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Full Intelligent Breakdown of DK Metcalf


Scorp83

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9 hours ago, OrtonHearsaWho said:

 

I like N'Keal a lot too, just not at 9.  He seems to be getting a 2nd round grade lately and if we took him in the 2nd I'm really happy.  He and DK seem to have the same concerns (agility/shiftiness) and I think they end up having the same floor but I think DK has the higher ceiling.  I'd be happy with either depending on where they are drafted.

Actually Bleacher has him as the 1st WR off the board to Carolina and he was just on GMFB and they even said it’s possible for him to be the 1st WR taken. 

 

This kids going to impress during interviews. He’s got the skills & personality. 

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8 hours ago, matter2003 said:

He is David Boston...more in love with bodybuilding than football, he is getting too big, too muscular, leading to shortening of the muscle and range of motion that can be seen in his terrible change of direction and lateral quickness drills...this will lead to many injuries and will shorten his career. I'd avoid at all costs. He might be good for a few years but his career will be drastically shortened and he will be out of the NFL within 5 or 6 years.

 

Go watch Harry's Pro Day and watch DK at Ole Miss Pro Day.  Who looks bigger?  They look about the same size to me.  That USA today pic of DK was directly after a workout where the muscles are still pumped with a lot of blood.  But at his pro day he didn't look nearly that big.  

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7 hours ago, Logic said:


DK Metcalf had 1,200 yards and 14 TDs across three college seasons. He ran a 4.33. 

Stephen Hill had 1,200 yards and 9 TDs across three college seasons. He ran a 4.36

Randy Moss had 1,800 yards and 26 touchdowns in ONE COLLEGE SEASON ALONE. He ran a 4.25.

The Randy Moss comparisons are ludicrous to me.

Just like Stephen Hill, Metcalf is a huge, fast guy with limited change of direction who never produced big numbers in college and whose defenders say "it wasn't his fault his offense used him poorly!"

I see more of a chance of Metcalf becoming Hill than Moss, but that's just me.
 

 

Metcalf has 1100 yards this season if he doesn’t get injured. Moss played in a much easier conference. The Hill comp is just a joke, the are not even in the same league as prospects.

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8 hours ago, Chicken Boo said:

 

I'm curious to what your thoughts were on Josh Allen this time last year?

 

I thought he had a ridiculous arm, was a good perimeter passer, had tremendous trouble reading defenses, was somewhat athletic and didn't want the Bills to take him.  Yes I did not want the Bills to take him because I thought his development was going to take a very long time.  I admit it, I did not want the Bills to take Allen but at the same time thought he had ridiculous traits.  Admittedly, I didn't want to take too far of a step back from the playoffs.  I felt that a QB like Mayfield or Rosen could get us back there, but I even posted in threads about them that we will not take them.  I didn't think Allen could get us back there last season.  In any case what it taught me film study wise is to look for NFL traits.  Look for the traits first, then look at the stat line.  Secondly, there were other things that I just couldn't know, like what type of person Josh was and what his leadership looked and sounded like; what his study habits are; what his drive to win is like so on and so forth.  These are things that come out in interviews.  

 

With respect to DK, I see a lot of NFL WR traits.  The injuries are a concern.  But other than that, I think he can be special at the position. 

30 minutes ago, billspro said:

 

Metcalf has 1100 yards this season if he doesn’t get injured. Moss played in a much easier conference. The Hill comp is just a joke, the are not even in the same league as prospects.

 

Agreed and I wish people would stop with this nonsense.  I hear and read the Stephen Hill comparisons but to me that's someone who hasn't looked at Stephen Hill nor DK Metcalf.  Some of the reasons Hill failed IMO is because while he ran a fast 40, Hill is a long strider which didn't bode well for him getting behind NFL DB's.  Secondly, those long strides hurt when trying to learn the route tree.  Third, Hill's footwork was average.  Hill was the essential definition of a one trick pony.  Anyone who's watching critically wouldn't even put these two in the same category.  Hill was advised to stay in school and the NFL advisory board projected him as a 3rd round pick.  None of this is the case for DK Metcalf, so I wish people would stop with the foolishness.   

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12 hours ago, BillyWhiteShows said:

 

Joey B and Matt Fairborn think differently.  Think Metcalf can only run in a straight line.  Does not run a full route free.  Struggles to change direction and make quick cuts.  Might not the best pick for the Bills, especially considering Josh Brown (and Foster) can get vertical

 

AJ Brown might be the better choice

Well... do you think AJ Brown is better then Zay Jones?

 

If so, then hey we could take him & upgrade that spot... 

 

But my argument is... it doesn't help us 1 bit, it still doesn't fix a need... plus Beasley is our slot man...for the next 4 years. AJ Brown is a slot WR... he can play the outside but he will struggle in this league doing so. 

 

Which is why I love DK... he represents Josh Allen... the big raw, talented kid with so much untapped potential. This coaching staff isn't in a rush & if we go DK... he won't be expected to help as much in the beginning....kinda like they did with Allen. Josh didn't really take off until the 2nd half of the season. Which you'll see in my next thread about to post.

Edited by Scorp83
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2 hours ago, billspro said:

 

Metcalf has 1100 yards this season if he doesn’t get injured. Moss played in a much easier conference. The Hill comp is just a joke, the are not even in the same league as prospects.


Except that they really, really ARE in the same league. They produced about the same college numbers (in spite of your unprovable hypothetical about non-injury). They're both between 6'4 and 6'5. They both run a 4.3ish 40. They both have/had less than desirable change of direction skills. They both ran an extremely limited route tree. They both look dynamite in shorts and a t-shirt.

I'm not saying they're identical prospects, but the comparison to Hill is WAY more accurate/reasonable than your comparison to RANDY FREAKING MOSS.

I mean...What am I missing?

Edited by Logic
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25 minutes ago, Logic said:


Except that they really, really ARE in the same league. They produced about the same college numbers (in spite of your unprovable hypothetical about non-injury). They're both between 6'4 and 6'5. They both run a 4.3ish 40. They both have/had less than desirable change of direction skills. They both ran an extremely limited route tree. They both look dynamite in shorts and a t-shirt.

I'm not saying they're identical prospects, but the comparison to Hill is WAY more accurate/reasonable than your comparison to RANDY FREAKING MOSS.

I mean...What am I missing?

 

Calvin Johnson, Hopkins, and Randy Moss don’t have great change of direction skills either. 

 

If he can run an elite go, slant, and hook he will be one of the top WRs in the NFL. 

 

If you actually look at Metcalfs game stats they are pretty good. He eclipsed 90 4 times in the 6 games he played last year. 

 

Bottom line, Metcalf is a rare WR prospect. He belongs in the AJ Green, Julio Jones, Calvin Johnson conversation. When I watch him play I see some similarities to Randy Moss, not going to back off that comp.

 

There is a good chance the Bills draft him so prepare to be disappointed on draft day.

Edited by billspro
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1 hour ago, billspro said:

 

Calvin Johnson, Hopkins, and Randy Moss don’t have great change of direction skills either. 

 

If he can run an elite go, slant, and hook he will be one of the top WRs in the NFL. 

 

If you actually look at Metcalfs game stats they are pretty good. He eclipsed 90 4 times in the 6 games he played last year. 

 

Bottom line, Metcalf is a rare WR prospect. He belongs in the AJ Green, Julio Jones, Calvin Johnson conversation. When I watch him play I see some similarities to Randy Moss, not going to back off that comp.

 

There is a good chance the Bills draft him so prepare to be disappointed on draft day.

He fits perfectly in Dabolls scheme if you look at last years passing game in the 2nd half of the season

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I would be alright if the Bills drafted Metcalf....there are quite a few players that I really like this year and would be happy with at pick 9.  Oliver, Sweat, Hockenson, White, Metcalf ...I don't think there really is a bad pick.  

Edited by Magnum Force
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1 hour ago, billspro said:

 

Calvin Johnson, Hopkins, and Randy Moss don’t have great change of direction skills either. 

 

If he can run an elite go, slant, and hook he will be one of the top WRs in the NFL. 

 

If you actually look at Metcalfs game stats they are pretty good. He eclipsed 90 4 times in the 6 games he played last year. 

 

Bottom line, Metcalf is a rare WR prospect. He belongs in the AJ Green, Julio Jones, Calvin Johnson conversation. When I watch him play I see some similarities to Randy Moss, not going to back off that comp.

 

There is a good chance the Bills draft him so prepare to be disappointed on draft day.

I like Ed Oliver and have been focusing on DL at nine. I think there are some fairly good wrs likely available in round two. If they go Metcalf, I'll be excited, while still feeling there's more risk there than I'd like. If he is in the conversation you allude to, you have to go get him for Josh.

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5 minutes ago, C.Biscuit97 said:

I could be wrong but I would kinda hate this pick.  This guy is a better athlete than receiver.  He’s king to be a gimmick type player who will get drafted way too high. 

I get those same feelings...he is tempting but your analogy is good also.  

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Just now, Magnum Force said:

I get those same feelings...he is tempting but your analogy is good also.  

It’s hard because he is freaking but some of his strengths (being a monster, very fast straight ahead but is slower than Brady in shuttles) are not that important to being a receiver.  I’d want the best combo of physical ability and production.

 

obviously it depends what team they go to but I think AJ Brown will be the better pro, just like he was the better college player. 

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On 3/18/2019 at 5:21 PM, Scorp83 said:

I've been saying some of the same stuff too. But I'd figure, I post for people that doesn't get a chance to watch video or think things are being made up. Brett provides an easier way for people that's skeptical on DK... to get a better understanding of him, without watching tons of Ole Miss games ?

 

Mentioned something similar about Ol' Miss limiting the routes they had him run.

 

Liked the breakdown and comparisons to Calvin Johnson, makes more sense to use those big, strong, and fast receivers the way they used Johnson.

 

A more fair assessment of Metcalf's abilities in the right system.

 

 

 

 

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