colin

while i think the bills need interior OL help the most, i think the brass thinks our O is pretty much capable of scoring on anyone, and since we have some extra DL we can cut (we sit guys who get major burn pretty regularly) it does kinda make sense that they want a better pass rusher add on this year. also, i've gotta think it's easier to rotate in an older pass rusher for 20-30 snaps a game than it is to get a new starter on the OL ready to play in our scheme.

if allen has 50 total tds and the rest of the numbers work themselves out (4500+ passing, not terrible turnovers, say 65% context completion) then he walks away with it. 45-50 total tds and someone else could take it, but he'd still be my odds on favorite. sub 45 total TDs and it gets harder. i really do think the MVP is turning into some kind of fantasy sports thing, mixed with media narrative (which has always been there). if we end up w only 3 or 4 losses it's pretty highly likely that he gets it, even with sub 45 tds. i'd rather have some real football brains sort of meet in a smokey room and just vote on it. who was that guy who used to write for SI, Dr Z? that kind of guy.

top 10 for sure, maybe top 5. we lack a little physicality up front at times, big targets in the guts of our zone are always a concern. how they play vs better teams will tell me how confident i am in the playoffs. that tenn game was a wake up call. i think we had the wrong guys active tho. aje woulda done better work.

I just don't buy this at all. Rosen was not cut out to be an NFL QB and while AJ might have not hit the same stats and super high level of play if he got cut and ended up somewhere else, he is a stud and would be a stud anywhere. at the nfl level, small differences in skill and coaching/team cohesion can make big differences in results, but that's mainly due to most games being won or lost by a single score. at an individual player level, there is no way on earth a character and talent like JA17 ends up like wet blanket Josh rosen.

we clearly need an upgrade on the interior line, Ford being trash is a big problem. I think our most correctable issue on OL and DL is schematic. Our OL just can't handle stunts at all, like zero. on the DL, i think depending on who is on the pitch the opponents know where they can double and just an quick win and use that to reduce the impact of our pass rush. hope they figure it out during the bye week.

the d getting trucked is my biggest concern, i really think there was a schematic/personnel issue vs Tenn. On O in the red zone, which frankly if we fixed we would be 6-0 and have a crazy advantage in the playoffs. my main criticism of daboll is something im gonna trot out again, they gets too clever by half. we have so many ways to beat teams and so many wrinkles on O that dabol falls in love with his toys and doesn't have enough go to basic sets. our plays in the redzone take just too long to develop, quick slants and fades and even draws out of shotgun work well around the NFL, but they have to be executed really quickly and with precision. part of it is gonna be JA17 holding the ball and processing, but some more boring straight forward stuff will keep the D honest and lower the degree of difficulty for us. at this point i wonder if our OC can change his spots enough. reminds me of the 91 superbowl when just a few more running plays could have lead to a walk away victory, but Kelly/our O was just too in love w the pass.

we just don't match up well w the big tough well coached teams. i think milano was terrible on monday, no way is he really back. and a small quick LB like that is fodder for a team like Tenn. on the other side of the ball, they just sold out to get physical with us, and while we put yards and points on them, we didn't get enough done in the red zone to walk away winners. their o vs our d was the biggest chess match loss tho. we bottled them up a couple times, and then they just kept the body blows coming. 7 scores in a row?

this game and the pittz game reminds me of the manning lead colts. when they got a lead, their simple and fast game plan on d and finesse O would just murder people. when they didn't they looked predictable and could get out muscled. the titans went all in on a game plan on both sides of the ball to outphysical us and we had no answer. i know hind sight is 20/20, but if we kept wyatt teller, i think we are 6-0 this season.

sometimes it strikes me that our D generally plays to defend the whole field, which ends up meaning we ask our LBs or DBs to do the next to impossible covering guys all over the place, and if our front 4 don't get home it is impossible. contrast that with what both teams who beat us did, they sold out to make allen running non viable, muddled up pressure and blitzes and disguises to make his job hard, and rolled the dice on the back end which allowed for some big busted plays. my biggest issue with this is it makes us kinda vanilla and predictable, and we basically forced next to no punts all day vs a team missing olinemen with the most sacked qb in the nfl.

big tough dirty and well coached. that's what kills us. it didn't matter that they had a ups driver and a barrista playing CB, they just jammed us up front and abused our o line, and got pressure on josh like every single 3rd down. on the other side, the d just folded hard. milano had no business playing, he looked awful. odaba or whatever his name is is our worst lineman, addison is meh, hughs is meh + a bit of flashes here and there. AJ and basham on the bench didn't help us at all. if we are making one move into the bye/trade deadline, it has to be for an OG. we need someone nasty on the left side. bills played hard, but made too many mistakes. IMO this loss is down to coaching. we weren't prepared well enough (couldn't get the O to operate without josh running around like his hair is on fire, bad bad bad special teams penalties, and a dumb kick off strategy) and vrabel drew up the exact game plan necessary to make us shoot ourselves in the foot. he put his guys in the best position to win, we just lined up and begged 17 to be super man up and down the field.

a well coached physical team always has the advantage on us. guys who get mucky w us and can beat us up physically put us in bad situations and we need #17 to be super man to win.

so true. we really could use a nasty physical guard. nothing would improve our O more than that. last night, we got out coaches more than anything. Tenn is the inferior squad, but they had an answer to everything we wanted to do. we got 31, and they did get a lot of points from goofy errors and such, but the degree of difficulty our o was playing under was simply higher than them. just like last season, they were better prepared for this game than we were. it reminds me of the our tenn game last season, and the playoff run the titans went on in 2019. vrabel is a caveman, but he gets his guys prepped with a very specific game plan. i think if you can beat that plan, you walk to victory, but if you can't adjust, you get what we've been getting.

Looking kinda bleak here. Lot of juice draining plays. We need 7 and we need it bad. A touch here and then a stop and we are in a position to close it

They are just selling out to attack around the line of scrimmage, no runs and no scrambles are easy, I don't understand why dabol sunk that drive playing into the teeth of the d

This opening half drive is where you can separate yourself from lucky physical teams and deflate them. Let's do it!

Bills have dominated this game, but small eff ups cost us 14 large, and bad blocking/RedZone play cost us 8

Sucking out loud here

lamar reminds me of mike vick or jeff george where he will have some really sloppy lack luster games, and will always have a few series where he looks like he doesn't belong (bills did that to him in the playoffs) but then just explodes for video game stats and highlight reel plays. i wouldn't want to be my team's super bowl chances on him, i think over a long season or playoff he will turn up bad at some point and you won't be able to continue, but i wouldn't want to face him in an elimination game either, cuz he can just hit that stride and plays outside of the normal scheme of things and makes the D look silly. if he played w a back like henry he'd be soooooo bad to play against.

i think the main aim has to be decreasing the degree of difficulty our O faces (which with the notable exception of the pittz game, is what we have done this season for the most part). easy pre snap read audibles, get the ball out quick, screens, TE and beez underneath, attack deep when the cheat short and vice versa. if josh is in control and our guys show up, we can put up a whack of points on these guys.

id take him to put us over the top for the chip

im nervous going into the kc game, my head says we will win it, and im tipping us for the chip this season, but i'd be lying if i told you that im not really nervous about how it will all play out

as much as the d stank vs kc before, and as much as our d has improved this season, i totally agree. to win this game we need our O to show improve and put up points. i think 4 TDs are necessary for us to win this game. the D showing out means we get lots more drives w better starts. i have a feeling dabol has mostly switched the O to be much more like the dominant ne o's of old, where they control the ball a bit more and win the rock paper scissors games vs what the d has on the pitch. play action josh allen w our weapons when we are running for about 5 a clip is a scary sight.

it was OVER 100? does the win still count?

i see murray as like -1 to lamar w the feet and creativity, and +2 on the passing (maybe +3). he's a bit like if vick took football seriously at the start of career would be. they aren't a perfect or super well balanced team (rams are better balanced, but laid an egg vs zona) but they have just super stars at a few money positions. they remind me a lot of the cheifs. psycho aggressive on D, to the point of allowing big plays, just a 10 headed monster on O, and kinda genius kinda unstable coaches running the show.

this is the test for me. if we can get some stuff done on O vs KC (imo more mental than physical for our team) and make them uncomfortable when they have the ball, then im firm in my chip call to start the year.