would have locked him in last year. 

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