Generic_Bills_Fan

Yea I screwed up with knowing how many conference wins the teams would likely have in a three way tie in my last post but we would be the 1 seed at a three way 13-3 tie. Chiefs get bounced on the win percentage against common opponents tiebreaker so it comes down to us and the steelers and we have h2h

I've been looking into this all day rather than working haha you are right that head to head between all three teams doesn't apply but they go down the tiebreaker list until one of the 3 teams is eliminated and then start back at the top with head to head to break the remaining tie between the two teams...wed have the chiefs at winning percentage in common games and then we'd win the head to head with pitt i think

Right i screwed that up haha good call third loss would probably be the saints...so it would go to common games ill have to check on that...we did beat the raiders and dolphins so I think we would eliminate the chiefs based on common opponents and then you'd walk through the tiebreaking procedure again for us vs steelers and we'd have head to head

Patriots could beat both us and miami...I think thats our biggest test left for the folks that think we are gonna win out and get the 1 or 2 seed...Miami is definitely fighting an uphill battle compared to the other wildcard teams schedules

They are getting payed to attract viewers and get clicks on the internet so hot takes ultimately help them

Take this with a grain of salt im only 75% sure this is correct lol I think they use the wildcard tiebreaking rules to determine home field for division winners...so the head to head is not applicable since all three teams didn't play eachother and you'd drop down to conference win percentage...if we won out we'd have two conference losses and kc would have 3 so that would eliminate them leaving only pitt and we have the head to head over pitt

I think the op mentioned kc losing to dolphins/saints although a dolphins win over kc will be pretty scary for us going into our night game with the steelers 🤣

You also avoid the 1 seed for as long as possible and give one of these unpredictable teams like the browns or titans a chance to beat them. I think im more worried about our pats game than the steelers...pats aren't nearly as good of a team on paper but we don't match up well

I think they'd rather shore up the running game and play outdoors...strong armed quarterback who can make plays with his legs is a big advantage in bad weather provided you are decent at running the football which we have not been 🤣

Theyve thrown at him i think every play 🤣

Right josh wouldve had to lead him right into the defender

Josh has had zero running game to lean on

Were also the only team to beat the pats in the last 5 games lol

I think when we were -3 it mightve been partly due to the uncertainty of not knowing where the game was going to be played maybe?

Edmunds isnt playing absolutely awful anymore too that helps lol. It was incredible that not only were we not getting killed with our horrible linebacker play but we actually were winning most of our games 🤣

People want us to go out and play like the afc championship winner every week and that isn't even close to realistic. Even those cheating patriots dynasty teams would go out and get pantsed against a good team from time to time (except in 07 when they didn't get pantsed til the superbowl of course 🤣) the regular season success the chiefs and steelers have had this year is far from the norm for even a great team but in the playoffs it only takes one loss to spoil it all...ask the ravens about last year they'll tell ya

Why is it luck when our defense makes plays but not luck when the opposing defense makes plays lol I just dont understand this double standard we have. They are lucky we fumbled twice in a row while running the ball down their throat to close out the game then if our defense 'got lucky' shutting down their offense after turnovers. You have a 7+ point lead since early in the game and that only results in a win 33% of the time? 🤣 the bucs were getting beat up all game yardage wise but hung around and needed one stop to have a shot at a game winning drive...much like our game against the chiefs actually.. the chargers never were in a position to do better than tie against us. Bucs had a considerably better chance to win than the chargers did

That is kind of hard to evaluate at this point... the games hes had 150ish yards passing we've made a concerted effort to establish the run even if it wasn't really working. I dont think they wanted josh dropping back to pass too much with bosa absolutely terrorizing our offensive line. I think he's had a deep ball PI penalty in most of those games too. the difference between 175 passing yards and 220 is pretty huge optics wise when you're reading a stat sheet. Even when considering only afc playoff squads there really isn't another team with a pass rusher like bosa.

Thats kind of even more pathetic for doug pederson really lol Cowboys lose their quarterback and their backup qb for 2 games...giants lose saquon in week 2 and are clearly rebuilding...Washington had to make a qb change mid-season cuz haskins wasn't buying in...and despite all that eagles are 2nd in the division with 3 wins? Insane

Our receivers were getting absolutely zero separation as well outside of Robert foster occasionally beating someone deep. Josh Allen walked into an awful situation and somehow survived its kind of amazing. No idea how he was 5-6 as a starter with that squad. Thats why the 'we shouldve drafted mahomes' crowd is kind of off base in my opinion...its very possible we wouldve butchered mahomes' development lol he sat behind Alex Smith and learned the offense and when he got the starting job had a ton of weapons. We did the exact opposite to Josh because Peterman was so bad that it was literally torturing the dude by making him start 🤣

I like to think that the defense was so bad early in the season because edmunds was playing historically awful due to playing through an injury and aj klein not knowing the scheme well yet but that might be wishful thinking 🤣 i think we should see some substantial improvement going forward The titans game felt like we sold out to stop Derrick Henry and thought we could get away with some single coverage on receivers and the gameplan very much did not work especially in the red zone. I dont want to say its good that we lost to them earlier in the season but I think a rematch helps us more than it helps them. Losing the turnover battle 3-0 really hurt us in that one the yardage totals didn't really scream blowout. And if im remembering correctly we had one of those 'our receiver tipped a catchable ball in the air' type interceptions early in the game. If we end up playing the chiefs were gonna have to force some turnovers...that is one of the best football teams in recent memory.

Josh allen was such a huge risk so I think its pretty safe to call beane above average based on that pick alone...also seeing how unsuccessful a lot of those other qbs from that draft have been. Still too early to rate Ed Oliver or Edmunds. Wyatt teller has been great but i dont think he counts since we traded him 🤣 Tyler bass in the 6th could be a nice pickup. Gabe Davis has made some plays. Its hard to rate our running backs seeing as our offensive line seems to be horrendous at run blocking lol

Brown seems like another one of our guys that has been playing injured all season so im not sure how much of a loss he has been. He was dealing with a knee injury for most of the season.

Helps us a bit...steelers are gonna have their game next week pushed back id imagine so they have less extra time to prepare for us

Theyre missing quite a few pieces compared to that super bowl squad...deforest buckner is gone...nick bosa is injured. This reminds me a lot of our game against the steelers last year with duck hodges at qb...should be a close one but id give the bills the edge