1ManRaid

1. "Not wrong, but there's flaws in it" is an oxymoron. You're automatically disqualifying your own premise by admitting your methodology was flawed. Garbage in, garbage out. 2. You specifically said "thats a .07 % chance for a team to make the playoffs w a rookie QB." You don't know the meaning of "chance" in the statistical sense. You're giving them 1 in 1429 odds of just making the playoffs, which is absurd. Even Houston has a much better "chance" than that of making it. You're not even talking about winning the Super Bowl, just about being one of the seven teams out of sixteen, and don't even necessarily need to be one of the best seven. 3. Just go ahead and post the math you did to come to the conclusion of 0.07%, this should be interesting. I'm willing to bet you multiplied random irrelevant variables together to shoehorn apples and oranges together. Like "out of all the seasons that have ever been played by all QBs, this percentage of them were a rookie QB taking a team to the playoffs". Which is NOT the same as "this is THIS team's chance to make the playoffs THIS year". The closest you can do to approximating that is divide your 10 successful rookie QBs by all the specific seasons where a team started a rookie for the season. Percentage would still be low, but nowhere near 0.07% low.

We earned it sticking with the team through decades of mediocrity. Pats fans got handed Brady and suddenly became lifelong fans retroactively.

Your math is wrong. Like, really wrong. I only took first year stats at uni and can tell you are confusing something BAD. There's basically an average of a rookie QB leading a team to the playoffs every 5 years. How many rookie day one starters are there in a typical 5 year span? There would have to be over 1000 to be able to get down to less than 0.1%. You have to compare Jones to other day one starters in their rookie years, not just against every QB to ever be in the league or whatever it is you did. You seem to just be taking the 10 playoff rookies, and simply dividing it by some huge number like 51 years times the number of teams in the league each year, rather than comparing apples to apples and seeing how many specific instances there were of a team having a rookie as a day one starter.

Fun seeing Browns fans complaining about Bills fans buying votes, when they did it first. Browns fans happy to play fair until they realize they actually might lose, so they join the dark side.

Man that poll was a trip. Watching the Steelers go from down 45%-55%, to suddenly up 59-41, to stomped back down to 44-56 was hilarious. Mind bendingly bizarre though to see NEW ENGLAND fans claiming we're just bandwagon fans who "didn't exist 3 years ago"... Why put the billboard in Miami? They're not nearly as insufferable as NY/NE/Pitt/Baltimore/KC fans.

Imagine buying 20k votes, and still losing. It was funny watching Steeler fans trying to justify how 20k votes suddenly materialized in minutes early in the morning. There's no comparison to Bills mafia. *edit* I also read that there were similar suspicious spikes in Steeler votes in the earlier rounds. Basic cheating will work on other weaker fanbases, but not us. *edit edit* It's also possible Cleveland fans rallied to support us to spite Pittsburg's cheating, as Browns fans on Twitter as claiming.

Don't normally participate in Twitter stuff but I don't like losing to a cheater buying votes.

Your own rules say spent 2 years on the roster, but put Diggs on the list with only 1 year.

He's definitely on the list, but recency bias is getting him a few extra votes. The era of the passing game applies to defense as well. It's all about the pass rush now, bringing fewer double teams for D-linemen.

As much as I already should start working out again, I'm not one of those weirdos who insists on going shirtless in Buffalo in December. September sure, but not December anymore...

I don't know a lot about fantasy football, but I know not to take JA 1st overall. Sure he'll produce like a top QB, but he's still criminally underrated by most football fans and will probably still be there with your second pick.

I forget the name, but I read in an article that Jerry owns a company that will profit if the Bills stay and get a new stadium.

I find myself watching more games if Buffalo won at 1pm.

He owns a company that will profit if the Bills stay in Buffalo and get a new stadium.

There is literally no need to break it down into 50 yard divisions, it's 100% redundant. Just list the next handful of QBs on the list.

Yeah I was going to make a witty comment about it, but what he said is just far too nonsensical to wrap my head around.

"Blindside block".

Ok I think Arm Arrogance has a contender in Disheveled From Covid for weirdest hot take ever.

My friend lost hundreds of dollars on different bets thanks to those NY hail marys. I think he has a lifelong vendetta against NY now.

I mean it's going to be an emergency for SOMEBODY if I never get to try the thing I've wanted for a couple years now.

Will the borders be open by then?

"Wait, you're actually gonna enforce the rule?"

Someone still spells it "arm arrogance".

Amazing feeling. It's no longer "we might still be in FG range", now it's "which rabbit does he pull out of the hat to convert this".

I expect better D-line play, and better run blocking, which will tip the scales to give us the #1 seed. Just actually COVER KELCE and we can take the championship. I will hold my vote however until I see how the starters look today.