You said the 2 seed is unlikely and the Steelers hold the tie breaker. We hold the tie breakers, and the #2 seed is almost a coin flip at this point percentage wise.
What? It's unlikely that either the Browns or the Colts beat the Steelers? They lose 1 game and the #2 seed can be ours.
Right now the NY Times has our chance at the #2 seed at 42%.