Dr. Who

Well, I guess it depends what you mean by fall, and who you think are WR 4 - 6. Regardless, all the tier 2 and probably tier 3 will be gone by the mid-forties. Maybe Polk makes it to #60, and I would take him if that were the case.

I don't like him, especially if he has to play big slot to be effective in the NFL. That's the argument I have seen made. If he could be an effective boundary receiver, that is a different story, but I'm not convinced that is the case. I sure as hell wouldn't take him at #28.

Unlikely Thomas is there, and only possible Mitchell will be. McConkey and Franklin for sure are gone well before #60. If you want two early, you have to trade up from #60, imo. I would add Legette to the list, personally.

So you get pick 9, you give up #28, next year's first, your starting RT, and #60, and then you are waiting till day 3 for your next pick? And you are counting on Collins to be your new starting RT? I hate it, in CAPS.

I don't see Samuel as a Davis replacement, so I don't see that move as addressing the loss of the boundary receiver, or now Diggs. Unless you think Shakir can take over for Davis, I think you still need two.

Did you think they needed one before Diggs was traded, or were you content to take a late round receiver? Because otherwise, I think trading Diggs implies two is better than one.

P.S. It wasn't a fake slide.

I think he'll rebound and have a decent year, but he is declining. Solid WR2 is probably his ceiling, but who knows? He no longer plays for my team, so thankfully, I no longer have to give a damn about his antics.

I do think the top 3 represent a genuine tier that has very good odds to yield WR1 with high ceilings and relatively safe floors. So, I would understand paying the price to get one, and be excited by the player. OTOH, it will cost a lot and pretty much make impossible addressing reasonable needs. I think, given where the quality is in the draft, you'd want to add OL depth, CB depth, S, DL, RB2, and ideally two WRs. You might create a scenario where you could trade up for Thomas and still make that happen, but it would be difficult. Thomas is not a finished product; you're betting on traits. Right now, he's a one-trick pony, albeit it's quite a pony. I'd certainly be happy to get him, and I don't have the skepticism some bright folks on this board appear to have towards him. After trading DIggs, my preference is to double dip early at receiver. I'm in the group who think that is the best way to maximize the value of Josh Allen, and the best approach to that elusive post-season success. I would not neglect D in the draft, but I still say you prioritize WR. The plan should be to get 2 in the first 45 picks, and the closer to the first 40 the better. The easiest route is to stay at #28, and trade up from #60. Or trade back from #28 and also move up from #60. I personally don't want Coleman. I could be talked into Franklin, but he's not one of my favorites. I like Mitchell more than most. The tandem I like best is Legette and McConkey.

I don't see him as a "big-bodied" X, so the qualifier matters from my perspective.

Further, the problem with Coleman as a big slot is that is where Kincaid lines up most of the time. I don't want to draft a WR high with the expectation that he needs to take snaps from Kincaid to see the field a lot.

You moved up eleven spots for a 2025 2nd? What's the point of the mock if they are so outrageously out-of-touch with reality? I understand that one must accept a certain amount of credulous math, but that's too much. And then Odunze falling to #17 in the first place is highly unlikely. I think Johnny Wilson is a fifth-round pick. That's about where I think you can take a chance on him. I prefer Cornelius Johnson as a late rounder WR if he's there, but Flournoy is intriguing as well. I'd be surprised if Bishop is around past pick 100, but great if it happens. Tykee Smith is someone I like a bit later in round 4. Did you have a choice between Limmer and Bortolini? I think I prefer the latter, but that's a solid choice. Jordan Jefferson at 200 is another impossible happening. As you say, the value is nuts. Below was my attempt to see what would happen if you made a realistic trade up for a top 3 WR. It was expensive -- #28, 128, 2025 1st, 2nd, and 4th. I tried less and the model rejected it. So, I dunno, but just as ballpark, maybe it's indicative. The main point, I think, is if you go that way, you're not getting everything you'd like, and the second WR has to come late. It would have helped if the Machine was generous enough to offer Jordan Jefferson at 200. 9. Malik NabersWR LSU 60. Chris BraswellEDGE Alabama 133. Audric EstimeRB Notre Dame 144. Tykee SmithS Georgia 163. Gabe HallDT Baylor 200. Cornelius JohnsonWR Michigan 204. Khristian BoydDT Nothern Iowa 248. Frank CrumOT Wyoming

I see some folks saying the Bills would be wise to let the draft come to them. I very much doubt Beane lets Davis walk and trades Diggs without a much more proactive plan to address the WR room. Thomas probably makes the most sense as a target you can get at a price point that may be high, but not as exorbitant as what would be entailed to get a top 3 WR. I prefer McConkey, but I'd be fine with Franklin as part of a tandem. The other fella better be a big bodied X, imo. Thomas, Mitchell, Legette, or even Coleman; maybe Walker a bit later.

Assuming they would still take Sweat if he fell, here's a scenario. I used a 2025 3rd to move up for Legette. 37. Ladd McConkeyWR Georgia 51. Xavier LegetteWR South Carolina 69. T'Vondre SweatDT Texas 98. Kiran AmegadjieOT Yale 133. Audric EstimeRB Notre Dame 144. Tykee SmithS Georgia 163. Jonah EllissEDGE Utah 168. Justin EboigbeDT Alabama 199. Joe Milton IIIQB Tennessee 200. Nehemiah PritchettCB Auburn

Oh, I don't wish to be unnecessarily severe. Folks make mistakes, but you'd think this close to the day that could set you up for life, there would be more self-awareness and minimum prudence. Then again, youth is not really cautious that way. (And naturally, it could have grave repercussions for others.) Some here seem to believe Beane and McD won't even consider him now. I really don't know. I read somewhere that he has a reputation for partying. If there's a spark of common sense in him, this could be a wake up call.

I like this a lot, but Sweat might be off our board now, and probably should be. Maybe plug Fiske or Jenkins in that slot.

I agree. I guess what I think changes is it makes more sense to try and double dip in the first and second round now. If they trade up into the top 3, you won't have the resources to do that, but there are other scenarios where you can grab two in the first forty picks or so. That did not seem appropriate with Diggs on the team, given the amount of targets that he would receive.

It didn't make sense when Diggs was on the team. Now it does.

I mean, like Buffalo is a big city. We're the city folks who come from rural areas like. Josh will explain it to him.

It's so evident Granato needs to go. Hire Lindy Ruff. At least bring in someone with NHL pedigree that will hold the team accountable. Get Peca back as an assistant. Get someone who knows how to coach the PP. Bales is the only fellas that should stay.

I guess you have a 2nd still for 2025. I'm not sure Beane would be willing to invest that for this strategy. He'd have to invest that much if he plans on moving up for a top 3 WR, though, so this is an interesting alternate strategy. I think Walker at 66 is overkill, and I am someone who wants 2 WRs early now. Maybe they plan on signing Simmons post 6/1 with Tre's money. Otherwise, S needs to be a consideration. I like Tykee Smith, who you may be able to pick up in the fourth. Folks like Bullard and Bishop are 3rd rounders. You might have to double up the DT at 66 and take a S at 88. I think they need to add OL depth, CB, and RB2 at some point. Overall, this strategy could work, but I have a feeling Beane is going to move up for a WR, rather than sit there and wait for 28.

It's a strong draft at CB and mediocre at S. I think they need to take a safety, but I also hope they grab a CB because of the quality at the position.

Tykee Smith is a better choice at S, I think.

Everyone knows that. It doesn't mean that trading up for WR is eternally off the table because of it.

They need a complementary RB2. They don't need to be spending a day 2 pick on RB. An Estime or Kendall Milton late, some bruiser type.