
strive_for_five_guy
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Everything posted by strive_for_five_guy
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Wild Card date and time (rumor/speculation)
strive_for_five_guy replied to SectionC3's topic in The Stadium Wall
Agreed. At least we’ll be the home team if we both win, so won’t have to worry about travel and will have the home field advantage. -
New England has FIRED Jerod Mayo
strive_for_five_guy replied to Big Blitz's topic in The Stadium Wall
Mayo game days be delicious -
This is last year’s list of voters.
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Von Miller needs 1 sack for $1.5 million
strive_for_five_guy replied to Buffalo_Stampede's topic in The Stadium Wall
Cook has already broken 1,000 now, so got that going for us too. -
Yea, if we had only lost to one of our division opponents like the Ravens found ways to lose to the Browns and Steelers.
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Von Miller needs 1 sack for $1.5 million
strive_for_five_guy replied to Buffalo_Stampede's topic in The Stadium Wall
Heck, I’ll chip in! -
I wonder what Schefter’s bonuses are based on? Lame attempts to get attention and be relevant?
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Von Miller needs 1 sack for $1.5 million
strive_for_five_guy replied to Buffalo_Stampede's topic in The Stadium Wall
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Someone can try to make the case that Allen isn’t even top 3 for MVP, but they’d be wrong. You acknowledge yourself that no one means more to their team than Allen. When Hurts went out for the 2nd half against Washington, all the sudden Barkley did nothing, which further highlights that Barkley has needed Hurts to be as great as he’s been this season. Regarding Burrow, there has never been an MVP with 8 losses, only Barry Sanders was an MVP with 7 losses. Wins matter when it comes to being MVP. Even Burrow acknowledges he shouldn’t win MVP, as they aren’t even going to win their division. The only viable alternative MVP candidate to Josh is Lamar.
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Pat Surtain has become the recent DPOY favorite, around -200 currently. Do you think he’s got it locked up too, or would you say it depends how the games go tomorrow? I think that race is actually still wide open, and guys like Kerby Joseph and Andrew Van Gunkel still have some pretty juicy odds out there (like 25-1 and 30-1). But maybe Vegas knows the media is settling on Surtain as worthy at this point.
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Seems like a free ROI of 41%, right?
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They were, but that was after Week 16 last year. Then Lamar put up 5 TDs on Miami and a perfect passer rating in Week 17, and his odds went to the -20000 I shared. He was a lock at the end of last season. Josh’s odds are far from -20000.
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Lamar’s odds were -20000 heading INTO Week 18 last year, with Dak second at +1800. And they didn’t change much or at all after Week 18, to my memory, as he didn’t even play. This year the vote will be a lot closer than 49-1. https://syndication.bleacherreport.com/amp/10103361-nfl-2023-mvp-odds-tips-on-the-favorites-and-best-values-for-week-18.amp.html
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So Lamar is putting up better stats than Josh with a worse roster?
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I think voters have likely made up their mind already, but still pulling for the Browns to give Lamar some problems today. Myles Garrett is supposedly playing, so maybe he can cause issues?
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If I’m interpreting it correctly, Spotrac has us at 3rd most dead cap this season at $75M. $31M of that is Diggs, and then mostly of mix of the other vets that were released last offseason too. Heading into 2025, we’re sitting at 22nd with about $5.4M so far. $4.1M of that looks to be Tre White. So that’s another good point, right now about $70M less in dead cap. Really amazing what this team has been able to do this season so far, considering the cap situation.
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At his pace, he should finish with 30+.
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That illustrates my point. That’s what the hive mind has convinced themselves of, but the award is for the offensive player deemed to have had the most outstanding season. It doesn’t have to go to a skill player, but all the voters are going to vote for Saquon because they know they’ll be chastised if they don’t.
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I agree that a hive mind often exists, I’ll actually be surprised if Josh wins MVP in a landslide. A few voters have already gone on record this week that they’re leaning Lamar (Mina Kimes, Dianna Russini, at least one of the Athletic voters), so unless Lamar is horrible tomorrow, they’ll likely still vote Lamar. There’s a lot of voters that just haven’t gone on record, so some may feel the same about Lamar’s stats being arguably better than Josh’s, even though most of us Bills’ fans know all the reasons why Josh is the better MVP candidate this year. I think Josh wins it, but I don’t think it’ll be a landslide. Saquon for OPOY is a great example where hive mind exists though, IMO. Yes, he’s only the 8th RB in history to rush for 2,000 yards, but if we want to play the stats game, well for all those touting the historical greatness of Lamar’s stats, I think one could argue he is just as deserving for OPOY. But this hive mind thought says that OPOY is carved out for the skill players in recent years. Who says that needs to be the case?
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I don’t have the time to do it, but it’d be awesome if someone had a running tally of the known MVP voters, and the latest on who they’ve said is their MVP vote.
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I personally think we will whoop them when in our house. Pretty sure McD and Babich have a bad taste in their mouth from earlier this season and will have a masterful plan to stop the Ravens, plus we’ll have the crowd in our favor too. And Josh will want to show everyone what a real MVP does in the playoffs.
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Von Miller needs 1 sack for $1.5 million
strive_for_five_guy replied to Buffalo_Stampede's topic in The Stadium Wall
Will definitely be referencing this info.