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Everything posted by Rochesterfan
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Do we see an end of QB Mega Deals?
Rochesterfan replied to WhitewalkerInPhilly's topic in The Stadium Wall
This exactly - it isn’t changing anytime soon and will only get bigger. The new WR deals means with huge range increases are just a foreshadowing of the new QB deals. The 4 guys mentioned above and then guys like Allen and Mahomes getting their next deals will all push what the league was worth a few years ago. -
They most certainly have been switching on and off many games - early in the season it was Elam and Beneford switching with Jackson getting 100% of the snaps. Then injuries hit and you had a couple of games where Elam and Jackson both played nearly 100%. Then Elam got nicked up and the Bills rotated in Rhodes and White returned and you saw Jackson and Rhodes split time and Elam sit. And now Jackson and Elam are back to splitting time opposite White. For example as Elam has seen his play hover close to 50% the last 2 games - Jackson has seen his drop to 53% and 59% with him filling in for White on 8% of the snaps against Chicago. The Bills sat Elam for the 2 games against NE and NYJ as they ran a ton of zone and wanted better run support and that is fine. That is exactly what everyone including the Bills said about Elam prior to the season and as long as you have healthy DBs they are using them to mix up defensive coverages and make adjustments. Therefore based on Miami and Chicago breakdowns - there would have been no reason to not expect he would have rotated in series 3+4 and played nearly 50% of the snaps as they had done the 2 previous weeks against Cincinnati - so as I said even mentioning Cincinnati is just stupid and you trying to make it look like he wasn’t going to play. Jackson also rotated with Rhodes in the 1st NE game to give Rhodes playing time - they alternated ever 2 series throughout the game almost completely. I will be interested in this game as NE being a run team - do they want to play nearly 100% zone and work the edges with DBs to tackle in which case they may limit Elam with Beneford or do they maintain the nearly equal split of playing time between the 2.
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Except they don’t - they have been playing different combinations of man and man zone and switching things off - which is why after they make adjustments teams find it harder to move the ball. They have been giving a ton of different looks not based on Elam or Jackson.
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I guess that depends up what you are referencing. Pro Football focus had him at 47 and 48% of defensive snaps the last 2 games and 43% versus the NYJ in game #1 - so that is at least 3 times since October that he has broken 40% of defensive snaps and the last 2 have been nearly 50%. He is also alternating with Jackson - 2 series on and 2 series off - so since we had not even completed 2 series versus Cincinnati - there is no way I would even look at it - even bringing it up is stupid. Jackson starts as the Veteran and they have been running bland coverages - then they make adjustments and bring Elam in and then switch him out with other adjustments. Basically against 2 teams that run a bunch and the Bills wanted to run a lot of zone - they pulled him out. When they wanted more man corners against Miami - he played half the game. I think you are seeing exactly what the Bills want to do - they are using Jackson, White, and Elam to switch up coverages and make adjustments to get teams out of their game plans.
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I hear what you are saying, but honestly I don’t think that had anything to do with the OL of the Jets changing with a guy they believed in or even a guy that made plays, but was essentially a complete shift in the Jags DL. Streverler’s first drive - the DL was crashing in just like they did to Wilson, but Streverler escaped the pocket a couple of times and also had a designed run and then the Jags switched up. They stopped rushing to a spot like they were for Wilson and rushed to contain and keep him in the pocket. They also stopped bringing extra pressure and played a spy defense. They were significantly less concerned about the passing game and getting pressure and more concerned with the QB running - so they stopped rushing. He did make a few nice throws, but it was obvious that he completely lacks the arm strength to play NFL ball. One pass was like 15-20 yards short and if he had gotten it out there it was a huge play.
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NFL Resolution to Adjust the AFC Playoffs- Poll
Rochesterfan replied to Rocky Landing's topic in The Stadium Wall
I am fine with 90% of it. They did exactly what I expected. My only real complaint is I think it screwed over Cincinnati to much. Although I hate it - I would have been all for additional neutral site games of Buffalo/Cincinnati as that game could have gone either way and that impacts everything. I am glad they followed the rules as laid out and then looked at ways to adjust and I think given the terrible situation- the NFL tried and did an excellent job. I just feel for Cincinnati a bit right now. Good guys, Good Coach and took one on the chin for us - just as we did for KC. -
Week 18: Pats at Bills, Sunday 1/8 1pm
Rochesterfan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
White is out, Flacco to start with Wilson as his back-up. White never should of played last weekend with his ribs - terrible job by Salah. -
It has been done up-to this point, but will change with the games this weekend. It maybe correct that the lead is insurmountable - I have not done the math, but it will change.
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There is very little change at this point, but a Bengals win over the Ravens helps by giving them another strong win, but the added loss the Ravens get hurts. The Pats win over the Bills (whom we beat earlier) would improve their record and help. Then it comes down to the slate of games being played. I think that the SOV in the end would still favor Cincinnati, but without inputting every scenario I do not know for sure.
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Playoff Solutions Assuming they don’t replay the Bengals game.
Rochesterfan replied to Locomark's topic in The Stadium Wall
Doesn’t work out - after week 1 you are at 6 teams then 3. If you have 8 teams you have to have 0 byes. To give 4 byes - you would have to expand to 12 teams in each conference. -
Now I will say - if you get a big lead being fired up early - sure pull guys out and get some rest, but you need to win this game and then let the chips fall where they may.
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It could change, but most likely it favors Cincinnati getting stronger by Beating the Ravens for a better SOV.
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We currently do, but factoring in the Pat loss for us and the Ravens win for Cincinnati- we become tied.
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Playoff Solutions Assuming they don’t replay the Bengals game.
Rochesterfan replied to Locomark's topic in The Stadium Wall
Doesn’t work out then you would have 3 AFC teams left. 4/7 - winner 5/6 - winner Bills, Cincinnati, and KC - now you have 5 teams after week 1 - so in your listed scenario KC got a second bye Bills / 4/7 winner - Team 1 Cincinnati/ 5/6 winner - Tesm 2 KC Team 3 So does KC get a 3rd bye? -
Playoff Solutions Assuming they don’t replay the Bengals game.
Rochesterfan replied to Locomark's topic in The Stadium Wall
JHC - once again - they have a rule - it has been posted several times across multiple threads. The rule gives the commissioner in the case of a game that can not be played as scheduled 2 options: 1) find an available time and reschedule the game - per the rule - the preferred method if the outcome will impact other games. 2) Declare the game a no contest if due to circumstances and/or availability the game cannot be made up. It grants the commissioner in consultation with league and teams the ability to determine which method is appropriate and grants discretion to make additional decisions as needed. The league also has rules in place for unbalanced scheduled that were implemented for Covid of using win % to determine seeding in the event all games could not be completed. Once again - the NFL has handled an unprecedented situation properly and has made the proper steps all along and people with no knowledge or understanding crap on the league and Goodell for no reason. Just because they have not told you what is going on does not mean they are not actively working with the teams on a solution to fit this situation. People complained about Monday night and we find out the league office was in contact with the teams and actively working with them and then decided nearly 30 minutes before the TV announcement that they needed to suspend the game completely. This was noted by players showering and guys like Diggs leaving to head to the hospital. In this case - they have options and the ideal one would b be to complete the game, but they realize that has major negative impact on the 2 teams and neither team is keen to relive the moment yet - so they are looking at the impact of call it a no contest and how can they balance out the impact it has on the teams. -
Terrible - the league should not rush a decision when there is no need. They are in contact with the Bills and Bengals and are looking at options, but until they have some indication of the Hamlin outcome as we are starting to hear - they need to wait. What happens if they made a decision and then Hamlin had gotten worse and the Bills and Bengals didn’t or could play this weekend - now they have to go back and make adjustments and everyone gives them crap. Give it time - the info will come out - the league has handled this very well so far - let them continue. This is not a time to rush a decision- as news comes out - it will impact the Bills and Bengals mental outlook and will impact what they are willing and able to do. Getting a decision out impacts nothing for the league at the moment as they are working many different angles - it might make you feel better, but it is not impacting the league. With todays info you will probably get follow-up later today or tomorrow on the plan.
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Week 18: Pats at Bills, Sunday 1/8 1pm
Rochesterfan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
Apparently that is in bold starting every rule. 😂 -
Week 18: Pats at Bills, Sunday 1/8 1pm
Rochesterfan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
You are correct, but the rule really lists 2 options for the Commissioner in case of unplayable games: Find a way to complete the game or cancel the game. It gives the Commissioner leeway to decide and of course the Commissioner has the ability to act in the best interests of football at all times, but since the specific rule gives 2 options and the game was so close to the beginning and since canceling games was discussed during Covid and how the league would handle unplayed games. I believe the safe bet is that they will follow the established guidelines they had previously discussed. -
Week 18: Pats at Bills, Sunday 1/8 1pm
Rochesterfan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
Those are not options in the NFL rule book. Only options are complete the game or call it a no contest and move to winning percentage. It will be one of those 2 options and my guess is even though it lessens their overall chances - I think both the Bills and Bengals want that game gone. I think for this reason alone they would have to restart the game and treat it as a fully new game. -
Week 18: Pats at Bills, Sunday 1/8 1pm
Rochesterfan replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall
Terrible. The league has stated they are working through scenarios, but are more concerned with Hamlin at this time - they have also been in discussion with the Bills about the mental health of the team and how they want to proceed. There is absolutely no scenario that the Bills/Bengals game doesn’t have impact. The one you suggested then impacts both the Ravens and Bengals for the division. The fact that the NFL is considering allowing the game to be a potential no contest tells me exactly how shaken up both the Bills and Bengals are. I don’t think the league has the least bit of care whether KC is the #1 seed and I doubt that factors in at all - as a matter of fact I would 100% bet the NFL would prefer the Bills/Bengals game get played, but they recognize that logistically and mentally that can not happen at this time so they are choosing the other alternative. No decision was perfect and someone got the short end and someone got a slight benefit in EVERY scenario- so I will be fine when this part of the saga is over and hopefully we get some good news on Hamlin and everything can return to some semblance of normal for these guys. -
Not really - I think 100% it is what both the Bills and Bengals would prefer over having to shoehorn the game in. This fits well within the NFL rules that are established and logistically makes the most sense. Yep KC gets a small benefit potentially and Baltimore gets slightly screwed, but it does not change the playoff teams and I imagine both the Bills and Bengals would sign off on this in a minute to prevent every other scenario presented - where they have to make up the game. There is not an option/rule that allows for or makes any sense to award a victory in a game in the 1st quarter that can not be completed. The NFL was not and should not consider coin toss/lottery ball or any other method of creating a false victor in the game. There has always been exactly 2 choices in the outcome: complete the game or declare it a no contest as those are the options in the NFL rulebook for this situation. If they go no contest - then it was always going to move to winning percentage as that is what they established and what was talked about and agreed to during Covid if any games were cancelled.