Watkins101

I think the voting should be later in the season, to give voters a better picture. For example Lamar Jackson vs. Josh Allen Not really one stat that Lamar is better than Josh Allen here. I think with Lamar's missing games to end the season, he likely wouldn't have gotten in.

I wouldn’t assume the Bengals lose to the Chiefs like that, they’re a solid team and could beat the Chiefs.

If it is a fully torn archilles, he’s done for the year, and could likely miss time next year.

No, this is a good thing, not giving any AFC playoff contenders the easy wins against those teams.

Why so sure that the ravens will beat the rams and the Steelers? The rams are 10-4 and are a solid team, and the steelers aren’t horrible and could be playing with playoffs on the line.

For the bills to get the 1 seed, they’d have to win out while the chiefs lose at least 2(if they drop 3, then the chargers have to lose 1) and Titans lose 2 and Bengals lose 1 and Ravens lose 1 and colts lose 1. Possible, sure, but I don’t really see all that going our way.

The point of the thread is to show how jumbled the playoff picture is, and how any one of those 13 teams still has a way to make to the playoffs. When looking at the remaining schedule of the season, I was suprised by how much all these teams played each other and wanted to show that. All of those teams that could realistically win 0-3 games are playing 3 teams within 2 wins of themselves (aside from the Chiefs who are having some Covid issues). For the teams who face a team not in that range, I put 1-3, because while they still could lose out the season, I’d find it very unlikely. I wasn’t trying to go out on a limb, just wanted to show the remaining schedules of the teams were competing against for a playoff spot. Don’t know why half the people on the thread had to react negatively to that.

Steelers need help to get in if they run the table, but I think it’s highly unlikely they don’t get it. All they would need is for any one of the colts, Bengals, Bills, or Chargers to drop one game.

The 0-3 is wins to finish out the season, not the record. Most of these teams very possibly could finish out with 3 wins, 3 losses or somewhere in between.

The AFC Playoff Picture is a mumbled mess with 13 teams still having a shot 3 weeks to go. No playoff berths have been clinched yet, and we’re in for a wacky few weeks. 1. The Chiefs (10-4) The chiefs currently hold the number one spot, but that could change quickly. They have been running into covid troubles and face 3 teams that will be fighting for playoff spots. Opponents : Steelers (7-6-1) Bengals (8-6) Broncos (7-7) Realistically could finish out with 0-3 wins to finish out the year 2. The Pats* (9-5) The Pats* would clinch the division with a win this week over the Bills, but should they lose, they still could miss out on the playoffs given their recent history with struggling with the fish in week 17. Opponents: Bills (8-6) Jaguars (2-12) Dolphins (7-7) Realistically could finish out with 1-3 wins to finish out the year. 3. The Titans (9-5) Theyve struggled without Henry, and the colts have been catching up fast. They have a tough next couple weeks, and could easily find themselves 9-7. Opponents: 49ers (8-6) Dolphins (7-7) Texans (3-11) Realistically could finish with 1-3 wins to finish the year 4. The Bengals (8-6) Arguably the toughest remaining schedule of the teams on this list. Opponents: Ravens (8-6) Chiefs (10-4) Browns (7-7) Realistically could finish with 0-3 wins to finish the year 5. The Colts (8-6) A team on the rise, with an interesting last few weeks. They face the cardinals next who looked amazing earlier this season, but just dropped one to the Lions, so it’s anybodys guess to see how that game will go. Opponents: Cardinals (10-4) Raiders (7-7) Jaguars (2-12) Realistically could finish with 1-3 wins to finish the year. 6. The Chargers (8-6) One of the weaker remaining schedules, but still could drop a couple. Opppnents: Texans (3-13) Broncos (7-7) Raiders (7-7) Realistically could finish the season with 1-3 wins 7. The Bills (8-6) Biggest game of the season coming up next week against the Pats. With a win, the division seems almost guranteed, with a loss, missing the playoffs is an all too real possibility. Opponents Pats* (9-5) Atlanta (6-8) Jets (3-11) Realistically could finish the season with 1-3 wins 8. The Ravens (8-6) The only 8-6 team out of a playoff spot, they still have a solid chance, but with Lamar’s injury concerns, bad tiebreakers, and a tough schedule, it may be hard for them to make it. Opponents: Benglas (8-6) Rams (10-4) Steelers (7-6-1) Realistically could finish the season with 0-3 wins 9. The Steelers (7-6-1) A tough schedule, but they could still find their way into the playoffs if they go hot. Opponents: Chiefs (10-4) Browns (7-7) Ravens (8-6) Realistically could finish the season with 0-3 wins 10. The Raiders (7-7) A schedule facing only other playoff hopefuls, with 3 wins, they likely make the playoffs, but it will be difficult. Opponents: Broncos (7-7) Colts (8-6) Chargers (8-6) Realistically could finish with 0-3 wins to finish the season 11. The Dolphins (7-7) Earlier in the season, the playoffs seemed impossible, but after a hit streak, the fish now have a chance. Opponents: Saints (7-7) Titans (9-5) Pats* (9-5) Realistically could finish the season with 0-3 wins 12. The Browns (7-7) A tough schedule to finish out the year, they seem unlikely to make the playoffs, but a hot streak could quickly change that. Opponents: Packers (11-3) Bengals (8-6) Steelers (7-6-1) Realistically could finish the season with 0-3 wins 13. The Broncos (7-7) The last team with a shot at making it, would need some luck, but a hot streak to finish the year, facing only divisional opponents gives them a shot. Oppponets: Raiders (7-7) Chargers (8-6) Chiefs (10-4) Realistically could finish the season with 0-3 wins The teams with the best odds of making the playoffs (in my opinion) are: 1. Chiefs 2. Pats* 3. Bills 4. Colts 5. Chargers 6. Titans 7. Bengals 8. Steelers 9. Ravens 10. Dolphins 11. Browns 12.Raiders 13.Broncos These are looking like they’re gonna be a crazy last few weeks, and I’m really excited to see how they play out. What are your thoughts on whose most likely to make the playoffs?

I don’t know the exact numbers, but it seems the past couple years, this team has been horrible against 2 point conversions, I’d guess giving up at least 60%. If we were to assume 60%, the expected value of a 2 point attempt would be 1.2, which would indicate the better thing to do would be to go for 2 all the time against the Bills. Likely, with more attempts, the rate would go down however.

He almost certainly will be a hell of famer. Back to back (pacing for his 3rd in a row) 2000 yard seasons, with the most productive 40 game stretch from any running back in NFL history. This is his 6th season and he’s nearing 7000 yards, barring injury will likely break 8000 this season. Even if he were to fall off and be an average of half as productive for the next 5 seasons, he would be in the top 10 in NFL history.

Waiting for less than 20 seconds on the playclock is not always the right call however. On Defense, If it’s a potentially overturnable call, then the offense will often go into hurry up mode to get the play off, so you may not reach 20 seconds on the play clock. On offense it’s certainly the right call, unless you are running out of game clock time.

I would say he was uncomfortable a fair bit from the defensive line, but the poor secondary play neutralized that

JJ Watt stats this year so far: 10 tackles 2 assisted tackles 0 sacks Gregory Rousseau stats this year so far: 18 tackles 3 assisted tackles 3 sacks 1 interception. Jordan Phillips has yet to play a game but only had 10 tackles and 2 sacks last year. For comparison, Boogie Basham has 5 tackles and 1.5 sacks in 2 games this year. Yeah, right they added superstars and we didn’t 🙄.

It depends a lot on the type of bread, if it is a dryer bread, then 60-40 Jelly. If it is a moister bread, 60-40 peanut butter.

The bills are currently on pace to beat the record for point differential over a season to beat the Pats* 2007 record by about 50 points. With the pace they are on, even with 16 games, they would still be on pace to win by 29 points. To beat the record, the Bills would need an average point differential of about +17.5.

With the new additions and developments of some of our players, it is looking like some of our areas of weaknesses from a year ago have changed. No matter how good a team is, it still has ways that it can improve, and I am curious to see what we will need to add, particularly for next year. Qb: obviously Allen is great. Mitch is here on a 1 year deal, so we’ll likely to somehow add another backup next year. Rb: This position is definitely not a strength, but moss and Singletary have been adequate this year. Definitely a position that could be added to, but doesn’t need upheaval TE: Knox has been emerging as a TE1 so far this year, which has been one of the biggest changes. An upgrade at TE2 would be good, and I think a mid round pick would be well spent on a TE to develop, similar to Knox. Wr: Diggs is a good number one, Davis is a good #3-4. Beasley is still under contract, and likely will still be here. Sanders contract expires however, so I’d look to add to the Wr room, but I wouldn’t consider it a priority, as the core is still solid, and Davis still has a lot of upside OT: We’re set for starters at OT, with Dawkins, Williams, and Brown all capable. Some depth could be added. IOL: I would like to see some work on the interior offensive line this year in the draft, the trenches are extremely important, and an improved interior will help our run game to improve, which will help open the passing game more. Currently Morse, Feliciano, and Williams are adequate, but more picks ala Brown in the 2nd-3rd would be great for this team in the long run, to learn from these players and surpass them. DL: The balance has been great, and with further development by Basham, Rosseau, and Oliver, we won’t be needing Addison much longer. I could see Hughes being brought back. They could again use picks on the DL, but I suspect they would only use later round picks, unless they see a steal, but they may just bring in some cheap vet help. LB: This team is set at starting LB, just need some more added depth. CB: CB 1 and our slot CB are locked up, I would like Wallace back, but also in favor of bringing in some competition via draft or FA, also need depth. S: Locked up starters, need more depth here as well K: Bassomatic is here, we’re fine P: Could potentially be improved, but not the end of the world, we don’t punt much. LS: good old Reid is fine. After looking at this team, it seems the priority should be mainly accumulating depth this off-season, as well as looking to Improve (whether next season or down the road a bit) IOL Cb 2 TE 2 Wr 2? QB 2 I would be looking into the early rounds of the draft seeking to improve the interior offensive line and 2nd cornerback specifically.

The defense has been solid throughout McDermott’s time, with points allowed being in the top half of the league every year except 2018 (19th) and peaked at 2nd in 2019. Currently it is number 1 in points allowed. For yards allowed the team has been 4th in 2019 and 2nd in 2018. Except the new bills regime was not all on board for that draft. Beanie was not the Bills GM, so it does make sense that they needed more time for the QBs.

He was the leader of the defense that held a team to a net ~6 yards in one half, and shut out the Texans.

I'd say run Tre White on Hill all night and keep a high safety for help, as well as doubling Kelce when possible. Try to confuse Mahomes out of his reads so that he takes longer to get rid of the ball and we can test the O-line all game.

McDermott was here and definitely played a hand in all of those except for Hughes.

I agree, but Mack may also make that list

I think we’ll get over 500 points, but probably a little lower ppg than last year. I think defenses will be a bit better this year.

Wow, I had seen this clip a bunch of time and never knew it was Tre White.