Generic_Bills_Fan

I think they’re gonna play a lot of 4-3 since Dorian had a big game last week and Thompson seems like he’ll be back. Dorian has been a bit of a rollercoaster so we were probably a bit hesitant to have both Milano and Williams out there the way Milano has been playing but the Bucs kind of forced our hand and it went well when we did it can probably give benford safety help on Nico and I think things will be pretty tough on mills

It’s personal reasons…rumor has it it’s for the birth of his child but I don’t think he wants to be public about it

Half of mills’ starts have been against the titans…a team that stroud played well against idk how this isn’t talked about more but stroud played an absolute meatgrinder of a schedule outside that ten game. Rams,Bucs,jags,ravens,Seahawks,niners,start of broncos game that’s 7/7 for teams over .500 right now (oops ravens technically aren’t but I think we all know they will be 😂) We’ll never know for sure but I’d guess mills would’ve looked worse in those games.

Oh yea it’s a real problem still but efficiency wise I think teams are passing so little that rushing for 200 on us doesn’t really mean as much as it does against other teams . Usually when a team rushes for 200 they’ve got statlines like Atlanta did against us where it’s like 450-460 total yards a bunch of possession time but some of these teams running on us are topping out in the low to mid 300s really odd season so far. 2/3rds of our losses we outgained our opponents and really didn’t give up a crazy yardage total. And the 1 loss where we gave up a sh*tload of yards we were actually in the game late somehow and didn’t give up a ton of points haha

The bills are a straight up statistical enigma haha you’d think they were bottom of the league in everything watching them but we’re like 12th in yards allowed per game and 14th in points allowed per game 😂 I think the run heavy opponent approach has kinda been a double edged sword…there’s been some comically easy drives but also quite a few three and outs where we stuffed a couple runs in the series. The running game against us has been either home runs or minimal gains it feels like but to truly pound the run most plays I think you’d prefer a 5 or 6 yard gain every play

MVP is kinda stupid it’s more like ‘start with the 1 seeds and check if there is a qb that hits the stat guidelines for mvp…if no advance to 2 seed and so on’. Josh could go absolutely wild the rest of the way and if the bills end up the 5 seed he won’t get it. Stafford definitely does deserve it at this point but even if he ends significantly behind Josh statistically he’d get it anyway I kinda wish they’d just say f*** it and give it to Myles Garrett who is an incredible defensive player on a terrible team 😂 do the most to prove it’s not just a top seeded qb award

I think Stafford is gonna win it but if he doesn’t somehow the qb that wins the afc east will

Yea there’s a bit of a silver lining if we were to lose although obviously we don’t want to lose 😂. Adding the Texans into the wildcard race definitely hurts the chiefs. Ravens will probably win the division though unfortunately

he had a serious groin/abdominal injury in 2022 that caused him to miss the second half of the season and sort of lost his role in kc in the following offseason Likely a pretty serviceable player still…playing for next to nothing contract wise on top of that

I think ‘this is incredibly hard to read’ might’ve been banged up bills commenting on the font choices they made for that graphic tbh 😂. Black font on dark red is a ridiculous choice

Shakir didn’t practice for personal reasons…he’s def playing

I’m having trouble seeing how this team is any worse than the team we fielded against the chiefs in the playoffs last year but I’m afraid to say it the way this thread has been going doom level-wise lol the safeties and corners we had available after benford went down were absolutely horrendous in that one but bishop seems like he’s developed into a pretty good player that might be flat out very good by then. Wide receivers were probably even worse last season, I know people talk up cooper having some impact drawing coverages but he looked pretty cooked to me post wrist injury and I don’t think he even saw the field much in the playoffs. DEs were worse last year (bosa is pretty effective rushing the passer at least). Assuming Shaq comes back to take snaps from Milano LBs were probably worse last year as well we’ll probably lose another important player but Ed will likely come back too

It’s really weird but as bad as the defense is 90% of the game they seem to come up with late stops a good amount haha I really don’t understand it

This is a really good point…even the Eli manning/joe Flacco type guys almost always go on insane playoff runs the year they win it. Saying a qb needs to be elite to win a Super Bowl is a pretty ‘water is wet’ type statement these days haha the examples of like ‘broncos defense dragging Peyton’s corpse to a superbowl’ are pretty few and far between. Even that broncos example took some luck…gostkowski missed a big extra point in that afc championship

It really all starts with the oline…people try to turn football into ‘only the qb matters’ and it’s a pet peeve on mine lol look at mahomes in games where his oline gets pushed around and games it doesn’t. if your oline is playing well, your good qb looking elite isn’t some big ask. the only team in the afc playoff picture right now that I think just a good game from Josh might not beat is Baltimore and ironically we are 2-0 against them in the playoffs with Josh being good not elite imo 😂

Palmer has looked pretty impressive whenever I’ve seen him josh just wasn’t lookin his way a while lot early in the year. The two games we’ve looked awful he’s missed significant time in or missed the game entirely

Can’t really sit him when Shaq is hurt…we have seen this before with Milano I have to say where he is absolutely terrible after returning from injury then turns it on late. Seems like he is very taped up and it looks like he’s probably got some kind of harness on too. if Shaq was healthy milano would definitely be sitting right now because I don’t think he’s quite healed up in the first place.

Yea if Baltimore is as scary as people say I don’t think anyone is beating them for us so who cares when you see them.. you’ve gotta go through them whether it’s first round or third

The bills have very quietly won 4 of the last 5 against Baltimore lol kc has won 7 of the last 8 against them (should’ve won all 8).. as stacked as they are on paper something is going very wrong for them in those big afc games very consistently and for some reason these head to head stats never seem to be brought up by anybody it’s pretty bizarre. it is for sure a scary matchup on paper though I was just talkin about that somewhere on here 😁

I figured this was hyperbole but looked it up anyway just for kicks lol The team with the best Super Bowl odds is the eagles at +500 right now…bills are +800ish. Rutgers is at +3000 to win the Ohio state game 😂

Oh it is and we did it some in the last playoff game against them I just meant it’s tougher to do effectively against the ravens offense because they’ve got multiple good pass catching TEs and Lamar is a bit better than Daniel jones is haha

The hypothetical indy game is definitely a Shaq Thompson Dorian Williams play a lot of base defense and see if Daniel jones can beat you type game. I think the hypothetical Baltimore game is even scarier than that because you don’t really have that option lol the Shaq Thompson injury has been huge cuz we’re kind of stuck in the nickel which is a bigger shame than usual since taron hasn’t even been good

Milano getting swapped out for Shaq Thompson is gonna make a pretty big difference imo. LB seems like the big problem area and I hate to say it but Milano might be a bottom 5 LB in the league right now and Shaq Thompson is one of the better ones Somehow going from Shaq Thompson to Matt Milano turned into a Christian benford to kaiir Elam level dropoff 😂 if playoffs started today and we had everyone available that’s not out for the season I really think Milano and taron might get benched for cam lewis/shaq Thompson

Might be in a position to throw a game week 18 and drop in seeding if that’s the route it looks like we’re headed…I doubt we’re avoiding Baltimore altogether anyway though assuming we go on some kind of run which may not even happen in the first place 😂. So seeing them in the first round is more psychological fan stuff than anything

Obviously this is grain of salt type stuff for sure but a lot of the advanced metric type places have them at pretty much average. DVOA they’re 17th, ELO they’re 14th,FPI they’re 14th. im gonna take a look at the success rate of teams rated that low in those metrics late in the season out of curiosity but I think they’ll likely be the lowest rated 1 or 2 seed in recent history should they end up there.. Last year the top 6 teams by DVOA were Baltimore,philly,Detroit,gb,Buffalo,kc as an example so this stuff isn’t usually way off