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corta765

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Everything posted by corta765

  1. Offseason -LeVeon Bell agrees to a new 4 year 15 mil a year a deal with PIT setting a new bar for non QB players. Proceeds to get injured week 1 and completely make everyone regret that decision -Kirk Cousins signs with the Cleveland Browns. This creates a ripple effect where the Browns trade picks with the Jets who select Sam Darnold 1st overall, Browns also grab Barkley. -In the 1st 12 picks 5 QBs are taken (Darnold NYJ, Rosen NYG, Mayfield DEN, Allen ARZ by trade with SF, Jackson LAC by trade with CIN).. none by the Bills who can't move up to grab one and instead draft defense heavy in the 1st round. -The Bills do grab Mason Rudolph in the 2nd round though -Jimmy Graham also signs with the Browns thanks their boat load of cap space -Bill Belicheck announces it is his last season and Gronk does retire -Trumaine Johnson moves over to the 49ers from the Rams who quietly put together a good defense again 2018 Season -OAK rebounds from a disappointing 2017 by winning the top seed in AFC -PIT wins the AFC North only at 10-6 with Big Ben showing his age and lacking Bell to help out. Additionally the Browns finish a surprising 8-8 buyoed by a greatly improved offense and become the sexy future pick by NFL media -KC craters to 5-11 when Mahomes has an uneven season and the defense is filled with holes. Reid retires after this. -The Bills start off 1-4, but after Rudolph takes over for an injured Luke McCown he rallies the team to an 8-8 record going 7-4 and they just miss the playoff. But he gives fans a real belief that the QB position is ok finally. He also throws for 300 yards 3 times and Bills fans literally don't know what to do. -The AFC South is the division to beat in AFC with both Wildcards coming from there (IND & JAX) and Houston taking the division -In the AFC IND stuns a declining Patriots team in divisional round -The Eagles take the top seed in the NFC again at a blistering 14-2 record -Carson Wentz returns to wins MVP -The 49ers get a WC seed, but the real surprise is the Bears who finish at 9-7 with a greatly improved roster -The Packers fail to make the playoffs again despite a healthy AROD and Mike McCarthy is dismissed -Pete Carrol retires after another lack luster 8-8 season -Dallas returns not only to the playoffs but finally to the super bowl against the Oakland Raiders who dispatch the boys in a thrilling SB to bring one last title home to Oakland -And....a new Bills stadium is announced...not east of Buffalo... but downtown
  2. Seattle truthfully I think is personal and potentially generational preference. I think they are one of the top 5 unis in the game and very distinctive. Some people view similarly others think they are trash. But they sell a ton of them and teams usually don't like to switch out of the uniforms they've won titles in. I have not heard of any changes to the Hawks at this point. Tampa Bay I agree is an abomination and to me was a downgrade when they switched to these. The people I follow on the uniform side like UniWatch have said there is talk at least to adjust the numbers. They did release the jerseys in 2014 so potentially they could make changes in 2019 if they wanted to. The Titans are releasing new uniforms this year in April.
  3. There is a disturbance in the force I have felt it. Loads of "Bring Him In" and "Sign Him Now" threads are in preparation of invading our world
  4. WRONG THE DECISION WOULD NEVER HAD HAPPENED IF THE ORGANIZATION WOULD NOT HAVE HIRED AN ANALYTICS TEAM. That is in caps because I literally listened to both the Eagles and the analytics company say as much. If you want to keep your head in the sand the same way a lot of baseball people did in the early 2000s be my guest and watch as others blow by you. No one is arguing that having years of knowledge in the NFL is invaluable and absolutely a major help to your team. For some reason people like yourself want to argue and deny that people who are numerically experts at formulating key numbers and predicting scenarios to help guide your decision making can add a tremendous value to any teams operation even though their background may not be in football. Every sport these days is adapting in some fashion to using analytics in some capacity because it can help increase a teams chances of not only winning but constantly evolving to be in the best place for success. Hockey was a sport where being physical was key and now its a fast paced puck controlled game because of analytics. Basketball has become a 3 point shooting paradise with big mens value greatly lowered because the game favors good shooters instead. Baseball has been covered well on the analytical impact. What's truly remarkable with this is no one is saying analytics is at all more important then having tremendous knowledge of the game, teaching fundamentals, and having a skilled coach. There is plenty of room for coexistence in a very healthy way that already has been proven to work. In regards to the draft the only thing major analytics people have said like Bill Barnwell is that having a lot of draft picks is key because the draft really is a lottery of luck and even he would say the Browns fundamentally messed up by continuously not selecting a QB.
  5. It really depends on what they are having him do. If he is looking into formulas and simulations for situational analysis which would clearly show punting on 4th and 2 from the 40 is a poor decision or a certain formation for the team is more successful against X opponent etc.. then yea his background doesn't matter and that is information that can really help. The "gimmick" you refer to is a huge reason why the Eagles won the SB because the coaching staff realized with the numbers presented that playing it safe wasn't enough to really have a shot and it helped to shape the team of scheme and offense they ran. Now analytics in regards to say the draft? Yea I have no clue how much that really would help because I am not even sure what the heck you would quantify.
  6. You are correct. Once you make a major change to your primary uniform you have to keep it for a minimum of 5 years. The league has to be notified by March 1st of the prior league year also. It can take up to two years for the jerseys to be changed between designing the uniforms, testing them for TV to make sure colors numbers and names all are readable, and just market testing in general. You can change the helmet and pants in certain ways ala the Rams this year but not the uniform. The Browns already are in the process apparently of revising their uniforms again by 2020 after just changing them in 2015. On a side point many people ask about the helmets and why the Bills can't do red or Patriots white for Pat the Patriot. The NFL has a one shell rule where the helmet a player wears has to be inspected by the league and approved. It is far too difficult to change the color weekly because of this which is why the standing Buffalo decal and stripes are easy to swap in, but its difficult to do the red.
  7. To me the two tone helmets could've worked had they not made the difference so immediate between the two. The colors easily could've been blended better so it looked more natural and not forced. I still wish they would go back to their helmets that were black but when light it then they shone green also.
  8. Good way to quantify this its really easy to understand
  9. Im ok with this even with the 1sts because we have both 2nds and a 3rd so you can still fill the roster with potentially solid starters. But the name drafted better be one of Rosen, Mayfield, or Darnold otherwise I'd hate it.
  10. That's a good point, I am just not sure how it rates moving that far back even with back to back picks.
  11. I am using what has actually happened not a value chart not that it doesn't have merit. When the Rams put up the 2nd overall pick for RG3 it was to the highest bidder not a value chart. If the Colts or the Giants especially were to do that the cost will not be near what the value chart says because there are a lot of QB needy teams. Agreed. Allen to me is the guy scouts gush over in terms of potential which happens wayyy too often but the results never equal what you hope. Mayfield would be really fun.
  12. Dude wtf does it matter? By the time you would get a true final result with any of these QBs or the two you have massive crush on from last draft your GM either will be here because he drafted his QB right or gone. People like you live in this prism that the rest of the team does not matter and literally everything is the QB or nothing. Second you basically want your team to lay their cards completely out for you on how exactly they view the QB's something no team every in their right mind wuld do. For as much as the NFL is a QB driven league the talent on your roster still really freaking matters as does your coach. The Bills had about 15 holes walking into last season and still have about another 10 to fill this offseason. They calculated correctly that this draft would have more QB talent, got a lot of picks to go after one and build the rest of the roster. If you look at some of the biggest successes at QB in the NFL they walked into situations where the team had talent so as the grew as a QB the rest of the roster was there to go from Brady to Rodgers and on the inverse biggest flops because of lack of talent/coaching.
  13. Agreed which is why I don't think they move unless they like Mayfield and he available at 9 where they could swing with the 49ers. I bet they would take both 1sts and a 3rd next year (something like that). The Giants truly are the real wildcard. IF they decide not to go QB they could hold that 2nd pick for ransom pretty decent which I do think we have ammunition for. I'm just not sure they would want to go all the way to 21st even for say 3 1sts like the Redskins did.
  14. With the draft nearing and excitement building for hopefully a new Bills QB drafted a lot of us have wondered what it would cost for the Bills to slingshot high up into the Top 5 range. Here are three recent examples we can base off of: Eagles get Carson Wentz Had 13th pick traded Kiko, Byron Maxwell, & 13th pick to Miami for 8. Then traded the #8 pick, their third-round pick, their fourth-round pick, a 2017 first-round pick, and a 2018 second-round pick for Cleveland's 2nd overall pick Cost: 2x 1sts (draft year plus 2017), 2nd 2018, 3rd rnd, 4th rnd, and a LB/CB which was a minor salary dump that no one understood on Miami's end haha. Eagles Draft Capital left: 3rd, 5th, 5th, 6th, 7th, and a 7th Rams get Jared Goff Had to trade their 15th pick two second-round picks, and a third-round pick in the 2016 draft along with a 1st and 3rd round pick in 2017. Rams received 4th and 6th pick back. Cost 2x 1st's (draft year and 2017), two seconds, two 3rds (draft year and 2017) for the pick. Redskins get RGIII Had to give three 1st round pick 2012 (22 that year), 2013, and 2014 plus 2nd round pick for RGIII. Cost: 3x 1st's and a 2nd. Realistically if the Bills are going to move up they are looking at giving 2x 1st round picks, a 2nd round pick, and either a 3rd or 4th round pick. Each trade route had a situation that cost a player or another draft chip. The Redskins would be the closest comparison for Buffalo because they picked 22nd in 2012 and managed to rocket up the board. Given the QB needs by a lot of teams in this draft my question would be would a team like the Giants or more likely the Colts who have a long term future plan a QB take an offer from Buffalo like both 1sts, 2019 1st, a 2nd, and Cordy Glenn? I truly don't know if that is enough ammunition because that is still a sizeable drop. I think IND maybe would consider that because it could help their offensive line and help replenish their roster, but if your Buffalo are you willing to do it if Rosen and Darnold both go 1-2 and your already down to the 3rd pick. These are the type of scenarios I think McBeane is having to consider if they really do plan on moving up.
  15. What has he proved? Watson I get because we passed on him and so did a bunch of other teams and he was surreal last year. But the Mahomes buyer remorse makes zero sense to me when the guy played one game which didn't matter and was a typical rookie with some good some bad. With the fact Watson is good statistically its actually worse odds that Mahomes works out given the hit weight on first round QBs. Its insane how when a guy hasn't played more the a single game if at all people freak out like we missed on the guy when his trajectory is more likely Blaine Gabbert. I was one of the skeptics on Goff because of the system he played in at Cal and his first season being so awful. But he was able to prove a lot of us wrong. QB's are incredibly hard to predict and if the Bills draft Rudolph Im gonna hope for the best. Unless your name is Luck Manning or Elway someone doubted you I could see him as Flacco pre knee injury or even a guy like Golf who in the right scheme can be accurate and hit some deep throws.
  16. Glad to see you disagree with the team that just won the SB and took out NE. I'm sure your fan perspective will be taken in full account this off season. As one poster said Wentz won't be ready until minimum week 4 and they have zero reason to rush him with Foles who they could then trade at the deadline if all looks good.
  17. If the Bills trade a 1st for Nick Foles I wouldn't buy tickets for a single game.
  18. Oh then I 100% agree with that. A lot of people I have heard clamor we should move to the Top 5 and I'm like the cost would potentially be for that both 1sts 2nds and probably next years 1st and another lower round pick or two. Otherwise with this years capital you might get up to where the 49ers are.
  19. The two names to watch and see are Eason and Stidham. Both are big QBs at 6-5 and 6-3 who play with major programs and have all the major traits you want in a top QB. Eason was actually expected to be a potential top QB this last year until his injury. Stidham grew leaps and bound as the season went on and he was sensational against Bama this year. I could see those two rocketing to the top of the board if they have strong seasons. Drew Locke is nice but I don't think he has the potential of those two. Francois from FSU has some real potential but that knee injury is a major question. As for the rest well we shall see.
  20. Draft Capital is not overrated. Statistically you hit on around 33% of your picks and the goal is always to have more picks especially in the first 3 rounds to increase your chance of hitting more. The Patriots and Ravens are brilliant with having a ton of picks and if you look at how many good starters they get later in the draft its pretty stark of how much the draft is just a gamble and you want more chances. In regards to the Bills selecting at 21 and 22 remember we just drafted Tre White at 27, Aaron Rodgers was drafted 24th, and Johnny Manziel was drafted 10th when Derek Carr/Teddy Bridgewater were drafted 32nd and 36th. Simply put you really don't know and need to hope you have your homework done while getting a little lucky also.
  21. Alex Okafor is a guy I really would love to see brought in. Even if we draft a QB I love the idea of McCown or Keenum as the starter. I think the team could still be very competitive and their good culture guys. Paul Richardson I'd want but I think he will end up being a bidding war and Mike Wallace could do the same for less.
  22. This is brilliant i lost it reading this.
  23. They will become like Cowboy fans. Bad seasons tons of tickets available and you will have games like the Cowboys did where 49ers fans took over like 50% of the stadium. AND then any semi good year "The Patriots Are Back" will be floated all over media wise and the bandwagon will be in full force.
  24. Josh Allen - BUST. This guy is Rob Johnson, Paxton Lynch, etc.. every QB where scouts gush over physical tools and not the artwork or lack there of. Darnold - HIT. I think regardless of the situation his floor is that of Joe Flacco pre ACL tear (he hasn't been the same since) and potentially could be a ceiling like a Philip Rivers. Either way your getting a guy who will keep you set at QB for 10 years and for a team like CLE I think that'd be huge. Rosen - 50/50 depends on who drafts him. Talent is there but how will his bravado be received. I would love a QB like him but some GMs fear this kind of player and what it could do locker room wise. Frankly a team like the Giants nabbing him and having him sit to learn behind Eli would be perfect and I would expect him to do well. But on the inverse send him to the Jets and have him start right away and he flames out. Mayfield - HIT. Whatever team drafts him that entire division will be hating him for 10-15 years. Reminds me of a young Brett Farve in terms of confidence and I could see him project as a Steve McNair type potential just hopefully longer career. Lamar Jackson - 50/50 depends on who drafts him. I think with the right coach and team he could develop into a solid starter that is like Alex Smith. But I think he needs a year to sit and if a team like Arizona were to draft him and start him right away he will flame out. Mason Rudolph- 50/50 depends on who drafts him. I have been up and down on him all year yet compare his stats and style and he is pretty similar to Derek Carr in college. He is someone who a year of seasoning on the bench would do wonders for and if he can manage to be drafted in the 2nd round would have far less pressure. But I just see him getting drafted in the Top 20 but someone who is going to reach and from there he better hope he has some good WR's and an OC that can put him in a solid scheme otherwise could be a flame out.
  25. I voted playoffs for a few reasons: -The drought hung like a noose around the franchise neck that for years dictated decisions most of which were atrocious -It brought true relevancy back to the franchise nationally not just because we signed Mario Williams or got Rex -McD coached a team that talent wise was 5-7 wins and got them to 9. Since 2012 season on we have had quite a few teams that had more talent that should've made the playoffs and didnt. Yes they got lucky but I will still give the rookie HC credit and view that as a positive for now -As a fan it was really fun the whole time. 2010 when we were top 3 was not fun and dreadful throughout -They have enough draft capital that if they want to sell out to move up to get one of five QBs IMO -There hasn't been a free agent QB market with this much to offer since ...honestly not even sure -Feeling the pain of losing in the playoffs felt better then the previous 17 of being eliminated in December or earlier. I forgot how much it sucks but in a weird way it was cool because it meant something mattered. I'm 29 and know very little of playoffs so this was really my first experience to watch it with my dad and my wife and I'm sure for thousands of others it was the same.
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