eball

Well, those numbers have changed to 64% and 72%, so there are apparently a lot of dumb whales betting the Bills. I'm still curious as to why the line isn't moving in that direction.

FYI, the money edge on Buffalo is now 8%. 64% of tickets and 72% of the money is on the Bills.

There’s really no need to be condescending. I’m very aware of how point spreads are determined and markers that trigger movement. As of right now 53% of the bets and 58% of the money is on Buffalo, which means there is a 5% money edge on the Bills at -4 (i.e., the bigger bets or “sharps” are on the Bills). Why hasn’t the line moved? Could be a number of reasons. The game to jump on right now is Philly getting 8.5 at Tampa.

I think it’s easy to label a lot of announcers/commentators “homers for the Pats***” simply because the Pats*** have been so good for so long that you have to talk about and appreciate them (when they aren’t cheating). Davis is fine. Eagle is an excellent PBP guy. We could have drawn worse.

What a great 4th quarter! So happy for Stetson and the Dawgs. Bama has had their share.

I don't think Miami made it (or whoever else you root for).

Does anybody here still think McD calls any offensive plays? Really?

Beasley's and McKenzie's snap counts need to flip-flop, at a minimum. Beasley looks slow. McKenzie looks like he's flying around. I think it's clear this is Beasley's last season in Buffalo, and I only hope they don't rely upon him to their detriment over the next five weeks.

Bojo is a terrible holder...and believe me, that will matter at some point for GB in the playoffs too. Complain about Haack all you want (I agree he sucks) but the decision to let Bojo go wasn't just about the money.

Odds are that Flores tucks tail and returns to Foxborough, but I'd love to have him replace Frazier as DC when Leslie takes the Bears job.

Ok, so when Frazier leaves who is with me on them bringing in Flores for the D?

I feel as though sharp bettors will like the Bills in this one...and if I'm right the line will move.

Key to this game is for Buffalo to start fast and get a lead. If that happens, look for another double-digit win.

The Belichick factor playing hard with the spread of only -4.5 in this game...that's a good opportunity right there. I expect that to move between 5-6.

Don’t sleep on the Steelers in KC. That defense could make it interesting.

Spot on, Gunner. What the Bills did on defense this season is indeed something to be recognized and appreciated for its rarity. I don’t know if I agree with the 90% number in your example, but it sure seems more likely than not these days. Thankfully when the Bills win they win by double digits! (I joke, because you’d expect for there to be close games in the playoffs)

It’s an old inside joke at TBD. When McKenzie was acquired there was another similar player named McKittrick that some folks thought was obtained (maybe he even was, briefly, I don’t remember). It went back and forth for a bit, but some of us get a kick out of still calling Lil Dirty McKittrick.

Compare Josh’s stats in those “weather” games against his opponents. He has significantly outplayed the competition.

Idiot Broncos. KC doesn’t scare me like they used to.

I think I fall more into this category as well. I only notice them when they are really bad. But I do admit, an analyst who can break down a play afterwards and show me the intricacies of what was happening is appreciated.

Anybody else notice that the Bills have a punter on the PS? I was looking at the practice photos and was like “who is Jamie Gillan #6?” Interesting.

So…no Ertz?

There are lots of stories popping up, NOW, about how much interest there was in Josh Allen THEN. Color me skeptical. Lots of GMs and scouts trying to save face.

In that case, a game plan built around running the football would be absurd. I hope Josh lights ‘em up early and often and we see Mitch in the 4th quarter to mop up.

It's all good, brother, I simply get a kick out of those fans who are obsessed with the comp pick formula and allocations.