colin

if you are gonna coach conservative and sometimes gutless, you HAVE TO take care of the details. the whole idea of being conservative as a coach is to avoid mistakes, number one to avoid is idiot decisions and minimizing mistakes. our d schematically has a weakness where any small error along the way can provide the opportunity for a positive play by the opponent, but we accept that in exchange for making big deep passes super super difficult. we hope for pass rush from a vanilla mix of 4 down linemen, at great monetary expense buy keeping a lot of depth. so w 13 seconds left, they walk away from what they do, they don't cover and instead they play sidelines. and they rush 4, which is fewer guys back in coverage. i honestly think our coaches just didn't know how many time outs the cheifs had. this is a shocking inexcusable failure in leadership and management. if it's on McD, he needs to get someone under him who will do this kind of thinking for him. if it's on frazier, he's gotta go. frankly, frazier has gotta go anyhow. my hot take is someone somewhere along the chain in our coaching staff simply didn't know the shot in the biggest game of the season, and needs to walk.

long kick was really bad, rushing 4 was worse. the worst thing to was the sidelines prevent when kc has all 3 timeouts. we allowed 4 free runners with no defenders around them for 15 yards. that's shockingly bad. rush 2 drop 9, cover and have a delayed rush w the 2 linemen. it forces the qb to move at least a little, survey the field, and chew up clock. if they complete the pass, then we have multiple guys in zone ready to tackle. you have a good chance of even preventing a first down on the first play, and it still burns 5+ seconds. do that twice, and it's all over w the win. huge huge coaching failure, and for my taste, it's one too many for the coaching staff we have. we need some changes.

highest or second highest paid dl and d in the nfl, way more top picks on d than on O. (tre, edmunds, oliver, groot, star, houghs, not to mention 2nd rounders). coaching on game day, preporation, scheme, team construction, all of it just does not fit together over all. number one we need to change the coaching. frazier isn't about to wake up creative. two, we need a play maker. one single real pass rusher on this squad and we are talking about the home afc chip game. sad!

our D is a percentage game, stop long plays, rush the passer w fresh legs, expect your safeties and LBs to run up and make plays. it works well over a long number of plays (like the season), but is reliant on the DL to get some kind of rush with vanilla concepts and needs the LBs to make tackles and not mistakes. the problem is, and i dunno if it is mccorch or frazier, but there is simply no creativity, and almost no surprise. the secondary does a good job most of the time taking stuff away, and disguising, but the front 7 really looks like letting the computer play for you on a video game. no surprises ever. whichever coach is responsible for the deep kick off and sidelines alignment w 13 seconds left needs to be fired or (if its mcd and we wanna keep him) kept well away from that aspect of the game. we need an upgrade on edmunds (i know we are gonna pay him large for next season, maybe change his role or something), could use one more corner (tre white back sort of solves all of that) and most of all we need one single guy who can wreak havoc on the edge. give this team a real pass rusher, and we winning it all.

How do von Miller and ingram get singed and make impacts on playoff wins for teams, but we keep trotting out our old over paid trash and no impact young guys? Getting a guy, or a replacement corner or both and even with these Moron losers coaching we are hosting the afc chip game. Bad coaching and no play makers on d. Need a pass rusher, replace Edmunds he's just not good, and corner upgrade would help

It's true we have zero play makers on d, maybe white but he was hurt. That said, the coaching on d is bad. No creativity, in the wrong situational d formations, no pressure. Just worthless

He's trash. Slightly above replacement level, which would be a disappointment for a 3rd round pick in his 4th season

The strategic coaching on this team is cheeks. Just a long series of bad decisions. No squib or short kick to end it, and the d calls at the end were laughable

Sad to see it go down like this. We deserved to lose. Scared coaching and the most over rated d I think I've ever seen. Couldn't make one stop, couldn't stop a fg w 13 seconds left Dabol got too cute, Frazer is actually worthless, and our whole d is cheeks. Number one issue is dL, number two is mlb, number 3 is corner depth.

So now we need the d to make a stop they failed to on the last what, 3 possessions? My god this team will be the death of me

This is a bad situation for the d. Tired, got a middling kinda stop allowing 3pts, and they got no rest and kc has the ball at the 40. Horrible stuff from dabol so far today. He must have zero confidence in our OL to pass block. Sad

Our d needs some rest, they gotta be gassed. Gotta hope we can get down, td, and stop em quick or get the ball back. This sequence can set us up for victory

Edmunds is always close but never there

Ok nervous, but not twitchy. We need to mix it up better on O, score and control the ball On d, we seem to be getting killed in space, 49 in particular. Need to clean that up and get turnovers.

Every run was a great okay by mahoms, and he was close to getting caught each time

Nuts like church bells in that drive man. Big swagger

48 27 bills.

if andy reid finds out this guy spoke to the police he's gonna bench him.

i like em!

i was tipping this to an NYG fan buddy of mine just the other day. frankly, it would make the most sense.

some good discussion here. couple things 1) how good has KC's d been? i see some great scoring stats, but their overall yardage stats are pretty bad. are they just that solid in the red zone? 2) the biggest difference for the bills right now vs 5 or 6 weeks ago is we have much better interior line play, and our play calling. motor is tearing it up like a savage, but that's cuz he's getting burn and the guys in front of him are doing good work (as well as his play). our pass protection is more solid, and josh has more time scan the field or bigger lanes to trot through and make Ds tear their hair out. instead of butt-ger and feliciano, we have what look like actual NFL starters at G in Bates and Williams. 3) since half time vs TB, our D (i swear mcd took it over, but maybe he's handed it back) has been more aggressive and in better position up front. the plays we have been burned on have been due to either mistakes in the secondary (the 1st td vs NE, although it didn't matter at that point) or because of just close plays not going our way (the long TD vs TB in OT, where the DB was there to nearly pick off the ball but just got there too late). a lot of that is on the DL balling out much harder, basham and Oliver have found another gear and that's where our biggest need was before. Healthy WRs, an actual run game, and production from our TE (which we were lacking in last year's AFCCG) will likely be the measurable difference in the game should we win it this yeaer, but IMO the line play improvements above will be the deeper reason.

well, if he was being soft (doubtful) then you don't want him as your long term big dollar qb. if he was actually hurt, it raises the specter of him being an injury magnet in the future, which also casts doubt on him being the long term big dollar qb. all that aside, he was mvp and has been a touch down machine throughout his starting career, and baltimore doesn't have anyone lined up to replace him, has a team built around lamar, and has a pretty solid roster otherwise. so i think he gets big dollars this offseason, the only question is what protection can they build into the contract? i think they ink him up w a contract that gives them an out in years 2 or 3. i don't think he gets less than 40 per year tho.

The huge problem with the analytics set in the NFL is the data. baseball and basket ball are great for it, because there are so many games and it is so repetitive so you get good data (where the data sets can be generally IID, interdependently and identically distributed). in football, the line ups, the combination of players (WRT the position they play rather than just independent talent levels) and the context of each play (how many yards needed for a first, did a corner just get dinged and you want to press the replacement, is your rb or wr winded from a big play just prior?) simply muddies the data way way too much. as gunner pointed out before, the actual results of so many specific data sets are hugely colored by exogenous variables (i.e. better offense/worse defense vs an opponent slants people to go for it on 4th more, improving the results of that data which will not carry over to other specific match ups). You also have data that is basically not quantified, how well the OL or DL plays, specific skills of individual players and how the impact a play (say a route runner vs a big fast guy at wr in a given down and distance). if all of this wasn't enough, you have football played at the nfl in 72 degree shopping mall domes, as well as in various end of days weather events we've had in buffalo, and psychotic cold and snow in GB and other places. one year a while back minni was re doing their stadium (or whatever) and had to play at the U of minni's field. they had a playoff game vs the seahawks, who had a pretty nasty team. that game was like 6-3 or 10-6 or some such, and was just a slug fest. going for it on 4th down in that game would have been way less likely to succeed compared to a playoff game in a dome. and last but also least, the actual rules and their selective enforcement have changed in the NFL much much more so than in the NBA and MLB. things that were standard 10 to 15 years ago are now harsh penalties today, so if you take data over a long enough time, you have some real apples to oranges problems.

ya, when i see them bring one in and keep him in for a few consecutive plays, i figure its growing on them now.

this was our pick after spencer brown, right? iirc, if we didn't draft brown everyone would be talking about what an absolute ahthletic freak this kid is. he was down from brown, who by many accounts is the most athletic OT ever measured, but he's like top 1% of athletic tackles ever tho. i think we got so bloody rocked by the pats w the extra lineman (in that we knew what they were doing, prolly knew the exact play half the time, but still got trucked often enough) that we stole the idea. it can set up some play action too, or even just a qb keeper. Good to have an extra look.