pennstate10

Which of Penn States 2023 draft entrants are a fit for the Bills? Here is my non-expert view as someone who has followed these guys through their college careers. PSU has 8th most players currently in NFL, per SpoTrac. The top 10 are all the usual suspects, except somehow Iowa slips in at 9. There are currently two starters on Bills from PSU, both solid if unspectacular contributors. Ryan Bates and Daquan Jones. PSU has had high profile players overdrafted (Maybin) and underdrafted (A. Robinson, C. Godwin) in the past few years. PSU players going to the combine are listed below: Round 1--Joey Porter Jr, CB. One of the top 3 CB in the draft. Will likely be gone before Bills draft, and not a need for Bills. Pass. Round 2-3--Jayir "Tig" Brown, Safety. Top 5 safety. Strong tackler, good ball skills, not an elite coverage guy. I think would be a good fit for Bills. Round 3-4 -- Parker Washington, WR. Slot receiver I've seen mocked as high as 1st round. I dont think he's a first round talent. Best comp is Julian Edelman, but PW isnt as quick as Edelman. Pass Round 3-5 --PJ Mustipher, DT. Was considered a 1-2 round pick in 2021 before ACL. Not as dominant this past year. Could be a "steal" for a team willing to take a chance, but 1T DT not really a need for Bills. Round 4-6 -- Juice Scruggs, C/G. Had a nasty auto accident that delayed his career for over a year. Seems healed from that , started at G in 2021 and C in 2022. Clearly a need for Bills and definitely worth a Day 3 pick. Round 5-7 -- Brenton Strange, TE. Good blocker dependable hands. Not a need for Bills . Pass Round 6+ -- Michell Tinsley, WR. Good college WR, dependable hands, but not elite speed or separation. Pass

JSN from OSU is certainly a #1 WR. He’s a lot like Diggs. Elite route runner and ball skills. Widely regarded as better than Garret Wilson when both were at OSU. But I don’t think he will be available at 27. The only RB I’d take at 27 is the guy from Texas. Otherwise I’d go best available WR or IOL. I think Spencer Brown has shown enough to give him another year.

Actually the dancers reminded me of Kenny from South Park.

Speaking of Beasley, maybe he'd be interested in being a WR coach. After his rap career is over of course.

And Then....?

I don’t believe Gabe YAC was 2.9 yds. Do you have a reference for that stat?

Are there any starting RB in the league shorter than 5’8”?

205 lb CB at ILB in a 3-4. Bold move Cotton.

We've about beat this topic to death. Here is real data to look at. https://www.lineups.com/nfl/snap-counts/defensive-players-snap-counts Choose team, choose Defense, then scroll down to look at DE and DT. Here is the introductory comments from the site, cut and pasted. "Whether you are playing IDP fantasy leagues or going the extra mile breaking down defenses, snap counts matter for the defensive side as well. Different defensive packages mean different snaps for the players, but things can be pretty steady in this department. Defensive snaps can show injury replacements for the defense, which doesn’t get as much coverage as offensive guys. Players in the secondary can be a bit mixed in nickel and dime packages, and vary on a week-to-week basis. The line is something that can be shuffled around, as certain defensive line players specialize in early down work as run-stoppers and take third downs off. snap counts can dictate the depth chart order for defenses, which can move throughout the season. Cornerbacks and safeties play the most snaps among the defensive units, while the lineman play the least being rotated more frequently. This is a good start to checking out who is playing the most." I looked at two teams other than Bflo. Balt and Car. Balt had a bunch of guys with 20-60% snaps; no DL with >60%. Cin had a bunch between 21-80 %. Of course, this is all skewed because of injuries. Von Miller played 61% of snaps but missed 5 full games; he was probably at 80% or more for the games he played. Bottom line--if you have a stud DL -- like Miller, or Aaron Donald, JJ Watt, CHris Jones, then yes, he plays 75-85% of snaps. You rotate the rest.

“A senseless rotation that no other team finds necessary” Huh. Instead of simply admitting that your statement was wrong, saying you’d take a lap, you move the goalposts. Bills play 8 DL most games. So do many, if not most NFL teams. As a simple example, look at Bills opponent in a randomly selected game. Their last one. Bengals played 8 DL for 22-79% snaps each. https://www.cincyjungle.com/2023/1/23/23567536/bengals-bills-snap-counts-nfl-divisional-round-mike-hilton-trey-hendrickson

Really? Almost all NFL teams, as well as top college teams, rotate 6-9 DL. Its been that way since the 1990s, when the Cowboys started sending "waves" of DL. Here's one reference, but you can find dozens in 5 minutes. https://www.nbcsports.com/philadelphia/eagles/eagles-defensive-line-rotation-jonathan-gannon There may be a few exceptions. Players like Aaron Donald may play 90% of snaps. How about a recent example. Bills Bengals game. Bengals had 8 DL playing 22-79% of snaps. https://www.cincyjungle.com/2023/1/23/23567536/bengals-bills-snap-counts-nfl-divisional-round-mike-hilton-trey-hendrickson

Sadly, I think that’s true

Officiating was fine. Bills DL lost the game.

Shoulda kicked the fg. Make it 2 score game.

That was illegal motion on 20. Bills lucky

Definitely not a fumble. Not even close.

It’s not a catch

Sharp spouts numbers but doesn’t understand them. In one of his other posts, he was arguing that Cheffers the ref was biased toward Bills since Bills were 2-0 in games he officiated this year. But Bills are 14-3 this year. To determine if 2-0 is different than 14-3 you use a 2x2 contingency table and Fishers exact test. 2-0 is not different than 14-3.

That’s not the correct way to think about cap numbers. Realize that while all other costs are increasing, Allen’s cost is stable. So Allen’s cost has relatively decreased. Let’s say Allen has a cap hit of $40 million, and the cap is $200 million. He’s taking 20% of cap, and that leaves 80% for the rest of the team. But if cap goes up to $300 million, and Allen hit stays the same (that’s the key component of the analysis), then it’s 13% of total, leaving 87% for the rest of the team.

I’m thinking Caesar is mistaking Josh for this other Wyoming QB.

Nice review. A couple of points. 1) On the blitz/sack in 1st half, it was obvious Bates was pulling, and safety/LB blitzed directly into the hole he vacated. It seemed like a curious play. Why was Bates pulling when Josh was dropping back? If its simply misdirection/fake, seems like a bad gamble that no one will blitz through that hole. Who was responsible to recognize that blitz? Bate? Morse? Allen? I'm thinking maybe Bills should discard that play. 2) On the long ball INT, I think Brown made a poor effort to come back to the ball. If that was Diggs, wouldnt have been an INT. Maybe there's a reason Brown was available. 3) On the Beasley INT, no way that was Allen's fault. An NFL receiver either holds on to the ball or comes back to it so that defender cant knock it loose. Again, there's probably a reason no team had picked up Beasley. I understand Bills coming back to Beasley and Brown. They know the org, the system, the QB. But these guys arent quality NFL receivers any more. Its risky throwing to them. I'd rather see more Shakir/Crowder, even McK

“That offseason he and his buddies assaulted some cops” Thats not exactly true. More like he and some buddies protected themselves from some drunken off duty cops. DA chose not to press charges. Wonder why the DA chose not to protect Phillys finest?

Based on what I read up thread, Harbaugh wants to get McD job after he’s fired.

CincynOL looks bad

Suggested modification.