Until Geno starts throwing it to the right guy it's tough to tell how accurate he is. Maybe Geno will surprise me but I don't see him as a guy who's going to make the right read more often than not.
I'll take my chances with Manuel, a guy who looks the part, acts the part, is intelligent and is a hard worker. That's a pretty good combination and I'm willing to give a guy with those attributes a chance to fix some of his flaws. Now, those things don't guarantee anything but they sure do help a lot.