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TwistofFate

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If we start from the premise we are almost certainly the #4 then here is how I think it lays out (our slim chance of being the #3 is for a Burrow-less Bengals to lose to the Browns next week).

 

Scenario 1: 

NE beats MIA

IND beats JAX

LAC beats LV

Buffalo plays New England in the wildcard

 

Scenario 2:

NE loses to MIA

IND beats JAX

LAC beats LV

Buffalo plays Indianapolis in the wildcard

 

Scenario 3:

NE beats MIA

IND beats JAX

LV beats LAC

Buffalo plays New England in the wildcard

 

Scenario 4:

NE loses to MIA

IND beats JAX

LV beats LAC

Buffalo plays Las Vegas in the wildcard

 

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1 minute ago, GoBills808 said:

Pretty sure that’s all it takes

 

alternatively Pats can win and Browns beat Bengals I think

 

 

 

Correct. if the Browns beat the Bengals and the Raiders and Patriots both win the #3 Bills would play the #6 Raiders. 

1 minute ago, 97bills said:

If bills win out and NE do we play NE in playoffs ? 

 

If Cincy also win next week, yes. 

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7 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

If we start from the premise we are almost certainly the #4 then here is how I think it lays out (our slim chance of being the #3 is for a Burrow-less Bengals to lose to the Browns next week).

 

Your premise is wrong. We can also be 3rd if Bengals win but Chiefs lose, and it is definitely at least worth mentioning.

 

NY Times says we have 50% to end up 3rd if we beat Jets, and while l agree it is in fact a little less our chances are not "slim".

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3 minutes ago, No_Matter_What said:

Your premise is wrong. We can also be 3rd if Bengals win but Chiefs lose, and it is definitely at least worth mentioning.

 

NY Times says we have 50% to end up 3rd if we beat Jets, and while l agree it is in fact a little less our chances are not "slim".

 

There is no way the Chiefs are losing to Denver IMO. 

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