Dukestreetking

Following on @Scott7975comments and others... Given today's play, I'm beyond astonished that Bills currently sit outside the playoff picture. Broncos??? We lost to the Fu**ing Broncos. Scott said "catastrophe". I'll go further and call it....criminal. Rant ends.

I won't quote you fully but, ultimately, this is the place to be, at this moment imv. [Side note, in case of haters: a few years ago, I took some a**hole down--with extreme prejudice--after I personally witnessed him punching a woman. Held him until LEO arrived] This moment: the dynamics don't look good for VM...but we should wait until a fulsome, comprehensive, unfiltered understanding of events is available. We'll probably come short of that ideal, but the public is not close enough, yet. Am I leaning towards the view that 40 is DV culpable? Yes, in my heart. But, rationally, we must await the full fact pattern, no matter how frustrating that may be. Just a week ago, some reached a way-too-quick judgement on a weird event in NF. I counseled, at the time, to wait for facts, as initial reporting is rarely "truth". The same applies in this case.

In short, yes. Texas has a carve-out, DV statute for this particular instance. Not a guess. Statute language quoted extensively up-thread.

Despite JT's (small) critiques noted above, his analysis comes down to this money quote, found a few minutes in: "...this might be the best [QB] performance I've reviewed all year." Not bad, 17.

Agree, but that's why I was very careful in verbiage. Moreover, if we talk about the Kelce penalties, in fairness we must include the D "forcing" 2 incompletions (err, a sack?) and a 3-yd run in the last 3 non-penalty downs.

I'll bite, and get flamed... Philly: 1:52, down 3, but with 2TOs, and (very?) good QB/O. That's a layup in modern NFL. Result: no TD, no gimme FG. Instead, they have to rely on a 20%, 59-yd attempt in awful weather conditions. Yes, I would've loved for the D to force a TO on downs or otherwise. But, regardless of circumstances, and on this particular high-leverage series, I would consider this a "stop" or damn near it. Put it this way: at 1:52, if you would've told me I could have that non-ST result (again, irrespective of play sequence), I'd say "ok, I'll take that chance". Btw: I'm not/not talking about the more general--and obvious--problem of late-game D failures.

Follow on to good discussion re Rec, YPC, growth by Beas to get above 10y/rec, etc (Bado, Sammy, Motor, others). Bottom line: DK very solid growth trend, games 1-5 vs 6-10: Rec, Tgt, TD, FD, Yds, YPC 1-5 = 17-21-0-4-118-6.94 6-10 = 34-39-2-17-318-9.35 Nearly all advanced metrics reflect above (noting, again, that I realize other variables involved) Nevertheless, he's a problem. Now.

Honestly, I've never been sold on Dak. He's a minus-JA: at times he's great, good, not so good..but he lacks The Special (TM) to really get you there. 17 has "it", but I don't think DP does. Don't know why. Two cents.

Just want to clarify early comment, so I'm not spinning anything up: Not all the imagery I've seen would indicate a VBIED attack, at least that I'm familiar with (ex, lack of cratering, wider blast damage, other). So...12-24 hr definitely applies here.

I'll be very cautious in any comments. Imagery only, not eyes on: some indications of VBIED. Not as big as some of you have encountered down range.

I'm 5 min north of bridge, US side. Very heavy LEO presence in this AO. Also, I have fair amount of VBIED experience. IF I go down there--eyes on--I'll update. Finally, and as we all know, be very wary of first reporting.

Just quick aside Bado: some poster, I think on the PoGT, said he witnessed this exchange, and that Brady was smiling and gave acknowledgement. No idea, maybe different moments...

Dude: trying not to be a DB...criticisms, concerns, misgivings are all fair play. That said, I honestly have to ask: wtf are you doing on this board?

Intrigued by your point... I didn't do a comparative, but looked at DK down-distance results. To me, surprising, but bottom line: he's feasting on down and 10+ yards. Big plus-ups across the board. 33 rec on 35 targets (94.3%!), 308 yds at 9.3y/rec, 12FD, 2TD. Now we're very much into Beasley territory. Don't know about Kelce.

Great line corta! I just did a spit take.

[With apologies, I'm pulling The Richard move and cross-posting this from PGT. Seems more relevant here] Carrying discussion of #86 a little further; nothing profound, but... [1] Bills, or at least TBD, hoped for a "Beasley replacement", primarily as a sure-handed, go-to target/outlet, as well as a chain mover. Conclusion: obviously only a rookie but he's getting there more quickly than I personally anticipated. [2] Top 5 TEs by reception totals are Hock, Engram, Kelce, Kincaid, LaPorta. Normalizing for # targets, etc, it's interesting to look at Rec:Tgt (sure-handed), FD:Tgt (chain mover) ratios, along w Yac/Rec just for s&g. H: 73.5; 39.2; 3.69 E: 79.7; 27.0; 5.17 Ke: 79.1; 41.7; 4.89 Ki: 87.9; 36.2; 4.29 L: 72.4; 36.2; 3.92 Reasonably favorable comparisons imv.** [3] Looking at Beasley 2020, arguably his best year, he had 76.6 target success (Kincaid now at 87.9) and an incredible FD:Tgt rate of .495!! Again, Reuben not there yet, but looking the part. **Realize many other issues on the table: TDs, explosive plays, yds/rec, etc. The data here are admittedly self-selective.

Carrying discussion of #86 a little further; nothing profound, but... [1] Bills, or at least TBD, hoped for a "Beasley replacement", primarily as a sure-handed, go-to target/outlet, as well as a chain mover. Conclusion: obviously only a rookie but he's getting there more quickly than I personally anticipated. [2] Top 5 TEs by reception totals are Hock, Engram, Kelce, Kincaid, LaPorta. Normalizing for #targets, etc, it's interesting to look at Rec:Tgt (sure-handed), FD:Tgt (chain mover) ratios, along w Yac/Rec just for s&g. H: 73.5; 39.2; 3.69 E: 79.7; 27.0; 5.17 Ke: 79.1; 41.7; 4.89 Ki: 87.9; 36.2; 4.29 L: 72.4; 36.2; 3.92 Reasonably favorable comparisons imv.** [3] Looking at Beasley 2020, arguably his best year, he had 76.6 target success (Kincaid now at 87.9) and an incredible FD:Tgt rate of .495!! Again, Reuben not there yet, but looking the part. **Realize many other issues on the table: TDs, explosive plays, yds/rec, etc. The data here are admittedly self-selective.

Check out Kincaid right at the end of this. Great routes, hands, yac, downfield blocking...and literally throwing hands when needed. The Rook ain't fu*king around.

Bills 127-Jests 7...yds, that is

Sorry: late to this, and I don't use social media, except for this board. So here it is. I usually worked in small, joint-task teams of, uhhh, "civilian" operators and Tier 1 Serious Dudes...the real deals. I was not the latter! Very high-speed, low-drag stuff: we did blah, blah, blah/ who really cares now...in many AOs. But this is not about me, and definitely not a plea for an "atta boy". Really, really no kidding. However, I do thank @Fan in Chicago for his consistency on such matters. My bottom line point: RIP to two of my dear friends and teammates, Capt M.P. and to ZW, call sign Moses. Known to so few, gone way to soon, but your memory remains, forever. Also, thanks to all who wore the uniform, combat/no combat...it does not matter. Your sacrifices have no real parallel in the Real World (TM). Respectfully, DSK

Btw, last 4: Fins at a more pedestrian 338 total yards/game. Perhaps the Saints record is safe.

Regardless of interpretation, I will echo @WotAGuy sentiment: great post (and follow-ons) OP. We need more of this.

Freaking great! I think we discussed that once. Anyway, not sure if I can answer a question re "local legend(s)", as I did not grow up in the area. However, I suspect Lew-town residents, 50+ yo, would know about the brothers. Do not know Fergie...as far as I know (!)

Also confused, but I finally figured it out. Paraphrasing, briefly: 1. Several days ago, Sherpa makes insightful comment on naval issues. 2. Joe Ferg acknowledges, then wonders--b/c info so good--if Sherpa is actually a real life Navy ADM he knows, "Anthony". I won't use his last name. 3. Ferg makes follow-on posts re this ADM, then brings in stories re his brother, a fmr Army Captain. 4. Nobody would ever know who Ferg is talking about, but he brings them up again! It just so happens that I do know them, very well. 5. A little pissed, I finally ask what is going on with these obscure references. Since, again, I actually know them. 6. The brothers, and extended family members, have served this country faithfully. That's about it...back to regular programming.

-- "Lighten up, Francis": ok, fair enough, I'll give you that one. Good point. -- To be frank: I was bit in the azz by your blithe, earlier ref to them as "tin soldiers," though I realize the context was as Fort Niagara reenactors. -- Why ticked? Their ~1910s immigrant family (uncles, cousins) has served in every major US military operation since eligible. One uncle: 173rd Abn, WW2 and Korea. Another uncle: Green Beret, with tours in Vietnam and other counter-insurgencies, retired Colonel w 82nd Abn. Cousins: many, many deployments over multiple conflicts, from peacekeeping, to combat engineer, to counter-IED, to XYZ. I've already provided what the brothers themselves did. Point is: theirs is a military family that has gone way above and beyond the call for their country. I hope you realize that use of "tin soldier" (no matter context) anywhere in their vicinity really chafes. Maybe it's just me. -- Yes, I'll agree with you that the stories are funny. But the Capt G. "tree incident" needs context. He definitely had solid reason to toss the m'fer! -- Last: Anthony (nobody calls him Tony) is most definitely not @sherpa!! Ok, 'nuf said.