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Week 14 - Ravens (open -6.5. Down to -5) at Bills Over/Under 44

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16 minutes ago, nucci said:

how quickly can the linemen and LBs drop.....the WRs will be past them before they can drop in to the passing lanes


possibly. I think you can still clog up lanes and create congestion and confusion. 
 

but again, this is just an amateur take on it. Not dying on this hill or anything. 

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Not sure why I feel this way because I know this game is HUGE, but I’m not nervous about this game at all. For some reason, I feel like McD will figure something out to slow them down. Maybe we win, maybe we don’t, but I’m just excited to see how we stack up against the current #1 seed in the AFC. Sure, it’ll be tough, but this is exactly where we’ve been dying to get back to. Where we matter. Breathe it all in. We’re in a great position with everything we desire in front of us.
 

(Of course, this is how I feel Monday. On Sunday I’ll probably be a nervous wreck 😬). 

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I’m hoping for a blizzard. Anyone know the long-range forecast? 

(Of course, I’ll be watching from Florida, so...)

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8 minutes ago, Chandler#81 said:

I’m hoping for a blizzard. Anyone know the long-range forecast? 

(Of course, I’ll be watching from Florida, so...)

Looks like low 40s and cloudy for Sunday 

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41 minutes ago, dubs said:


possibly. I think you can still clog up lanes and create congestion and confusion. 
 

but again, this is just an amateur take on it. Not dying on this hill or anything. 

ha, ok

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I think the Bills will need to emphasize takeaways in this game and ball control to keep their offense off the field 

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We will need great safety play. 

We need to play gap sound and have Poyer/ Hyde essentially "shadowing" Lamar and playing down in the box, disguising coverages. I think having a safety in the box as an extra LB essentially while playing hook/hole would be huge. 

 

Now this is also where we benefit from the athleticism of Milano and Edumunds. I'm interested to see what McD / Frazier draw up for this. I think we can absolutely get away with Cover 1 given how athletic we are.

 

The Chargers did this last year with Derwin James and Lamar couldn't break free. 

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1 minute ago, Mike in Horseheads said:

Ok I'm old and don't know all the new fancy stats, WTF is DVOA

 

Defense-adjusted-value-over-who-the-heck-cares-he's-obviously-playing-well

2 minutes ago, warrior9 said:

We will need great safety play. 

We need to play gap sound and have Poyer/ Hyde essentially "shadowing" Lamar and playing down in the box, disguising coverages. I think having a safety in the box as an extra LB essentially while playing hook/hole would be huge. 

 

Now this is also where we benefit from the athleticism of Milano and Edumunds. I'm interested to see what McD / Frazier draw up for this. I think we can absolutely get away with Cover 1 given how athletic we are.

 

The Chargers did this last year with Derwin James and Lamar couldn't break free. 

 

Yep. Exactly what I said up thread.

 

Good stuff 

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3 minutes ago, Mike in Horseheads said:

Ok I'm old and don't know all the new fancy stats, WTF is DVOA

 

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/info/methods

 

THE ULTRA-SHORT VERSION:

DVOA measures a team's efficiency by comparing success on every single play to a league average based on situation and opponent.

THE SHORT VERSION:

DVOA is a method of evaluating teams, units, or players. It takes every single play during the NFL season and compares each one to a league-average baseline based on situation. DVOA measures not just yardage, but yardage towards a first down: Five yards on third-and-4 are worth more than five yards on first-and-10 and much more than five yards on third-and-12. Red zone plays are worth more than other plays. Performance is also adjusted for the quality of the opponent. DVOA is a percentage, so a team with a DVOA of 10.0% is 10 percent better than the average team, and a quarterback with a DVOA of -20.0% is 20 percent worse than the average quarterback. Because DVOA measures scoring, defenses are better when they are negative. For more detail, read below.

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5 minutes ago, Mike in Horseheads said:

Ok I'm old and don't know all the new fancy stats, WTF is DVOA

 

It's another magical made up analytics stat.

 

Has literally noting to do with anything.

 

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1 minute ago, Joe in Winslow said:

 

It's another magical made up analytics stat.

 

Has literally noting to do with anything.

 

Same way I feel like about baseball and "WAR".  I don't give a shitz

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1 hour ago, Chandler#81 said:

Just thought I’d toss this in here.

J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets!🤣

3DECC502-E7A3-4EBC-AE72-5AED36968B07.jpeg

 

Come on, Chandler...you're better than this. It's...

 

J-E-S-T...JEST, JEST, JEST!!!

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I want the Ravens to wear their light colored jerseys.

 

anyone else notice it appeared with the weather and their all black uni's Lamar was able to disguise the exchange more?  May be insignificant in the grand scheme but it appeared to me to help in a number of plays.

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56 minutes ago, Chandler#81 said:

I’m hoping for a blizzard. Anyone know the long-range forecast? 

(Of course, I’ll be watching from Florida, so...)

44° Considerable cloudiness with occasional rain showers. Low 43F. Winds SSW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

Edited by DaBillsFanSince1973

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2 minutes ago, ExWNYer said:

 

Come on, Chandler...you're better than this. It's...

 

J-E-S-T...JEST, JEST, JEST!!!

So fresh! 🤘 I've never heard them called that before.....................

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4 hours ago, Jerry Jabber said:

After getting blown out 47-3 in the season opener last year, I hope the Bills are looking for some retribution on Sunday.

 

 

We are going to need more field goals.  

 

Edited by dollars 2 donuts
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We've scored 37, 20 and 26 since the Cleveland game.  The 20 and 26 are results of us basically running out the clock for an extended period of time. 

 

Our Offense is becoming, dare I say... good?

 

Josh Allen has taken some huge steps forward as the season has gone on.  It looks like it's started to click for him.  Our OL is legitimately a top half of the league unit and we have playmakers in Singletary, Knox, Brown, Beasley, Foster and McKenzie.  That's a talented QB, with a good OL and a lot of speedy playmakers finding their identity post-Cleveland in the up-tempo run & shoot/K-Gun offense.

 

I have to think this highly rated defense is pretty excited for the opportunity to do what New England and San Fran's Defense could not.  (Granted, SF held them to 20, but their offense didn't come through)

 

It won't be easy, but i'm really liking what I see from this team, on both sides of the ball.                        

 

 

Edited by SCBills

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