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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19


Hedge

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7 hours ago, GG said:

 

The obvious reason is to control the black market for these scripts.  Don't want it to turn into another oxy fiasco with unscrupulous MDs and pharmacists  

Wouldn't banning prescriptions increase the black market value and the chance that unscrupulous doctors write bogus prescriptions? It you can't get it through scrupulous sources how else will you get it?

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4 minutes ago, jrober38 said:

 

We do know where it's going to some extent.

 

Maybe not exactly, but all the experts on this subject matter expect it to get exponentially worse over the coming weeks. 

 

If by Monday night the US sees 30,000 new cases there will be hundreds of people dying every day. 


Why are you so preoccupied with doomsday scenarios? Just in this thread you have predicted hospitals will be overwhelmed, people will be dying in the hallways, and millions and millions of people will die.

 

Honestly, you have no idea on earth what will happen, so why do you consciously choose to go there?

Edited by billsfan1959
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5 hours ago, Deranged Rhino said:

 

Yup. So much of the past several weeks don't really add up. There's a lot we're not being told is my bet. 

 

I was thinking that they were holding back info too, until the noon presser.

 

It dawn on me that they have been telling us right from the start.

 

We don't have the medical infrastructure to handle the number of patients that we would have had if they hadn't limited interaction. How many of the deaths in Italy are now because they are overwhelmed?

 

If this thing really lives as long as they are saying (17 days) can you imagine how many people could be infected by a single shopping cart?

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3 hours ago, GG said:

 

You must be using a different definition of accelerating, because the increase in US daily cases has declined from the 40% range to under 20%.  That's the number that the "experts" focused on when they were screaming about the pandemic spread and throwing out doomsday scenarios.  There may be a slight uptick in US growth due to spikes In LA, and MA, but that also means that NY growth is slowing big time.

 

In any event focusing on cases misses the bigger picture of the severity of the infections, which is far more important, and is also getting better in NY.

 

But fear mongering works far better, doesn't it?

 

Yeah, no big deal...

As I believe you have argued on other issues, 40% from a low base vs 20% from a high base.  So, 40% at 10,000 cases vs 20% at 100,000 cases is a difference of 16,000 more in the latter.  The metric should be focused on the when the number cases (you can focus on severe, but there is a good relation between the two) per day is starting to decline.  We are not close to getting to a situation in most urban areas where we can get back to business as usual.  The guy just can't help himself though to focus on that...

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24 minutes ago, jrober38 said:

Maybe not exactly, but all the experts on this subject matter expect it to get exponentially worse over the coming weeks. 

 

Who, exactly, are these experts and where are you getting their data?

 

Don't mean to be prodding, but I've spent years hearing how 'all the experts on this subject matter' insist global warming will destroy the earth in 12 years.

 

So, please show your work if you don't mind.

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COMMENTER BART HALL POSTED ON FACEBOOK:

 

Truckers are saying “***** the log rules, I’m hauling” and they’re getting supplies to the stores. People are stocking the shelves all night and letting old people shop first. Folks are buying meals for truckers, who (obviously) can’t go through the drive-ups. Asking ’em what they want, then buying it for them.

 

Carnival Cruise Line has told Trump “We can match those big Navy Hospital ships with some fully staffed cruise ships”.

 

GM and Ford have said “hold our cars and watch this — we can make ventilators where we were just making car parts, starting next week” — by re-engineering seat ventilators which their engineers hacked together for a new purpose. In under a week.

 

In a project with which I’m loosely associated, a very-effective agricultural disease-control agent was re-purposed and re-labeled specifically for Corona-virus control by the FDA and EPA in under ten days, from initial request to distribution.

 

Restaurants and schools have said, “we’ve got kitchens and staff; we can feed the poor kids who used have school lunch.”

 

NBA basketball players have said, “Hold our basketballs while we write checks to pay the arena staff.”

 

Construction companies are saying, “Here are some high-end masks for medical staff and doctors”.

 

Distilleries are making sanitizer out of distilling “heads and tails” which are normally discarded. Nasty ***** to drink, but effective sanitizer.

People are tipping grocery check-out clerks and thanking them for taking the risk.

 

Local, state, and county governments are taking control of everything the feds cannot do. Some are doing it wrong, but for the first time in decades … they’re doing it. Federalism is re-emerging, and the smallest unit of government is the individual and the family. This, too, is re-emerging after decades of dormancy.

 

As Japanese Admiral Isokuru Yamamoto said, after Pearl Harbor … “I fear all we have done is to awaken a sleeping giant and fill him with a terrible resolve.”

 

I sense this has just happened. We have a wonderful country, the greatest single force for good in all human history.

 

We have closed our borders, with good reason, yet we have top medical people now assisting North Korea in their response to the virus.

 

Many things have been re-set, and will never be the same.

 

By microbiological accident, we are living in profoundly transformative historical times.

 

 

 

Indeed we are.

 

https://pjmedia.com/instapundit/362781/

 

.

 
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I just did something I urge everyone do when you have a few minutes. I first went back to the very beginning of this thread, on January 23rd...by Hedge. Then I went back a few pages to the old Impeachment trial thread to see what the congress, was focused on that day. On January 23rd the Democrats were fumbling their opening arguments in their waste of time impeachment circus! Unbelievably irresponsible behavior by these geniuses that surely getting intelligence briefings about what was happening in China on the SAME DAY!!!. Now we know that Nancy, Adam, Chuck and Jerry simply didn’t care! In fact Nancy’s infamous stunt to delay bringing the articles pushed the entire circus right into the heart of the Covid 19 danger zone. Nice work from those we’re all being told to listen to now. Ugh!

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1 hour ago, CarpetCrawler said:

If the US did an "insane amount" of testing, our death rate would drop too. The numerator is easy to track, the denominator varies based on testing and reliable results.

 

It sure would. That's what we need to get back to work!

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1 hour ago, SoCal Deek said:

I just did something I urge everyone do when you have a few minutes. I first went back to the very beginning of this thread, on January 23rd...by Hedge. Then I went back a few pages to the old Impeachment trial thread to see what the congress, was focused on that day. On January 23rd the Democrats were fumbling their opening arguments in their waste of time impeachment circus! Unbelievably irresponsible behavior by these geniuses that surely getting intelligence briefings about what was happening in China on the SAME DAY!!!. Now we know that Nancy, Adam, Chuck and Jerry simply didn’t care! In fact Nancy’s infamous stunt to delay bringing the articles pushed the entire circus right into the heart of the Covid 19 danger zone. Nice work from those we’re all being told to listen to now. Ugh!

The president oversees the departments that respond to this, but carry on...

5 minutes ago, Deranged Rhino said:

 

Yes, it will take the heat off the administration's poor response after closing off China.

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1 hour ago, TPS said:

Yeah, no big deal...

As I believe you have argued on other issues, 40% from a low base vs 20% from a high base.  So, 40% at 10,000 cases vs 20% at 100,000 cases is a difference of 16,000 more in the latter.  The metric should be focused on the when the number cases (you can focus on severe, but there is a good relation between the two) per day is starting to decline.  We are not close to getting to a situation in most urban areas where we can get back to business as usual.  The guy just can't help himself though to focus on that...

 

Rate of growth is very important because that's what all the doomsday predictions were based on.  Remember Petayo's petri dish example of the culture eventually taking over the entire dish?  The figure everyone clings to is 30% growth, so getting to below 20% is huge.  Heck you still have people talking about exponential growth, when data says otherwise.

 

Did you notice how the negative conversation suddenly changed from NY to USA?  Could it be that New York cases slowed down in absolute numbers and rate of growth.  Now other states are growing faster, and that's contributed to rising infections in the US.  There's reason to believe that NY will soon hit a peak and attention should turn to other areas.

 

But the blueprint could be in front of us.  Stay home for two weeks.  If you venture out, wear a mask and gloves and keep your distance from other people.

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20 minutes ago, Gary Busey said:

 

I am a true Yankee hater (go figure - but I hate Boston too) but holy ***** do I miss baseball today. My favorite day of the year :(

 

I've been a Yankee fan since I was a kid. Just out of curiosity, what team do you root for?

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1 hour ago, IDBillzFan said:

 

 

Who, exactly, are these experts and where are you getting their data?

 

Don't mean to be prodding, but I've spent years hearing how 'all the experts on this subject matter' insist global warming will destroy the earth in 12 years.

 

So, please show your work if you don't mind.

He also quoted a governor saying the “average” time on a ventilator is 5 to 11 days. Do people know what the **** an average is?

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