CodeMonkey Posted September 6, 2016 Share Posted September 6, 2016 (edited) CBS with Spread (Ravens -2.5 ) : 4 Bills and 4 Ravens. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/1) CBS Straight Up: 3 Bills and 5 Ravens (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/1) ESPN: 3 Bills and 6 Ravens. Pick'Em takes the Bills. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks) Microsoft Cortana: Bills 53% chance of winning. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/cortanax27s-predictions/cortanas-nfl-predictions-season-2016-week-1) FiveThirtyEight: Ravens 53% chance of winning. ELO point spread 1. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/) Amos: Ravens 81% chance of winning (http://trevorbischoff.com/tag/prediction/) ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI): Ravens 60% chance of winning. (http://www.espn.com/blog/statsinfo/post/_/id/123522/nfl-week-1-game-ranker) USA Today - Jeff Sagarin: Ravens favored by 2.69 points. (http://sagarin.com/sports/nflsend.htm) Based on the very limited data available, Amos predicts the Bill come in last in the AFCE and 538 puts the Bills in 3rd ahead of the fish. Edited September 10, 2016 by CodeMonkey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
r00tabaga Posted September 6, 2016 Share Posted September 6, 2016 Wow, Cortana likes what she sees. I think it's one of the closest matches of the week. Don't get pissed if everyone picks Bmore. It's just human error. Go with the cpu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Houston's #1 Bills Fan Posted September 6, 2016 Share Posted September 6, 2016 Much rather be the underdog than the favorite. It seems, more often than not, that when we are favored, the spotlight shines too bright and we fizzle. I'd much rather go into this season totally under the radar, with everyone thinking, "Oh, it's the Bills, they got lucky this week. They'll fall off next week." Just keep thinking that way all season long...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted September 6, 2016 Author Share Posted September 6, 2016 Wow, Cortana likes what she sees. I think it's one of the closest matches of the week. Don't get pissed if everyone picks Bmore. It's just human error. Go with the cpu. I think most will because it should be a close game, the Bills are missing some key players, and it's in Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KollegeStudnet Posted September 6, 2016 Share Posted September 6, 2016 Wasn't Cortana accurate over 60% last year? It was discussed somewhere in one of the posts going into the postseason last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted September 7, 2016 Author Share Posted September 7, 2016 Wasn't Cortana accurate over 60% last year? It was discussed somewhere in one of the posts going into the postseason last year. Don't have the exact figures but I believe you are right. In fact all the models I watch were I believe. But early in the season they are the most suspect because of the extreme lack of data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fadingpain Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 Picking Baltimore is logical. Should be a close game,we aren't fielding what could have been our best team and the game is in Baltimore. Should be very close and I think we have a good shot at winning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 (edited) We should beat Baltimore. We are the more talented team, they are an old team for the most part and we should have the speed edge...and I dare say we have the better QB...Flacco is not impressive for the most part in the regular season, but in the playoffs he turns into Superman. Edited September 7, 2016 by matter2003 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big C Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 I'm kind of surprised they are calling this game so evenly. I feel like we are the better team by a considerable margin. But I guess all those suspensions and injuries have shifted the common perception of our team. Let's just throw down on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted September 7, 2016 Author Share Posted September 7, 2016 Wow, Cortana likes what she sees. I think it's one of the closest matches of the week. Don't get pissed if everyone picks Bmore. It's just human error. Go with the cpu. 538 sees the exact opposite, and Amos has already given the game to the Ravens. But as I said before, all models are operating on really really limited valid data. They will get more accurate in a few weeks when some real games have been played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
billsfan89 Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 It's a toss up game probably slightly favoring Baltimore because they are the home team. Both the Bills and Ravens seem to be middle class teams in the NFL that could finish anywhere between 6-10 to 10-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thurst44 Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 CBS with Spread (Ravens -2.5 ) : 4 Bills and 4 Ravens. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/1) CBS Straight Up: 3 Bills and 5 Ravens (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/1) ESPN: 3 Bills and 6 Ravens. The rest aren't in yet. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks) Microsoft Cortana: Bills 53% chance of winning. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/cortanax27s-predictions/cortanas-nfl-predictions-season-2016-week-1) FiveThirtyEight: Ravens 53% chance of winning (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-nfl-predictions/) Amos:Ravens 81% chance of winning (http://trevorbischoff.com/tag/prediction/) Based on the very limited data available, Amos predicts the Bill come in last in the AFCE and 538 puts the Bills in 3rd ahead of the fish. For all intents and purposes, 538 actually has the Bills tied w/ Jets for 2nd as they are only ahead in ELO rating, but have better win-loss prediction (really, they both are 8-8, Bills 8.1-7.9. Jets 7.9-8.1), and higher percentages to make playoffs or win division. They're 12th overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jr1 Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 Cortana should replace Jerry Sullivan at TBN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Wiz Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 (edited) Cortana should replace Jerry Sullivan at TBN Clippy could replace Jerry Sullivan at this point. "It looks like your writing a negative sports article. Would you like me to open one of your old ones?" Edited September 7, 2016 by The Wiz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
26CornerBlitz Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 Clippy could replace Jerry Sullivan at this point. "It looks like your writing a negative sports article. Would you like me to open one of your old ones?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Frankish Reich Posted September 7, 2016 Share Posted September 7, 2016 For all intents and purposes, 538 actually has the Bills tied w/ Jets for 2nd as they are only ahead in ELO rating, but have better win-loss prediction (really, they both are 8-8, Bills 8.1-7.9. Jets 7.9-8.1), and higher percentages to make playoffs or win division. They're 12th overall. 12th overall! Now there's something to get excited about!! All kidding aside, that's a bit higher than I thought we'd be. The playoffs are not a pipe dream ... ...for some historical perspective, here's the Bills ELO over a very, very long time: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/complete-history-of-the-nfl/#buf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted September 7, 2016 Author Share Posted September 7, 2016 Added USA Today - Jeff Sagarin and ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) to the original post. Only a few ESPN stragglers don't have their picks in yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
26CornerBlitz Posted September 8, 2016 Share Posted September 8, 2016 @AP_NFL Panthers-Broncos will have a different outcome this time and other NFL picks by our @wilner88 https://t.co/o05hvAiaqK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted September 10, 2016 Author Share Posted September 10, 2016 Wow, Cortana likes what she sees. I think it's one of the closest matches of the week. Don't get pissed if everyone picks Bmore. It's just human error. Go with the cpu. The other CPU's disagree with Cortana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSOL Posted September 10, 2016 Share Posted September 10, 2016 I would just like to see Rex field a disciplined team that keeps the penalties down this year. I think that would go a long way in our success. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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