dave mcbride Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2015-nfl-predictions/ This is presumably because the Bills have to play at NE and at KC. KC is better team than people think, by the way -- they could easily be 6-3 now if not for some bad breaks. Their new RB, West, looks to be pretty solid too. They have a ridiculously easy schedule the rest of the way too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDH Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 They also said that Jax had about the same chance of beating a 2 win Baltimore team as Tenn had of beating an undefeated Carolina team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dave mcbride Posted November 16, 2015 Author Share Posted November 16, 2015 They also said that Jax had about the same chance of beating a 2 win Baltimore team as Tenn had of beating an undefeated Carolina team. It's not perfect, obviously -- prediction based on probabilities never is. But it's a good system that does a good job of working in strength of remaining schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TPS Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 I was thinking about this today, that the KC game will most likely determine the Bills' playoff fate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Big Cat Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 Gotta go 2-1 to round out the third quarter. Get to 7-5 with WAS, PHI, DAL and NYJ left. So gotta get two out of NE, KC, HOU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dave mcbride Posted November 16, 2015 Author Share Posted November 16, 2015 Gotta go 2-1 to round out the third quarter. Get to 7-5 with WAS, PHI, DAL and NYJ left. So gotta get two out of NE, KC, HOU Yep - that KC game is an absolute must. Arrowhead is a tough place to play though ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chuck Wagon Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 If we go 4-2 with 2 of the wins being KC and the Jets, then I believe we'll be in. If we beat KC and go 4-2, they would need to run the table in their other games to top us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dollars 2 donuts Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 I've done my own playoff calculations and I've determined that the Jacksonville loss really, really, really, really, really hurt us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunnerBill Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 The KC game is massive obviously. We pretty much all expect to be 5-5 going into it and they will likely be 5-5 as well. The last two seasons we have played them at a vital stage - outplayed them and made crucial mistakes - Tuel's pick 6 from inside the 5 and McKelvin's punt fumble to give them the win. This time the game is on the road which immediately makes it tougher but I feel like it remains THE pivotal game in our season. However, they don't quite have it their own way down the stretch. They still have to play Oakland (who are pretty decent and still in the hunt) twice and at Baltimore, who despite their record have not lost any of their 7 losses by more than a single score and still have talent on that team. I think if KC beats us it gets to 9-7..... if we beat them the best they get to is 8-8. So if we lost to New England and KC then we need to run the rest of the table to be 10-6 to get ahead of KC. With Big Ben looking relatively healthy I think the Steelers lock up one spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALLEN1QB Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 A win next week against the Pats would be huge and give us a little more room for error. Let's hope we can steal one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dorkington Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 I'd be over the moon if we somehow get a victory in NE. It'd change all my perceptions about this team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Utah John Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 If we can't beat an average Chiefs team with everyone healthy (assuming no new injuries in the Pats game), are we really playoff material? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Canadian Bills Fan Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 Go figure... KC has the chance to crush our playoff chances 2 years in a row now CBF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jeffismagic Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 The Bills have no excuse not to dominate the KC offense. They have a few nice players but nothing special. It's our offense on the road in a tough stadium that frightens me. Should be another ugly game like the Jets game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunnerBill Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 The Bills have no excuse not to dominate the KC offense. They have a few nice players but nothing special. It's our offense on the road in a tough stadium that frightens me. Should be another ugly game like the Jets game. I'd take a 9-6 win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metzelaars_lives Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 They also said that Jax had about the same chance of beating a 2 win Baltimore team as Tenn had of beating an undefeated Carolina team. Baltimore was -5 at kickoff and Carolina was -4 1/2 so Vegas agreed with them too. I myself did not but it's not that far-fetched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nucci Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2015-nfl-predictions/ This is presumably because the Bills have to play at NE and at KC. KC is better team than people think, by the way -- they could easily be 6-3 now if not for some bad breaks. Their new RB, West, looks to be pretty solid too. They have a ridiculously easy schedule the rest of the way too. Most teams can say that they would have a better record except for a few bad breaks........it's what happens in sports..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metzelaars_lives Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 I was thinking about this today, that the KC game will most likely determine the Bills' playoff fate. Agreed, it's starting to look that way. Although while KC's schedule is pretty easy, Pittsburgh's is pretty difficult and we would most likely have the tiebreaker over them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 (edited) doesn't CONF & DIV W/L mean anything? Buffalo 5-3 Div 3-1 NYETS 4-3 Div 1-2 Raiders 4-3 Div 1-1 P-burg 3-4 Div 1-2 KC 3-2 Div 1-1 http://espn.go.com/nfl/standings Edited November 16, 2015 by BillsFan-4-Ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Adam Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 Steal a win @ NE and the Jax loss never happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts