Jump to content
Stallions

An uncomfortable play-off situation with the Texans

Recommended Posts

if the Bills can not beat the STeelers lead by a third string QB Hodges then I'm not sure what to say....

 

Obviously a lot of doom and gloom posters on

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Westside Madness said:

 

Thanks for this, so guessing it is the conference win/loss. I didn't math that in my 4 way 10-6 tie.

Yes. If one of the four had swept the other three, that would come first. If not, then conference win %

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Win out.  Win the Division.  Baltimore was the "Best Team in the NFL".  Buffalo took them to the wire in game the offense floundered in.  The Bill's offense left multiple plays on the field.  Whether it be drops, or missed throws.  I leave the game as confident as entering it.  It was a good measuring stick imo.  I think Buffalo is darn close and with a few tweaks can play with anyone.

  • Like (+1) 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Mat68 said:

Win out.  Win the Division.  Baltimore was the "Best Team in the NFL".  Buffalo took them to the wire in game the offense floundered in.  The Bill's offense left multiple plays on the field.  Whether it be drops, or missed throws.  I leave the game as confident as entering it.  It was a good measuring stick imo.  I think Buffalo is darn close and with a few tweaks can play with anyone.

Agreed. And even if not this year, I feel like they're better set up for the future than almost anybody, considering we still have almost $90 million in cap money going forward to grow this thing.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
47 minutes ago, Stallions said:

Losing to the Steelers this Sunday puts our play-off hopes in jeopardy.  They have the Jets & Ravens remaining on their schedule.  A win over the Jets gives them 10 wins.  And, the Ravens may rest their starters for the final game of the season.

So, that basically puts our fate in the hands of the Texans & Titans.  Tennessee is hot and the Texans just lost to the lowly Bronco’s at home.  It would be great if Houston wins the division and the Titans finish 10-6 with the playoff tie-breaker in favor of the Bills. 

BUT, these teams play each other twice in the last 3 weeks of the season.  A scenario could develop with the Titans winning the division and the Texans finishing 10-6.

 

 

Would we have the tie breaker over Houston with mutual 10-6 records???


maybe if you read the 2019 playoff thread you’d have a clue.  
 

  • Like (+1) 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tirico just stated on the SNF halftime show too, one win and Buffalo is in.

  • Thanks! (+1) 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, CLTbills said:

Yes. If one of the four had swept the other three, that would come first. If not, then conference win %

 

Ok, just ran the math. In the scenario where all 4 are 10-6, they will have the following conference records:

 

BUF - 7-5 (win NYJ, loss PIT, loss NE)

PIT - 8-4 (win BUF, win NYJ, loss BAL)

HOU - 8-4 (win TEN, win TB, loss TEN)

TEN - 7-5 (loss HOU, win NO, win HOU)

 

So, unless I am not seeing something, we are NOT in a 'win and in' scenario yet.

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

F232F2E8-204F-4EB0-83C1-4FAED8069513.thumb.png.397affccbed710202c80c8b0b266d8ad.pngGo to http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/billsstandings.html.  It gives all the odds. Than pick the “what if link” and it will show those odds as the weeks progress.   Basically we could lose out an still be 50/50 to make it. If we win 1 or all 3 we are still most likely to end up a 5 seed. Today was the big game because a win really allowed for more of a bye scenario. 

 

Either way would really love to see the Pats lose to Cinci just to make the head to head game be a game for the division. 

Edited by Locomark

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, CLTbills said:

None of that matters. the head to head ONLY matters if one team beats all of the others head to head, or if one team loses to ALL of the others head to head. That doesn't apply in this case because they didn't all even play each other. Buffalo does not play Houston. Thus, skip to the next tiebreaker, which is conference record.

 

My post has nothing to do with head to head and everything to do with the conference record...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, SlimShady'sGhost said:


maybe if you read the 2019 playoff thread you’d have a clue.  
 

Thank you for your insight!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
14 minutes ago, ILBillsfan said:

if the Bills can not beat the STeelers lead by a third string QB Hodges then I'm not sure what to say....

 

Obviously a lot of doom and gloom posters on

The Bills should do fine on that end of the matchup. The PIT D ( statistically almost as good as BAL, plus creates tons of turnovers) vs the Bills Offense is worrisome and will be the deciding factor in this game. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, billsherd said:

I doubt divisional opponent will rest the players. 

 

Especially if the Steelers are still alive.

  • Thanks! (+1) 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said:

The Bills should do fine on that end of the matchup. The PIT D ( statistically almost as good as BAL, plus creates tons of turnovers) vs the Bills Offense is worrisome and will be the deciding factor in this game. 

The Steelers imo wont score enough points to beat the Bill's.  Imo Buffalo needs to utilize more 2 tes and 2 Rbs sets.  I understand their offensive philosophy right now, some other looks for a defense imo is needed.  

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Westside Madness said:

 

My post has nothing to do with head to head and everything to do with the conference record...

In your scenario, the AFCS title would be resolved first. The Texans would win the South, and PIT would be awarded the 5 seed, BUF would be the 6 seed and TEN eliminated. So yes, win one and in for the Bills. 

  • Like (+1) 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, Westside Madness said:

 

Ok, just ran the math. In the scenario where all 4 are 10-6, they will have the following conference records:

 

BUF - 7-5 (win NYJ, loss PIT, loss NE)

PIT - 8-4 (win BUF, win NYJ, loss BAL)

HOU - 8-4 (win TEN, win TB, loss TEN)

TEN - 7-5 (loss HOU, win NO, win HOU)

 

So, unless I am not seeing something, we are NOT in a 'win and in' scenario yet.

 

 

If this were to play out the first thing would be to break the tie for the division between Houston and Tennessee. I believe the only way Houston gets to 10 wins is to at least split with Tennessee, that would give Houston the division.

 

Then the other 3 teams would go to conference record, where Pitt would take the 5 seed. But then it doesn't go to the next step. Once a team is seeded the remaining tied teams revert back to the first step of the 2-team format, where we would get the 6th seed having beaten Tennessee.

  • Like (+1) 2
  • Thanks! (+1) 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Take care of our business. That’s all that’s matters. If we can’t do that we might as well get ready for next season. 

20 minutes ago, Westside Madness said:

 

Ok, just ran the math. In the scenario where all 4 are 10-6, they will have the following conference records:

 

BUF - 7-5 (win NYJ, loss PIT, loss NE)

PIT - 8-4 (win BUF, win NYJ, loss BAL)

HOU - 8-4 (win TEN, win TB, loss TEN)

TEN - 7-5 (loss HOU, win NO, win HOU)

 

So, unless I am not seeing something, we are NOT in a 'win and in' scenario yet.

 

 

 I’d be surprised if the titans take the saints. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Tuco said:

If this were to play out the first thing would be to break the tie for the division between Houston and Tennessee. I believe the only way Houston gets to 10 wins is to at least split with Tennessee, that would give Houston the division.

 

Then the other 3 teams would go to conference record, where Pitt would take the 5 seed. But then it doesn't go to the next step. Once a team is seeded the remaining tied teams revert back to the first step of the 2-team format, where we would get the 6th seed having beaten Tennessee.

 

I saw my mistake. I was looking at 4 teams for 2 WC spots. Its 3 as one wins the division. Assuming HOU wins the division, their 8-4 conf record no longer matters in the WC assessment. PIT would still have the highest conf record at 8-4 and lock seed 5. BUF beats TEN on head to head for 6th seed.

6 minutes ago, Boatdrinks said:

In your scenario, the AFCS title would be resolved first. The Texans would win the South, and PIT would be awarded the 5 seed, BUF would be the 6 seed and TEN eliminated. So yes, win one and in for the Bills. 

 

Saw your post after I realized my error...forgot to take out the division winner.

  • Like (+1) 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Doc said:

Need to just beat the Jets at home.  If they can't do that...

... then the goalposts are safe.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Brianmoorman4jesus said:

What about a 4 way tiebreaker at 10-6 with the bills Steelers texans and titans and our 1 win is against the jets?

Bills are in with that scenario as was being discussed. AFCS loser is odd team out. 

  • Like (+1) 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
37 minutes ago, Westside Madness said:

 

Ok, just ran the math. In the scenario where all 4 are 10-6, they will have the following conference records:

 

BUF - 7-5 (win NYJ, loss PIT, loss NE)

PIT - 8-4 (win BUF, win NYJ, loss BAL)

HOU - 8-4 (win TEN, win TB, loss TEN)

TEN - 7-5 (loss HOU, win NO, win HOU)

 

So, unless I am not seeing something, we are NOT in a 'win and in' scenario yet.

 

 

Houston would be division champ, , then Bills would win the tiebreaker for 2nd wildcard right?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I don't believe there can be a "4 way tie" for the playoffs between BUF/PIT/TEN/HOU all being 10-6 because either TEN or HOU will win the AFC South, so it would be a 3 way tie for the WC at most.

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Stallions said:

Losing to the Steelers this Sunday puts our play-off hopes in jeopardy.  They have the Jets & Ravens remaining on their schedule.  A win over the Jets gives them 10 wins.  And, the Ravens may rest their starters for the final game of the season.

So, that basically puts our fate in the hands of the Texans & Titans.  Tennessee is hot and the Texans just lost to the lowly Bronco’s at home.  It would be great if Houston wins the division and the Titans finish 10-6 with the playoff tie-breaker in favor of the Bills. 

BUT, these teams play each other twice in the last 3 weeks of the season.  A scenario could develop with the Titans winning the division and the Texans finishing 10-6.

 

 

Would we have the tie breaker over Houston with mutual 10-6 records???


This is not true.... 1 win and the Bills are in

1 hour ago, ILBillsfan said:

if the Bills can not beat the STeelers lead by a third string QB Hodges then I'm not sure what to say....

 

Obviously a lot of doom and gloom posters on


I know what I would say “If you can’t win 1 of the next 3 games, you don’t deserve to be in the playoffs!”

  • Thanks! (+1) 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...