NewEraBills

Maybe a deal will get done, but the Ravens will not use the Franchise Tag on CJ Mosley. We already have our MLB though so...

My dream draft would be 1. Metcalf 2. Lindstrom or Risner 3. Tillery 4. Benny Snell or Darrell Henderson With Free Agent additions at RT, C, TE, pass rusher.

I can agree with that. No QB does. Your Edge guys tend to put up more sack numbers and pressures though. That's why I think Edge is a priority over interior. But ultimately, you get it where you can get it.

Now if Josh Allen is on the board and DK is also on the board, that's when I would have a difficult decision. He's the only potentially available defender I'd do that for. To me, what the Bills need on defense is an edge rusher opposite of Hughes. I'm not sure I'd take an interior DL over Metcalf looking at the Bills. If I'm another team I probably would. But the Bills, the only guy I'd take over Metcalf at 9 is Allen. This current NFL is two things to me. Score points and get to the QB. Great defense IMO has been redefined. You have to be efficient against the run, but you don't have to be smothering. But beyond a shadow of a doubt it is a necessity that you get to the QB. So for me, I'd be happy with Allen or Metcalf at 9; Maybe even Sweat. I think the other areas can be supplemented in other ways.

I get it. Guys are concerned about the bust rate and sure the WR bust rate in the 1st is high, but so are other positions. When you are picking in the top 10 you are banking on UPSIDE to a degree and maximization of potential. In rounds 2-3 it's mostly BPA and high functionality. Upside is a plus in rounds 2-3. The Bills, that is US, NEED a WR so why not draft the one with the most upside and potential at 9 IF he's there. Give him 5 years to work things out and see what happens. His potential and upside is unmatched in this draft. This is not to say that other areas on the team go unaddressed. We can still address other areas via FA and the draft. I still say if he is there at 9, which IMO he won't be, you take Metcalf. I don't want mere functionality at WR. That's Zay Jones. We have that. I want massive potential and upside. That's DK Metcalf.

Perhaps I misunderstood "having him run in a straight line" ?‍♂️

I'll just say this AGAIN. Metcalf is not a 1 route player. His tape doesn't show that. That said, it doesn't show the entire route tree either and that's the weakness of it. What his tape shows is that he can run the following routes with high effectiveness: 1. 9 2. Slant 3. Post 4. Screen What you can add in based on those is the crosser. Any route that keeps him moving forward is showcasing his strength. If he's being asked to do double moves (stop and go; zig) then that's where problems are going to surface. To me, if you are Buffalo, and we are, you swing for the fence and that's what selecting Metcalf would be IF he's available. You swing for the fence, bring in one TE via FA, another later in the draft; bolster the OL FA and in rd 2. Supplement the Defense via FA. Lastly, I didn't ask if Jeffery was worth the #9 pick. I asked if he and Thomas were NFL quality wide outs. A question that got glossed over. Now what might be inferred from that is whether are more athletic and explosive Alshon Jeffery, D. Thomas is worth the #9 pick.

I really like Tillery in the 3rd but I think he'll go in rd 2.

And he hasn't shown he should get major dollars.

Would you consider Demaryius Thomas a real NFL WR? Alshon Jeffery? Metcalf is essentially those guys with more explosiveness and speed. Also to reduce Metcalf to running 9 routes shows ignorance. He certainly needs to refine his route running but to say he is only good running 9 routes is sheer ignorance and lack of film study.

I'm biased. I want JoeJuan Williams. He ran a 4.8 though yikes lol. Ran alot better 4.6 but it's still slow. Much like Levi last year. He did everything well except the 40.

He's not a bum. It's just when you seriously begin to think about answering the question, what is his role going to be? that's when the doubts surface. He struggles on the perimeter vs press coverage and getting separation down the field. He doesn't have the quick shiftiness to play the slot. What is his role then, unless we will be asking our slot WR's to do different things like digs, crosses, posts?

To me this is not an either or deal. It's a both and deal. We can address the line in FA and rounds 2-4 in the draft with really good starter level talent.

I'm starting to think this too, even though I have advocated that he needs to be in the slot. He hasn't shown the quick shiftiness to get open and run those short quick routes from the slot.

To me you draft him and ask him to do the following: 1) Screens 2) 9/Go routes 3) Deep Post routes 4) Slants 5) Deep Crossers You don't ask him to run double move routes that's all. I'd say he's a Demaryius Thomas archetype with more speed and explosiveness. To me he fits in great with Josh Allen's abilities. Now that I think about it I would probably actually try to also get a guy like Andy Isabella if he's still there in the 3rd and have him man the slot. He can run all of the quicks and double moves. That would me bye to Zay unless he can show he has the agility and speed to get open on the short routes.

This dude had no problem vs press coverage even against Alabama. That's one of his strengths. He knows how to beat the press. Now where i agree with you is that the talent level is higher. Where I disagree is that he will have problems with press coverage. And if a coordinator rolls support towards him that's what you want. It leaves Foster 1 v 1 to do his thing and it opens things up for the slot WR, HB and the TE in 11 personnel sets. And it leaves one less person the defense can use to spy Allen unless teams want to begin conceding the 4th rusher or running mush rushes which will give Allen time to find a WR as long as he's patient.

Which is why I've always advocated Rd. 1 Metcalf if there. Rd. 2 Chris Lindstrom or Dalton Risner. -Fix the interior first. Build from the inside out.

I'm not reducing Metcalf to a speed guy. He can run comeback routes; Digs; screens, Posts. His tape shows that. Jones needs to play the slot in that possession role along with the TE. Metcalf can actually catch. Beating the press at the line is another of his top qualities. It's more than speed and strength.

I'd take DK and if I want a TE I'd take Irv Smith from Bama in rd 2/3 They did? His game is on tape, not his 3 cone. His game shows he's agile enough to run a post route with ease, which Allen is great at throwing; a 9 route, which Allen can sling; a screen, which Allen can make the strides to throw; a Deep Dig, which Allen can sling; A comeback, which Allen can absolutely rip. Metcalf is the perfect perimeter WR for the Bills, especially to combine with Robert Foster.

Near 32nd in the league in passing suggest to me that we do need to take another swing. And to add, one of the worse rushing backfields, with the exception of the QB, to mean it says you need better OL, but you also need another threat to take the top off so defenses can't just sit on the run game. We have a QB with an arm, we need perimeter WR's who can fly and make defenses pay. Why do people not want this? It will actually open up the run game too.

I look at it this way. Not only does he help Allen. If we run 11 with Metcalf and Foster on the perimeter, what's the defense going to do run the risk of covering Foster and Metcalf 1 v 1 so they can defend the run with an extra player? He has the potential to help the entire offense.

Edmunds isn't a QB per say. And even if he was, a swing for the fence pick is a swing for the fence pick. We had the near 32nd passing attack in the league last year and to me you fix that by addressing the OL and infusing the best talent at the WR position when you have your franchise QB in house. There are a lot of guys that have better production due to availability. But you're not going to find any with that talent. Take him if he's there.

And what philosophy is that? If last year was any indication, a lot of vertical routes were in many of the game plans.

I'm taking Metcalf. I'll use a Gettlemanism. Do I want a quarter or do I want two dimes and a nickle. I prefer the quarter. Here's my thing, if you were not concerned about Allen and Edmunds last year then why would you be concerned about DK? It's the same kind of pick in my eyes. It's a swing for the fence pick. Those two turned out ok.

People are complicating this and it is somewhat complicated on whether you take Metcalf or Oliver. I'm a defensive guy and I generally always would take defense first. But in this case I'm taking Metcalf. The way I look at Beane's pattern from last April, man swing for the fence. Allen and Edmunds were swing for the fence picks. They had the size and athleticism that other guys didn't have but they were very unpolished. I think of Metcalf somewhat similarly. He's a swing for the fence pick. And if he is available at 9 if I'm Beane I'm stepping up to the plate looking down center field and I'm pointing the bat at the scoreboard because when I swing I'm trying to hit it. To me it's not complicated. This isn't Darius Heywood Bey. This is a guy that has shown big play potential vs Alabama. I'm not saying he caught a ton of passes and amassed tons of yards, but if you watch that one clip, he knows how to handle press coverage and get behind it; if you watch his game winning catch vs UK he can high point in the redzone and come down with it. He does have break away speed. He has good hands. He will just need to work on the route running and durability. But alas, if he makes it out of the top 5 he will not make it past Detroit, who picks right before us.