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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Some of the information that was compiled is linked at the bottom of that tweet. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
You are correct that the universities are essentially running sweeps that are testing symptomatic and asymptomatic individuals. It's hard to know what the prevalency of those colleges are without knowing the fall admissions. However, we do have this number which dates back over a week ago. If you estimate that the average student admissions are about 10k for the fall semester (I'm totally guessing here) then the prevalency is about 10% or so. This also takes into account only ACTIVE cases. The country as a whole which takes into account the colleges and schools have steadily been dropping. Even in the face of all this, it's encouraging to seeing drops considering a statistically notable portion of them come from the universities. I would suspect that anywhere from 2-10% of these students had COVID previously that are not recorded in these numbers. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Florida now has COVID largely under control. Deaths should begin falling pretty rapidly over the next month.. Also, on a slightly unrelated matter. All these drops are happening in spite of the schools and the universities reopening. As far as I'm concerned, the college kids getting infected with the virus and staying largely quarantined to a degree with each other is not the worst thing that could happen. They'll eventually reach herd-like immunity and that will help protect their family members over the longer term. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Just another really good report. Deaths are all the way down to 731 a day (7 day moving average). Hospitalizations down and cases after pausing their descent for close to a week has resumed their precipitous drop. Makes somewhat encouraging that it has happened despite college and schools have been reopening. Hopeful about the outlook. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Another study that supports Cross reactive T cell Immunity herd like immunity. “Overall, these data suggest T cells are another level of population-level immunity against COVID-19.” “Seroprevalence data (antibodies to the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein) estimate that there may be 10 times more SARS-CoV-2 infections than the number of reported cases. Thus, it is possible that 40 million to 50 million (12% to 15% of the US population) to date may have been infected with a detectable serological response to SARS-CoV-2. ” If we are around 12-15% COVID-19 infection levels which I find to be plausible then we should be nearing our end. 6th inning. Get the vaccine out for seniors and those that have multiple underlying conditions and COVID will be squarely in the rear view mirror in 6-9 months. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I hadn’t taken the time to really look into why Madrid was going through a second wave whereas many other infected areas hadn’t. And I Saw this post from one of the many lefty COVID alarmists that was refuted by Berenson. The claim that the lefty COVID alarmist made was that the reason Madrid had a second re emergence and NY hadn’t was because according to this alarmist Madrid recklessly reopened whereas NY has a conducted a masterclass of a response. He then goes on to claim that Madrid had the same level of Antibody infection rates as New York. ”According to the findings, there was "substantial geographical variability," with antibodies found in 10% of samples from Madrid but just 3% of those taken from coastal areas.” At least now we understand why Madrid had their second wave, the first never reached immunity levels. The good news for them is that they are starting off about halfway to the required levels to burn out. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
This pretty much encapsulates my thoughts on the matter. The way I view the situation, if the T cell - herd-like assumptions aren’t correct, we have gone through the worst of it and most of the population centers have either reached immunity or aren’t that far off from it. Look at Sweden, they are virtually the only country in the world that is living life almost not quite at pre pandemic levels. No masks, social gatherings allowed, bars restaurants are open and they are averaging less than 1 death a day. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
They aren’t rising. This “analysis” is dip sh*t analysis. Here is where we truly stand. 7 day moving averages for deaths, cases, hospitalizations and percent positives are all considerably lower than they were a month, 2 weeks and a week ago. -
Chiefs fans boo Texans/Chiefs locking of arms display
Magox replied to Penfield45's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Doesn't bother me one bit. If some of the players feel compelled to make their stand, all power to them. Won't affect one iota how I view the game. On the other hand, if some fans want to show their disapproval by booing or boycotting, then all power to them, that is their right as well. This doesn't make the players who are showing their form of protest as some sort of radical group and it doesn't make the fans who want to boo or boycott racists. Each action has a consequence and I'm sure the players have thought this through and are willing to take a stand in for what they believe. -
I guess I'm out of the loop, what is the chip on his shoulder about? That Minnesota traded him and he took that as a slight?
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Surprised there wasn't a bigger increase in cases, deaths, hospitalizations etc. The next two days should give us a fuller picture but all considering this was another very good report. At this rate we should be hitting our lows in deaths sometime in October. -
I knew it was within you this whole time. The mask is off. Dark and seedy past
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Obama was unbeatable in 2008. The anti Bush fervor, 2 terms of Bush fatigue, the Great Recession, the most fawning press coverage in US history, Obama being a phenomenal campaigner coupled with McCain being a lousy candidate who didn’t know how to go on offense effectively equaled doom. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Some of us were way out ahead of this. I wrote a whole thread about it in April. With each and every passing day more and more data is pointing to the extended lock downs and extreme social distancing measures was the wrong thing to do with some states still applying them today. There are already more years lost in lives from draconian measures than years lost due to COVID. By the time it’s all said and done the number will most likely be by at least a factor of 3 and that would be a conservative estimate. -
Looks like the Antifa scum have made their way to Rochester and are most likely in it for the long haul.
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Looks like the insufferable BLM domestic terrorists are taking their Schtick to Pittsburgh, PA.
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Those are my suspicions as well. I would be surprised if we hit over 250k by the end of the year. -
Placing someone on ignore is not akin to suppressing speech. If I have a tv satellite package and I know that the content of certain channels is content that I have no interest in viewing then I have the option to not subscribe to that channel. You stated that people are placing people on ignore simply because they disagree with them and implied that goes against the principles of free speech. Over half the things you post in PPP I disagree with yet I have no desire to place you on ignore. Same goes with a number of posters that post here. Even though I disagree with many of your posts at least you and others are attempting to have a real conversation. You are engaging in debate that at least has proper motives behind an attempt at honest dialogue. Many of the new posters that have emerged over the past 3 months do not operate in good faith. They create new threads with no other motives than to troll. There is no honest debate or dialogue. Just look at all these accounts, they are brand new accounts that were just recently created and when you combine that with their trolling activity then why should I or for that matter anyone who wants to have an honest back and forth give them the time of day when we know they are a troll account? The ignore button is a feature of this board and helps reduce the rif raf.
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
Magox replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Deaths and everything else continue to go lower. Except cases even though it did drop nicely today. Hope that continues. I’m still confused by the JH model of expected deaths. They clearly don’t buy into the T cell + Covid herd-like immunity and believe in the older theory that it re emerges seasonally like the flu. I’m highly skeptical of that previous theory based on a number of factors. in any case, another good reporting day. -
I have gotta say, I'm surprised with what my expectations of Vosean Joseph was when we drafted him to the end result. I thought he had the makings of potentially being an even more athletic version of Milano. Disappointed that it didn't even come close to materializing.
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Not sure why Duke Williams got such a bad rap from many posters on this board but I think he has demonstrated that he belongs in the NFL. Not sure how he’ll get that many more opportunities With the Bills but I do think believe he is NFL caliber.
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I hope so. Sweeney is a good enough receiver to be in this league but if he wants to have a successful meaningful career in the NFL, I think he needs to become more proficient with his blocking. I get that, but he did have a disproportionate amount of penalties and from my recollection some of those penalties were devastating drive stoppers. I'm pretty sure he won't have a repeat of that again this year. If you remember, they weren't just holding penalties, they were also for pre snap penalties as well. Something that you wouldn't have expected from a vet like Lee.