Chaos

The Chiefs who just won the Super Bowl made the decision that optimizing team talent, meant relying on their superstar QB to generate the passing attack and not rely on a 20+million dollar WR Tyreke Hill. Results suggested they made the correct decision. Do you think the Bengals will make the same decision when the time comes with Ja'Marr Chase, or will they accept other holes in the roster to pay Chase. Similarly, will the Vikings without a superstar QB make a different or the same decision as the Bengals regarding Justin Jefferson. In general, Is the goal of the draft to get as many five year players who can contribute as possible, or draft guys with potential to sit and watch, and hopefully develop so that you can resign them at full top market free agent rates after five years?

My unpopular opinion. Airseven doesn't have the first clue about anything football related.

Drafting too young is proving to be a bad strategy. Three years of Edmunds in training, two years of quasi-productivity demonstrating further potential, and no ability to afford the 25 year old version. Total waste.

For ignorant vomiters: https://www.pff.com/news/draft-why-positional-value-matters-in-the-nfl-draft

No,positional value means top QBs are worth 50 million a year , top WRs are worth 22 million per year, and top rbs are worth 11 mm per year. Its the same for everyone, and completely independent of need.

Cowboys, Jaguars, Giants

I hope we can put together for ever the BPA myth and realize all teams include need and positional value in putting together their boards. ( regardless of my hopes in real life there is no way to do me a football myth)

The offense seems to move pretty well between the twenties. Fewest punts in the league. it’s not clear Knox needs to be more involved in that aspect. It’s not broken (exception of to this rule is a possible small reduction in wearing Josh Allen out). The issue for the entire team is the same, translating all of this brilliant regular season success into playoff wins. In the 2022 playoffs Knox was the rare exception to the rule. He had a fine game against the Bengals 5 rec on 7 targets for 65 yards. His past playoff record is fine as well. Knox is fine.

Sanders is good. He played against better competition. This is true. But Campbell can only play against who he played against, and did it with great success. And athletically he is exactly on par with Sanders. Both can be good players. They are close enough that it is ridiculous to say one can project either to have significantly greater success than the other.

I am not sure. Maybe Mel Kiper doesn't like him.

There are a number of posters who post condescending "good teams always draft BPA". When if fact there is no certainity who the BPA is, and no team actually ingores positional value and need. A true slave to BPA draft would likely be a disaster. I like this websites way of showing each teams realistic targets at each pick. https://www.nflmockdraftdatabase.com/nfl-draft-targets-2023?team=BUF Much more realistic way to think about it.

Campbell was the best in the nation in pass coverage among all college LBs in 2022. Why will he be a liability?

This is so funny. Josh should go into show business.

https://www.profootballnetwork.com/2023-nfl-draft-industry-consensus-big-board/ Pro Football Network has compiled an industry big board, consolidating the results of 25 of the major big boards created in the cottage industry that follows the draft. Premise 1) 25 big boards is a meaningfully proxy for how a team of scouts would grade out the players in the Draft Premise 2) Every team sticks to BPA at every draft spot Obvisouly neither premise 1 or premise 2 is gong to happen. In this scenario the Bills get an RB at pick 59. They would also get an RB at 91, so I made the one small adjustment to go to pick 92. But if these are proxies for people being slaves to board, this is the draft the Bills would have. I am not a fan.

i would rather take Wright. But I think if they take an LB, Beregon could be drafted at 59, or easily drafted with a modest tradeup, and I think Beregon maybe just as good of a prospect. Pass on LB with the first pick, and you are not likely getting a starting LB in this draft. So I could undertand an LB pick.

Same websites only have 3 LBS graded as a top 100 pic You pick, campbell , Simpson, or Sanders, or you pick a guy most people never expect to be an NFL starter. Thats the dilmemma.

Lamar and his mom are people

Hence my comment “if the right guys are there “

Texans take Stroud and JSN I think Mahomes Allen and Burrows are all as gifted as Tom Brady. Brady scary weapons were Gronk and unheralded slot receivers. Brady always had a good line in championship years. Oline is the key of the right guys are there. Diggs KNox Davis and the new tiny WR will all be scary if Allen has time.

Currenlty PFF ranks Wright #70 overall. Taking #70 at #27 is an F. I don't know if they will update these rankings at somepoint. They rank Dawand Jones and M. Beregon higher than Wright. The grading just sees someone taking the third best remaining OT 43 picks earlier than expected. Its logically internally consistent.

I never said Lawrence was an MVP. I said I would rather have Lawrence than Jackson as my QB.

167 WR votes exceed TE votes by 7:1. There seems to be a clear board consenus on this subject. https://www.twobillsdrive.com/community/topic/246531-which-position-group-should-the-bills-target-in-draft-rd-1-based-on-bills-depth-chart-as-of-319202/#comment-8323705