Magox

Soledad is a horrible human being.

Deaths appear to have made their downward descent. Possible we hit below 1000 (7 day moving average) by Monday. 1027 - 1 week ago 1065

lol

By his logic we can call the virus throughout the country as the New York virus.

I know that you aren't much of a critical thinker and you prove that day in and day out. But are you seriously this mind numbingly thick-headed? The only analysis that you are ever able to provide is not your own but something parroted from mainstream analysts or sources such as the underlined portion. You don't have what it takes to understand that the huge disparity between NON COVID related deaths and COVID related deaths cannot be explained with your silly explanation. That somehow, there is a significant undercount of COVID related deaths of people age 44 and below. Do you not see how stupid that is? Seriously, do you not see that? We know that people who contract the virus below the age of 45 have a mortality rate of anywhere between .01% -.2% of dying....And you mean to tell me that there is an under count of anywhere between 100%-300% of the recorded COVID death count. GTFO. Go troll someone else. "Reason is not automatic. Those who deny it cannot be conquered by it. Do not count on them. Leave them alone."

More on the Excess deaths for people under the age of 44. If you look at this CDC table of people below the age of 44 - "COVID" related deaths have ranged each week from about 150 to 400 at it's peak. And if you look at the overall excess deaths for people below the age of 44 If you click on the link and you look at the grey line which is the line that shows the normal amount of deaths week by week for the age group you will see that the average deaths per week ranges anywhere from about 2400-2700 per week. However, if you look at the red line which is the excess deaths ranges from about 3400-3700 deaths per week. That is a delta of approximately 1000 more deaths per week than normal. According to CDC we have had about 150-400 deaths per week due to COVID in this under age 44 category - lets use a means of about 275. And you look at the overall excess deaths that is approximately 1000 per week, according to CDC. If you extrapolate the data according to CDC known COVID deaths to excess deaths, that is approximately about 725 excess deaths NONCOVID related per week vs 275 COVID deaths. Which is perfectly inline with the tweet that was previously posted. Of course, common sense told us that most of the excess deaths under the age of 44 would not be COVID related. Yet again, Shoshin is on the wrong side of the argument. Seems like this is an ongoing trend for him. And here is Berenson Making the same case but using different methodology.

We talked about it for months. This is COVID musical chairs and eventually just about every country will get their turn. The problem with sanitized studies is that they are conducted in controlled environments under the assumption of full adherence as if humans are robots. We know that after a while, unless you live in some authoritarian crack down-like regime controlled country, people will rebel and adherence drops. Especially when you know that the risks of COVID are nowhere near as bad as the media makes it out to be. Of course it's a tragedy, and that people are dying because of COVID, but many people realize that it's unfortunate that it got here but life must go on. Sweden had it right all along, they went against the grain under tremendous pressure and their assumptions were right whereas all the mainstream experts and media got it wrong. The amount of deaths that were predicted out of Sweden were incredibly high, much higher than the actual amount and now you have a country that has essentially reached herd-like immunity and the beauty of it all is that they didn't give up their freedoms. They applied common sense social distancing measures and believed in the data that they saw. Now you have all these other European countries that are getting hit again and here they are sailing into the future without having to worry about serious outbreaks. At least so it seems.

You have 0 common sense.

Sometimes you just have to use common sense in the absence of granular data. Unfortunately, common sense is innate and you either have it or you don't. The problem is you have too many linear thinkers who view things in a vacuum and are unable to see things from a 3 D perspective which is badly needed in such a tremendously complex issue such is this. If you understood the numbers and risks, you'd have to be a real fool to believe that COVID has taken away more lives from people under the age of 45 than the residual indirect related deleterious effects of stringent social distancing measures. With that said, look at what is beginning to happen in Spain, France and Germany. The parts of Spain and France that weren't hit hard are now beginning to get hit and Germany who for the most part was spared is now having their turn. Luckily for Germany, they will end up having good overall relative numbers when all is said and done because they were able to effectively be largely shielded from the virus on the first wave which is the worst wave. They'll get hit now, but I would be surprised if they end up with over 250 daily deaths. The people don't want to go back to these strict lock downs and mask usage is only going to help on the margins. It's inevitable as many of us have said on this board for months.

Yeah, I wear masks out of respect for others more so than anything else. And yeah, the virus most likely will stay with us for years but most likely it will become one of the cadre of human corona viruses that are already with us. My guess is that by spring of next year, the virus won't pose a significant threat with all the t-cell/antibody immunities along with the 50% of the population who will take vaccines. The worst part about all of this has been the insane responses from governments world wide, their actions while somewhat understandable early on will have caused more excess deaths and residual negative effects for people under the age of 60 than the virus itself. That is already being borne out in the numbers that are available to us. The question really remains is how many more deaths. And when you look at it from a years lost perspective, it's just been a complete disaster. Hopefully once time passes by and the politics is hopefully taken out of the equation there will be a full analysis on the overall impact of these crazy governmental responses.

You truly do not have any ability to digest information that is not spoon fed to you from mainstream sources.....

He’s such a tool. By his very own logic, we should all be calling it the New York virus since NY seeded the infections throughout the country.

We've seen by far the worst of the virus. First wave was the worst, this last one was considerably less deadly. Now it's highly likely that this will make new lows in the coming months and we'll probably get one more wave and it will be considerably less deadly than the one we just went through. Most likely it will hit some Northern and Midwestern cities, including San Francisco. But since a level of immunity has already been reached in some of them and they are not quite as large population wise along with even better therapeutics, I don't anticipate us hitting above 700 deaths per day (7 day moving average) during the fall or winter. Who knows? But that's my guess.

A sobering analysis of the excess deaths that the stringent social distancing measures are causing. It goes back to previous discussions we've had on excess deaths and how it's very likely that the Years Lost will be higher among people who indirectly died from COVID stringent measures as the Years lost to people who directly died from COVID. What a complete cluster $%#% . Just shows you that policy makers are morons.

Great news!

Deaths seem to now be on the downtrend after plateauing.

Yikes! Where is the enthusiasm?

NFL wide Tom Brady leads the Buccaneers to the playoffs and they have a top 5 offense New England Patriots make the playoffs with a wild card berth The New York Jets end up with no more than 5 wins The Arizona Cardinals make it to the NFC championship game Bills specific Josh Allen ends up with top 10 Passer Rating and Top 7 Overall yards gained Bills defense ends up top 3 in turnovers forced and top 3 in yards allowed Dawson Knox ends up with over 50 receptions and 700 yards receiving Bills end up with 12-4 record, win the AFC East and makes it to the AFC championship game

I know it's real early but the few deep passes I have seen him throw in practice he seems to be putting a lot of air underneath them. I thought that is what he would need to do to be more successful with his deep balls.

The economy is steaming ahead. Looks like Democrats are losing their negotiating leverage when it comes to the stimulus bill. If I were Trump, I wouldn't budge one bit at least not until Pelosi comes back to the table with drastically reduced expectations. Because even without, Trump was able to add $300 for UI benefits which is perfectly reasonable and will undoubtedly accelerate job gains much more so than $600 UI federal benefits.

Florida's confirmed cases have come down dramatically

I think the Bills ideally would like to see if they are able to draft someone or have someone in place that can replace him that plays at a similar level. But if they cannot do that and view him as an integral piece then I think an extension of 4 years $45 million with $25 million guaranteed would be what they would be willing to pay him.

Keep in mind they obliterated the curve because the virus obliterated Boston. They burnt out

Miami certainly is beginning to show signs of burnout. They must be really close to their peak in deaths