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Irv

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12 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

Biden now in charge of making stocks go up! 

 

Irv is an idiot 

 

I won't stoop to your level and call you names.  Demented Joke Biden's record:

 

Stock Market  FAIL!

Inflation  FAIL! 

Crime  FAIL!

Gas Prices  FAIL!

Supply Chain  FAIL!

Ukraine  FAIL!

Afghanistan  FAIL!

Iran  FAIL!

North Korea  FAIL!

China  FAIL!

Border  FAIL!

Energy Policy  FAIL!

COVID   FAIL!

Race Relations  FAIL!

Baby Formula  FAIL!

Build Back Better  FAIL!

Labor Shortages  FAIL!

Hunter   FAIL!

Supreme Court Appointment  FAIL!

Transgender Athletics  FAIL!

2022 Midterms  FAIL!

 

What a mess.  

 

 

Edited by Irv
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1 hour ago, Irv said:

 

I won't stoop to your level and call you names.  Demented Joke Biden's record:

 

Stock Market  FAIL!

Inflation  FAIL! 

Crime  FAIL!

Gas Prices  FAIL!

Supply Chain  FAIL!

Ukraine  FAIL!

Afghanistan  FAIL!

Iran  FAIL!

North Korea  FAIL!

China  FAIL!

Border  FAIL!

Energy Policy  FAIL!

COVID   FAIL!

Race Relations  FAIL!

Baby Formula  FAIL!

Build Back Better  FAIL!

Labor Shortages  FAIL!

Hunter   FAIL!

Supreme Court Appointment  FAIL!

Transgender Athletics  FAIL!

2022 Midterms  FAIL!

 

What a mess.  

 

 

Beating Trump in the election? Success!! 

 

Beating Putin's arse in Ukraine? Success! 

 

Full employment? Success! 

 

Labor shortage is Biden's fault? I thought you clowns were saying we have open borders? 

 

 

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29 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

Beating Trump in the election? Success!! 

 

Beating Putin's arse in Ukraine? Success! 

 

Full employment? Success! 

 

Labor shortage is Biden's fault? I thought you clowns were saying we have open borders? 

 

 

Only a fool would consider this administration a success. 

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3 minutes ago, Jauronimo said:

This thread is as juvenile as it gets.  Wouldn't you agree?

No worse than most of the threads on here. If it bothers you so much just pretend bstime or tibs started the thread. Then you would automatically love it! 
Don’t you agree bstime threads are as juvenile as it gets?

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3 minutes ago, Westside said:

No worse than most of the threads on here. If it bothers you so much just pretend bstime or tibs started the thread. Then you would automatically love it! 
Don’t you agree bstime threads are as juvenile as it gets?

I agree, their threads are often juvenile and add little to nothing to the discourse.  

Just now, SoCal Deek said:

Your guy’s in charge now…enjoy the ride! 

My guy wasn't on the ballot.  

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PPP logic:

 

Bad thing happens:

  • President is on my team: It's not the president's fault!
  • President is not on my team: It's the president's fault!

Good thing happens:

  • President is on my team: Look how great my president is!
  • President is not on my team: The president had no hand in this!

 

Maybe try some root cause analysis sometime. Might make these conversations better instead of the usual trolls just trolling each other.

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45 minutes ago, ChiGoose said:

PPP logic:

 

Bad thing happens:

  • President is on my team: It's not the president's fault!
  • President is not on my team: It's the president's fault!

Good thing happens:

  • President is on my team: Look how great my president is!
  • President is not on my team: The president had no hand in this!

 

Maybe try some root cause analysis sometime. Might make these conversations better instead of the usual trolls just trolling each other.

 

Trolls trolling is how PPP works though.  Any substantive posting has to be interpreted through the "Libs vs MAGA" lens.  It's how they shape all narratives and dominate all dialogue.

Edited by Coffeesforclosers
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I’m not a fan of the Republican Party by any means, Lorcc do knows  they are a spineless group of thieves and liars.

The Democratic Party on the other hand are run by a small group of scumbags who want to fundamentally destroy the American way of life while making huge profits off their political position at the expense of the American citizens. Republicans are just as guilty of using their political position to enrich themselves. But there is something dark and sinister controlling the Democratic Party at this moment. Having grown up a life long democrat, I do not support the party any longer. Doesn’t mean I support the right, no thank you. 

The Marxist trolls on here masquerading as democrats are living proof of the dark turn the party has taken. 
I’m hoping sanity will prevail and ALL the leaders on both sides of the aisle are replaced by more moderate candidates. I’m afraid if that doesn’t happen, then we are doomed as a country to fall. 

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4 hours ago, ChiGoose said:

PPP logic:

 

Bad thing happens:

  • President is on my team: It's not the president's fault!
  • President is not on my team: It's the president's fault!

Good thing happens:

  • President is on my team: Look how great my president is!
  • President is not on my team: The president had no hand in this!

 

Maybe try some root cause analysis sometime. Might make these conversations better instead of the usual trolls just trolling each other.

 

3 hours ago, Coffeesforclosers said:

 

Trolls trolling is how PPP works though.  Any substantive posting has to be interpreted through the "Libs vs MAGA" lens.  It's how they shape all narratives and dominate all dialogue.


A microcosm of American politics. Root cause analysis is impossible, there is no source of truth or fact from which to base analysis.  
 

You’ve got Fox News and MSNBC and all their respective biased partners just shouting their narratives at each other in their own vacuum. 
 

 

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1 minute ago, Over 29 years of fanhood said:

  

 

You’ve got Fox News and MSNBC and all their respective biased partners just shouting their narratives at each other in their own vacuum. 
 

 


The best thing anyone can do to stay informed is turn off cable news. 

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51 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said:

OK....now I'm dying to find out....who's your guy, and how is he 'anyone's guy' if he wasn't on the ballot.  Literally everyone with a pulse ran in the last Primary.

 

I'm calling it: Andrew Yang.

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image.thumb.png.460b0481d29d73c95469c8f717dc7110.png

 

Your ECON 101 exam:

 

The top line is the S&P 500 since Biden's inauguration. - 3%

The middle line is the EAFE since Biden's inauguration. - 18%

The bottom line is EEM since Biden's inauguration. - 28%

 

Discuss.

 

Extra Credit: Do the same for gas prices in the USA vs. Europe vs. Japan vs. Emerging Markets.

 

Extra Extra Credit: Do the same for inflation rates.

Edited by The Frankish Reich
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10 hours ago, The Frankish Reich said:

image.thumb.png.460b0481d29d73c95469c8f717dc7110.png

 

Your ECON 101 exam:

 

The top line is the S&P 500 since Biden's inauguration. - 3%

The middle line is the EAFE since Biden's inauguration. - 18%

The bottom line is EEM since Biden's inauguration. - 28%

 

Discuss.

 

Extra Credit: Do the same for gas prices in the USA vs. Europe vs. Japan vs. Emerging Markets.

 

Extra Extra Credit: Do the same for inflation rates.

On face value it might be concluded the US economy is doing "better" than the rest of the world.  And that may be correct.  The cleanest pig in the mud hole scenario.  But the more important question on the price movements of the market indexes is "why" rather than "what".  For me it boils down to interest rate decisions by various central banks and the relative changes in currency values and pairings.  Most notably the US dollar vs. <other currencies> and the impact of economic sanctions as a result of the Ukraine war. 

 

The majors, the Euro, the Yen, the British Pound to mention a few are getting pummeled.  The DOJ executed a market intervention overnight which only caused the Yen to sink further.  These moves imply "money" coming out of these currencies and "into" the US dollar.  Which partially explains the US markets over-performance.  As the fed increases rates the Emerging Markets typically get hit the hardest.  Most international loans are costed in dollars but they earn local currency on domestic sales.  When the local currency falls it takes more local 'units" of currency to service borrowing.  Professional investors normally flee these markets first.  So crash, bang, boom goes their markets.

The curious thing is one currency outperforming the US dollar is the Russian Ruble.  Which for me implies the sanctions seeking to punish Russia are not working and are punishing allies and non-aligned countries more by sucking the life out of their economies and markets.  A logical action might be to stop.  But I'm not expecting that to happen anytime soon. 

 

My expectation is US Q222 GDP will print negative and given Q122 was negative the standard criteria of two consecutive quarters of negative GDP indicates a recession will be met.  I don't know what these economists are talking about when they say they expect a recession in 2023 or 2024.  Its here now.  The fundamental question is how far is the Fed willing to go higher with interest rates and how high is high enough to blow everything up?  My expectation is not much higher.  Every one percent rise in rates adds about $300B to the annual interest expense on the US debt.  So how is that going to be accounted for in the annual budget?  Raise taxes?  Doubtful.  Cut spending somewhere else?  Unlikely.  Print more money?  Winner!  More inflation, higher unemployment, less output!  I expect ultimately we're headed for an inflationary depression.  One thing I've been accumulating lightly are larger capitalization gold and silver royalty and streamers like Franco-Nevada, Wheaton, and Royal Gold as I expect gold will be going much higher and these stocks will see capital gains along with generous dividend payments.  

      

Edited by All_Pro_Bills
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36 minutes ago, All_Pro_Bills said:

On face value it might be concluded the US economy is doing "better" than the rest of the world.  And that may be correct.  The cleanest pig in the mud hole scenario.  But the more important question on the price movements of the market indexes is "why" rather than "what".  For me it boils down to interest rate decisions by various central banks and the relative changes in currency values and pairings.  Most notably the US dollar vs. <other currencies> and the impact of economic sanctions as a result of the Ukraine war. 

 

The majors, the Euro, the Yen, the British Pound to mention a few are getting pummeled.  The DOJ executed a market intervention overnight which only caused the Yen to sink further.  These moves imply "money" coming out of these currencies and "into" the US dollar.  Which partially explains the US markets over-performance.  As the fed increases rates the Emerging Markets typically get hit the hardest.  Most international loans are costed in dollars but they earn local currency on domestic sales.  When the local currency falls it takes more local 'units" of currency to service borrowing.  Professional investors normally flee these markets first.  So crash, bang, boom goes their markets.

The curious thing is one currency outperforming the US dollar is the Russian Ruble.  Which for me implies the sanctions seeking to punish Russia are not working and are punishing allies and non-aligned countries more by sucking the life out of their economies and markets.  A logical action might be to stop.  But I'm not expecting that to happen anytime soon. 

 

My expectation is US Q222 GDP will print negative and given Q122 was negative the standard criteria of two consecutive quarters of negative GDP indicates a recession will be met.  I don't know what these economists are talking about when they say they expect a recession in 2023 or 2024.  Its here now.  The fundamental question is how far is the Fed willing to go higher with interest rates and how high is high enough to blow everything up?  My expectation is not much higher.  Every one percent rise in rates adds about $300B to the annual interest expense on the US debt.  So how is that going to be accounted for in the annual budget?  Raise taxes?  Doubtful.  Cut spending somewhere else?  Unlikely.  Print more money?  Winner!  More inflation, higher unemployment, less output!  I expect ultimately we're headed for an inflationary depression.  One thing I've been accumulating lightly are larger capitalization gold and silver royalty and streamers like Franco-Nevada, Wheaton, and Royal Gold as I expect gold will be going much higher and these stocks will see capital gains along with generous dividend payments.  

      

Thanks for the intelligent/informed comment. I think I agree with everything you said. I do continue to hold some gold (about 5-7% of my portfolio combined, both in the “already mined” ETFs and in the “still underground” gold mining corps) because I agree that the Fed will soon lack the will to go full Paul Volcker this time around. 

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On 6/20/2022 at 9:06 AM, Irv said:

 

I won't stoop to your level and call you names.  Demented Joke Biden's record:

 

Stock Market  FAIL!

Inflation  FAIL! 

Crime  FAIL!

Gas Prices  FAIL!

Supply Chain  FAIL!

Ukraine  FAIL!

Afghanistan  FAIL!

Iran  FAIL!

North Korea  FAIL!

China  FAIL!

Border  FAIL!

Energy Policy  FAIL!

COVID   FAIL!

Race Relations  FAIL!

Baby Formula  FAIL!

Build Back Better  FAIL!

Labor Shortages  FAIL!

Hunter   FAIL!

Supreme Court Appointment  FAIL!

Transgender Athletics  FAIL!

2022 Midterms  FAIL!

 

What a mess.  

 

 

You left out bicycle riding.

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21 hours ago, T&C said:

You left out bicycle riding.

Right!  Updated list:

 

Stock Market  FAIL!

Inflation  FAIL! 

Crime  FAIL!

Gas Prices  FAIL!

Supply Chain  FAIL!

Ukraine  FAIL!

Afghanistan  FAIL!

Iran  FAIL!

North Korea  FAIL!

China  FAIL!

Border  FAIL!

Energy Policy  FAIL!

COVID   FAIL!

Race Relations  FAIL!

Baby Formula  FAIL!

Build Back Better  FAIL!

Labor Shortages  FAIL!

Hunter   FAIL!

Supreme Court Appointment  FAIL!

Transgender Athletics  FAIL!

2022 Midterms  FAIL!

Saudi Foreign Relations  FAIL!

Bicycle Riding  FAIL!

Picking a Press Secretary  FAIL!

Picking a Cabinet  FAIL!

Reading a Teleprompter  FAIL!

Speaking Coherently FAIL!

Completing a Full 40-Hour Work Week  FAIL!

Following Instructions From Whoever is Running The Executive Branch  FAIL!

 

 

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