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billsfan89

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Everything posted by billsfan89

  1. I don't think Trump was talking literally unless there is some context to prove otherwise. But I do think that if he loses the 2020 election I wouldn't expect him to go out quietly and peacefully. He questioned the results of the 2016 election he won (3 million illegals voted) and said that there was voter fraud before the election even happened. Do you think if he loses he isn't going to question the results?
  2. Brown will have an NFL pension at some point in his 50's which might give him a 6 figure salary given he has 9 credited seasons that might be his only income by then.
  3. Mike Tyson blew through more, if you are a bad with money it can go rather easily.
  4. I think they do intend to roll over 30-35 million in cap space out of the 90-100 they have to help their future extensions, but I also doubt they roll over 45-50 million. The window to win in the NFL is super short and Josh's rookie deal only has 2 years left before the hefty 5th year option. You can't be too conservative and roll over too much money at the cost of missing out on adding a piece or two to a roster loaded to win.
  5. I think a GM for Jacksonville would be wise to gut a lot of the roster and rebuild through the draft. The Ramsey trade was a haul of picks that could easily help facilitate a rebuild. I can’t see Yannick no a tag getting more than a 3rdround pick but it is a decent asset to add. I think they are likely to consider a full scale rebuild trading Campbell to a contender for a pick (I think he can fetch a mid-round and late round pick)
  6. I would take the over. I don't see this team which won 10 games (and could have easily won 11) winning only 8 next year.
  7. I think they franchise him then trade him, this has a Clowney situation written all over it.
  8. I don't see McBeane going after Cooper, he doesn't seem to be a process guy and I think the Bills only make one big move and I don't think it will be a 15 million aav or more signing but it will be more in the range of 10-12 million aav. I think McBeane's approach will be more likely to replicate the 2019 off-season and go after one upper level signing (10+ million) and then go after 2-3 upper mid-level signings (7-9 million aav) and then pepper in the rest of the needs with mid-level or lower signings (4-6 million aav or less.) I think they try to resign 2-3 of the team's primary free agents (Spain, Phillips and Lawson) and then make one solid splash before trying to fill 2 needs with upper mid-level signings and then go after depth and role players in the mid-range or lower level. Obviously the overhaul of the team particularly on offense won't be as drastic but I can see them targeting a big Edge defender in the 10-12 million range and a corner or LB in the 7-9 million range and then possibly a pass catcher in the 7-9 million range. Then going after a TE and RB in the mid range (4-6 million.) I think they then go WR 2 out of their first three picks and then BPA. I think that their goal is to retain talent, fill 2-3 holes in free agency and then fill the remaining needs via the draft and roll over 30-40 million to help ease the burden on extending contracts while not tying them down to more than one massive deal beyond 2021.
  9. I wonder what changed after the TD era in 2004 that the Bills really stopped being competitive in terms of spending to the cap? I know “cash to cap” was a formula that the bean counters high up used during the drought era but was that formula developed in 2005 or late? Why was Butler and then TD seemingly allowed to go above and beyond the cash to ca During the John Butler years the Bills remained super competitive even as they retooled and became a team driven by their defense in the late 90’s. And despite the lack of general success in the TD era from 2001-2005 the Bills were still a team that attracted a lot of free agents (Spikes, Sam Adams, Fletcher, and Miloy among others) and did have 8 and 9 win seasons in that time frame. They were also a team that was cap strapped at times showing that they were spending up to the cap. Then after the TD era ended in 2005 they entered into an insanely frustrating era from 2006 to 2014 when the team always had a ton of cap space even in years where they spent some money. The cap only became an issue after the 2015 spending spree. When and why was this team never spending to the cap for nearly a decade?
  10. If I am grading the picks after one year (based on impact in year one and long term potential) Ed Oliver- A: Rather obvious pick as he fell right into the teams lap and while I felt like Ed Oliver struggled at times in the middle of the season he finished the season strong. Really think he will ascend into a pro-bowl player in years 2 and be a possible All-Pro going forward. Cody Ford- B minus: Ford stepped in and played very uneven. He was outright bad at times but also played well at times, I think he finished the season somewhat strong. I think at worst he is able to kick into guard and be a borderline pro-bowl player or stay at tackle and develop into a solid player. I don’t think this pick will be looked at as a homerun but I think it will be a productive pick. Devin Singletary- A plus: Singletary far exceeded his expectations in year one, taking over the starting role and proving he can be a two down back and a threat in the receiving game. He reminds me of a very poor man’s Lev Bell (not as big or dynamic as a receiver as Bell but a similar type of player.) I can easily see Singletary handling the primary RB position for years to come at a pro-bowl level. Great value in round 3. Dawson Knox- B plus: Knox showed flashes of brilliance and looks the part of a tight end as an athlete. But he also showed signs of being very raw and in need of significant development. I think by year 3 or 4 he can be a top 10 player at his position. However for a 3rdround pick that kind of development timeline is hard to swallow and it is possible he never develops the full skillset needed to be more than a role player. Still to get a possible starter with great potential late in round 3 is a positive pick. Late round picks- B: The late round picks are mostly unproven players who were either on IR or riding the bench. But I think it is possible Joseph takes over the LB position in 2020 and the two Johnson’s could develop into effective role players or more. Not much if any impact in year one but some potential to help the roster in the next 2-3 seasons. Overall I would give the draft an A minus. It is a draft class that could produce up to 5 starters (Oliver, Ford, Singletary, Knox and one of the late round picks) which would be an epic draft. But even on the low end I think the draft will at least produce 2 high end pro-bowl caliber starters and is more likely to produce 3 starters with an outside chance at 4. But overall a positive draft hopefully with one more good draft this team will have a fully laid foundation to contend. A late third round pick none the less.
  11. Year three is make or break for Josh in my opinion (and a rather obvious statement) I feel that they will add a high degree of talent at the pass catching position and retain a strong O-line and ground game. Josh will have 2 years under his belt over 20 starts and a good amount of talent across the board. Josh has to ascend to being a top 10 QB or close to it in order for this team to be a serious contender and for Josh to show his viability long term.
  12. I think they are fine with Barkley as the backup QB. Wither or not they should be is another question entirely. But McBeane seems to be fine with Barkley. I think they might draft in the late rounds a QB in order to have that project QB that every team seems to want as a third string QB.
  13. I think the days of 50-200% increases in sports fees are over. But I don't think that the revenue for contracts coming up this decade are going to go down. They will still see 10-20% increases in revenue in their next deals. I think the sports that might suffer are the second tier sports like the MLS, Tennis, NASCAR, NCAA non-basketball/football, and the like. Those sports might see massive declines in revenue in sports deals but the NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL (in Canada at least) will still hold their values and just grow at a slower rate than the boom of the previous decade. But I think the move to a 17 game schedule is just not the right move. Teams making the playoffs are often beat up and careers are getting shorter. Adding an extra regular season game just is only going to make things worse opening up another game of wear and tear and injury.
  14. They are flushed with cash from the PSL's and season tickets scooped up by the casinos, they also have a ton of more opportunities with sponsorships from the casinos in Vegas and the new stadium. I don't think they would keep Gruden if he went 5-11 or worse three straight years. But I think that if he can float above 7 wins or not string together 2 losing seasons in a row he has a safe job there. I think it would be hard to justify him staying if he goes 5 or less wins three years in a row.
  15. Gruden is going to have to have 2-3 really awful seasons in a row before he gets fired. He stripped the team for parts his first year and won 7 games last season. He actually should be able to put them in a position to win at least 8+ games in 2020. They have 2 first round picks and 2 third round picks along with 60 million in cap space that could open up to 70-90 million in space depending on cuts and trades. I think they are fully committed to Gruden for 2 more seasons before they even consider pulling the plug.
  16. I can see them going WR in round 2 and 3 depending on how the draft falls. However I can't see them going RB if they pass on a WR round 1. I think they are more likely to go with a Edge defender or corner round 1 if they pass on a WR.
  17. There were a lot of mediocre coaches or coaches with far less proven track records who got jobs instead. Shows there is something wrong with the NFL coaching hiring process (Not sure if it is institutional or that owners are swayed by a lot of things that make no sense.)
  18. I ***** hate Limbaugh’s politics but I think what he did in helping to sensational news and news commentary is out right awful and the damage he did to the nations discourse is going to be felt for decades. That being said I can’t deny how much of an impact he had on broadcasting. He basically took the Imus/Howard Stern method of shock jock broadcasting and applied it to politics while adding in a false sense of urgency to help make the news seem more interesting. He really did find a way to sensationalize the news and bring a level of intrigue to it. I also can’t say that he deserves such a horrid fate as I would almost never wish this type of fate on anyone. But I do really think the like of him and the people who followed in his footsteps (Hannity, Mark Levin, Glenn Beck, Milo, and Steven Crowder) have irreparably damaged the nation by damaging the ability to have discourse and prioritizing intrigue of intelligent discourse and prompting a right wing victimhood mentality that is annoying as they will often proclaim themselves the victim of everything while complaining that their characterization of “The Left” are constantly proclaiming themselves to be the victim. That isn’t to say there aren’t bad actors on “the left” but I think Rush was the ground zero for a lot of what would turn the American right a lot farther right.
  19. The way I look at it is this team needs to fill 2-3 needs, retain at least 2 of the team’s 3 primary free agents, and roll over 30 million in cap space to help with future extensions of Milano, White, Dawkins, Poyer, and others. As far as “Taking care of our own” I want to see this team retain 2-3 of the major free agents (Shaq, Phillips, and Spain.) Personally I think all 3 have relatively equal value to this team (quality starters but none worth overpaying for considerably.) I think that you have to attempt to resign each one but you can kick Cody inside to replace Spain and find other free agents to replace Phillips and Shaq. While a modest overpay is considerable I don’t think they need to go crazy for either. My ideal off-season would be to cut Murphy and Kroft while adjusting Long’s deal to take a modest pay cut (thus kicking you up to 102 million in cap space) and then you would resign Spain, Shaq, Phillips and Kevin Johnson to deals that would occupy 24 million total (7.3 milion aav average for Spain, Shaq and Phillips and 2 million for Johnson.) Then with the remaining 78 million in cap space I think you can spend 38 million responsibly while having 10 million for the draft pool and 30 million in roll over. With the 38 million I would go after in the following ways. Sign Yannick 18 million aav deal. Fill the need for a big time edge defender and an upgrade to the edge pass rush. In one fell swoop you fill one of the team’s two biggest needs with a 26 year old player who is a difference maker. Sign a vet pass catcher to a short term deal. I think you don’t need to sign a big time player like Cooper or AJ Green but I think you need to find someone proven that can help add depth. Either a Hunter Henry or a Robbie Anderson type on a deal that is easy to get out of after 2021 or ideally a one year deal. I think you can afford to spend up to 10 million on this type of player as long as the cap commitment isn’t hard to get out of long term. Use the remaining 10 million to add depth. Beane has proven great at bargain hunting. He can get players sub 5 million aav and get them to be solid starters. Secondary type needs like bruiser RB, Linebacker, safety/corner depth, and other needs can be filled using this remaining cap space. Going into the draft you should have 2 big needs filled and a deep team. I would go with a WR in round 1, a corner in round 2, a LB in round 3 and a running back in round 4. Filling out the remaining needs of the roster.
  20. Let's say McD had the same run Reid had in Philly (5 Conference Championship games and a Super Bowl appearance, along with 9 total playoff appearances in 14 seasons and only 3 losing seasons) here in Buffalo fans would call him arguably the greatest coach the team ever had. I don't think anyone would be doubting his ability to coach the team. Yes after the Bills sustain success (thus fans get used to success) and keep failing the fans expectations will be higher and things will shift to questioning if McD would be the guy to take the team over the top. But I don't think most fans would call McD a bad coach and treat the team as though they suck. It's one thing to say Reid has issues with XYZ and those might hamper him winning a Super Bowl, but Philly fans acted like Reid was a hapless idiot who wasn't a good coach. I think Reid got a raw deal from Eagles fans as far as his work there. Yes you could argue they should have won a Super Bowl with that talent and that Reid maybe made mistakes in his tenure there that made the difference. But that also ignores the tremendous work Reid put into getting them into contention. Reid put together a great coaching staff, by 2001 he was the defacto GM thus he put together the roster he developed a lot of players on both sides of the ball, and he developed a great offensive system that kept them high up in offense despite not having an elite receiver beside TO and then later on Maclin and D-Jax. The work Reid did with the Eagles was tremendous and the fans to this day act like he was a terrible coach. Fair to say he had some flaws with things like game management, but to act like he was a clueless moron and anyone else would have won is just pure idiotic Philly fan mentality.
  21. 6 years 200 million with 135 guaranteed. Mahomes sets the market at 40 million which is 5 million more than the 35 million the next highest QB makes (Russell Wilson.) Mahomes has to not only top the market but top it considerably. I also think that while Mahomes could command a little more than 40 if he really wanted to apply the pressure he could get more but I think he doesn't want to over leverage his cap situation and make the team around him worse. Assuming they pay him 40 million plus there will be cap issues for sure. But if you have the best QB in the game that is such an advantage over other teams that it is worth taking on those cap issues and figuring the rest out.
  22. I am really happy for Reid, he was treated like such trash in Philly and until Mahomes was treated as a good coach who would never win a Super Bowl in KC. But now he wins the big one and his career which was already a HOF career is now cemented with a championship. Seriously if you talked to Eagles fans during Andy Reid’s years you would think the Eagles were complete trash during his era there instead of one of the most successful teams in the league.
  23. Carr's cap hit is only 21.5 million (which is modest for a QB who threw for 4k yards, 70% completion percentage and nearly 3 to 1 TD to INT ratio) and he is probably better than any QB on the market if not in the top 2. I think the Raiders could easily get a 2nd round pick for him. Assuming Dak is franchised and extended, what QB on the market is better than Carr? I can't think of many.
  24. The Vegas move has flushed them with far more cash than they anticipated due to casino money coming in at a higher rate than realized. The Vegas move also has them flushed with cash in sponsorships and various other opportunities they didn't have in Oakland. Cash will not be an issue for them at least not in the next 5 year as they are guaranteed sell outs at premium prices and will see so much more money in other avenues. I don't think the Mack move was motivated by money in all honesty. The very next season they were willing to pay AB about the same amount of money up front.
  25. The Raiders just sold out their PSL's and season tickets on their new stadium. Casinos buying up tickets basically gives them guaranteed money flowing. Cash is no longer an issue. Also it was more so rumored that Gruden didn't think Mack was worth the money as opposed to not having the money. After all they are paying Gruden 10 million a year.
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