
DabillsDaBillsDaBills
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Everything posted by DabillsDaBillsDaBills
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Defense: let’s grade and comment your grade
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to Italian Bills's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'm going for a B- Pats went 3/3 in the Red Zone and started 5/5 on 4th downs (our only stop coming on 4th and long hail mary at the end of the game). If even a few of those had gone our way this would've been an A+ performance -
He deserves a fine for that. Might've been subtle enough that the NFL will let it go, but that was 100% intentional. Apparently Judon had a nut shot on Wentz last week ?
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Dion Dawkins, Stefon Diggs named to Pro Bowl
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
I haven't been able to make up my mind on which decision is worse. Josh Allen not making the Pro Bowl or Dawkins making it. Personally, I think Allen is having the best season of any AFC QB. The top 3 are clearly Allen, Mahomes, and Herbert - however you want to rank them I don't think anyone would argue too much. Jackson is a great player, but having a bad year. He might not even be the best QB on the Ravens. -
Getting Godwin at a bit of a discount due to the injury? I'm salivating just thinking about a WR corps of Diggs, Godwin, Davis. I was thinking the Bucs would franchise tag him after the injury, but he was already tagged for 2021. Tagging him again in 2022 escalates the contract even more, and the Bucs have a lot of money already tied up in existing obligations. I think there's a good chance Godwin makes it to the open market.
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Saturday Night Football: Colts vs Pats thread
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to Big Blitz's topic in The Stadium Wall
"playing the ball" is an important part of the rule. You are correct that it doesn't give the defender carte blanche to do whatever they want, but there are only a few specific things that would still be considered to be interference if the defender is playing the ball. The Colts defender was playing the ball, did not grab arms, did not extend arm across the body of opponent, did not play through his back, no push off, and no hooking. ARTICLE 2. PROHIBITED ACTS BY BOTH TEAMS WHILE THE BALL IS IN THE AIR. Acts that are pass interference include, but are not limited to: (a) Contact by a player who is not playing the ball that restricts the opponent’s opportunity to make the catch; (b) Playing through the back of an opponent in an attempt to make a play on the ball; (c) Grabbing an opponent’s arm(s) in such a manner that restricts his opportunity to catch a pass; (d) Extending an arm across the body of an opponent, thus restricting his ability to catch a pass, and regardless of whether the player committing such act is playing the ball; (e) Cutting off the path of an opponent by making contact with him, without playing the ball; (f) Hooking an opponent in an attempt to get to the ball in such a manner that it causes the opponent’s body to turn prior to the ball arriving; or (g) Initiating contact with an opponent by shoving or pushing off, thus creating separation. Note: If there is any question whether player contact is incidental, the ruling should be no interference ARTICLE 3. PERMISSIBLE ACTS BY BOTH TEAMS WHILE THE BALL IS IN THE AIR. Acts that are permissible by a player include, but are not limited to: (a) Incidental contact by an opponent’s hands, arms, or body when both players are competing for the ball, or neither player is looking for the ball. If there is any question whether contact is incidental, the ruling shall be no interference. (b) Inadvertent tangling of feet when both players are playing the ball or neither player is playing the ball. (c) Contact that would normally be considered pass interference, but the pass is clearly uncatchable by the involved players, except as specified in 8-3-2 and 8-5-4 pertaining to blocking downfield by the offense. (d) Laying a hand on an opponent that does not restrict him in an attempt to make a play on the ball. (e) Contact by a player who has gained position on an opponent in an attempt to catch the ball. I'd say the no-call last night was proper enforcement of the rules. -
14th (as rated by EDJ Sports) in 4th down decisions isn't all that impressive. Here's a list of their top 5 worst coaching decisions from last week: https://edjsports.com/posts/91e0c61c-f62e-445e-a4fa-7eacf49772bc I think decisions 2-5 are no brainers and that the coaches made the correct decision in being conservative. #1 is more of a toss up. EDJ sports says that the 49ers punting with 2:47 left in the 4th, while leading 20-13, and facing a 4th and 2 from their own 37 was the 2nd worst coaching decision of the week. There's about a 100% chance McDermott would punt in that scenario, and I would be on his side. Going for it is a huge risk with that little time left when you're up by 7. I'm extremely skeptical of the system this site is using if they think that punting there is an egregiously bad move.
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Kingsbury is trending in the right direction
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I don't hate the play design. I hate the decision to go for a fake punt on a 4th and 2 from the 45 down 24-3 in the 2nd half. Why go for a fake when the opponent is going to be on high alert watching for a fake? Just run a play with the offense and leave it up to your $250 million QB (who is worth every penny)
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In the context of the game the Henry stiff arm didn't even happen. There were offsetting penalties. Not to mention it would've only been a 4 yard gain anyway 2nd & 4 at BUF 44 (6:03 - 2nd) D.Henry left end ran ob at BUF 40 for 4 yards (M.Hyde).Penalty on BUF-Q.Jefferson, Defensive Offside, offsetting, enforced at BUF 44 - No Play.Penalty on TEN-B.Jones, Offensive Holding, offsetting. In terms of raw embarrassment I'd say the Norman stiff arm is worse. In terms of impact to the game it's Eddie R no question. Jets were up 24-13 with 10 minutes left and that play was 4th and goal. Stop it and the Bills have a (small) chance to win. The TD ended the game.
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If you could ask McDermott a few questions...
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to Bermuda Triangle's topic in The Stadium Wall
Assuming this is a private conversation that I was getting honest answers I would ask 1) What are your thoughts on unvaccinated players? Specifically Lotulelei and Beasley 2) If you were the GM for a different team, would you rather hire Daboll or Frazier as your Head Coach (or neither)? 3) Do the Bills have a process to involve stat guys with in game decisions such as coach challenges, 4th downs, and 2 pt conversions? What is that process and how much input do these guys have? -
Bills are now 0-5 in 1 score games thus year (Brutal)
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to Estro's topic in The Stadium Wall
Not sure how it turned out to be the right call when we gave up an 11 play 6 minute drive and allowed a FG to turn it into a 3 score game. We ultimately lost the game, in no small part due to that terrible decision -
The Bills control their own destiny
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to Matt_In_NH's topic in The Stadium Wall
4-1 with the loss to TB probably gets us in 99%+ of the time, but I don't think it's a mathematical guarantee. If Ravens, Titans, Chiefs, Patriots win their divisions and Bengals, Chargers, Colts win out then we'd be eliminated. I'm sure there's more fringe scenarios that would leave us eliminated given how many teams are 6-6 or better along with the Bills mediocre conference record. -
Star is out - toe injury
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to First Round Bust's topic in The Stadium Wall
Due to his contract restructuring there actually is harm to cut him right now. This season his active cap hit is 7.6mm and his dead cap would be 9.5mm. We'd be....shooting ourselves in the foot... if we released him right now. In 2022 his active cap hit is 9.4mm and if he's released we take on 5.1mm dead cap. 4.3mm in cap savings if we release him then. If we wait one more year until 2023 Star has an active cap of 9mm and no dead cap at all. 9mm in cap savings for that year. I'm guessing we'll release him in 2022 for the 4+mm savings. -
Tyrod benched for a rookie again
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to BuffaloBillyG's topic in The Stadium Wall
Fair enough. Just rustles my jimmies a little bit when we get coach speak about "Mills gives us the best chance to win" when he, objectively, does not. There's reasons to start Mills over TT. He's not a proven quantity yet and does have a higher ceiling. The Texans should want to evaluate him over the rest of the season to see if he's the QB of the future. If he continues to go winless the Texans improve their draft standing and can draft a new QB if they want. I'm interested to see how loyal Culley will be to Mills. If he goes out there and Nathan Peterman's it up, will he pull him and go back to Tyrod? -
Tyrod benched for a rookie again
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to BuffaloBillyG's topic in The Stadium Wall
Not really sure how 0-6 Davis Mills gives the Texans a better chance to win than the 2-4 Tyrod Taylor. I know W/L is a team stat, but TT has better QB stats too. Mills is a 3rd round pick with 1 quality start under his belt (vs Patriots - although they still lost the game). His other 5 starts are varying degrees of awful (Houston was down 38-0 vs Rams before he racked up some garbage time stats). I doubt even TT could complain about getting benched for Herbert. Getting benched for Mills though? Yikes -
During this last game I only saw Josh complaining to the refs after legitimate roughing the passer penalties went uncalled, or when the Patriots plainly jumped offside and it was not called. The Pats had 2 plays where the defender drove him into the ground with their full weight on top of him. Those 100% should have been penalties and were not called. His complaining may have helped lead to the (borderline) late hit they called on the Patriots later in the game. The announcers freaked out and said it was a bad call, but I thought it was a good one. Josh was clearly half a yard out of bounds by the time the defender initiated contact. Who knows if the refs call that or not without Josh complaining earlier.
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We don't just have a top 3 QB. We have a top 3 QB on a rookie contract. 12 wins should have been the floor for this team. Having a QB that's around even league average on a rookie contract is a gigantic advantage in today's NFL. The Eagles won a SB with Wentz on a rookie contract. The Rams made the SB with Goff on a rookie contract. Josh is so much better than either of those guys and we're only a bubble playoff team at week 13 of the season. What is this team going to look like when Josh's 10mm cap hit turns into 40+mm?
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MYTH Busted: "The Defense couldn't stop the Run"
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to DrDawkinstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
Ouch buddy. When you're trying to twist the stats at least own up to it. When you say 5 plays or less* that would mean the 5 play Punt drive wouldn't count. Punt (3 plays) Punt (3 plays) TD (3 plays) FG (9 plays) Punt (3 plays) Punt (4 plays) Punt (5 plays) FG (14 plays) Punt (3 plays) *fewer -
MYTH Busted: "The Defense couldn't stop the Run"
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to DrDawkinstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
I find it more than a little ironic that you keep mentioning that 6 of 9 possessions were 5 plays or less. That includes the 3 play 69 yard TD drive that had the most important play of the game. In normal weather conditions holding a team to 240 yards and 14 points would be an exceptionally good game. In the exceptional weather conditions last night, with the opponent running on 95%+ of the plays, allowing 240 yards and 14 points (with 0 forced turnovers) is bad. -
MYTH Busted: "The Defense couldn't stop the Run"
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to DrDawkinstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
You're mixing the teams up The Bills were the team that recovered a ST turnover and scored on a short field The only Bills turnover was by the offense (Breida's fumble) that NE recovered at their own 31 -
I'm not saying it's some vast conspiracy. Incompetence is normally the answer, and there were definitely mistakes made here. Whether it was Bills coaches, the refs, ESPN, or the Bills players. If there was a serious injury the refs should've blown the play dead immediately If it was a minor injury the Bills players/coaches should've been smart enough to know the player had to limp off (or carried off by teammates) to avoid a 4th timeout and subsequent runoff after the play clock reset If there was an injury there's a mistake in either the boxscore or by the announcers. Unless both Dodson and Milano were both hurt at the same time
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MYTH Busted: "The Defense couldn't stop the Run"
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to DrDawkinstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
222 rushing yards sounds bad because it is bad. Teams lose 85%+ of the time when allowing that many rushing yards. In the last 3 extreme weather games in Buffalo (Ravens playoff game and Colts snow game) the 14 points that the Patriots offense scored is the most by any offense -
MYTH Busted: "The Defense couldn't stop the Run"
DabillsDaBillsDaBills replied to DrDawkinstein's topic in The Stadium Wall
46 carries for 222 yards 3 pass attempts In terms of offensive play calls this was one of the most lop-sided games in NFL history. They had 30+ straight running plays. I knew they were going to run the ball, my mom knew they were going to run the ball, all 70k+ people in the stadium knew they were going to run the ball, but apparently the Bills DEF and coaches were surprised by it. The Patriots having any sort of running success in that scenario should be an embarrassment to the defense and coaches. -
It very much does matter. As long as an O-linemen engages with the defender within 1 yard of the LOS they are allowed to push them downfield as far as they want. I can't really tell from these computer generated dots if Williams engages the defender within 1 yard. NFL rulebook below (emphasis added): ECTION 3 - INELIGIBLE PLAYER DOWNFIELD ARTICLE 1. LEGAL AND ILLEGAL ACTS On a scrimmage play during which a legal forward pass is thrown, an ineligible offensive player, including a T-formation quarterback, is not permitted to move more than one yard beyond the line of scrimmage before the pass has been thrown. Item 1. Legally Downfield. An ineligible player is not illegally downfield if, after initiating contact with an opponent within one yard of the line of scrimmage during his initial charge: (a) he moves more than one yard beyond the line while legally blocking or being blocked by an opponent (b) after breaking legal contact with an opponent more than one yard beyond the line of scrimmage, he remains stationary until a forward pass is thrown (c) after losing legal contact with an opponent more than one yard beyond the line of scrimmage, he is forced behind the line of scrimmage by an opponent, at which time he is again subject to normal blocking restrictions for an ineligible offensive player. Note: If an ineligible offensive player moves beyond the line while legally blocking or being blocked by an opponent, an eligible offensive player may catch a pass between them and the line of scrimmage.