Buffalo716 Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 (edited) It's this time of year ladies and gents Open for NFL lines and college football... This is not for longshot parlays or asinine bets ... Let's try and make TBD patrons some money this season... Well thought out plays I will only be posting my locks throughout the season .. games that I'm only betting myself that I'm confident I had bills +5.5 today.... College football week 1... I am betting the house Oklahoma vs Arkansas state ... OKL -33.5.... yes I know it's a large spread But I'm predicting 55-10 OKL Nebraska vs Minnesota under 46.5 I'm very confident on the 2 college picks And I will look at the NFL spreads over the next 2 days Edited September 15, 2024 by Buffalo716 2 1 Quote
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 I don’t see a line avail blue for the next game against the Steelers . But anything more than a TD in a preseason game seems ridiculous. I am contemplating a large wager on the Jets to win the division. Nothing would piss me off more this year. also contemplating a parlay of Bills, Cheifs, Bengals and Jags to win division. Quote
Buffalo716 Posted August 13, 2023 Author Posted August 13, 2023 (edited) On 8/13/2023 at 6:51 AM, Sammy Watkins' Rib said: I don’t see a line avail blue for the next game against the Steelers . But anything more than a TD in a preseason game seems ridiculous. I am contemplating a large wager on the Jets to win the division. Nothing would piss me off more this year. also contemplating a parlay of Bills, Cheifs, Bengals and Jags to win division. Expand The opening line I saw was - 14.5 buffalo... Unless it's a glitch from last seasons game for some reason ... It says August of 23... It seems so high it has to be a glitch I will scratch that for now Edited August 13, 2023 by Buffalo716 Quote
eball Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 I’m 2-2 this weekend…lost Pats* and Ravens, won Bills and Steelers. I’ll participate in this thread during the season. I like to have action going on Saturdays and Sundays. 2 Quote
Pine Barrens Mafia Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 On 8/13/2023 at 11:19 AM, eball said: I’m 2-2 this weekend…lost Pats* and Ravens, won Bills and Steelers. I’ll participate in this thread during the season. I like to have action going on Saturdays and Sundays. Expand You bet on preseason? Yikes 1 1 Quote
eball Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 On 8/13/2023 at 11:24 AM, Pine Barrens Mafia said: You bet on preseason? Yikes Expand You betcha. There are definite trends and angles to take advantage of. 1 Quote
Chaos Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 On 8/13/2023 at 6:43 AM, Buffalo716 said: I had bills +5.5 today. Expand Shall we be reporting more bets in hindsight. I am super good at those. 3 1 Quote
BillsShredder83 Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 (edited) On 8/13/2023 at 12:01 PM, eball said: You betcha. There are definite trends and angles to take advantage of. Expand I hit on Moneyline upsets 2 weeks in a row. Browns in the HOF game, and then Cards Friday night. MY CURRENT INTRIGUING LONGSHOT'ish PICKS: I was going to put in a small wager for Tua CBPOTY at +2000, still might. Those odds are so high, and I could see a small but decent chance that theres some Hamlin fatigue by the time votes come, especially if Tua has a good year. I think Hamlin wins, but its not unraesonable to think Tua is the much more valuable CBPOTY. If Tua stays healthy and has a good year, I think he should win based on his on the field play, but thats not really how its been voted on as of late Also, McDermott at +4000, has the 3rd longest odds. If we were to win it all, McD is also the D Coordinator. I dunno, $20 to win $800 has enough intrigue to look over the flaws of the idea for me Edited August 13, 2023 by BillsShredder83 1 Quote
JerseyBills Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 On 8/13/2023 at 6:43 AM, Buffalo716 said: It's this time of year ladies and gents Open for NFL lines and college football... This is not for longshot parlays or asinine bets ... Let's try and make TBD patrons some money this season... Well thought out plays I will only be posting my locks throughout the season .. games that I'm only betting myself I had bills +5.5 today.... College football week 1... I am betting the house Oklahoma vs Arkansas state ... OKL -33.5.... yes I know it's a large spread But I'm predicting 55-10 OKL Nebraska vs Minnesota under 46.5 I'm very confident on the 2 college picks And I will look at the NFL spreads over the next 2 days Expand Good luck. Should keep this thread up , so we can share what picks everyone likes 2 Quote
Bangarang Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 On 8/13/2023 at 11:24 AM, Pine Barrens Mafia said: You bet on preseason? Yikes Expand Bills were +3.5 yesterday. It was the easiest money you’ll ever make. My only regret was not betting more. 1 Quote
Sammy Watkins' Rib Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 On 8/13/2023 at 6:04 PM, BillsShredder83 said: MY CURRENT INTRIGUING LONGSHOT'ish PICKS: I was going to put in a small wager for Tua CBPOTY at +2000, still might. Those odds are so high, and I could see a small but decent chance that theres some Hamlin fatigue by the time votes come, especially if Tua has a good year. I think Hamlin wins, but its not unraesonable to think Tua is the much more valuable CBPOTY. If Tua stays healthy and has a good year, I think he should win based on his on the field play, but thats not really how its been voted on as of late Expand interesting. I just don’t think Tua qualifies though IMO. He missed a few games but not that many. Of course on the flip side Hamlin missed even fewer games than Tua. But drastically different degrees of injuries of course. My guess would be Odell would win before Tua. Then you have Kyler Murray, Stafford, Von Miller. 1 Quote
NewEra Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 On 8/13/2023 at 11:24 AM, Pine Barrens Mafia said: You bet on preseason? Yikes Expand I’ve been betting on preseason games for 10+ years. I usually bet on the backup QBs. Chase Daniels has won me a good chunk of change Quote
Buffalo716 Posted August 13, 2023 Author Posted August 13, 2023 On 8/13/2023 at 11:24 AM, Pine Barrens Mafia said: You bet on preseason? Yikes Expand Lines are a little often preseason and sharps make good money On 8/13/2023 at 4:55 PM, Chaos said: Shall we be reporting more bets in hindsight. I am super good at those. Expand I actually posted in the bills thread that I was betting the bills plus 5.5 days before the game Quote
MasterStrategist Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 Betting most preseason underdogs is usually a good way to go. Spreads are a random number generator in the preseason. I typically look at OL, DL, and Qb depth. I think Bills will be a dog heading to Steelers, plan to go moneyline again. 1 Quote
Buffalo716 Posted August 13, 2023 Author Posted August 13, 2023 (edited) On 8/13/2023 at 7:46 PM, GoBills808 said: definitely fading this thread Expand I hit 75% of my bets last season on the money line Obviously not spread ... But I didn't do bad on the spread either Edited August 13, 2023 by Buffalo716 1 Quote
GoBills808 Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 On 8/13/2023 at 7:53 PM, Buffalo716 said: I hit 75% of my bets last season Expand No you didn't lol the pros are lucky to hit 60% Nobody wins 3/4 of their bets, it's impossible 1 Quote
Buffalo716 Posted August 13, 2023 Author Posted August 13, 2023 (edited) On 8/13/2023 at 7:56 PM, GoBills808 said: No you didn't lol the pros are lucky to hit 60% Nobody wins 3/4 of their bets, it's impossible Expand Not if you play money line also There are 50 college football games every week . You can bet teams that are -350 moneline... Massive favorites Hawaii vs Stanford ... Stanford -350... I'll just put $2,000 on that money line. Thats an easy 450 bucks And yeah 70% of those bets hit Friend has been an Oklahoma booster for 25 years and he makes $50,000 a year gambling college football I was 13 and 3 on the bills money line last year lol I took them to win every game Now if I just strictly play the spread I'm not hitting at a 70% clip... But you can pick money line games that are almost guaranteed to hit you just won't get a good return Edited August 13, 2023 by Buffalo716 2 1 Quote
GoBills808 Posted August 13, 2023 Posted August 13, 2023 On 8/13/2023 at 8:06 PM, Buffalo716 said: Not if you play money line also There are 50 college football games every week . You can bet teams that are -350 moneline... Massive chance to win Hawaii vs Stanford ... Stanford -350... I'll just put $2,000 on that money line And yeah 70% of those bets hit yearly Friend has been in Oklahoma booster for 25 years and he makes $50,000 a year gambling college football Expand Look I was mostly just joking originally but if there are people looking for advice on wagers you might as well tell them the truth Moneyline favorites do not win enough to be profitable 1 3 Quote
Buffalo716 Posted August 13, 2023 Author Posted August 13, 2023 (edited) On 8/13/2023 at 8:10 PM, GoBills808 said: Look I was mostly just joking originally but if there are people looking for advice on wagers you might as well tell them the truth Moneyline favorites do not win enough to be profitable Expand Absolutely.. and I was going to add that you're not going to make a lot of money on the money line... I usually parlay my money lines Unless you're betting underdogs, then there is some money But if you pay attention there's always a groove you can ride during the season @GoBills808who do you like week 1 CFB (spread) Edited August 13, 2023 by Buffalo716 1 Quote
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