colin

tyrod got us a third a couple years back, and qb value has only gone up since then. rosen, who just sucks, got a 2nd. i know darnold has had more time to look bad than rosen did in zona, but i think if darnold goes for a 2nd the team getting him got him cheap. a late first or a second and a player, (or a second and like a 4th) seems like the floor the jets could get for darnold.

i don't actually think watson is better than allen today. he's a bit more consistent, on account of his more developed skill, but in terms of god given ability allen stops him cold. bigger, faster, stronger, smarter, better arm, better touch (allen routinely makes more difficult throws, it's just that he doesn't quite have the deep long ball skill that watson has, nor does he quite read d's as well, but that can be learned). watson, allen, rogers, mahomes, and rus will are the five guys in the nfl that can take over a game and rise above. we saw with mahomes in the superbowl vs our pitiful game vs his team, that once his system fails him, he falls back to earth pretty quickly. allen's near super human ability and just dog on a bone gameness keeps him in games he shouldn't be, at least some times. allen does need to get better at reading the D, not take the hero ball sacks (altho mahomes has gotten away with that due to his superior O) and get that last little bit of touch on the deep outside stuff, but he's learned more, and more quickly, than anyone else has in that time.

watson is the more skilled qb, but we all knew that. i was a big watson booster coming out of clemson, he's a bit limited w arm strength and size, but is a very skilled qb, and is a dog. allen is one of few qbs who are as much or more of a dog as watson is. allen has shown that as he gains more skill and polish, i don't think there has been a more physically capable guy at the position. he's got a shot to go down as the best to ever do it imo

this is one of those shroedingers pass rushers. he could come here and be a dud, be ok and provide leadership, or pull a lonzo and just ball out with smarts and power (which is the last thing to go) for some reason, i think he'd be a hit here. if we can pull some magic and get him and a real stud DE in FA, get a bargain gem at TE, and draft for OG, RB, MLB/OLB, CB2, we'd be monsters.

given how ineffective we were at rushing the passer when it mattered and how we didn't have a ton of sacks, i think we can consider this pass rush win rate as goofy. also, if 4 of 5 linemen hold their blocks all day, but one guy get's beat immediately off the snap, inside, it's a blow up play and possibly a fumble, but the stats would say 80% win rate. what these stats tell me more than anything is that on OL, our tackles are solid, and our interior line is weak, and we knew that watching the team. on the DL side, our guys have enough skill and moves to cause some trouble for OLs, but clearly not enough to impact the game without blitzing. i think our depth of JAGs pad our stats, our like 6th through 8th lineman all have some pass rush ability, but them beating a block after 2 seconds of hand fighting and not making a play isn't making a difference. which is why you pay such a massive premium for a real pass rusher vs a guy who is pretty good.

lbs can be split between edge players who rush the passer well, and everyone else. for "off ball" LBs, the ones who get paid are much much better over all than both the guys we have. part of it is scheme and lack of guys infront of them, but several teams have better MLBs than we do, and while milano is OLB, the roles for those positions are quite similar in our D. aside from RB and CB, MLBs come into the nfl and show their ability faster than any other position. i know edmunds is young, but i still wanna play madden manager and say move him outside where he can impose rather than get caught out thinking slowly.

TE, OLB/MLB, and DE (like a real pass rusher, i suppose a DT could do, but we need DE) are more available in FA than they will be for years to come. I'd really like bean and co to step up and bring those guys in, restructuring and cutting guys, and we can be a better running, blocking, passing, tackling, covering, and pass rushing team with the right moves and a lot of luck

so, im on record that i don't want nba trash where the players are bigger than the team. i will say, they've gamed the rules so much that QBs and offenses are at such an advantage (last super bowl being an exception, given that both Ts for KC were out and mahomes can't do what josh does) that somewhat small differences in ability at qb make for big impacts in how they impact the game. Rbs went from the workhorse of the O to basically a dime a dozen, and good tackling LBs and bigger safeties have seen their value drop hard because of the qb emphasis. well, QBs becoming the kings of the franchise is something i think the NFL dumbed their way into by tinkering so much with the rules. i'd hope that there is a return to balance somehow, but it doesn't seem to be going that way. i say this as a die hard bills fan, and josh is our whole friggen team, and i think as much or more than any of these other guys he can and will work with less around him and win, and has the fighter attitude that i don't think leads to him demanding a trade and what not, but the nfl has up and made the most important position in team sports even more so, and it's not a good idea.

Wilson on Indy would be disgusting. you just know Riech would blend ball control/balance w Russ's over the top game and it would be gross.

i like them, but i agree w the above, they give lots of comments about how well someone did something, and comments on what the team does, but very little wrt ideas of what could be done better, or where mistakes were made. it's pretty clear our scheme was an open book for KC and we had no answers.

from that link his girlfriend looks like a younger version of his mother.

wow, if we extend and throw in edmunds, the per player numbers look better for us, but wow oh wow are they getting better bang for their buck. our D really lacks playmakers, we got taken to the cleaners on those contracts. yikes.

that team had just the lowest level of talent i've seen in a modern nfl team i remember that our total spend on OL and on WR (who were on the roster, traded or cut guys cost us too) were each below the average salary for one person at those positions.

there are gonna be a lot of guns for hire this offseason. i want pass rush and TE in FA, possibly RB and interior OL/DL, and much less possibly OLB/MLB if we move edmunds. I figure interior OL is draft, pass rush has to be FA, TE shouldn't be too hard in FA, RB and LB can be drafted too.

the difference in the d performances was obvious. i was interested to see that brady attempted like 5 passes to WRs, and two of them were junk balls that got penalties! they just rode the TE and RB to frustrate the kc D, and used play action. they decided to lower the degree of difficulty as much as possible, while dabol made some goofy errors just forcing the ball to WRs who could not get open due to health and being roughed up all day.

schematically we have a coupe issues on D, but i have faith that our D minds can fix them. mccoach knows his entire d relies on winning match ups up front, that's why we blew the wad on the DL. he likes a deep rotation w fresh legs, but instead we have a deep rotation of no ones with old tired legs. On O we have simply zero balance. OL is solid at T (assuming we keep williams) and below average in the gut. we can't run at all (combo of blockers and backs and TEs) and we just have such a dearth of talent at RB and TE that all we can do is press the game going to our WRs, of which only diggs is special. the good thing is, our special teams is pretty solid, and we won 15 games and lost in the conference chip game with such glaring and obvious holes. the majority of that is due to one Joshua Ichabald Allen. he's a force of nature and can do things no one else can. the TE/RB situation is an easy fix, they just have to bring in via draft or FA some kind of RB talent (moss a better guy and yeldon or williams is miles better than having slow motor out there). on OL, i think we need to keep williams and one of Morse and mongo, and draft high at least one guy who can play nasty w balance and athleticism. our D has always had a smoke and mirrors element to it. we didn't fall off so hard without milano because he's some kind of all pro, but because the drop off to the next guy given what we ask that position to do behind a weak DL just makes our D easy to attack. getting Star, and some kind of premier guy to rush the passer will make a world of difference. Edmunds i still think may need to move outside, but he just makes too many mistakes for my liking at MLB. anyhow, our FO needs to earn their bonafides this off season and get a nasty G (i think first round, 2nd latest), find some kind of OLB (or move edmunds and sign an MLB), and get a pass rusher. #2 corner may be on the roster, but mcd seems to have a nose for dbs so im not worried about that. TE and RB will have the biggest impact (along w G i think) and i really think we are so thin there that a large number of guys can come in and make us better.

im torn on him, i still think we can ditch morse and go w mongo at c, which is a better value. if an upgrade is out there, then i'm for that too. we need to get better in the interior OL, i think are tackles are solid. i think the biggest impact is drafting one or two guys, at least one of them in the first two rounds, who is talented, athletic, and nasty. i think one savage can make the whole line better, and ford is at the least a body and they drafted him high so he may have potential yet. with josh and at least one better RB on the team (don't really care where he comes from ) i think we can go from just useless in the run game to making D's pay dearly for keying in on the pass, if our overall line play improves.

Elway and EIl asked for trades before signing a contract, there was that OT who dallas took mad late who basically said that's the team he wants to play for, kinda lame but not after signing. Peters wanted more money from us after signing a contract, and we traded him (and what a mistake that was). Stafford signed a while back, and that's also lame. and you are just way off on the contracts. nfl contracts aren't insane like other sports, but there is plenty guaranteed (like the hundo or so for watson). i can see the ax you have to grind here, and it sucks. players are already on the big side, if they get fully too big it hurts the game and makes it suck for fans, which is what i am and all that i care about.

lol, i don't care dude. you aren't in the union w watson bro, he's a guy we watch on TV. I think a balance has to happen for good football to be watched (which is all i care about, and all that matters, the league is for the fans, no fans, no NLF). i want the bills to win and the football to be of a higher and higher level. i think NBA style players being bigger than the game will be a bad thing (FOR FANS) and we are already flirting with that with certain players getting the long or short end of the stick with respect to calls.

we need one nasty run blocker, and i think things fall into line

i don't doubt the FO situation in houston is awful, but Watson signed the contract. it's tight, but i think it may be better for the league (for fans, we are the only ones who matter) if houston punishes him. players getting bigger than teams is a bridge too far.

different qbs do different things well, and it's a team and scheme game, not tennis. looking at mahomes last night, it's pretty clear to me that given goofy matchups and breakdowns on the line, no body but no body can do what allen does. i forgot until he caught a ball that watkins was on kc. he's overpaid and we all know about him, but just a threat like that on the bills, playing in place of an injured brown vs kc, would have made a whole lot of things possible. the bottom line is QBs, while the most important person on a team, are still way way overrated wrt their impact on the game. the big uglies get paid for a very good reason.

well, looking at that game and how the bills played really the whole playoffs, my gut is no. the bills match up better w tb than we do w KC, and better than how the KC team we saw last night matches up. We are far stronger on the edges in pass protection, and TBs sick run d would impact us less since we basically only run w josh. assuming our WRs would have gotten a bit healthier, i think we score a few touchdowns. kc's dirty tricks didn't work without the home cooking last night. on the other side, i think our d scheme vs kc was horrible, and the bills would have played a much more confident game vs TB. i think it would have been similar to the Indy game for the d, where they play solid most of the time, but would get trucked a couple times too. mahomes clearly can't do what allen does, allen scrambles and makes plays more than any other qb i've ever seen, so i think we woulda had a shot, but not a great one.

i don't watch sports media or read nearly any coverage so i don't get as bothered by the spin as much as i used to, but brady laid a huge egg in GB and still won. he's obviously a much better qb than winston, but tampa did what the bills shoulda done, gotten the best power and speed back for cheap who was available, and had talent and physicality up front on both lines. tampa's corners shows why you don't sign the gains and norman's of the world to take burn from your improving young players, and they got their D line up w some pass rushers who bring power, which is exactly what we lack. their LBs are also miles better than ours. for all the talk of edmunds not being protected by the scheme and the DL, and there is truth to that, i can't help but notice how david and white were able to execute in 1 on 1 situations where we see edmunds just make simple mistakes all the time.

josh seems to be palls w him and to provide continuity. mongo played at c, and was decent. morse can have whatever report card some website produces, but he gets smashed around by more physical lines, and that's our entire problem right now. as said above, i'd only want mongo to stay at a value price. also, while losing morse creates a cap hit it clears out his salary and future costs, so you have a cheaper and imo no worse line the following year.