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And the 2024 Race Begins


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NYT/Siena Poll: Donald Trump Opens Five-Point Lead over Joe Biden; Gains Among Women, Latinos

by Wendell Husebø

 

Former President Donald Trump opened a five-point national lead among registered voters over President Joe Biden, a New York Times/Siena College poll found Saturday, surpassing the margin of error. “If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Joe Biden and Donald Trump?” the poll asked. Trump: 48 percent support.. Biden: 43 percent support

 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/03/03/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voter-crosstabs.html

 

https://www.breitbart.com/2024-election/2024/03/02/nyt-siena-poll-donald-trump-opens-five-point-lead-over-joe-biden-gains-among-women-latinos/

 

 

 

 

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Just now, B-Man said:

 

 

NYT/Siena Poll: Donald Trump Opens Five-Point Lead over Joe Biden; Gains Among Women, Latinos

by Wendell Husebø

 

Former President Donald Trump opened a five-point national lead among registered voters over President Joe Biden, a New York Times/Siena College poll found Saturday, surpassing the margin of error. “If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were Joe Biden and Donald Trump?” the poll asked. Trump: 48 percent support.. Biden: 43 percent support

 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/03/03/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voter-crosstabs.html

 

https://www.breitbart.com/2024-election/2024/03/02/nyt-siena-poll-donald-trump-opens-five-point-lead-over-joe-biden-gains-among-women-latinos/

 

 

 

 

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RoundyLogic™️ says that Latinos must be afraid of brown skinned people.

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Why is President Trump consistently leading in the polls ??

 

 

The secret.

 

 

 Joe Biden is losing to Donald Trump because of a dirty little secret: Donald Trump is actually the moderate in this race.

 

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This week, new polling showed what Democrats have long feared: Donald Trump is now in commanding position to defeat Joe Biden and win reelection in 2024.

 

According to the latest New York Times/Siena poll, Trump is up 48-43 over Biden; what's more, Biden is actually underwater among Hispanics, earns just two-thirds of Black votes, and has cratered among independents. According to the RealClearPolitics polling average, Trump now leads in every swing state but Pennsylvania and is within the margin of error there, too. Nationally, Trump has not trailed Biden since September 2023.

 

We all know what's going wrong for Biden: He's widely perceived as too old to be running again; Americans remain unhappy with the economy, deeply enraged over border policy and alarmed by the brush fires around the world. Biden came into office promising normalcy, and he has instead delivered chaos.

 

But there's something else going on, too.

 

Joe Biden is losing to Donald Trump because of a dirty little secret: Donald Trump is actually the moderate in this race.

 

On nearly every issue, Trump is closer to the median voter than Biden. Biden won the Democratic primaries over Sen. Bernie Sanders in 2020 because voters thought he would tack toward the center, away from the insanity of The Squad in Congress -- borderline psychotics like Reps. Cori Bush, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Rashida Tlaib and Ilhan Omar. Instead, he entered office believing that he had a mandate for transformation, that he could become our age's FDR or LBJ.

 

And so Biden abandoned the middle.

 

And median voters are now abandoning Biden. As election analyst Nate Silver rightly observes, The New York Times poll shows that "only 83 percent of voters who say they chose Biden in 2020 plan to vote for him this year, whereas 97 percent who voted for Trump plan to vote for Trump again.

 

These are swing voters, in other words -- people who are explicitly stating to pollsters that they are switching their vote from 2020. There are a substantial number of them."

 

Because the legacy media are monolithically radical on matters of politics, they keep encouraging Biden to double down on the left-wing base, hoping that by steering toward the radicals, he can boost voter turnout. But that strategy is leaving independent voters behind.

 

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/03/06/the_dirty_little_secret_of_the_2024_campaign_150605.html

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Biden and Trump clinch nominations, setting
the stage for a grueling general election rematch

Associated Press News, by Steve Peoples

 

President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump clinched their parties’ presidential nominations Tuesday with decisive victories in a slate of low-profile primaries, setting up a general election rematch that many voters do not want. The outcome of contests across Georgia, Mississippi and Washington state was never in doubt. Neither Biden, a Democrat, nor Trump, a Republican, faced major opposition. But the magnitude of their wins gave each man the delegate majority he needed to claim his party’s nomination at the summertime national conventions. Not even halfway through the presidential primary calendar, Tuesday marked a crystalizing moment for a nation uneasy with its choices in 2024.

 

https://apnews.com/article/trump-biden-primary-georgia-washington-mississippi-hawaii-15bb0084ad656903ffef14cfae822abd?

 

 

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TRUE.

 

DeSantis Says Florida's Not Competitive at Top of Ticket; Seeks to Help Trump Campaign Nationally

By Neil W. McCabe 

 

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The Florida Republican governor, who suspended his presidential campaign on January 21, told NewsNation political reporter Libby Dean that he does not anticipate joining Donald Trump on the campaign trail in Florida this year - because it won't be needed.

 

“This is not going to be a state that’s competitive in November, and that's just the reality,” said Gov. Ron DeSantis, who finished third in Tuesday’s Florida Republican presidential primary, as his name remained on the ballot.

 

When DeSantis suspended his presidential campaign, he endorsed Trump and slammed fellow candidate Nikki Haley.

 

“It’s clear to me that a majority of Republican primary voters want to give Donald Trump another chance,” he said.

 

“He has my endorsement because we can’t go back to the old Republican guard of yesteryear, a repackaged form of warmed-over corporatism that Nikki Haley represents.”

 

https://redstate.com/mccabe/2024/03/20/desantis-i-do-not-expect-to-campaign-for-trump-n2171654

 

 

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Folks, it's gonna be another nail-biter:

 

https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/p/biden-leads-in-6-new-polls-the-booming

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/

 

The country is fundamentally divided. On a national basis, I see nothing that would convince me that there's any change in the roughly Biden +5 (closer to +7 in 2020) advantage.

 

On the electoral college basis: Once again, every state but 7 is irrelevant/a foregone conclusion. PA, MI, WI, GA, AZ, NV, NC. Latest polls (mostly Feb, before a recent tightening) show Trump leading in all of them, albeit within the margin of error in most.

 

So when Biden tries to curry favor with the UAW (Michigan!) or Trump tries to curry favor with "his" blue collar base (100% tariff!), remember, that's what we'll be seeing the rest of the year.

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Despite the full-on media propaganda campaign against the former president and the list of politically motivated indictments against him, Trump has managed to present a formidable challenge to the incumbent – even among voters who are not firmly in the MAGA camp. New polls reveal that Biden’s failure to win over independents might be one of the reasons why he can’t pull ahead of the Republican contender.

 

A new poll conducted by the Center Square and released Wednesday shows that about 55 percent of the electorate disapproves of the president’s performance so far. But among independents, only 32 percent approve of the job Biden is doing, while 60 percent disapprove.

 

Even worse for Democrats, the poll also shows that if Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein remain in the race, a significat chunk of independents would veer away from supporting the president.

 

The most pressing issues for voters are jobs and the economy. The majority of respondents disapprove of Biden’s performance on these matters.

But this is not the only poll showing Biden losing independents.

 

An Economist/YouGov survey shows that, overall, about 56 percent of Americans disapprove of Biden’s performance. This includes 62 percent of independents.

 

Also noteworthy is that Vice President Kamala Harris does not fare much better. The same survey revealed that 56 percent of independents disapprove of her performance as well. The survey was taken from Mar. 16-19.

 

This places Team Biden in a tricky predicament. If they cannot win over voters who are not squarely in the Democrat camp, it is unlikely they will be able to defeat Trump even with the assistance of the legacy media and the laundry list of politically motivated indictments. At this point, Biden’s allies are already doing all they can to ensure he wins another term in office.

 

https://redstate.com/jeffc/2024/03/21/joe-bidens-approval-rating-with-independents-should-make-democrats-tremble-in-terror-n2171724

 

https://www.thecentersquare.com/national/article_86b3ea10-e6d0-11ee-bb6c-d72ed13358bb.html

 

https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_dyZbfXi.pdf

 

 

 

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A good endorsement, but will the members really follow ?

 

 

United Steelworkers union endorses Biden,
giving him more labor support in presidential race

Associated Press News, by Staff

 

The United Steelworkers Union has endorsed President Joe Biden, giving him support from another large labor union.

The USW, which represents 850,000 workers in metals, mining, rubber and other industries, said Biden has a track record of supporting retirement security, affordable health care and laws that help workers, all important issues to its members.

 

https://apnews.com/article/biden-steelworkers-endorsement-presidential-race-a931b0ecb0c7628ae27f19e7ccdb3454?utm_source=Email&utm_medium=share

 

 

 

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'It's Really That Bad'! Desperate Biden Campaign Calls in Reinforcements

 

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Many people often wonder who's actually pulling the strings at the Biden White House, and with each passing day as we get closer to the November election that will become increasingly clear. 

 

Biden's numbers are at record lows for any president at this point in their first term, so Joe's campaign is bringing in some former presidents to try and help carry him across the finish line while assisting with fundraising: 

 

 

https://twitchy.com/dougp/2024/03/28/team-biden-is-calling-in-reinforcements-for-foundering-campaign-n2394495

 

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Just now, B-Man said:

 

 

 

'It's Really That Bad'! Desperate Biden Campaign Calls in Reinforcements

 

a5fd6676-03fb-47e2-a58a-bb04808c47ab-105

 

 

Many people often wonder who's actually pulling the strings at the Biden White House, and with each passing day as we get closer to the November election that will become increasingly clear. 

 

Biden's numbers are at record lows for any president at this point in their first term, so Joe's campaign is bringing in some former presidents to try and help carry him across the finish line while assisting with fundraising: 

 

 

https://twitchy.com/dougp/2024/03/28/team-biden-is-calling-in-reinforcements-for-foundering-campaign-n2394495

 

Gotta do something.  

 

 

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Disagree with the assessment here. Yes, this crap is damaging Biden massively.  But it won't matter.

 

They didn't care when Biden hid in his basement and held sporadic rallies in front of  12 people four years ago. Because they knew.

 

They don't care about taking massive political damage nearly every day now. Because they know. Again.

 

 

 

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That'll help voters pull that lever.

 

 

Most Voters Think Biden Would Die Before End of Second Term, Absurdly Making Kamala Harris President

 

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Virtually every major polling organization continues to confirm a myriad of voter concerns that could stick a fork in the 81-year-old, cognitively declining president. From the out-of-control illegal alien invasion to the disastrous effects of Bidenomics on tens of millions of hardworking Americans who struggle to make ends meet to a growing concern among likely voters that if Biden wins in November, he'll die during his second term, leaving America with the once unthinkable: Kamala Harris as the president of the United States, the electorate isn't happy about Joe.

 

Twilight Zone? Damn close.

 

According to a new poll conducted exclusively for Daily Mail, only 38 percent of likely voters believe Biden would be alive at the end of another four-year term — again, making the unthinkable a reality, which 36 percent of survey respondents said they believe will happen.

 

https://redstate.com/mike_miller/2024/04/01/most-voters-think-biden-would-die-before-end-of-second-term-absurdly-making-kamala-harris-president-n2172158

 

 

 

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1 hour ago, ChiGoose said:

Florida potentially in play now:

 

Florida Supreme Court allows recreational marijuana, abortion amendments on 2024 ballot

 

I wonder if the Dems start putting real money into the state given how these referendums have been going lately. Should be a natural bump in turnout on the left. 

 

I wouldn't trust the Florida Democratic Party to poor piss out of a boot.

 

DeSanctimonious uses them as a speed bag, and he's one of the worst political strategists around. 

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7 minutes ago, Coffeesforclosers said:

 

I wouldn't trust the Florida Democratic Party to poor piss out of a boot.

 

DeSanctimonious uses them as a speed bag, and he's one of the worst political strategists around. 


I don’t think that Biden will win Florida. 
 

But if these referendums drive turnout on the left, that will force Trump to spend real money in the state. 
 

Given the Trump campaign’s financial disadvantage, having to put money into Florida likely pulls money out of states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, or Arizona. 

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23 minutes ago, ChiGoose said:


I don’t think that Biden will win Florida. 
 

But if these referendums drive turnout on the left, that will force Trump to spend real money in the state. 
 

Given the Trump campaign’s financial disadvantage, having to put money into Florida likely pulls money out of states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, or Arizona. 


Bingo 

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