The #1 Key To Buffalo Going On A Playoff Run

[iwishitwerecolder]

I’ve done some thinking over the past week about the upcoming bills games, seeding, ect.. and there’s one blaring problem that prevents Buffalo from making a run in the playoffs. That problem has to do with home field advantage. It’s pretty clear by now we aren’t winning the division, the patriots likely have that locked up barring an utter collapse like the dolphins in 2023. But one thing sticks out to me, and is the fix to the problem that can propel Buffalo going on a run. It has to do with the 5 seed.. let me explain.

 

I have done some playoff generators and this is what I’ve concocted as the most likely/best case scenario for Buffalo (being the 5 seed)

 

1. Broncos/Patritos (flip flop it, it doesn’t matter to my point)

2. Broncos/Patritos (flip flop it, it doesn’t matter to my point)
3. (AFC south winner)

4. (AFC north winner)

5. Buffalo

6. (2nd place in AFC south)

7. Chiefs/3rd spot in AFC south/Chargers/ect.

 

The reason Buffalo needs the 5 seed is to have the chance to play the winner of the AFC north. It’s clear to everyone the AFC north is lacking right now, and with how the playoffs work and division winners ect, the ravens/steelers will likely be the 4 seed. Buffalo has an amazing record against the AFC north since Josh Allen has been at the helm, especially in the playoffs, being 3-1. (Loss vs cinci). If Buffalo can get the Steelers, or really, even the ravens in the first round it would be the dream scenario. While some on this forum may think I’m “thinking ahead too much”, or that Buffalo shouldn’t worry about who they play on their playoff schedule and to just “beat who they play”, I would have to disagree. The bills have struggled on the road in the playoffs, and with it being more and more likely by the passing week that Buffalo will be a wild card team, this is what is going to have to happen. The bills will need a weak wild card weekend opponent to make a run. Go Bills and thanks for reading

[Kelly to Allen]

18 minutes ago, iwishitwerecolder said:

I’ve done some thinking over the past week about the upcoming bills games, seeding, ect.. and there’s one blaring problem that prevents Buffalo from making a run in the playoffs. That problem has to do with home field advantage. It’s pretty clear by now we aren’t winning the division, the patriots likely have that locked up barring an utter collapse like the dolphins in 2023. But one thing sticks out to me, and is the fix to the problem that can propel Buffalo going on a run. It has to do with the 5 seed.. let me explain.

 

I have done some playoff generators and this is what I’ve concocted as the most likely/best case scenario for Buffalo (being the 5 seed)

 

1. Broncos/Patritos (flip flop it, it doesn’t matter to my point)

2. Broncos/Patritos (flip flop it, it doesn’t matter to my point)
3. (AFC south winner)

4. (AFC north winner)

5. Buffalo

6. (2nd place in AFC south)

7. Chiefs/3rd spot in AFC south/Chargers/ect.

 

The reason Buffalo needs the 5 seed is to have the chance to play the winner of the AFC north. It’s clear to everyone the AFC north is lacking right now, and with how the playoffs work and division winners ect, the ravens/steelers will likely be the 4 seed. Buffalo has an amazing record against the AFC north since Josh Allen has been at the helm, especially in the playoffs, being 3-1. (Loss vs cinci). If Buffalo can get the Steelers, or really, even the ravens in the first round it would be the dream scenario. While some on this forum may think I’m “thinking ahead too much”, or that Buffalo shouldn’t worry about who they play on their playoff schedule and to just “beat who they play”, I would have to disagree. The bills have struggled on the road in the playoffs, and with it being more and more likely by the passing week that Buffalo will be a wild card team, this is what is going to have to happen. The bills will need a weak wild card weekend opponent to make a run. Go Bills and thanks for reading

 

This is some solid work.

 

Ill be pretty on edge but optimistic wherever we go. No mahomes or burrow in the playoffs, idk I think this is probably as good as it gets

[transplantbillsfan]

Sorry I don't agree.

 

Buffalo having any path that doesn't include either the Ravens or Chiefs is the best possible path.

 

And yes. I watched the Houston game...

 

I'll take my chances with JA17 getting a 2nd chance against Houston over Lamar or Mahomes. Gimme the easiest path please. 

[iwishitwerecolder]

2 minutes ago, transplantbillsfan said:

Sorry I don't agree.

 

Buffalo having any path that doesn't include either the Ravens or Chiefs is the best possible path.

 

And yes. I watched the Houston game...

 

I'll take my chances with JA17 getting a 2nd chance against Houston over Lamar or Mahomes. Gimme the easiest path please. 

I’m more so speaking of the Steelers, but if it had to come down to it I’m picking the ravens whom we’ve beaten twice in the playoffs over the Texans.

[GunnerBill]

3 hours ago, transplantbillsfan said:

Sorry I don't agree.

 

Buffalo having any path that doesn't include either the Ravens or Chiefs is the best possible path.

 

And yes. I watched the Houston game...

 

I'll take my chances with JA17 getting a 2nd chance against Houston over Lamar or Mahomes. Gimme the easiest path please. 

 

Agree. Getting the #5 seed and being @ Baltimore in the wildcard is not a grest outcome. Whatever their struggles. 

[eball]

6 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

Agree. Getting the #5 seed and being @ Baltimore in the wildcard is not a grest outcome. Whatever their struggles. 

 

Typically I would agree, but it really seems as though the Ravens have been exposed as being not nearly the team many thought they were.

 

[SoMAn]

I would've simply said winning. 

[GunnerBill]

Just now, eball said:

 

Typically I would agree, but it really seems as though the Ravens have been exposed as being not nearly the team many thought they were.

 

 

They have a ton of injuries to key guys... and Lamar missed time and they are not deep. Their roster build is very different to ours... they are a stars and jags build we are a solid and depth build. 

 

But they are arguably as healthy now as they have been since week 1 when they looked pretty good to me. I still say that is the worst possible WC matchup.

[oldmanfan]

I think the Chiefs don’t make the playoffs so not concerned about them at all.  I’ll take the Ravens ideally because Jackson will choke in the playoffs like he always does.

[DanM]

McDermott and Josh have not won a road playoff game.  Denver dl is a killer at home.  I don’t see this team stopping them while is Josh is waiting for one of these slugs to get open.

[SoonerBillsFan]

New OC.  That's our path, but we didnt fire him during the bye week so...

[Gregg]

With this defense they aren't going on a playoff run. Beane needs to build a stronger team around Allen. Get him a legit WR 1 and WR 2. Build a better defense. These are "Captain Obvious" statements I am making but they are the facts. Until this happens the Bills aren't going on a playoff run and another year of 17's career without a Super Bowl appearance and championship.

[All_Pro_Bills]

Protect the football. In 4 losses the Bills have turned the ball over 11 times (NE = 3, Atl = 2, Mia = 3, Hou = 3). That's losing 11 possessions and scoring opportunities and giving the opponent points of turnovers chances. 2 of 4 of the losses were one score games. Lose the turnover battle on the road in the playoffs and its an early off season.  

[SectionC3]

59 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

 

They have a ton of injuries to key guys... and Lamar missed time and they are not deep. Their roster build is very different to ours... they are a stars and jags build we are a solid and depth build. 

 

But they are arguably as healthy now as they have been since week 1 when they looked pretty good to me. I still say that is the worst possible WC matchup.

Even if we were to beat BAL in the WC round, they're a physical team and I don't like the prospect of then traveling to potentially play the #1 seed coming off of a bye.  

[MikePJ76]

We could see this coming for over a month.  One way or another the bills are going to end up in Baltimore.

 

if they are healthy, they have always been excellent at home in prime time games.

 

having said that the bengals just whipped them in Baltimore in prime time so maybe they just don’t have it this year. 

[strive_for_five_guy]

34 minutes ago, Gregg said:

With this defense they aren't going on a playoff run. Beane needs to build a stronger team around Allen. Get him a legit WR 1 and WR 2. Build a better defense. These are "Captain Obvious" statements I am making but they are the facts. Until this happens the Bills aren't going on a playoff run and another year of 17's career without a Super Bowl appearance and championship.

I actually think if the Defense can avoid too many more injuries, they’re starting to turn a corner.  The secondary has stabilized, and Shaq Thompson is playing way better than Bernard was.  If the likes of Bosa and Oliver can be healthy by the playoffs, even the D Line has the chance to get better.

[Magox]

There are signs of the Bills defense beginning to show up on a slightly more consistent basis over the past 6 weeks.  If the defense can begin putting up these better defensive performances on a more consistent basis and if the Bills can get healthier with Palmer and Kincaid coming back to the fold and if Josh Allen can get into the zone, which if we are going to be honest here, he has not been at his best (albeit still relatively pretty good) then I think the Bills can do it.   That's a lot of ifs but often times for teams to win a super bowl a lot of ifs usually have to happen.

 

In regards to who we play, I don't think it really matters that much.  If the Bills are on, then they should be able to handle any of those teams, if not then they will lose to any of them as well.

[SoonerBillsFan]

47 minutes ago, Gregg said:

With this defense they aren't going on a playoff run. Beane needs to build a stronger team around Allen. Get him a legit WR 1 and WR 2. Build a better defense. These are "Captain Obvious" statements I am making but they are the facts. Until this happens the Bills aren't going on a playoff run and another year of 17's career without a Super Bowl appearance and championship.

It still gets me to this day how GM's and Coaches ignore the obvious.

[PaattMaann]

The #1 key to going on a playoff run is our health heading into the playoffs and then staying healthy throughout. Seeding does not matter. Opponent does not matter. Every year we have been knocked out of the playoffs it has been largely because of who was NOT available in the game. 

[Sweats]

I want nothing to do with the Ravens or KC, so any possible scenario that takes them out of the equation is fine with me.