Chaos

this fell nicely:

He was not invited to the draft by the NFL. I thought that was interesting.

Congrats you get the elevated PED Skoronski.

The new question i s why should Jackson get more guaranteed than Hurts. Watson market is outdated. Hurts is the current market.

Watching 8 offensive lineman plus Brian Branch go off the board between Drew Sanders and Cedric Tillman feels like a depressing TV show. Anthony Bradford at 90 is a bit of a shocker. I was hoping the Bills could grab him at 205

The biggest problem the next Bills MLB faces is comparisions by fans and the local press to the mythical Tremaine Edmunds. The actual Edmunds the player was a solid player who in five years has no real legacy of games dominated or game changing plays. He did miss a lot of tackles, and seem to be out of position quite a bit, particularly earlier in career. He was good, maybe very good. The mythical Edmunds when he was playing here was a guy who was going to revolutionize the position and change the way teams thought about linebacker. Our new Defensive Coordinator Sean McDermott amplified this theme (and laid the ground work for the post edmunds mythical edmumnds when he commented "Tremaine Edmunds can't be replaced". After 7 or 8 games of AJ Klein playing MLB (Klein is clearly not as good as Edmunds") , the the mthyical Edmunds will be some combination of Dick Butkus, Ray Lewis and Lawrence Taylor (with Dieon Sanders like coverage skills built in). Compared to the mythical edmunds, Klein (or any other replacement) is going to be villified by fans.

Bills offense punts less than any team in the league. This means we move the ball better than anyone else between the 20's. Bills redzone was ninth in the NFL last year. Which ever offensive player improves that Redzone result the most, should be the target. That seems like online to me. But it could be TE just as easily as WR.

This statistic may explain why we love Diggs, and don't like Davis so much. This shows the differential between the Bills overall passer rating and the passer rating when each receiver is targeted. The top ten on this list surprised me a bit (min 40 targets). Maybe Jerry Jeudy is better than I give him credit for and I might be a bit sadder about Isaiah Hodges than I was before I ran these stats.

Mine is consistent with the fact that every player they have met with that is a likely first round target, is already off the board in your mock. For example. I don't think they take Brents in the first round if he is the top rated guy they met with. I just don't think Hyatt is a first round target, simply because they met with him.

I don't think you mind reading is any better than mine regarding this pick.

We will have to agree to disagree. I agree they are targeting a WR in round 1. I disagree that they will settle for Hyatt, or any of the receivers left on the board. So that means a different position. If it must be offense, then it has to be Mayer or a lineman. I think Avila is the best lineman left based on your picks. If it does not have to be offense, then Campbell and Anudike-Uzomah are the best choices. This is how I have narrowed it down.

These are my guesses as to what I think they will do. There is a pretty good chance it is none of these three or Hyatt. And we are making a big assumption about what 25 players are off the board in front of them. Based on the choices left after the 25 you removed, I will stick by my guesses. I think they know the red zone is the offensive week spot, not moving between the 20;s, and I think they know they have a gap without Von Miller for a chunk of the season. Its a tough division. Winning the division is not a given this year.

I would take Mayer, Anudike-Uzomah, or Campbell ahead of Hyatt. In that order, for these reasons. 1)Mayer because I think he will help the redzone offense more than Hyatt. Redzone is the weak spot. Consider Avila for the same reason. Hyatt just does not move the needle where we need help. His one trick matters less in the red zone 2)Anudike-Uzomah. Von Miller is missing a lot of the season, and Felix can help fill that gap, and will likely give 5 years at a high value position. 3)Campbell has a higher floor than Hyatt and fills what is percieved as a position of need.

When I look at the Bills main strength, it is the fact that punt fewer times than any other team in the league, in the regular season. This means they are already about the best at moving the ball between the 20's. There weakness seems to be a type of toughness and clutchiness (probably not a real word) in the playoffs. In 2022, the Bills were ninth in redzone offense. I don't see how Hyatt really moves the needle for the Bills. The Bills don't use TE's well between the 20s (my theory, is that there is no need to) but do use Knox well in the redzone. I think Mayer would do more to improve the Bills redzone offense than Hyatt would. I would be sad to take Hyatt, and see Mayer go to the Bengals on the next pick.

This is my "lets win it all in 2023" effort. 1) Make the trade for Derrick Henry. I think this is doable (Hines is part of the trade for cap reasons). Henry, Harris & Cook is a scary RB room 2) Trade up for JSN - This is the missing weapon. 3) Dorian Williams, Nick Herbig hopefully can find a way to contribute at LB. Maybe Abdullah as well Some other things just fell, Musgrave at 59, Zavala at 130. If we did this and Tre White plays back to form, and the secondary stayed healthy, this would be a tough team to beat.

As a fiscal matter, you are 100% correct. If for some reason, the Bills brain trust thinks Gibbs or another low value position player is the missing link to a Super Bowl for the 2023 season, it could be logical to not follow the logical fiscal decision.

The historical stickouts are interesting, but hoping for people to identify some 2023 draft prospects.

Donald's RAS Score is 9.7. He does not have elite size, but has elite stats for every athletic measurable

Some NFL players are great at football and have great athletic measurables, among all-pros Lane Johnson and Patrick Surtain have the best "measurables". Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams have pretty poor measureables. This spreadsheet aligns all of the all-pro players RAS scores vs their Bills counterpart. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uygV0zc33qOS74JEx40meuIKOg-MhDssyil_rbTvFBA/edit?usp=sharing SIDE NOTE. Every offensive all-pro has below elite height. I found that interesting. I am curious as too who people think are the best NFL players who are good at football, despite poor measurables, with the same question for the 2023 draft prospects?

You give me too much credit. Just hopeful, the Beane is correct that Brown will make progress this year, in year three of his potential. But with the advantage of the rookie contracts, the goal should be to get rookies who contribute instantly, rather than to develop them for the next team that signs them as a free agent.

Buddy Nix didn't believe in RAS. He went by his gut.

He may be younger and next year he won't be on a rookie contract. He won't likely be affordable by the Bills.