
BADOLBILZ
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Everything posted by BADOLBILZ
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Bernard and Rousseau could be on it next year if they stay healthy. Contract time players tend to get noticed because agents tend to impact these lists. Also, Bernard's numbers last year were pretty crazy for a MLB, top 100 worthy for sure, just needs to do it again before he gets recognized.
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Cam Newton, recognizing coverages, disguises and Sean McDermott
BADOLBILZ replied to appoo's topic in The Stadium Wall
Chiefs put up 9 yards per play on offense. The Bills played terribly on defense that day. -
I think a thread title is supposed to ask if anyone else is losing interest in something.
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Receivers the Bills could go after?
BADOLBILZ replied to Desert Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
No need to re-visit because you never had a point in the first place. I'm surprised @GunnerBill even dignified your narrative the way I often do. You have proven to be a bit of a slow learner but I still have faith that the light will come on for you at some point. You will join us on the realistic side of the force one day. -
Receivers the Bills could go after?
BADOLBILZ replied to Desert Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Ok then you are being ignorant. Is that better? Not separating wasn't what people "think". It wasn't just an opinion........it was charted in-season. Way before he ran the slow 40 at the combine. You are conflating what people "think" with his what his performance told us. People "thought" he caught a high % of contested passes. Again, the numbers said otherwise. -
Receivers the Bills could go after?
BADOLBILZ replied to Desert Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
The draft process on WR's here on TSW was long and very involved. The data and tape on Coleman was pretty definitive.........he did not separate well in college. We knew this in November/December. He didn't enter the offseason draft process with the same trajectory he had in September/October. The narrative that he was great at contested catches was debunked slightly later in the process than the separation question. Perhaps that's what you are confused about. -
Receivers the Bills could go after?
BADOLBILZ replied to Desert Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yep. I remember your thoughts. Coleman was not a first round prospect by how the NFL grades them or even just being one of the top 32 players in the draft. His upside could be special for a number of reasons, but he was raw. I've compared him to Davante Adams. Adams was more polished than Coleman but still was rightfully ranked about the same (8th-10th) compared to his peers in the 2014 class. He hit his ceiling. But it took time. It's not likely at all that Coleman will ever reach what I perceive as his "potential" but I don't think Bills fans could handle Coleman coming out of the box with 2 sub 500 yard seasons like Adams did. -
Receivers the Bills could go after?
BADOLBILZ replied to Desert Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
This is basically what all you said boils down to. Kincaid is likely to be as good as Kelce..........but that everything else I said is true. I am a big Kincaid fan but there have been TONS of TE's who have had better seasons than 673 and 2 and not gone to become Kelce. Sorry. Let's see him have anything resembling a pro bowl season before we jet past All Pro and first ballot HOF. As for your attempt at a cherry picked regression model.........yeah Kelce averaged 61 over his last 7 in 2022. But he averaged 84 over his first 7 in 23'. And he didn't average "60.8" or less in 23'. Learn how to use data. If you want to say a number proves decline then the SUCCEEDING numbers need to reflect that. Travis Kelce had a different year in 2023. He had a higher catch % than any of the previous 8 seasons which indicated the need to be more of a possession receiver due to the lack of productive depth at WR. And nagging injuries resulted in playing almost 150 less snaps than he had in the prior 2 seasons. That and resting the finale hurt his bulk numbers significantly. Still a GREAT year with unreal performances that would be hard for any TE to top. Like finishing his year catching an incredible 20 of 21 targets in the AFCCG and SB for over 200 yards. But Kincaid is "likely" to be as good you say. No, he's not "likely" to be that good. We can hope but his over/under for receiving yards is in the 700's because that is what the actuaries see as "likely". -
Receivers the Bills could go after?
BADOLBILZ replied to Desert Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I could definitely see Kincaid putting up 2014 Kelce numbers..........but it's just not relevant to the discussion about this years Kincaid being expected to rival the impact of the 1338 yard 12 TD All-Pro level 2022 version of Kelce. Even if he improves to year 2 Kelce level having nearly 500 yards and 7 TD's less is a ton. And to my point about it being irrelevant........the 2014 Chiefs passing game was so bad that they are the only NFL team in the last 60 years to not throw a single TD pass to a WR all season. Finished 29th in the league in passing yards with just 3100 total. -
Curtis Samuel Turf Toe, Other Injury Updates
BADOLBILZ replied to Process's topic in The Stadium Wall
That's how I feel watching the team stretch. A coach blows a whistle, most of the guys get in one position pretending they are stretching. Then don't really move for a minute or two(especially the lineman). Then they blow the whistle and everyone gets up. All stretched! We've all seen Bills teams that had a lot more soft tissue injuries than McD's teams. Remember Wade's teams that were ALWAYS nursing muscle injuries? Rex teams had it bad too. Sloppy coaches usually equate to more of them, IMO. But what's the point of taking time out to stretch and then not really doing it? Maybe they need to stretch their toes better. -
Yes, all of them. Were you not aware that the Bills had already been to the AFC championship game in the 88' season? Or that they entered 89' as an AFC SB favorite? They didn't come from nowhere in 1990.
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Curtis Samuel Turf Toe, Other Injury Updates
BADOLBILZ replied to Process's topic in The Stadium Wall
TURF toe. You are thinking of camel toe. They aren't doing any clam slammin' out there, if you go to the practices you see these guys barely even stretch it's amazing they don't have more soft tissue injuries. -
Just Abuncha' Guys tracks
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Receivers the Bills could go after?
BADOLBILZ replied to Desert Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
The parameters used to draw comparisons between the passing game weapons the Bills currently possess and those that the Chiefs took into 2023 are SOOOOOOO stretched that basically almost every team can make a similar claim. And the Chiefs then finished 3rd in pass attempts and 6th in yardage.......outstanding pass game production......so MOST such comps would be utter bullish!t. I mean in 2022 MVS literally had more receiving yards than any of Kincaid, Shakir or Samuel did last season. And Kincaid coming off 672 yards and 2 TD's is supposed to be a full comp for Kelce coming off 1338 and 12. Yeah, if you overlook that the Chiefs returning players were a lot more productive and that they had three 1st and 2nd round prospects from the 2 most recent drafts fighting it out for spots it's JUST like the Chiefs last year. -
Receivers the Bills could go after?
BADOLBILZ replied to Desert Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
So you've gone from KC had "nothing" at WR to "average" and still think I missed your point? Being a WR1 producer is obviously not AVERAGE. They got WR1 production from Juju and Rice each of the last two years. With Mahomes they have ALWAYS had 2 pass catchers that would have been the top pass catcher on a number of other teams. The Bills have not. Even with Diggs in 2021, 2022 and 2023. You are trying to cherry pick from apple and orange trees. It's not working. -
Receivers the Bills could go after?
BADOLBILZ replied to Desert Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I didn't miss the point. A lot of fans on here think that KC's WR's have sucked the past two years and that they've won in spite of them. They are wrong. They have had a WR1 level producer in every season since Mahomes has been there. Add in the GOAT split TE in Travis Kelce and they had 2 of the top pass catchers in the NFL yet again last season. Could Kincaid or Shakir or Keon give the Bills two of the top 32 pass catchers in the NFL? Perhaps but it was less likely than when KC brought back the 1338 yard 12 TD Kelce to go along with 3 early picks in the 2022-2023 drafts. KC hedged their bets by having 3 players who were seen as round 1 or round 2 prospects in those drafts........and one of them panned out. The Bills need to go 1 for 1. And Coleman has nowhere near the experience and production that Rice had coming out of SMU so expecting him to excel as quickly is asking A LOT. Rice put up more than twice the yardage that Coleman did in their final seasons and twice the catches and yardage for their careers. -
I'm really starting to love this WR room. We quietly got better
BADOLBILZ replied to JerseyBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
1) Mostly true but he's more than a clean-up sack guy. He will get his share of early-in-down sacks if he can stay healthy. His game is using his length and power and being elite and locating the QB stepping up in the pocket. Shaq was a cleanup sack guy which more implies being a step slow, IMO. 2) I don't have a PFF grade for him but I think @GunnerBill is an every down player. 3) For wider alignments you generally need bigger LB's. Those funnel the RB's to LB. The Bills defense protects the LB's which allows them to be smaller/quicker. Also aligning wide doesn't help Rousseau's game, IMO. -
Receivers the Bills could go after?
BADOLBILZ replied to Desert Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Rashee Rice was good by October and a stud by late November and finished as a clear NFL WR1. He put up 86 receiving yards per game in his last 5. He was 21st in receptions and 28th in yardage(938) among NFL WR. KC sat him and the other starters in the finale or he ends up close to or over 1,000 as a rookie. Is a 77.5% catch rate, 7 TD and 44 1st downs more than "basically nothing"? So yes, you stand corrected. -
Curtis Samuel Turf Toe, Other Injury Updates
BADOLBILZ replied to Process's topic in The Stadium Wall
Actually it was @Avisan: " ~60% completion percentage for ~4,200 yards and 25 touchdowns." -
Curtis Samuel Turf Toe, Other Injury Updates
BADOLBILZ replied to Process's topic in The Stadium Wall
@Avisan already ran the numbers on what to expect from a 525 target season for Mack Hollins. -
Like I said........for many, many reasons their passing game doesn't project to be as good as the Chiefs did. You may very optimistically claim that Kincaid (or Shakir and Samuel for that matter) have "HOF upside" coming off 600 yard receiving seasons........but the Chiefs had 3 HOF locks. Kelce was coming off 1338 yards and 12 TD's.
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Prior to last season the Chiefs had 3 first ballot HOF'ers(Reid,Mahomes, Kelce) leading their passing game. First ballot locks if they had all quit prior to the season. They had won 2 of the last 4 SB's and had two of the top 32 receiving yardage leaders for 5 consecutive seasons.......even after trading Tyreek. Contrast that with the 2024 Bills passing game. They've been outperformed in the passing game by KC every year since 2020(which was the last time the Bills had two receivers in the top 32 in yardage). If Allen retired tomorrow there is no HOF in his future. He's Randall Cunningham or Mike Vick if it ends now. Not even Cam Newton level yet because no SB appearance and no MVP award. It was fun, but that's about it. Brady? Kincaid? Shakir? Samuel? Not even Hall of worth mentioning yet. So it's pretty clear why the Chiefs might warrant the benefit of the doubt. Is it not? Is it really apples to apples when the Bills are as unproven by comparison? But why were the Chiefs WR deficient in the first place? Because they had 2022 1st and 2nd round picks on the team(guys who had made big plays and scored TD's in their most recent SB win) and a 2023 second round pick WR. They were expecting those highly invested, high pedigree players to breakout and complement the already great Kelce and a receiver in MVS who had produced more yards in 2022 than any of the Bills current weapons did in 2023. More than Kincaid, Shakir or Samuel. A lot went wrong..........but as usual they still finished with 2 of the top 32 receiving yardage leaders because Rice became a WR1 during the season. They even rested their starters in week 18 and still ranked that highly. So like I said........you judge what they took to camp which was unproven but made some sense given their investments made in Moore/Toney/Rice. Then look at the autopsy. The autopsy says they finished 3rd in pass completions and 6th in passing yards so their passing game was actually really good. And their season only ended because they ran out of teams to beat. If the Bills do that, great. But they don't deserve the benefit of the doubt like HOF'ers with rings. Sorry.
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YOU need to relax. It's only week one, for chrissakes! As I've said before.........you look at the team you took to camp and then you do the autopsy at the end of the season. They took a bottom of the league WR corps to camp. We won't know for certain if the plan worked until the end of the season. In the meantime, everyone feel free to express your potentially fluctuating opinion daily even if some jag thinks you aren't relaxed enough.
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2024 New York Yankees..........on to the World Series for 41st time
BADOLBILZ replied to BADOLBILZ's topic in Off the Wall
And finally Dominguez gets called up for the Yankees/Tigers game from Williamsport https://nypost.com/2024/08/18/sports/yankees-call-up-jasson-dominguez-for-first-time-this-season/ might just be for a game but reportedly batting 5th