billsfan89

You have to draft the right players and put them into the right situation. There is also luck with injuries. Look at Goodwin, dude was good when he played but just always got hurt, he goes to the 49ers and puts up a career year and stays healthy. There are also a lot of players that just get drafted into a bad situation, either the scheme doesn't fit their skillset or the coaching isn't good enough to develop them. As a fan you don't have control but message boards are made for wild speculation and uneducated opinions.

34 years old, last really good season was in 2014 although his 2017 wasn't terrible 6.5 sacks but he wasn't a starter and he stayed healthy. I could see a team getting him to be a decent role player.

They also drafted a tight end high last year. Their O-line also is pretty solid. If the Browns go all in on the draft and spend some more of that legendary cap space they will be tremendously more competitive this season.

I would be shocked unless it was the Eagles pick number 64. The market for Landry in a trade can't be that high. I think it would probably be pick 64/65 plus a conditional 5th or so in 2019 (Which isn't a bad haul for the Fins.) Landry is a good player but what team is going to give up more than a 3rd for a player that they will then have to pay a huge contract for. If the Browns hold onto their 2 high 2nd round picks.

Dawkins-InCog-Groy-(Vlad or Miller)-Glenn is a solid O-line that I would be comfortable with despite a hole at RG. Mills is still there as RT depth (I know people love to hate on Mills but as a backup you could do a lot worse, some people here think that other teams have All-pros off the bench) but they would definitely have to pick up 1-2 interior lineman depth wise and to have an heir apparent for InCog who I think at best has 1 year left. But if this team trades Glenn they most likely wouldn't get enough of a return nor would they get any considerable cap relief in 2018, at best they would be trading away a pro-bowl caliber O-lineman for 6 million dollars in cap space in 2019 and 4.8 million cap space in 2018. I think unless the Giants want him as a throw-in for a possible trade up to number 2 I would just keep him. Cutting him in 2019 is tolerable as you shed a lot more of his salary. If Glenn is dominant again then12 million for a dominant RT when pass rushers line up at both tackles is a tolerable amount of money to spend at that position and by the time Dawkins would be up for an extension Glenn's deal will be expired or he will be on a new more reasonable deal.

Bills are probably better off keeping him, slide him over to the right side and have a bookend set of tackles. Considering how modern NFL defenses are lining up their best pass rushers just as much from the right as they are from the left you can now more than ever justify having a high salaried RT. Dawkins and Glenn give a bookend to both sides.

I feel like its high risk high reward what the Rams are doing. Talib and Shields are older and in the case of Shields injury prone players. They are letting some key players walk and who knows if they will be able to repeat their offensive success esp if Sammy is gone. But they certainly are going for it and you have to respect that.

China is the key to any talks, not sure if Donald is the guy to pull this off but this is a way better approach than !@#$ing with their leader on Twitter (albeit in a hilarious way.) I think for the longest time China has been protecting North Korea just enough to make them a problem for the Japanese, the South Koreans, and the USA. Russia has also helped North Korea on the international stage since it is a game that messes with America's interest. But not that the North Korean's actually have nukes and a leader that is less of a rational actor than his father you are looking at a situation where China has to bend somewhat and de-escalate the situation before they end up flipping the whole chess board over. If China can promise the safety of the North Korean regime I think that goes a long way into getting the situation a bit more stable.

Seems like a lower mid-level signing that could work, I think he could be had on a 2-3ish million dollar a year deal with a low guarantee. Moncrief looked like he was poised to breakout after a good 2015 but Indy had QB issues and his career faltered, injuries didn't help either. I think this would be a good signing, low-risk high reward type deal.

The Rams are building one hell of a secondary if Talib and Shields can give them one more good year. Talib will be 32 Shields 31 by the end of the 2018. That's a bit risky esp given Shields injury history. But I think the Rams are more so looking at it like if Talib or Shields can give you a good season you will have 2 stud corners and they can throw Robey in the slot if needed.

Suh's case is a weird one. Dude was a legit game-changing defender in Detroit. He goes to Miami in his prime on a loaded deal. Suh's quality of play remains good he has been a top 5 DT while in Miami but even that near All-Pro level of production was never going to live up to that contract. The Dolphins overpaid despite getting exactly what they hoped to get out of him on the field.

I hate being micromanaged, I am a self-starting person I don't need someone on my ass telling me to work harder, I work hard and people that try to micromanage me just end up slowing things down and producing a lesser product. So in that sense, I would like a manager like Rex I have good discipline and a good work ethic even with a lax manager I always try to go above and beyond. So a Marrone type wouldn't make me more productive it would just slow me down and frustrate me. That being said I think the Bills probably needed a Marrone type more so than a Rex. Coming of the Chan era the Bills needed to reestablish the fundamentals of the team and Marrone was the guy to do that.

To go up to pick 4 is going to command at the very least both 21 and 22 plus 53. Glenn is not going to the Giants unless it is as a throw in. Glenn is a injury prone player on a massive deal, as good as he can be that's a big contract to take a chance on. I would also suspect that the Giants would also want a pick in 2019, more than likely at least the Bills 2nd if not the first if another team wants that pick too. This would be a pretty solid strategy for the Giants they could come away with a haul of picks.

Goodwin is a good dude, always worked hard and when he was on the field he actually showed flashes of production. But he just always got hurt, glad to see him get rewarded for his hard work.

Murray was super productive in 2016 had his second best season overall. But in 2017 he got dinged up and just wasn't very productive. I would rather have Murray than Ivory, Ivory has been pretty ass the past 2 seasons whereas Murray is only coming off of 1 bad year.

There are tons of players who smoke pot (given that it's probably a lot better to smoke pot or consume edibles than to take opioids to manage pain) and they have successful careers. It's the other bad habits that killed his career.

Former third round pick very athletic, you could do worse.

The thing is next years 1st could also be a complete bust of a player in this hypothetical scenario. Dawkins showed a lot his rookie year and is a player at a premium position on an uber affordable deal. I would rather go with a guy that you know can play as opposed to holding onto a future pick. If you are going to start a rookie QB you kind of have to consider the protection you are offering him. If Glenn gets hurt and Dawkins isn't on the team you could have a disastrous O-line esp if InCogs play declines more. This o-line is already pretty fragile crippling it to preserve a 1st next year isn't a good idea in my mind.

I was more scoffing at the idea that 21, 22, and a good 2nd year player was enough to swing the number 2 pick. I think that if the choice is between including Dawkins or next years first into a package I include next years 1st. I would much rather give up a pick even a 1st rounder to keep Dawkins who is coming off of a strong rookie year at a premium position. Glenn is injury prone the last couple of seasons and if Dawkins really can't play RT they can always switch Glenn over to RT and figure it out (Glenn would be a mauler at RT and I don't think he would mind the switch in position as long as he was getting paid on his current deal.) So yes if Dawkins is a must get in a package to trade up for a QB I think you can't let that be the holdup but if you have other options like giving up more picks I think it is obvious what you do then.

Go after the players you think will help your team. I would much rather go after Poe or Star and have a run stuffing anchor for 2018 than leave a hole on the roster (or go after lesser players who got released) in order to obtain comp picks.

If the choice is picks 21, 22, 53, and next years 1st for pick 2 or picks 21, 22, 53, and Dawkins I think I would rather give up next years 1st. Glenn is a stud and should remain on the team but Dawkins anchors the other side and is a nice insurance policy incase Glenn can't come back from injury. Next years 1st is valuable but I would rather have a young cheap player who has proven himself locked into 3 more seasons at a low rate than a 1st next season.

I look at Sammy as a similar player to DeSean Jackson. Jackson is a big play player whose presence on the field pops the defense a bit which opens up a lot of other aspects of the offense. But he isn't a dominant game changer on a consistent enough basis. Jackson got 11 milllion avv, I suspect Sammy who is younger but has a longer injury history will want that much plus a little more coming off of a healthy season. I think 5 years 55 million is what Sammy gets with a 20ish million guarantee. Not sure if that is too much for the Rams or not but some team will give him something in that range.

Denver could make things interesting, Denver getting involved might push the Bills to have to include an extra 2nd and more future picks.

I think any trade up for #2 is going to look like 21, 22, 53, Glenn or 158, and next years 1st. Glenn and McCoy have very little value to the Giants. Glenn is a bit injury prone lately and is on a huge contract, if the Giants want him fine but he isn't pushing this deal over the top. McCoy is a 30 year old RB making 8 million a year, the Giants capped strapped somewhat aren't taking him on. Not only are they going to want a good haul of picks this year (21, 22, 53) but they are also going to want to set the table for next years draft and the Bills are going to have to include next years 1st in that package because some other team will.

You are correct that a team would have to have a QB and drafting at a point where a top QB wasn't highly coveted in a trade down. That's why the Cowboys drafted Zeke so high. They had Romo, Zeke was a rare talent, and they had the O-line to maximize him. I was shocked the Jags drafted a RB so high last year given their needs elsewhere. But I would also rather take a chance on a highly coveted pass rusher if one is a high-end talent than even a generational RB. Maybe even a LT or a CB is more appealing. It's all a cost-benefit analysis and I think the cost of a premium pick at RB is one that would almost never lineup for me personally.