NewEraBills

At 9, I'd go with the upside. That's why I'm a big Metcalf advocate at 9. Go with the upside.

I have two three round Mocks in my head. 1. D.K Metcalf 2. Jerry Tillery 3. Trade up Dalton Risner 2nd Mock 1. Ed Oliver 2. A.J Brown 3. Trade up Michael Deiter

I think Jerry Tillery, who can be had a little later has more upside than Oliver. With Tillery is about length. They both can push the pocket, but Tillery's frame offers a lot more. We'll see what happens, but I've read several reports that a lot of teams really like Tillery.

At 9 I it would look like this for me: 1. DK Metcalf 2. Greedy Williams 3. Ed Oliver/Christian Wilkins 4. Surprise pick in a trade back - DT Jerry Tillery 5. Montez Sweat Beyond 15 I'd take a TE but I wouldn't take one before then. Why Metcalf could still be a possibility at 9. First, John Brown's contract is essentially a 1 year deal. They could cut bait with him next year. In that time it could give Metcalf or some other rookie WR a chance to learn the offense, refine their routes so on and so forth. It wouldn't put a lot of pressure on the rookie to come in right away. So my thinking is because Brown's contract is structured the way it is, we are drafting a WR, whether that be rd 1 or somewhere else. We are going to draft a WR. Why Greedy Williams could be a possibility. Levi played great down the stretch last year but this would be about can the position be upgraded substantially and you do that with talent. This is an issue of talent vs technique. Levi played well and did a good job because of technique. And there is nothing wrong with that. Williams however, is a guy that possess both talent and technique. He's a superior talent and his technique may already be equivalent or beyond Levi's. I don't know. But what I would say is if you have an opportunity to substantially increase your talent at a position, DO IT. Why Ed Oliver, Christian Wilkins at 9 and or Jerry Tillery in the early teens. Right now the team has 3 DT's on the roster, one of which is a depth player. Phillips is an unknown at this point so you need a high level of competition in this area. Let two unknowns battle it out for the starting spot. I do think they like Wilkins and Tillery over Oliver because of length and they were both just as productive on the interior in terms of sacks and QB pressures. I wouldn't be surprised if Tillery was their top guy here. Not only can he push the pocket and get pressures and sacks, but his length allows him to swat a lot of footballs. From what I've read, a lot of teams love Tillery. I think the Bills are one of them. He's just scratching the surface and with his frame he brings a lot. Why Montez Sweat could be a possibility. The Bills need to get to the QB. It doesn't matter if it is from the interior or the edge, they need to get to the QB. So you bring in the best talent available on the board. I'm not saying Sweat will be available. But if he is, take him. Honestly, I could see Gruden being star struck and the Raiders take Sweat at 4 and that pushes Josh Allen down the board. Allen could be a guy available that people thought would be gone. This is all I would be thinking at 9 unless guys like Allen and Williams somehow fall to that spot. Otherwise, I would try to leverage someone and move out of the spot.

They could just as easily go with Greedy Williams at 9.

I doubt we keep more than 6 and even if we do keep that many one or more will be required to provide some special teams contributions. As for Ray Ray, he's most likely gone. He'll be a camp body MAYBE.

To add, the way I see it, Beasley and Brown are starters. They did not sign them both this early and at those prices to be backups. So that leaves it at a dog fight between nearly 4 guys. I doubt we carry more than 6 WR's. So, I see it the way you do. Zay Jones, barring some miracle turnaround is in trouble. As we have said time and time again: 1. He struggles to win on the perimeter. 2. He's not going to outrun anyone on the perimeter 3. He's been inconsistent with his hands. With Beasley taking the slot role he's going to have to play outside which to me gives Foster the upper hand. Foster needs to work on his route running but the one thing he can do that Zay cannot is run past someone. He's worked on his hands and gotten better. So even if we just went with our current group Jones may have already dropped to #4. In any case if he's on this roster, then he's earned the hell out of it because these acquisitions have almost sealed that last nail in the coffin. Let's say Zay is already #4 behind Brown, Beasley, and Foster. What does Duke Williams provide? Finally, if they bring in a high or mid round pick, what will they provide? Zay is indeed in trouble. I didn't see it before, but I do now.

I'd still take Metcalf at 9 even with today. Jones and Foster would have to battle it out for the 4th spot. Beasley gets the slot and Brown is one of the outside guys. I'd force Jones and Foster to fight for the #4 spot. Jones, as we have seen, struggles on the perimeter. Foster can get open on the perimeter but can he win consistently? I'd still take Metcalf at 9. Much more talented than both Zay and Foster.

I would take a look at Shane Ray. He had 8 sacks in 2016 but completely fell of the last two seasons. Give him a 1 year prove it deal.

I think he'll sign with Baltimore. It's probably the reason they let all of those defenders walk, to make sure they have the money to sign him.

It doesn't. That's why they drafted Isaiah Wynn last year. He'll take over that spot for them.

I actually like Ja'Wuan James. But it's looking like Denver and Minny likes him a lot too.

I hear what you are saying, I just think they are give Teller the inside edge to win the spot but if he cannot, that's where guys like Long come in. I'm just saying right now until something else happens I think Long is the RG and Teller is the LG. It might not stay that way. But if it did and we just drafted one interior lineman I would not be upset so long as we have James or Williams added to the group.

That's what Long is for IMO.

Yep and be the rotational guy at C. So the way I see it, we need to get JuJwan James or Daryl Williams in here to solidify the OL. I think right now we are looking at: LT - Dawkins LG - Teller C - Morse RG - Long RT - ???? Now I would like a better prospect at RG. I think you have Long provide competition for Teller at LG and a Rookie at RG. And he can serve as the swing interior lineman. But if we do not take an interior lineman early I will not be upset by it so long as we can get James or Williams at RT. We will have improved the OL talent wise by a ton.

I liked him coming out of college as he showed a lot of versatility. Really liked his ability to stretch the seam and his reliability as a pass catcher. Then he just disappeared in Cincy. I don't know much about that situation except they already had Eifert and I think Croft was drafted to be the #2.

He's probably just here to make sure that Levi continues to work hard. I see it as nothing more than that.

Dawkins, Zeitler, Paradis (Draft Pick) Daryl Williams. Give Allen and the fans that line.

I wouldn't be opposed to JJ at 6 mil. I'd actually be happy to pay him that. He is more than just a blocker. Boyle's role is primarily a blocker and to me 6 mil per for just a guy that's a blocker is what's scary.

Smith would be better here as a DE, which is what he played at UK. I don't see him as a 4-3 outside linebacker.

This is what I've been saying all along. When you factor in the strength of our QB, namely throwing the ball down the field, then you find a WR that fits what your QB does well and Metcalf is that guy in this draft on the perimeter. If we had Brady at QB, I would be shouting for Isabella, Brown or some other quick twitch guy that's is an A+ route runner. But that's not who we have at QB. We have a guy with a superior arm, that likes to throw the football down the field. We need to accentuate that. The neck is certainly a concern and I would be asking around about his timetable for playing. If he cannot play in July/August then yes, you pass on him at 9. If he can, to me you take him IF he's there.

Jernigan is more of a penetrator and is best at 3 tech from what I gather.

How do you draw, 1) unwilling blocker; 2) can't cut; 3) can't get separation from that? The majority of what he ran are go routes. Name me one WR this year that got separation from Greedy Williams. That's why he's the #1 CB in the draft. Just because he couldn't outrun Greedy he can't get separation? All that means is he couldn't get separation from Greedy but that doesn't mean he can't make plays. He did have a couple of good catches with Greedy having superb coverage. The pass at 00:16 shouldn't have been thrown to Metcalf. That's a bad read by the QB At 00:39 this is a fantastic match up. Metcalf gets Greedy to commit pass interference here. 1:05 quick hitch 1:14 Comeback route. I would have liked to see him catch this one. 1:31 Did a good job of getting in the way as a blocker on the screen 1:50 another quick hitch 2:30 Great 1 v 1 coverage the QB decides to go opposite of Greedy. Looks like the Safety may have been cheating over to that side as he did at 00:16. Whoever #5 is has to hold on to this one. 3:00 another quick hitch 3:17 Comeback route vs off coverage. LSU is giving them this to get off the field so to me this is not a grade play. 3:34 Stop and go. QB is pressured. 4:27 that's just on DK there. Gotta be more careful with his hands. 5:03, I would have liked to see the QB throw that one to Metcalf's outside shoulder. Greedy made a great play there. 5:52 - good block 6:04 catch on the comeback route. Looked like it could have been a nasty leg injury on the fall but he wasn't injured. 6:11 whiff block 6:17 blocks but it's insignificant since the play is going the other way 6:23 quick stop route vs off coverage 6:36/37 DB did a fantastic job of using the sideline. Pass was overthrown anyway. 7:26 Too high from the QB 7:33 Slant route, QB read the right side. Metcalf is open on the backside slant. The coverage is good but he has the inside leverage. QB scrambled once everything on the right was muddied. 8:22 - tipped pass - curl route On these plays 00:24 RPO, I'm not sure I would say he's an unwilling blocker here. Notice on every play what Greedy Williams is NOT doing. He's not trying to press Metcalf, he's just running with him. The Bama game showed what happens when guys try to press and run with him. All in all, as an individual performance, not a bad game. The bulk of LSU pass snaps were quick game concepts with Metcalf running Go routes. However, they did have him run quick hitches, slants, comebacks, hitch and go. So I don't see why people keep spitting out the narrative of a 1 route WR. Does he run the entire route tree, NOPE. Does he get pressed? No. Did he dictate coverage? To some degree. 00:16 the Safety is cheating over which results in an INT by the safety; 2:30 the safety is cheating over which results in a 1 v 1 where #5 just has to hold on to that pass. So I don't see a bad game and I don't see him getting dominated in this game as you say. He made some plays against the best CB in the country. He had 1 offensive pass INT and he had 1 drop. Otherwise looking at the tape and what Ole Miss was running vs what LSU was doing I thought he had a decent game. The unwillingness of the best CB in the country to try and press him shows a great deal of respect for his ability at the line.

I don't know what else he can do I just know that's what he can do based on the tape. Secondly, why wouldn't I want someone at 9 that fits my QB. People are not looking at who we have at QB and what his strengths are. Allen is a down the field thrower. So why not get him a down the field WR. To me Metcalf fits perfectly with our QB's strengths. Highlight our players strengths and do the best to hide their weaknesses.

Not really, but I think it boils down to who they want to keep. Do you keep your trench guys, Michael Pierce, Za'Darius Smith, Suggs or do you keep the off the ball linebacker who will be asking for a contract to cover all of what those guys will be getting? They drafted Kenny Young last year and Peanut Onswar proved he can play in the league. If anything I'd probably let him walk too and if I need to draft a rookie backer in rd 2-4 after adding a WR in rd 1.