mjt328

Not sure where you came up with the 85% stat. I looked at the current CB depth charts around the league, and that number should be around 25-30% (depending on if you count nickel guys as starters). Many teams still find starting corners into the 2nd, and sometimes the 3rd Round, depending on how deep a particular class is. It's definitely pretty sketchy after that point. I'll agree on the mock draft point. I've also gone through multiple, and have NEVER seen the consensus Top 4 guys (Derek Stingley, Sauce Gardner, Andrew Booth, Trent McDuffie) make it to our pick. Most of the time we are looking at Kair Elam/Roger McDuffie or going with another position. And most of the time, the BPA at #25 is a wide receiver. Until April 28 comes and goes, I truly believe that Brandon Beane will sign a veteran CB who can give us the ability to go BPA. Reaching for need is always a mistake. Moving away from the BPA strategy is one of the reasons most teams only contend for 2-3 seasons before falling off.

This feels like just another "Tremaine Edmunds sucks" thread. We get it. Lots of fans don't like having a Middle Linebacker who isn't a physical run-stuffer.

I like the idea of moving up.... but not the idea of trading away a 2023 first round pick. We didn't even give away two 1st rounders in moving up for Josh Allen. In my opinion, our best bet is to add another veteran cornerback with starting experience. Some have floated the idea of trading for James Bradberry. That would work. There are rumors we are interested in signing Stephon Gilmore. That would work. If we can go into April 28 without any glaring holes on our roster, we can pretty much sit back and let talent fall to us at #25. Looking at the numbers, a very good cornerback, wide receiver or guard is certain to drop. But if we are pigeon-holed into one position, we could be forced into a trade-up or missing out.

There is no way doctors will know this early whether Tre White will be ready. So if we don't do something before April 28... either signing a veteran or trading for a proven starter... I think Brandon Beane is going to be forced into reaching in the Draft. Maybe not in the 1st Round, but certainly by the end of Day 2. There are rumors of us facing off against the Rams on Opening Night. No way he is comfortable going against the Super Bowl champs with Dane Jackson and Cam Lewis as our starters. Don't forget that Beane admitted they were seriously considering a Cornerback early in the 2021 draft, but the value wasn't quite there. That was with Levi Wallace still on the roster, and White perfectly healthy. With our style of defense, I don't think Beane values cornerbacks quite as highly as some teams (he would prefer to invest money into the pass rush). But the situation has gotten pretty dire.

You aren't wrong. But there is a legitimate reason people feel this way... When it comes to our O-Line, Josh Allen makes up for A LOT of their struggles. Some of his best plays are those when the blocker totally whiffs, and he is chased out of the pocket. For the average fan, who really cares if our O-Line is allowing "pressures" if it doesn't result in sacks and we are still scoring 35+ points? That's why people who do in-depth All-22 studies of our O-Line generally have a lower opinion of this group than the general fanbase. I also think people would feel much better about Cornerback, if they knew confidently when Tre White would return. The problem isn't Dane Jackson. He did a really good job as the #2 last season when White went down. The problem is lining up Jackson on Week 1 with someone like Cam Lewis (or a rookie). And of course, the last image of our season is the secondary (without White) getting absolutely torched on multiple scoring drives.

Every draft, the experts throw around the concept of "high and low floor/ceiling" prospects. The idea is that some players come into the NFL more ready to play, but they don't really have the physical traits to become elite. Other players come in raw, and are bigger projects. They may struggle more at first. But if everything clicks in their development, they can eventually become among the league's best at their position. Back in 2018, it was Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold and Josh Rosen who were considered the most pro-ready by experts. Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson were the big projects, with tons of physical skill and raw as passers. Everyone recalls that Mayfield had the best rookie year (by far) and appeared to be a star in the making. Jackson looked great as a runner. Darnold flashed, despite being on the Jets. Only the people in Buffalo noticed some potential in Allen, while Rosen was a total flop. Fast-forward four seasons.... Allen is a Top 3 quarterback. Jackson is Top 10. Mayfield just got replaced. Darnold is already a backup. Rosen is almost out of the league. In my opinion, Mac Jones was the 2021 version of Baker Mayfield. He came into the NFL with good mechanics, and a solid mental grasp of the pro-passing game. He came from the biggest program in the country, and immediately went to play under Bill Belichick. He was inserted into an offense that put most of the pressure on the running game, and rarely asked him to win games by himself. Over the next few seasons, the pressure will be on Jones to prove himself as more than "middle of the pack." Defenses will realize that Jones doesn't have the arm-strength to make big throws, or the athletic skill to escape the pocket. They will focus on taking away the run game, and make Jones try to beat them. That's when the Patriots fans realize there is only one Tom Brady. And he doesn't play in Boston anymore.

Potentially huge impact for the Bills... both positive and negative. 1. Although this is probably the smart move (long-term) for the Chiefs, the loss of Tyreek Hill would be huge for their offense. With them being our biggest roadblock the last two seasons, I wouldn't mind seeing them get knocked down a peg. 2. Hard to say what kind of impact Hill brings to the AFC East. Miami has a pretty good team overall. But if he picks the Dolphins, Tua has a pretty weak arm and will struggle taking advantage downfield. Hill's talents fit better with Zach Wilson. But then he ends up on a terrible team. 3. The contract situation at Wide Receiver is getting pretty ugly. Stephon Diggs is under contract for 2 more seasons, but will almost certainly be pressing for a new deal before then.

To my knowledge, there have been no official updates on Tre White's recovery. Most people are making assumptions based on the typical ACL tear timeline for a professional athlete (which is usually between 10-11 months). Unfortunately, White's injury occurred on Thanksgiving in late November. Going by the average rehab time, it sounds pretty unlikely that he is back for the opening week. Yes, some players have made it back in 9 months. However, a more realistic outlook is probably sometime in October. I would be totally shocked if Brandon Beane doesn't add a veteran Cornerback with significant starting experience sometime in the next few weeks. Every year, he preaches going into the draft without glaring holes. That way he can go "Best Player Available" in each round, and not worry about reaching for a need position. We can't be a serious Super Bowl contender with Dane Jackson, Cam Lewis and/or a rookie as our opening day starters. After last year's draft, Beane also openly admitted that CB was a position he wanted to address (specifically in Round 2 when he took Boogie Basham). But the value just wasn't there when our pick came up. It's an even bigger need this year. Our depth chart at that position is pretty much the same... only with Tre White rehabbing an injury and Levi Wallace gone in Free Agency. There are still a few decent names left in Free Agency, and you would hope someone is willing to take a discount to play for a contender: Patrick Peterson, Joe Haden, Kyle Fuller, Stephon Gilmore (you never know), Xavier Rhodes, Janoris Jenkins, Chris Harris, Jason Verrett. Then you still have the rumors of James Bradberry available for trade.

Not every injury is season-ending. If your starter goes down for 3-4 weeks, you want an experienced guy who (hopefully) still gives you a chance. Mitch Trubisky and Case Keenum aren't franchise QBs, and unlikely to lead a Super Bowl run. But if you need them for a month to stay in contention, they could probably still win 50-60% of their games. You can't say that about a cheap undrafted free agent.

It's really a waste of time trying to "read the tea leaves" and guessing things like this. Even Brandon Beane has no idea who he will draft, in what rounds, or what positions... because he has no idea who will be available. Listen to what he said regarding last year's draft. He wasn't planning on drafting two Edge Rushers in the 1st-2nd Rounds. In fact, Beane admitted that he really wanted a Cornerback at some point. But the value just never matched up. That's why he likes filling all holes before the draft. Because if value doesn't match-up, you are either forced to reach... or you just never fill the hole.

Beane/McDermott just don't value the RB position very highly. I'm sure they would love to have an elite guy in the backfield. They just aren't going to spend a high draft pick, or hand-out a big contract to one. It's something very strange to most Buffalo fans. Just in my lifetime, I've watched three possible Hall of Fame backs play for the team in their prime (Thurman Thomas, Marshawn Lynch, LeSean McCoy). I've also seen the team draft guys like Willis McGahee and CJ Spiller in the 1st Round. That's not even mentioning guys like Travis Henry and Fred Jackson, who were very productive in the NFL.

The Bills have made some great Free Agency moves so far. But they still have some BIG holes that need addressing. Brandon Beane is not usually the type to go into the draft with huge needs leftover. But then again, he's not usually the type to sign someone like Von Miller. If the season was to start today: - Dane Jackson and Cam Lewis would be our #1-2 cornerbacks. Yikes. Most aren't expecting Tre White to return until at least October, maybe even November. So even if we add a 1st Round rookie, this would be a pretty ugly way to start the season. - Cody Ford would be our unquestioned starter at right guard, without even facing real competition in training camp. It's very possible we end up losing Ryan Bates (he has interest from three different teams). - Isaiah McKenzie would be our full-time starter at slot receiver. Although he's looked great in limited time, I'm not sure how I feel about that. Our offense relied heavily on Cole Beasley to draw coverage in the middle of the field and pickup key first downs.

Colts, Patriots and Steelers will be on the outside, unless they can upgrade at the QB position. The Bills seemed to take some games (which should have been easy) for granted last year. Hopefully they learned their lesson. If we take care of business and stay healthy, I don't see any reason we don't win the AFC East by multiple games.

My initial reaction is that all these stud QBs is going to make the AFC a gauntlet over the next several years. Which obviously wouldn't be good. BUT.... Looking at the AFC West and now AFC North, those teams are likely to create multiple losses for each other. Not all of these teams can win their division or even make the playoffs. Meanwhile, our in-division competition is the Patriots (Mac), Dolphins (Tua), Jets (Kyle Wilson). If we can figure out the teams in the AFC South, this is setup perfect for us to get the #1 Seed and Bye.

Crazy that Baker Mayfield was not included in this trade. Houston is left without a QB. Cleveland probably won't get max value for trading Mayfield, since teams know they NEED to get rid of him now.

Most would believe the Bills upgraded at O-Line coach. Ryan Bates was a better OG than Jon Feliciano down the stretch. And Rodger Saffold is likely an upgrade over Darryl Williams. Matt Breida was not our third down back. He was barely active last season. Patrick DiMarco hasn't been on the roster since 2019. This one is odd.

My guess is that we haven't heard about a couple restructures or extensions (Allen, Diggs, Dawkins, White, etc.) It's also possible that Miller's first year cap hit is extremely low, then skyrockets over the next two seasons. Without those two things, I don't think the Bills would have been compliant with the start of free agency. The bigger question is what this means going forward... Two guys that may be heavily impacted are Tremaine Edmunds and Dawson Knox. Both are set to be free agents next season, and it may be difficult to get both under the cap.

This exactly. Since the Kansas City game ended, there have been endless posts/comments about this year being the Bills "championship window" and they absolutely MUST win the Super Bowl in 2022 or it's pretty much time to clean house. I've even some posters who claim our window already closed the day Josh Allen signed his extension (because teams only win championships while guys are on their rookie contracts). Don't forget how long it took Sean McDermott's mentor (Andy Reid) to finally win the big one. Reid was an NFL coach for 21 seasons before winning the Super Bowl. His teams with the Eagles/Chiefs had gone to the playoffs 15 times, made it to the conference championship 7 times and to the Super Bowl 3 times.

It was definitely too early to make this statement. I thought so yesterday. But don't forget there are usually "stages" to free agency. The guys who sign in the first few days usually get the big contracts, since they are the highest in demand. There will be a point when the Jags, Jets, etc. run out of money. That's when the value deals will start popping up. Many guys will re-sign with their former teams, realizing the market wasn't as great as they hoped for.

Quick question... Let's say Beane decided to make a BIG move for an edge rusher in 2021. He either spends big money on a top free agent (J.J. Watt, Carl Lawson, Trey Hendrickson, Carlos Dunlap), or makes the mid-season trade to get Von Miller. Can you say without question that one of those guys would have made the difference in the Divisional Playoff game?

Beane's plan is to keep our Super Bowl window open as long as possible. By not going nuts in free agency, he can field a consistently competitive team for 10-15 years. The Rams strategy is different. They are fine with trading future picks for one-year rentals, and making big money splashes. Their window will be gone in under 5 years (probably less than that). Then they will pretty much need to rebuild. Not everyone agrees with Beane's strategy. But it's not going to change, so you might as well get used to it.

Impossible to make a judgment after (roughly) 48 hours. We all know that Brandon Beane does not believe in overspending and going crazy in Free Agency. The only exception was in 2019, when he had tons of cap space and most of his core players were on rookie contracts. Now that he's built the foundation of the roster, Bean's strategy is to: A) Build primarily through the draft B) Re-sign our own core players In free agency, he tries to find bargains at our biggest need positions. Not to land the biggest named guys available. He obviously does his due-diligence with those guys and makes offers. But if it becomes a bidding war with a bottom-feeder with tons of cap space, you can pretty much forget it. He simply moves on. Last year, Beane took a bunch of heat for doing "nothing" in free agency. Personally, I don't think our struggles were due to a lack of big FA signings. Maybe the team was more inconsistent week to week, but I would argue that going into the postseason the 2021 Bills had a better shot at winning the Super Bowl than in 2020. And we are expected to be a Super Bowl favorite again in 2022. Whether Beane's strategy succeeds or fails will depend on his draft picks. He invested highly in AJ Epenesa, Greg Rousseau and Boogie Basham... primarily because he knew they probably wouldn't have the cap space to land a big name. Let's see how those guys work out.

Isaiah McKenzie has never really gotten enough consistent offensive snaps to see what he's capable of. For the most part, it's been a gadget play here and there. I do know that against New England last year (2021) and the last game against Miami in 2020, he was pretty much uncoverable. Last year was also his first year as a returner. So he still has room for growth and improvement.

Every GM misses. Just like every QB has incompletions, every lineman misses blocks, every receiver has drops, etc. It's ridiculous to nitpick every single move that does not work out. The only real question is whether Brandon Beane is better than other NFL executives. If you cannot answer that question with an emphatic YES, then I will question your football IQ. The results speak for themselves. Before Beane/McDermott came along, the Bills were stuck in a 20 year cycle of mostly 6-7 win seasons. Since they took over, the team has made the playoffs 4 of 5 seasons, with the only miss coming with a rookie QB at the helm. They made the AFC Championship in 2020, were a coin flip away from going back in 2021 and are once again among the favorites for winning the Super Bowl in 2022. From the start, Beane/McDermott said they wanted to build primarily through the draft. Outside of rare occasions, they are not going to make a big splash in free agency. They are going to fill holes with mostly bargain guys, then develop draft picks to become the new cores of the team. And you really can't judge whether a pick is a bust or not, until at least Year 3. That's how long it took to get returns on Ed Oliver and Dawson Knox, and now they are key players on the roster. This regime has invested A LOT in the D-Line with draft picks. The plan was for them to play behind Jerry Hughes/Mario Addison for the first year or two. Let's see how this season plays out before we judge AJ Epenesa, Greg Rousseau and Boogie Basham.

Obada's contract was a good deal last year. He was a solid role player, who did OK in our edge rusher rotation. If he wants a higher salary and more years, let someone like Jacksonville sign him. Beane can easily replace his production with another DE at around the same price we paid last year.