ogham26 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 florida is over. georgia probably 30 minutes away from being trumps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YoloinOhio Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 So I’m guessing I’m the only person listening to podcasts previewing Ohio state - Rutgers tonight 12 minutes ago, Haze_21 said: Trump will win Florida but Ohio looks bad for him and so do suburban white types that are more relevant in the rest of the country vs florida latinos with a lot of cubans They are counting absentee voters first so I always thought Biden would lead Ohio early. Not sure he will win it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daz28 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, ogham26 said: florida is over. georgia probably 30 minutes away from being trumps This guy nailed it: https://nationalfile.com/democrats-panic-over-miami-dade-voter-turnout-after-gop-ahead-in-early-voting/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 (edited) Florida was always going Trump. Once Barry and Biden (and by extension, Hilly) cozied-up to Castro, it was all over. That's why when Biden talked about Trump cozying-up to dictators, Trump should have mentioned that. But apparently he didn't need to because Cuban ex-pats remembered. Edited November 4, 2020 by Doc 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristocrat Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Trump lead increasing Florida. 4-5 percent swing off the polls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ogham26 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 onto NC, OH, and NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daz28 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, Doc said: Florida was always going Trump. Once Barry and Biden (and by extension, Hilly) cozied-up to Castro, it was all over. That's why when Biden talked about Trump cozying-up to dictators, Trump should have mentioned that. But apparently he didn't need to because Cuban ex-pats remembered. I rarely agree with Tucker Carlson(I used to more many years ago), but he's right about how the media collects, represents and presents polling data. A super rare +1 for TC. He's making more sense now, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 Wow, Trump wins West Virginia! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doc Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, daz28 said: I rarely agree with Tucker Carlson(I used to more many years ago), but he's right about how the media collects, represents and presents polling data. A super rare +1 for TC. He's making more sense now, too Polling data is only as good as the sample. And the "wary Trump supporter" is very real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFanNC Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 You don't say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 if Trump loses OH and PA it’s all over 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 North Carolina, looking good I said NC would be the stake in the heart of Trump 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daz28 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Doc said: Polling data is only as good as the sample. And the "wary Trump supporter" is very real. The point is for any polls to seem legit statistically, they should have random results, but they don't. There shouldn't be ANY bias in poll results, yet they routinely come up along partisan lines. They should also come with a rating for accuracy by past predictions, not by margin of error. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiotAct Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, Tiberius said: Wow, Trump wins West Virginia! and Tennessee!!!!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ogham26 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 anyone with thoughts on virginia? Trump is out performing 2016 numbers and yet its been called early.. biden likely does take it but i think its close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YoloinOhio Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, RiotAct said: if Trump loses OH and PA it’s all over PA has only counted 4.3% of votes so far but it looks lopsided 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daz28 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 It will be big for both parties to understand how to sway people who voted for their candidate this time that voted for Gary Johnson last time. The margins are razor thin, so those votes matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beast Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Obviously, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin will probably decide this. 5 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said: PA has only counted 4.3% of votes so far but it looks lopsided Not a surprise because that’s the early vote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Beast said: Obviously, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin will probably decide this. Not a surprise because that’s the early vote. If Bidens lead in NC holds, it’s over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daz28 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Tiberius said: If Bidens lead in NC holds, it’s over Conversely, with early voting already tabulated, and only in-person voters remaining, this could lead to a pattern all through the night. That will be frightful. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeGOATski Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Ohio is big too, right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daz28 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, LeGOATski said: Ohio is big too, right? With Trump having FL already they're ALL big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daz28 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 11 minutes ago, Tiberius said: If Bidens lead in NC holds, it’s over I'm doing a little scratch sheet to see if theres' a pattern in the later vote reporting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristocrat Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Trump down in NC but still expected to win? Looks like it’s gonna be close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 Texas looks like a Trump State. Biden is ahead but all those rural areas have not reported Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spartacus Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 red wave starting to roll Trump in rout in EC and wins popular vote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ogham26 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, Tiberius said: Texas looks like a Trump State. Biden is ahead but all those rural areas have not reported texas wont be close by the end of it easy trump win. maybe in 20 years when more people from california show up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daz28 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, spartacus said: red wave starting to roll Trump in rout in EC and wins popular vote The next hour or two will tell us a lot. Right now the in-person voting seems to be favoring Trump. If Biden holds on to these leads over next hour or so may tell it all. 1 minute ago, ogham26 said: texas wont be close by the end of it easy trump win. maybe in 20 years when more people from california show up Biden will prob get a better % than Hillary, tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ogham26 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, daz28 said: The next hour or two will tell us a lot. Right now the in-person voting seems to be favoring Trump. If Biden holds on to these leads over next hour or so may tell it all. Biden will prob get a better % than Hillary, tho i would expect texas to turn a better D vote every 4 years yes. In the future (20+ years) republicans will need to takeover michigan,wisconsin,PA as safe states Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristocrat Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, spartacus said: red wave starting to roll Trump in rout in EC and wins popular vote Need to close Carolina before making that call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daz28 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 McConnell pounded McGrath. Lotta wasted money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristocrat Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Trump closing the NC race. 20 percent left Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, aristocrat said: Need to close Carolina before making that call Trump really closing gap in NC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ogham26 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, aristocrat said: Need to close Carolina before making that call agreed NC is closer than i expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daz28 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Tiberius said: Trump really closing gap in NC Starting to smell like red wave. Hope I'm wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beast Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Man this is going to be a long night for us all. Nice to see civility here. I was debating not checking in. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daz28 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Beast said: Man this is going to be a long night for us all. Nice to see civility here. I was debating not checking in. If Biden did get out a good message it's that we're all Americans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beast Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, daz28 said: If Biden did get out a good message it's that we're all Americans. More importantly Bills Fans. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tiberius Posted November 4, 2020 Author Share Posted November 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, daz28 said: Starting to smell like red wave. Hope I'm wrong Aside from Ohio which is looking good and Blue ....so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aristocrat Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 New York Times showing trump lead getting larger in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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