DCOrange

I'm not sure if he tweaked his mechanics after arriving at Houston because the film I've seen was all from his time at A&M, but I don't like his throwing motion at all and he looked terribly unimpressive at A&M. Obviously didn't fare much better in Houston since he got benched after only a couple of games. Certainly wouldn't touch him until late on Day 3, but in my mind, he's probably a UDFA level prospect. Edit: Just watched the video in the OP...still not a fan of that throwing motion. Seems really odd that he was the #1 QB recruit once upon a time with those mechanics; the way he throws looks like he was a baseball player that committed to football later on in high school.

I don't like this signing personally, but obviously McBeane know what they're getting with Star and felt that he was worth it. I guess we'll have to see. I just don't think he's a very good player from what I've seen over the last few years.

I don't either truthfully

We’ll see what happens, but outside of drafting Rosen in the first or not selecting a QB until Day 2/3, trading up for Rosen is probably my least favorite option. I’m hoping this is a smokescreen and that the Giants actually want him.

On the flipside, for the sake of Part 1 of this article, in which the argument is simply "Is he the best QB in the class or is he not?", I'd argue that Allen is one of like 3 guys that has a legitimate chance of being the best in this year's class.

Yep. Not turning the ball over plus forcing turnovers = wins even if you aren’t a very talented team.

He’s an 84 or 85. I don’t remember which off the top of my head

That would be good for Buffalo IMO.

I'd prefer to stay at 12 or make a small move up rather than going all the way to #2 honestly. And I have absolutely zero interest in trading anything of legitimate value for Odell.

The ranking is on the left, so for example, Mayfield is tied for 26th with Bortles/Wentz/Goff. As I mentioned in the OP, it appears that Scouts Inc. changed the grading curve in 2014 or 2015, so in all likelihood, Mayfield being a 91 this year would be more like maybe a 94 by the former scoring system or something; we don't know because Scouts Inc. never actually declared a new grading curve but suddenly we went from having 10 guys (at any position) at 95+ each year to maybe 1 or 2. This change only makes it even more impressive that there are 4 QBs in the 90+ threshold. And the optimistic take would be that all 4 fall somewhere within the range of Philip Rivers and Carson Wentz

This is so funny to me; usually when you hear about a team granting permission for a player to seek a trade, it's a good, well-known player, not the 4th string QB.

It is, but the section about a QB's ceiling was particularly interesting to me considering that there were zero outliers in the dataset.

I'm not certain, but I don't think the stats used for this study exist at Lauletta's level of competition.

Based on that article, it sounds like he had Snead as a 90 going in the preseason but by the time he actually declared for the draft, he was no longer in the top 100 of his draft class.

Really interesting article, basically arguing the opposite of my Scouts Inc thread...this article basically says that this year's QB class is weak, and notably gives guys the following comparisons based on projected success at the next level (listed in order from high to low success rate). As you'll see below, the comparisons are downright frightening, but I would urge you to read the article anyways because it's a really interesting look at things using some advanced metrics. Baker Mayfield: Russell Wilson Sam Darnold: Colt McCoy Mason Rudolph: Jared Goff Logan Woodside: Nick Foles Riley Ferguson: Zach Mettenberger Nick Stevens: Mike Glennon JT Barrett: Jake Locker Luke Falk: Brett Hundley Lamar Jackson: Brandon Weeden Mike White: Jacoby Brissett Josh Rosen: Brandon Weeden Chase Litton: Tim Tebow Josh Allen: Deshone Kizer https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2018/4/5/17046116/2018-nfl-draft-quarterbacks-josh-allen-sam-darnold-projections-hype Edit: I should mention that this study focuses solely on passing, so for example, it would be reasonable to expect Lamar Jackson and probably Josh Allen and JT Barrett to outplay the expectations from this study.

Pretty interesting tweet, and one that I felt the need to look back on past draft classes for. ESPN archives all of the Scouts Inc. grades dating back to the 2004 draft (Eli, Rivers, Big Ben, Losman). It appears that either in 2014 or 2015, they tweaked their grading formula and became much harsher. For example, 2008 had 13 players rated 95+. 2013 had 9. 2014 had 5, and 2015-2018 has had 5 combined. So in that context, the tweet above is even more impressive. Unfortunately, there's no way to adjust the ratings from past years to match whatever this new rating system is, so I made no attempt to. I did, however, gather up all of the QBs from 2004-2018 that had a grade of 90+ and came up with the following, in order: T1 Ben Roethlisberger T1 Aaron Rodgers T1 Andrew Luck T4 Eli Manning T4 Alex Smith T4 Matt Leinart T4 JaMarcus Russell T4 Matt Ryan T9 Vince Young T9 Brady Quinn T9 Sam Bradford T9 Robert Griffin III T9 Jameis Winston T14 Jay Cutler T14 Matt Stafford T14 Blaine Gabbert T17 Philip Rivers T17 Mark Sanchez T19 Ryan Tannehill T19 Sam Darnold T21 Brian Brohm T21 Cam Newton T21 Marcus Mariota T24 Josh Allen T24 Josh Rosen T26 Blake Bortles T26 Carson Wentz T26 Jared Goff T26 Baker Mayfield T30 Chad Henne T30 Jake Locker T30 Johnny Manziel

He reminds me of Stefon Diggs a bit too and not just because they both went to Maryland.

Answering the question in the OP, I'd go with Roquan Smith. I simply think he's a stud at possibly the biggest weakness on the roster right now and maybe the 2nd most important position on a McDermott team. Some other candidates at various positions: HB: Ronald Jones WR: DJ Moore D-Line: Nathan Shepard/Harold Landry

Those light blue jerseys are soooo bad. Dark blue is okay but they just went from bad to pretty bad IMO

His velocity looks fine on the short and intermediate passes IMO. The deep ball is a struggle for him though; he definitely struggles to physically get it down the field and he has to put a lot of air under it to have a chance at getting there. I think he throws with more velocity on the 20 and under yard passes than a guy like Mason Rudolph does but like I said, the deep ball is a serious issue for him.

For what it's worth (I usually don't put much stock in his reports, but he seems really confident/in-depth with this one), Manish Mehta is saying that everyone in the top 10 knows that the Patriots want Baker Mayfield. He also says: The Jets are still divided about who to take at #3 They had Mayfield a tier below Darnold, Rosen, and Allen back when they made the trade up, but that may not be the case anymore Part of the reason the Jets traded up was out of fear that Buffalo would beat them to the punch The belief is that the Bills want Josh Allen (which obviously we already knew, but in conjunction with the Jets fear, I would guess that Allen was the leader in the clubhouse at the time of the trade at least)

The way I see it, the Rams were screwed in a couple years anyways when they'll likely be paying Gurley, Goff, and Donald roughly $70 million per year, so they might as well push their chips in for these next couple of years and hope that it's worth the pain and suffering that will come in the future.

Good for him. He probably won't get a shot to start there even if Flacco struggles, but who knows? It's not like Flacco is good.

There's still plenty of time for that to change. Buffalo has only slotted people in for like 4-7 of their 30 private workouts so far.