Coach Tuesday

In addition to being irrelevant, this may be the most boring debate in TSW history and that’s saying something for those of us who lived through the @Doc vs. @WEO sludge matches… seriously compression sleeves??

Creed Humphrey is having one of the worst games I’ve ever seen.

Has zero to do with his receivers tonight. He’s getting pressure in his face on every play.

Al Michaels has lost his fastball. He’s washed.

Chargers are gonna be a problem. Been saying it - we will see them in the AFCCG.

Yeah no. Certainly in the second round he drafts for need. Arguably in other rounds as well, but he's willing to move around the board if he can so that his perceived need more closely aligns with value.

Beane doesn't draft for need?

https://theathletic.com/3591734/2022/09/14/bills-all-22-review-rams/?source=user_shared_article “While it’s good there is a lot of potential for growth on plays like this, the disappointing part is the fumble was entirely avoidable if Cook read it correctly.”

Don’t sleep on the Eagles - this year’s Bengals.

Vrabel’s teams are really good in close games. This should not be a close game.

Yes but how many sharks are killed by coconuts every year? That’s what they DON’T want us to talk about.

This has become a crusade. And possibly the dumbest one ever.

Pretty sure it was Benford who missed that tackle on Kupp’s long gain. There have been plenty of clunker games under McD but I’m struggling to remember a single game with him as the coach where our secondary got roasted - it never happens.

They’re still hiding him?

What?!?

He’s basically been benched. They seem to think Flacco can run the offense better. Love it.

It’s basically the exact same deal the Patriots gave to Jonnu Smith. Obviously, Knox is better and home-grown.

This is my expectation. Happy to be wrong about it. I know there are fans convincing themselves that the Bills "hid" Cook in the preseason which I think is borderline hilarious. My expectation is that he doesn't dress for the first month or so and certainly not tomorrow night, I can't fathom them trotting out Cook in pass-blocking situations with 99 on the other side of the field...

Literally the opposite is true.

Having a better running back than Moss in 2021 would not have made a lick of difference in last year’s outcome. You are in the wrong century.

Yup. Nor do we know whether the OP's stat is including games where the losing team ALSO had a 100 yard rusher, and if it is, whether it should be included (I'm not sure).

Again, the issue is how you measure a successful running game. A 100 yard rusher tells you almost nothing - how many carries did it take? What about teams with over 100 yards rushing in a game using multiple runners? What percentage of the runs resulted in a first down or were otherwise better than average against that opponent in that down and distance? You need to measure the efficacy and efficiency of the running game - pointing to a single 100 yard rusher as correlating with winning percentages is a nearly useless stat.

Yes. It’s a terrible take that has been debunked carefully and systematically in this thread, but don’t expect the OP to change his mind.

This is why a metric like DVOA is more useful than yardage - it’s impossible to tell what’s driving that data without understanding the context (down, distance, strength of opponent and game situation). Also those are all pretty good winning correlations.

That is precisely the issue. You use a 3rd on a RB like Motor and then two more Day 2 picks on the same position - now what? Motor is a good player but you can’t justify paying him (unless he takes a significant hometown discount) with other, more important positions to re-sign and two other young guys waiting in the wings at RB. Plus he’s not featured in the offense (nor should he be) and he’s a part-time player. So why use a 3rd just for four years of service at a non-premium position? Take an EDGE, tackle, WR, CB there and if you hit, you’ve got a cost-controlled every-down premium asset whom you won’t hesitate to re-sign to a second contract.