I think some of the "can't lose 3" stuff is because the Pats shouldn't be caught napping this year.
The first game last year Marcia looked like she had never even played the game before.
Then in the second game the pats* rattled off something stupid like 48 straight points.
At 1-2 and having lost the last 2, most people suspect the pats* won't be sleeping Sunday.
I give the Bills an outside chance if everything goes perfectly, no mistakes by the Bills (particularly Fitz) and several big ones by the pats*, and the Bills D knocking Marcia down on every play.
But otherwise the pats* are still more talented than the Bills in my opinion, and there should be no gift game from Marcia this time around.