aristocrat Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 If he does it’s playoff time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KOKBILLS Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 Of course everyone would think under when they see that number... But you have to wonder how in the world they came to that number in the 1st place?...I heard that on GR today and immediately thought...He's starting vs Balt... We'll see I guess...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fadingpain Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 (edited) 28 minutes ago, KOKBILLS said: Of course everyone would think under when they see that number... But you have to wonder how in the world they came to that number in the 1st place?...I heard that on GR today and immediately thought...He's starting vs Balt... We'll see I guess...? Well in theory they came to that number because it is the dividing line where half of gamblers think the answer is "under" and half think the answer is "over" such that it doesn't matter what happens for the house to win. That's how all of gambling works. What this says is that widespread opinion is that Allen will start Game 1 and basically play all year. Which is entirely possible. Edited August 29, 2018 by Fadingpain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moulds_80 Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 Ill take the under...I see Peterman good for 5 games then Allen coming in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
quinnearlysghost88 Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 a smart person (or people) with intimate knowledge of the NFL sat in a room and shared their data, connections and hearsay, and then came up with 13.5 games. we're going to see a lot of JA this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeGOATski Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 28 minutes ago, Moulds_80 said: Ill take the under...I see Peterman good for 5 games then Allen coming in That's how I feel. 11 or 12 games I think that's why 13.5 is the perfect number. Highest odds are either starting the season or coming in a 3rd the way through. Less likely is he's coming in 3/4ths the way in after Bills are out of playoff contention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KOKBILLS Posted August 29, 2018 Share Posted August 29, 2018 1 hour ago, Fadingpain said: Well in theory they came to that number because it is the dividing line where half of gamblers think the answer is "under" and half think the answer is "over" such that it doesn't matter what happens for the house to win. That's how all of gambling works. What this says is that widespread opinion is that Allen will start Game 1 and basically play all year. Which is entirely possible. Agreed... What I specifically meant about coming to that number is what they are hearing from the inside...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CommonCents Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 Just now, KOKBILLS said: Agreed... What I specifically meant about coming to that number is what they are hearing from the inside...? That number is a strong indication that the betting public thinks he starts the season. As a Bills fan that bet almost looks too easy. When it looks that easy I try and stay away, the clincher for me is I’m not ok with hoping Allen fails or gets hurt so I can get paid. I will hammer the Ravens and Broncos win totals and behave myself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Ballin Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 Zero. He's not going to start any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QCity Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 3 minutes ago, Commonsense said: That number is a strong indication that the betting public thinks he starts the season. If you are not a fan and don't follow the team closely, you see a 1st round QB that they traded up for, Cincy's backup, and a guy who threw 5 INTs at the QB position. It's not even a competition in most people's minds, and that number reflects that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoSaint Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 4 hours ago, 26CornerBlitz said: This is a pretty high number. Compared to top ten picks it’s actually relatively conservative Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CommonCents Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 3 minutes ago, NoSaint said: Compared to top ten picks it’s actually relatively conservative Mayfield’s is set at 4.5 IIRC The over for Allen is -115 so it’s getting more action than the under. The big money would have hammered the under by now, I don’t see the betting public keeping up with them on something that looks so obvious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 3 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said: That’s kind of my thought. These guys are going to get killed!! I think 13.5 might be the o/u for the total number of QB’s we will need through the season. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CommonCents Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 Just now, Augie said: I think 13.5 might be the o/u for the total number of QB’s we will need through the season. I was thinking concussions but this works too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augie Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 This is totally off point, but as a PSA, if you need a laugh, put on ESPN and peak at what Serena Williams is wearing tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
transplantbillsfan Posted August 30, 2018 Share Posted August 30, 2018 I would never ever bet on this, but I really just think it's more likely Allen starts the vast majority of the year. Either Peterman starts week 1 and gets benched in week 1, 2, 3, or 4. OR McDermott doesn't announce the starter all the way up until the Ravens game in order to try to give his rookie every competitive advantage he can get and trots Allen out there under center right away. Regardless, I don't think McDermott is going to pull Allen once he's in there unless he gets injured. I think he's shown enough poise and composure that once he starts, he's our starter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
26CornerBlitz Posted September 3, 2018 Author Share Posted September 3, 2018 Bet the under if you haven't already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlimShady'sSpaceForce Posted September 3, 2018 Share Posted September 3, 2018 A suckers bet really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhoTom Posted September 3, 2018 Share Posted September 3, 2018 Under. I'd guess JA won't start before the bye, unless NP gets injured or has a total meltdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2o Posted September 3, 2018 Share Posted September 3, 2018 I got $1,000 on the under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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