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pennstate10

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Everything posted by pennstate10

  1. Sharp spouts numbers but doesn’t understand them. In one of his other posts, he was arguing that Cheffers the ref was biased toward Bills since Bills were 2-0 in games he officiated this year. But Bills are 14-3 this year. To determine if 2-0 is different than 14-3 you use a 2x2 contingency table and Fishers exact test. 2-0 is not different than 14-3.
  2. That’s not the correct way to think about cap numbers. Realize that while all other costs are increasing, Allen’s cost is stable. So Allen’s cost has relatively decreased. Let’s say Allen has a cap hit of $40 million, and the cap is $200 million. He’s taking 20% of cap, and that leaves 80% for the rest of the team. But if cap goes up to $300 million, and Allen hit stays the same (that’s the key component of the analysis), then it’s 13% of total, leaving 87% for the rest of the team.
  3. I’m thinking Caesar is mistaking Josh for this other Wyoming QB.
  4. Nice review. A couple of points. 1) On the blitz/sack in 1st half, it was obvious Bates was pulling, and safety/LB blitzed directly into the hole he vacated. It seemed like a curious play. Why was Bates pulling when Josh was dropping back? If its simply misdirection/fake, seems like a bad gamble that no one will blitz through that hole. Who was responsible to recognize that blitz? Bate? Morse? Allen? I'm thinking maybe Bills should discard that play. 2) On the long ball INT, I think Brown made a poor effort to come back to the ball. If that was Diggs, wouldnt have been an INT. Maybe there's a reason Brown was available. 3) On the Beasley INT, no way that was Allen's fault. An NFL receiver either holds on to the ball or comes back to it so that defender cant knock it loose. Again, there's probably a reason no team had picked up Beasley. I understand Bills coming back to Beasley and Brown. They know the org, the system, the QB. But these guys arent quality NFL receivers any more. Its risky throwing to them. I'd rather see more Shakir/Crowder, even McK
  5. “That offseason he and his buddies assaulted some cops” Thats not exactly true. More like he and some buddies protected themselves from some drunken off duty cops. DA chose not to press charges. Wonder why the DA chose not to protect Phillys finest?
  6. Based on what I read up thread, Harbaugh wants to get McD job after he’s fired.
  7. CincynOL looks bad
  8. Suggested modification.
  9. I think Edmunds is a good player. But had 2 key missed tackles today, including one that extended dolphins scoring drive.
  10. Huh… Given your clear skill at this selecting clever nicknames, I’m curious if your favorite color is orange.
  11. Given that none of the coaching staff and few if any players were on the last Dolphins team that played in the playoffs, that’s a pretty irrelevant stat.
  12. You guys realize that wasn’t really Bill Burr but Sean McD doing his Bill Burr impression, right?
  13. I dont understand why McDermott isn’t favored for coach of the year. It usually goes to a coach who either 1) turns a losing team around 2) takes a team from good to great 3) is successful in the face of adversity. Like Vrabel go it last year for winning even after losing Henry. Given the heartbreaking 13 sec loss, the Tops shooting, two once in a century snowstorms, and having a player near death, what team has faced more adversity than the Bills this century? Maybe the Saints. And didn’t Payton win coach of the year in 2006? Im surprised we don’t hear more about McD as COY candidate.
  14. https://www.facebook.com/allsportswny/videos/1713799365346397/ Got this song in my head yesterday and now it wont leave.... "So go Bills, fight Bills, Win!!"
  15. DraftKings has the Bills money line at -600, next closest is Cindy at -260, so there’s that…
  16. For Bills fan Rose Bowl would be a poor choice. Not easy to get to,especially with only 1 wk notice. I think Atlanta would be a good choice. Downtown stadium, flight hub for united and delta.
  17. Travis Williams had 2 KO returns for TD in one quarter. Packers around 1968.
  18. Seems like we play at KC every year because we do play at KC every year…
  19. Penn State has had three players medically retire due to hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) diagnosed in asymptomatic players, in the past five years. Two (one was a DB, one an OT) were high profile recruits that were diagnosed by screening (most likely a conventional echocardiogram, but this is an assumption) on arrival at PSU. This makes sense to me, as high schools typically dont do any cardiac screening for athletes, so the first time D1 student athletes get cardiac screening is when they enter college. The third case is a bit more complicated. Journey Brown played 3 years, and was considered a day 2 draft pick going into the 2020 season. But, because of Covid and the threat of myocarditis due to Covid (not Covid vaccine, since this was in the days before Covid vaccine, think Tommy Sweeny who had Covid myocarditis), all PSU players had additional baseline cardiac testing. It was during this second round of screening that the docs discovered that Journey Brown had HCM. But he had played 3 years without any reported cardiac problem before the diagnosis became evident with a second round of testing. https://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/30299931/penn-state-journey-brown-retiring-football-due-heart-condition HCM is a genetic condition that you're born with, but, as with many genetic conditions, the condition may become evident at different times in life. Why did the initial set of tests not discover HCM? The above notes are facts, but now I'm going to speculate. My guess is that either he had a normal echo on enrollment at PSU, but that the disease progressed, such that a second echo now picked up the disease. Alternatively, he may have had a borderline echo with the second echo, such that he was sent for additional testing. He did in fact have an additional evaluation at Hershey Med Center (100 miles from PSU), where the diagnosis was made. My guess is that Brown did indeed have additional tests, such as cardiac MRI, stress echo, and molecular genetic testing to assist in making the diagnosis. My guess, and this is speculation, is that NFL teams do screening echos on players. But these initial screens arent perfect, as illustrated by Journey Brown's case.
  20. I'm not a cardiologist; I'm a cancer doc. I have an interest in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) due to friends and family with the condition. Traditionally, the diagnosis of HCM has been made based on trans-thoracic echocardiogram (TTE) findings. A LV wall thickness of > 15 mm is consistent with HCM, while a wall thickness of 13 mm is borderline. This is made all the more confusing by the fact that high level athletes often have functional increases in LV wall thickness thought to be due to training effects. Functional (stress echo) testing can help make the diagnosis by eliciting a pressure gradient between the left ventricle and left ventricle outflow tract with exercise. My colleagues tell me that cardiac MRI is a better (but more costly and time-consuming) way to diagnose HCM, and may be the wave of the future. Supplemented with genetic testing. Please note that all of this may have nothing to do with Damar's episode, which was probably commitio cordis (and I stress probably since no diagnostic information has been reported by his docs). I have to admit that I'm a bit puzzled that there are zero reports of commitio cordis in D1 college or NFL over the past 50+ years. Why Damar, and why now?
  21. A stress echo can give additional info as to whether left ventricle outflow tract obstruction occurs with exercise (stress). it may give helpful data in borderline cases See https://www.acc.org/latest-in-cardiology/ten-points-to-remember/2017/11/17/09/17/role-of-exercise-testing-in-hypertrophic-cardiomyopathy Since commitio cordis is a diagnosis of exclusion, I’m guessing his docs will do all they can to rule out alternate diagnoses.
  22. Huh... As stated, I think that your linked video was a good general explanation of commotio cordis and potential complications and therapies. I disagreed with your analysis with respect to Hamlin, as quoted here: "This video is great as it confirms the diagnosis, but it really does a fantastic job showing the complications from cpr;the possible development of acute respiratory distress syndrome associated with cardiac arrest ; he mentions two resuscitation attempts; he shows the changes in the lungs on X-ray and why 100% oxygen was needed" 1) Diagnosis of CC wasnt confirmed, in fact, Cincy ICU docs specifically stated that they have more evaluation to do before arriving at a dx. CC is a diagnosis of exclusion. I'm not saying that CC isnt the correct diagnosis. But have the docs ruled out hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, for instance? This can be difficult to rule out without genetic testing and stress echocardiograms. Hard to do a stress echo on an intubated patient. 2) There werent 2 resuscitation attempts. 3) The CXR shown wasnt Hamlin's, but an example of a patient with ARDS (who in all likelihood didnt have CC). Are you a physician? I am. Most docs I know are careful with their words, and would never state a diagnosis was confirmed based on what TV docs were speculating. Great news that Damar is awake and communicating. Thats really, really promising re: neurologic status. Hopefully they will be able to extubate him soon.
  23. To be clear, this video does not confirm that Hamlin had commotio cordis, nor does it update his condition. The video is a general explanation of commotio cordis and the subsequent treatment options for the condition as patients recover. One bit of new info is the report that uncle said he was awake before being placed in a coma. If that’s correct, that is incredibly good news. Means that he was alert enough to communicate prior to protective coma.
  24. Reading comprehension my friend. 34 (half) of the cases were informal at a private home. You know anyone who has an AED at home? Didnt think so.
  25. Good topic Royale. A few thoughts. 1) We're all shaped by our personal experiences. But I think its important to be able to take a big picture view of things. How likely are bad outcomes? As tragic as Damar's injury is, its extraordinarily rare. Much more common are concussions, broken bones, and soft tissue injuries. A child died at one of my sons lacrosse games; brain aneurysm. And my neighbors daughter ended up in a ped ICU for 2+ weeks playing soccer. She was a goalie, dove to cover up a loose ball, and got kicked in the head. 2) Exactly what is the likelihood a high school football player develops CTE? Hard to know, since CTE is usually diagnosed postmortem. But all available data indicates that college and NFL player are at far more risk of CTE than a kid who stops football after high school. Its cumulative brain trauma thats important. The C in CTE is "chronic". Think of it this way. There are over 1 million high school football players in the US. If they are all at risk for CTE, that would be roughly 35 million males in the US between ages 50-85. So our nursing homes would be filled with male patients with CTE-induced dementia, right? In fact, women are about 2X more likely than males to develop dementia. 3) Life is not risk free. All decisions we make have a risk-benefit ratio. So whats the benefit of playing football? -teamwork -discipline -training- -camaraderie -staying out of trouble Now sure, many other after school activities have the same benefits. But, both from personal experience and my kids experience, football is king at many of these. I encouraged my son to play high school football. He played hockey and lacrosse until high school. Many of his high school teammates remain his best friends today. And although he went to a diverse high school, our neighborhood was largely white. Most of his black friends were from the football team. Kids who ended up attending his wedding, and he attending theirs. In the end, its a personal decision. My opinion, learn the facts, learn what is really known about high school athletes and injuries (high school sport with most injuries is......cheerleading), and support your kids.
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