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Everything posted by DCOrange
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Cowboys writers have been going off about how stupid it was to trade an asset for him given how bad he's looked throughout camp/preseason. There's a ceiling there for sure but I would take a veteran like Trubisky over Milton every single time given where our team is right now.
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I think it's fair to look at it that way but it's also entirely possible like 90% of the snaps that Gave would get are snaps that Palmer wouldn't be playing anyways. It would be someone that blocks worse than Gabe taking Palmer's place instead. So much of our offense last season was putting out personnel that dared defenses to play nickel and then try to bully them, and a lineup with Gabe and Coleman could take that to the max.
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I wonder if the DuBose signing impacts this at all. I said it a few weeks ago though, Gabe is probably signing somewhere on the minimum/potentially even practice squad. He's a steal at that cost IMO. Most players at that cost are guys that cannot under any circumstance play a snap of offense.
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I didn't scout a lot last year, but I had scouted Horton a couple years ago and was really impressed by him.
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The raw numbers are fine...he didn't play well. QBR (overall ranking in parentheses): Jayden Daniels (4) Drake Maye (17) Bo Nix (18) Caleb Williams (28) Penix didn't start enough games to qualify for the season leaderboard, but his QBR from his 3 starts would have likely placed him around Maye and Nix. Era-Adjusted ELO - I pulled each first rounder dating back to Josh Allen's class for fun (26 of them) and pulled their Era-Adjusted ELO through their first 17 starts (the number that Caleb has started), or if the 1st rounder didn't even make it to 17 starts in their career, then whatever their career ELO ended up being. Ranking amongst the 26 in parentheses: Jayden Daniels - +63.6 per game (1) Bo Nix - +53.7 per game (4) Drake Maye - +9.8 per game (8) Michael Penix - -35.0 per game (17) Caleb Williams - -47.7 per game (18) For reference, 9 of the 26 had a positive era-adjusted ELO through 17 starts: Daniels, Lamar, Herbert, Nix, Stroud, Jordan Love, Burrow, Maye, and Kyler Murray. The folks ranked below Caleb's rookie year are: Kenny Pickett, Trevor Lawrence, Sam Darnold, Justin Fields, Dwayne Haskins, Zach Wilson, Bryce Young, and Josh Rosen. PFF Grade (position rank in parentheses): Jayden Daniels (6) Michael Penix (8) Bo Nix (22) Drake Maye (40) Caleb Williams (44) And if you just want to go off of the eye test and watched the games, he simply did not play well. Now how much of the blame you want to place on him vs. poor coaching, OL play, etc. is up to you, but I don't think there's really any argument that he wasn't disappointing. I'm not saying he was a trainwreck or anything and I personally still like him quite a bit as a prospect. But yeah, he was hyped up to be one of the best QB prospects of all time and instead was arguably the worst in his class as a rookie.
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The annual QB tier rankings from The Athletic
DCOrange replied to dave mcbride's topic in The Stadium Wall
The best part is Stafford moved UP into Tier 1 this year. He gained 5 Tier 1 votes compared to 2024. He wouldn't be my choice but I do think he has an argument for being the 5th best QB in the league right now, but #5 is simply nowhere near the same tier as the top 4. -
Yep. They've seemingly improved the offensive line a ton (and to be honest, folks put way too much of the sacks on the OL last year...they were average at best but they weren't a trainwreck like a lot of people suggested they were) and the pass catchers around Caleb should be pretty good. There's really no excuse for that offense to struggle in 2025.
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Has anyone had that Pittsford Farms Dairy from Hard Knocks?
DCOrange replied to Billsfed1's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yeah, as I mentioned before, it holds up well against any ice cream place I've been to in the US, and I have been to a ton of them lol. The good gelato places in Italy are understandably a cut above, but Pittsford Dairy, the creamery in PA that I mentioned, and one hidden gem in DC that I've found are probably the best ice cream I've had here. -
Has anyone had that Pittsford Farms Dairy from Hard Knocks?
DCOrange replied to Billsfed1's topic in The Stadium Wall
I haven't tried garlic ice cream, but have recently had olive oil ice cream and it was outstanding. -
I think it goes without saying that Caleb had a disappointing rookie season (I don't think it's an especially hot take to say he was the 4th or 5th best among the 5 first rounders last year) and has a lot to prove in Year 2. Having said that, so much of what Cowherd says here is misleading or just flat out laughable. The description for Tier 4 in Mike Sando's rating system is "unproven" OR "veterans that should not start all 17 games". The former is why all of the 2nd year QBs, including Jayden Daniels, received Tier 4 votes. Some of the voters take the tier descriptions very seriously and it stands to reason that every young QB needs to prove themselves across multiple seasons. Having said that, even if the tier descriptions were not provided and people were just given the assignment of listing the QBs across 5 tiers, having Caleb in Tier 3 or 4 makes sense. It's entirely possible Cowherd didn't actually read the article about the rankings and simply didn't know specific guidelines like that were provided. The idea that sitting the starting QB in the preseason is abnormal is simply a joke and this is a point that Cowherd knows he's just making up. Starting QBs are rested in preseason all the freaking time including this past week. He kept repeating over and over that every starting QB played this week when in reality, it was only half of them (and in a few of those cases, they are literally competing for the starting QB job so of course they're playing). Amongst established starters, it was less than half of them playing in the preseason opener. Also for historical reference, across Ben Johnson's three years as OC in Detroit, his starting QB appeared in one preseason game. He just doesn't believe in it.
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Has anyone had that Pittsford Farms Dairy from Hard Knocks?
DCOrange replied to Billsfed1's topic in The Stadium Wall
In case nobody else responded, a simple cooler with ice should do the trick. I have transported ice cream from a creamery in in the suburbs of PA to Washington DC, around 3ish hour drive and it's held up perfectly well. The biggest issue is fighting the desire to eat it in transit. I've only been to Pittsford Dairy a handful of times as various Abbott's locations have just always been a lot more convenient and I personally LOVE Abbott's. Pittsford Dairy is excellent ice cream though; compares well to any ice cream I've had in the US. -
I have sort of mixed feelings on him, but I think my main take is that McD is a top 10 coach and that's very difficult to find. There's a very high likelihood that anyone you get to replace him will be a demonstrably worse coach. Having said that, sometimes the message gets stale and you simply need a new messenger even if they aren't technically as good a coach. On the flipside, I think there often comes a time where you see a coach and team come up short in the same way over and over again and it feels apparent that the coach just isn't improving and as a result, there's really no hope that the next year will be the breakthrough. I don't really feel that way with McD. Every year he's become a bit better making decisions, a bit better with his offensive aggressiveness, etc. (challenge decisions notwithstanding). And I think last season was the best coaching job of his career given all the attrition we had on the defensive side of the ball. Like, for the system we run, the intelligence and composure that Hyde and Poyer brought to the defensive backfield was maybe the main driver of the defense and the safety position was a ***** ton worse last year and McD still found a way to make it mostly work for us. There's probably a worst case scenario type of season that could change my mind, but as things currently stand, I think it would be a very bad idea to move on even if we come up a little short again this season.
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I don't really think Washington will consider trading him, but can't hurt to feel it out. I would imagine Beane has probably made an initial call as most GMs would.
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I saw some back and forth between him and Dunne but didn't follow it back to the beginning. Feels kinda odd though; isn't Brasky working for SI now? It's not like he's just a random Bills blog.
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Kind of an odd career because considering his production and the fact that he was only a 4th round pick, I think it's pretty obvious that he would be considered a "hit" as a draft pick, or in the very least certainly not a miss. But he looked so promising so quickly that he feels like a disappointment. I tend to think with his value as a run blocker, the fact that he was generally considered a good leader (albeit had the weird ending with his mom or whoever that was in his family), and his ability to be a passable receiving threat, he can still play a role for a lot of teams if he's willing to play for cheap, but the days of picturing him as a good WR2 or great WR3 are definitely gone. He's more in the Mack Hollins type of space.
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Yes, we obviously want our WRs to be able to separate and that was not exactly Keon's calling card in college and doesn't really project to be a calling card in the pros. But we've seen so many times over the years even guys like Diggs who are considered to be among the best separators in the league can struggle to separate in the playoffs against some of the more handsy DBs. You don't want these types of contested balls to be what the offense is built around, but if Keon becomes good at it, it makes for a very nice last resort kind of thing.
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If he's willing to come back in a depth role, this is such an easy yes. He's a capable starter that will likely sign for the league minimum.
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Not seeing anyone else reporting it yet but this guy generally isn't fake news.
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He will definitely be undersized in some matchups. Hope is that his athleticism helps make up for it; he's generally been a good rim protector at least but his rebounding numbers are pretty poor.
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Actual insider info: we're making a push for Emmanuel Stephen from Arizona to be our backup C. Pretty raw player but 7 foot with athleticism. We'll see if we get it done but it sounds like that's who we've set our sights on. William Kyle to be the starting center and this kid to be the backup.
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Everything I've heard is that we just were not prepared for the NIL era at all and we are confident we know what we're doing now and at least for these next two years, should have plenty of money to go around. Carmelo is making sure the school is well-supported while Kiyan is here. Also, no insider info on this one, but just from what I've read about the guys that we've reached out to, my guess would be Jerry Deng is a name to keep an eye on. Grew up in Rochester before moving away and even when he transferred to Florida State, hes continued to bring up how much he loved and misses Rochester and he absolutely fits the mold that Autry is looking for. I just feel like this is a match that makes sense.
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Some people that are in the know are saying Naithan George from GA Tech is our #1 target for PG and our assistant coaches just started following him on social media so we'll see what comes of that. Lot of teams interested in him.