
Mat68
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Everything posted by Mat68
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The problem is their are outliers. Guys with crazy arm talent breaks alot of those constructs. Stafford, Cutler, Newton, Marino, and Farve are all guys with crazy natural abilities who all fall out of those peremiters. Completion % is one aspect of the overall analytic analysis. Allen falls to Farve and Marino in thats aspect. Now here is where party lines form. You cant compare a player in 2018 to a player in 1992 and 83. Allen is closer to those players in college systems, supporting casts, and development. If you want to dive deep into the analytics. Allen was one of the best prospect when throwing from a clean pocket. He also saw the least amounts of them. Production wise, Allen had the highest percent of air yardage. Over 60% of his yards were through the air. In comparison mayfield was 39%.
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Not overly athletic, a tweaner(too small for nose, not quick enough for 3 technique) and motor. A knock was he didnt chase down the field plays so looks poorly on film. The response to the motor is that he played nearly every defensive snap over 95%, so he had to be calculated with his energy. Mcdermott likes to maximize effort and energy of his dline so that wont be an issue here.
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I dont see how the draft could be poor. Only way is pre concieved bias. Regardless of ones personal opionions Allen was rated as 1 of the top 4 Qbs with a range of where he falls depending on preference. Buffalo had their pick of either Josh and went with Allen. Small town kid from Wyoming seems like a perfect fit in Buffalo. Based off of two trade ups its unlikley he is available at 12. The next largest need of the starting 22 was linebaker. They move from 22 to 16 and take the second or top rated linebaker in the draft. Many would consider Edmunds one of the Blue chip prospects in the entire draft. Coming off a playoff berth, in round 1 they fill their largest holes. Neither would be considered "reaches" both are considered to have the most potential than any other player at thier positions. Going into day 3 and 4 the remaining needs are dl oline wr and secondary depth. Round 3 they got an immediate contributor to the interior dline. He would have started last year now he will rotate with Star and Kwilliams. Run defense was terrible at spots NYj, New Orleans. Johnson could become nickel, Tellar could become a starter at guard or dress on game day. Neal adds good depth to a thin saftey group. Wr was not totally addressed which is true. But the draft was weak at wr so I can understand if Buffalo took players they liked more and rated higher. So the only spot not solidified was Wr, in a touted poor wr draft. The role needed is a deep threat. Ginn should be proof that a vetran with speed can fill that role. Based off what Buffalo needed and what they got I think the draft was an absolute win. Buffalo's top 3 picks are as good or better than any teams. Nit picking on day 3 is just that nit picking.
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Wawrow: Bills aren’t planning to add to upper management
Mat68 replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
This is where they madena mistake. They were sold on the guy and not aware of the vision. I can hear Rex say that his defense is multiple and he can get more out of an already good unit. They listened to Brandon and paid deerly for it. Since Mcdermott and Beane I think the plan was always for Kim to become the more controling intrest of the two and president of both makes sense. Timing is never perfect. So what bettet way to get out infront of a probably sexual harresment story than to replace the man with a female minority? The pegulas seem smart enough to let people they hire to do their jobs, but in the beginning were too ignorant of the profression to know who to empower and what to look for. -
Removing Cam's rookie year makes little sense. He was not expected to be a good pocket passer off thr start. Seems to have some revisionist history. The premise is correct to me. Everyone is going horizontal, run the ball and go vertical. Imo to help Allen they need to find a guy with deep speed and stress the offense. Maybe they think a healthy streater is that guy but im not sure.
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Football must be very enjoyable with all your optimism. They are nothing alike. Ej 5 star recruit. Couldnt get on the feild. Never reached his potential at any level. Allen 0 star recuit, went to junior college than wyoming. Instantly won the job. Made insane plays Ej never made.
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They know Aj McCarron and Nate Peterman are the other Qbs on the roster.
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Yes because he looked like a 21 year old at a bar playing darts for the first time.
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With the drafting of Prohle, Ray Ray, to go with Kerley and Brandon Reilly I expect to see more involvement of the slot Wr in the offense. The out breaking routes Allen is deadly accurate. The option routes underneath will help credit easy throws.
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Those are staple plays. Brady normally goes to the the underneath guys more often. The option route with a post or corner on the same side are common pass designs for NE. Imo Those will be deadly with Allen, but Allen will also take more risks down the field than Brady.
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Current Bills on Chopping Block
Mat68 replied to D. L. Hot-Flamethrower's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I think all three are battling for a roster spot. If Streeter didnt break his toe im not sold Holmes makes the team last year. Miller fell out of favor same goes for Washington. Playing beside Phillips should allow Washigton to be a true 3 tech. The problem is Washington is a tweener who was more productive at De in college. -
Idk. Allen is money on the out and corner routes. I think he will be very good at the seem route as well. Those passing concepts fit his ability. He is not going to be brady and kill the d with swing passes and checkdown he will push the ball down the field more.
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Out of Bodine or Groy whichever tis not the center is the LG imo. I think its Groy at Center Bodine at LG. Come TC I would not be surprised to see Richie show back up too.
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Which Bill's draft pick? (and other draft related questions)
Mat68 replied to berg1029's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
My favorite Qb of the batch was Allen. I did not know if Buffalo would see it that way but Im happy they did. Karon johnson. Simply from the gauntlet drill video. Ive never seen a guy get domed in that drill from the first pass. Allen, Edmunds, and Teller Teller Ray Ray, and Prohle will both have stiff competition for a roster spot. I think Ray Ray makes it as a returner so Prohle Yes I do. i think he starts opening day Overall, I am very pleased with the Bills draft. In my opinion they have a franchise Qb in Allen. My priority and hope was for Buffalo to leave the draft with a Qb and 3 down Linebaker. Imo the two positions that are not available in FA are Franchise QB and stud three down bakers. That is what they did. Edmubnds is a complete unicorn. 6-5 250 4.5 speed at the Mike is crazy. After the first Rd I was good. Still thought wr was a need, oline and interior D line was next on the docket. After Thursday night the ultimate cherry on top Friday night was Harrison Phillips. As much as they are trying to avoid it he is a Kyle Williams clone. 100 tackles at DT is crazy. He is the instantly the 3rd Dt. He can rotate with Williams and Star. I dont know enough about the remaining picks to make an overall intelligent case for any them, but from little info I gathered I like the secondary depth at corner and saftey. Teller looks like he could develop into a starting guard and maybe sooner rather than later. Ray Ray from clemson seems to be an immediate option at return. Last year watching Trubisky Prohle and Switzer seemed to always get open. He will be in one of the toughest battles. Going to the NE system I assume slot Wr will see an increase in priority with more underneath option routes. Seems Prohle, Reily, and Kerley will be in competition for 2 sports. This has been the most pleased with a draft i have been in as long as I could remember. Hopefully, this is one of those draft from the 80 we look back on and are able to see how it shape the franchise for a decade. The roster is not without faults but seems to improved at key areas. -
Start Allen from Day 1/ QB competition
Mat68 replied to BuffaloBud420's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Im an Allen believer, but my philosophy is you play a rookie Qb when he is your best option. Whenever he is the best Qb you play him. I think that will be very early on but I dont see any value in handing a rookie Qb a starting job in the NFL. It never works. The cream always rises. Once the team sees a difference and know he is the guy it goes much easier traditionally. -
Mel Kiper's 2018 NFL draft grades (Bills #1)
Mat68 replied to papazoid's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Take with a grain of salt, but the outlook is at least being well recieved. -
Beane not indicating Josh Allen will definitely redshirt
Mat68 replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
After watching basicly all his games he has about 2 bad throws a game. Imo that can be cleaned up. He played in a very conservative system in terms of number of passes a game. In comparison to Wentz in the same system in 15 less career games Allen threw for 49 less yards and 1 less td. With superior talent around him in 2016, meaning 4 guys were in NFL training camps, he put up much better numbers and a better passer rating than Rosen. -
4th through 7th round of draft is not for filling needs
Mat68 replied to Logic's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I thought Dawkins was the best lineman on the field. Richie hurts, but Groy and Bodine will fill in fine. Buffalo has an average Oline. Not terrible.