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DCOrange

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Everything posted by DCOrange

  1. This guy is probably just a special-teamer right?
  2. We'll see what happens on draft night but my guess is that Rosen is #4 on the Jets list.
  3. There's definitely some similarities between Lauletta and Jimmy, but the sentence about his resume being equal to Jimmy isn't really accurate. Lauletta was awesome at Richmond, but Jimmy threw for over 5,000 yards and 50 TDs his senior year.
  4. I'd be incredibly disappointed if he's the only QB that Buffalo drafts, but I'm still kinda intrigued by Chase Litton as a late round flier. His accuracy makes Josh Allen look like Drew Brees, but you don't find many guys in college with the combination of physical tools and ability to make adjustments at the LOS that he does.
  5. His numbers are pretty similar to Carson Wentz with the exception of the completion percentage. On a per game basis during their two years as starters: Wentz: 207 yards, 1.8 TDs, 0.6 INTs Allen: 201 yards, 1.8 TDs, 0.8 INTs If you normalize their numbers for the same number of pass attempts (for ***** and giggles, I extrapolated it as if both of them threw the same number of passes as Dak Prescott this season; he was 16th in the league in pass attempts)... Wentz: 4,123 yards, 36 TDs, 12 INTs Allen: 3,822 yards, 34 TDs, 16 INTs The numbers aren't identical but they're pretty freakin close, and Allen played against a higher caliber of competition than Wentz did. People shouldn't be so scared of a player's completion percentage IMO. YPA is much more important, and while Wentz is still better in that regard, it's a difference of 0.6 yards per attempt and if you want to be optimistic and focus on Allen's sophomore year, his YPA was actually better than Wentz.
  6. I'm guessing it's either 7 for 12/56 or possible more because this trade probably only happens under two scenarios: 1. Saquon and Nelson are both gone, which probably means one of the top QBs is sitting there and Buffalo pays a premium to move up for them 2. The Bills move up to 7 before the draft begins so that they can jump up one more time, in which case Buffalo pays a premium to convince Tampa to not bother sitting there to see if Saquon/Nelson are available.
  7. That’s pretty interesting. I don’t really trust Schultz though.
  8. If I remember right, the question he was answering specifically asked about #7 rather than Beane bringing it up himself I would imagine at least 12 and one of the 2nd founders. Probably only happens if Saquon/Nelson are off the board already too.
  9. The Bucs part is almost certainly true. Their GM pretty much publicly stated that he's been talking to a lot of teams about sliding down from #7 and implied that a QB would likely be taken in their slot in that scenario.
  10. Let me start by saying that the people making a big deal about him asking his coaches why are dumb. But considering that obviously everyone in the draft is a millennial, I think it goes without saying that they mean Rosen is basically the stereotypical millenial whereas Darnold supposedly isn't. This quote is a bigger deal than the "Why" BS IMO
  11. If people didn't care what Mora thinks, they wouldn't be making such a big deal about what he said in the first place. I just think the particular part that people are freaking out about is misguided.
  12. People seem to be focusing on the "he needs to know why" part for some reason when it seems like the more negative parts of what Mora said was his implication that Rosen often loses focus and "has many interests" when people are already questioning if he cares more about outside things than he does football.
  13. I kept reading through all the comments looking for some sort of reason to believe that this tweet was related to Mora's quotes too. I don't get it either.
  14. I didn't say that the results have been borne out re: #2 and #3; simply that it's easier to justify doing it since the cost is relatively much lower. #3 in particular would be impossible to prove. For example, I'd say that the EJ Manuel selection probably doesn't happen if the rookie scale didn't exist because Buffalo knew he was a project when they took him and most intelligent organizations wouldn't want to pay a project as if he's a top 5-10 QB in the NFL, which is essentially what was happening before the rookie scale. As far as #2 goes, again, I didn't say it's been borne out in the results, but for what it's worth, the number of QBs taken in the 1st round and the number of trade-ups for QBs in the 1st round have both increased since the rookie scale was put in place, especially in the last few years. From 2005 to 2010, there was a total of 7 trade-ups for QBs in the first round. In the past 2 years, we've had 6 (and counting this year's draft, we already have one with the Jets and almost certainly will see others).
  15. Way too many catches with his body for my liking personally. Good to see a UB kid getting some love though. This is another under-the-radar WR that I like at the moment.
  16. I think it's possible for a team with McCarron as the QB to be a playoff team. I do not think Buffalo is that team though; at least not now. I expect them to take a pretty significant step backwards this year honestly.
  17. The rookie cap has certainly had an impact in a few ways: 1. Rookie QBs don't cost a ton more than any other position like they used to in the past 2. It's easier to justify trading up when you don't have to trade all your draft picks plus make your choice the highest paid player at his position 3. It's easier to justify gambling on a raw prospect because you're not completely screwed if a draft pick doesn't pan out anymore
  18. No. I think he mentioned back around the Senior Bowl that he was hoping to go back and retroactively add QBs from past draft classes to the dataset too but I'm not sure if that's still in the plans or not. Edit: I talked to him a few minutes ago and he said that he plans on working on it in the summer
  19. This isn’t a terrible outcome. I’d love Roquan here and Hughes and Gesicki should both be pretty good. I’m not really comfortable taking Rudolph that high but it is what it is.
  20. Related: a couple of tables summarizing some of the findings from this report: green = good relative to the other QBs. Red is the opposite.
  21. Benjamin Solak published a study during the Senior Bowl where he basically charted every pass that he could find from the Senior Bowl QBs and sliced and diced it in a million different ways; the most notable one to me being the differentiation between an "accurate" pass (basically think of this as catchable) and a well-placed pass (maximizing YAC, protecting the WR from the DB, throwing it where only the WR can get it, etc.) He's now finished charting all of the non-Senior Bowl QBs and has published the overall findings which you can view at the link below. https://d3d2maoophos6y.cloudfront.net/wp-content/uploads/sites/25/2018/03/30143754/2018-Contextualized-Quarterbacking.pdf
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